Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) Stock Price & Analysis

Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) is trading at USD 6.69, up 0.60% today, as of October 29, 2026 at 13:30 UTC (US market open; quotes may be delayed), according to Nexqual market data.

FOSL last closed at USD 6.65; today's session has ranged USD 6.69–6.69 on volume of 7,487 shares. Market capitalization is $395.63M, with a 52-week range of USD 1.7–7.39 (NMS). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 29, 2026 at 13:32 UTC.

Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/FOSL.md

Key facts (FOSL)

• Last four reported quarters (through Jul 4, 2026): revenue $985M, net income -$69.2M (-7.0% margin), free cash flow -$41.2M (SEC filings).
• 2 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold FOSL (13F, Q2 2026): 0 new, 0 added, 1 reduced, 1 unchanged.
• Insider open-market sales, last ~7 months: 1 Form 4 filings, $306K; 1 not under a Rule 10b5-1 plan ($306K); 0 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders (three-year test, Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski 2012).
• Insider open-market purchases, last ~7 months: 2 Form 4 filings, $141K; 0 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders.
• Analysts: Buy (mean 1.75 on a 1–5 scale) (4 analysts), mean target USD 9.25 (range 7–12).
• Total return with dividends: 1Y +218.6% vs S&P 500 +13.6%; 5Y -43.4% vs S&P 500 +79.8%.
• Next earnings: 2026-11-10, EPS estimate USD -0.08, revenue estimate $249M.

Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (FOSL)

Fiscal years end Jan. EPS is split-adjusted.

Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jul 4, 2026) (FOSL)

P/S 0.4x · EV/EBITDA 101.5x · EV/Sales 0.5x · P/B 4.4x · FCF yield -10.42% · Earnings yield -17.48% · Net debt $124M · EV $520M

Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026) (FOSL)

2 of 80 tracked investors hold FOSL. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.

Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (FOSL)

0 of 1 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.

% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).

Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.

Insider purchases (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (FOSL)

2 purchases, $141K. Private placements, offerings, dividend reinvestment and employee stock purchase plan buys are excluded.

Analysts (FOSL)

Consensus Buy (mean 1.75 on a 1–5 scale), 4 analysts; mean target USD 9.25 (low 7, high 12).

Rating changes, last 120 days:

Total return (dividends reinvested) (FOSL)

FOSL earnings history and stock reaction

EPS as reported against the analyst consensus before the release; surprise uses the cent-rounded figures shown (in dollars when EPS and consensus have opposite signs). Stock reaction = close before the results to close after (the first close following a release after the bell or before the open).

FOSL recent SEC filings (last 120 days)

Source: SEC EDGAR. Quotes are the opening words of each item as filed; each form links to the filing. Insider Form 4 filings are listed in the insider sections.

FOSL suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 10-K)

Quoted from the company's 10-K filed Mar 12, 2026.

FOSL analyst estimates and revisions

FOSL options: expected move

Options price a move of about ±21.8% (±$1.45) by Nov 20, 2026, which includes earnings on Nov 10, 2026. Over the last 8 reports the stock moved ±17.4% on average.

30-day implied volatility 87.8% vs 56.8% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0.74. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.

Key Statistics (as of October 29, 2026 at 13:32 UTC)

Technical Analysis (FOSL)

Nexqual's technical model rates FOSL "BUY" based on 4 bullish and 1 bearish signals across 128 daily candles, as of October 29, 2026 at 13:32 UTC.

Analyst Ratings (FOSL)

Wall Street analysts rate FOSL "Buy" based on 4 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 9.25 (range USD 7–12), per Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 13:32 UTC.

Earnings (FOSL)

Recent Earnings History

Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 13:32 UTC.

Financials & Fundamentals (FOSL)

Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 13:32 UTC.

Financial Health Score (FOSL)

Nexqual rates Fossil Group, Inc.'s overall financial health "Weak" across five dimensions, as of October 29, 2026 at 13:32 UTC.

Ownership (FOSL)

Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 13:32 UTC.

Leadership (FOSL)

Fossil Group, Inc. is led by Franco Fogliato, CEO & Director, per Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 13:32 UTC.

Major Backers & Investors (FOSL)

Notable institutional backers of Fossil Group, Inc. include Nantahala Capital Management, LLC, HG Vora Capital Management, LLC, Miller Value Partners, LLC, according to Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 13:32 UTC.

Active Investors

Index Funds (Passive)

Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 13:32 UTC.

From Fossil Group, Inc.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-03-12)

Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)

• We utilize SAP ERP in our U.S. operations and throughout most of our European operations to support our human resources, sales and distribution, inventory planning, retail merchandising and operational and financial reporting systems of our business, and Navision in our Asian operations to support many of the same functions on a local country level.
• Our master customer data is stored in a cloud native, industry standard design based on the Google Cloud Platform architecture, in order to better secure and improve the long-term performance and integration for future key marketing, analytics, artificial intelligence, and sales systems.
• By capitalizing on fashion trends and leveraging proprietary data and insights, we are able to deliver relevant, high-value products and experiences to consumers across a diverse range of price points, style preferences and geographies.
• We have built proprietary algorithms to support the profitable flow-through of marketing investment, optimized across channels, brands and countries.

Partnerships

• The following table sets forth information about our fashion accessories: We have a license agreement with the Safilo Group for both FOSSIL branded sunglasses and optical frames worldwide, which expires on December 31, 2028.
• As a result of our vertical integration, we are uniquely positioned to launch an accessory category, such as watches, in partnership with a licensor in a timely and consistent manner.

Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)

• We are subject to laws and regulations in the U.S. and the many countries in which we operate. Violations of laws and regulations, or changes to existing laws or regulations, could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition or results of operations.
• The loss of our intellectual property rights may harm our business.
• Our products may infringe the intellectual property rights of others, which may cause us to incur unexpected costs or prevent us from selling certain of our products.

Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.

Peers & Related Stocks

Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 29, 2026 at 13:32 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.

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