Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. (FPS) Stock Price & Analysis
Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. (FPS) closed at USD 24.92 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, down 21.54% on the day. The US market is currently closed; this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 31.76; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 23.16–27.31 on volume of 44,342,872 shares. Market capitalization is $7.95B, with a 52-week range of USD 23.16–66 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 07:54 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/FPS.md
Key facts (FPS)
- Valuation: P/E 91.0x, net debt $485M.
- 1 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold FPS (13F, Q2 2026): 1 new, 0 added, 0 reduced, 0 unchanged.
- Insider open-market sales, last ~7 months: 6 Form 4 filings, $0K; 6 not under a Rule 10b5-1 plan ($0K); 0 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders (three-year test, Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski 2012).
- Analysts: Buy (mean 2.08 on a 1–5 scale) (12 analysts), mean target USD 54.67 (range 44–76).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y -14.1% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y -26.2% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-12, EPS estimate USD 0.2, revenue estimate $459M.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (FPS)
| USD | FY2025 | FY2026 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $753M | $1.42B | — |
| Gross profit | $278M | $498M | — |
| Operating income | $72.2M | $182M | — |
| Net income | $15.2M | $81.8M | $87.4M |
| Free cash flow | -$39.1M | -$6.8M | — |
| Gross margin | 36.9% | 35.0% | — |
| Operating margin | 9.6% | 12.9% | — |
| Net margin | 2.0% | 5.8% | — |
| Revenue growth | — | +88.5% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $111M | $97.5M | — |
| Total debt | $502M | $582M | — |
Fiscal years end Jun. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (FPS)
P/E 91.0x · P/B 14.1x · Earnings yield 1.10% · Net debt $485M · EV $8.43B
Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026) (FPS)
1 of 80 tracked investors hold FPS. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polen Capital | Polen Capital Management | 0.02% | $2.8M | New position |
Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (FPS)
0 of 6 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | % of holdings sold | 10b5-1 plan | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Neos Partners, Lp | Director | 43,650,000 | $0K | 34.4% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-07-06 | Neos Partners, Lp | Director | 43,650,000 | $0K | 34.4% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-07-06 | Neos Partners, Lp | Director | 43,650,000 | $0K | 34.4% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-06-01 | Neos Partners, Lp | Director | 48,622,000 | $0K | 30.2% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-06-01 | Neos Partners, Lp | Director | 48,622,000 | $0K | 30.2% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-06-01 | Neos Partners, Lp | Director | 48,622,000 | $0K | 30.2% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).
Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.
Analysts (FPS)
Consensus Buy (mean 2.08 on a 1–5 scale), 12 analysts; mean target USD 54.67 (low 44, high 76).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | JP Morgan | Target lowered | Overweight | $56 → $49 |
| 2026-10-02 | Bernstein | Initiated | Outperform | $48 |
| 2026-09-25 | Wells Fargo | Initiated | Equal-Weight | $44 |
| 2026-09-16 | Oppenheimer | Reiterated | Outperform | $60 |
| 2026-09-16 | TD Cowen | Target raised | Buy | $73 → $76 |
| 2026-07-16 | Baird | Initiated | Outperform | $55 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (FPS)
| 1Y (from 2026-02-05) | 5Y (from 2026-02-02) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | -14.1% | -26.2% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | — | — |
| Volatility (annualized) | 86.5% | 75.0% |
| Max drawdown | -61.4% (Jun 2026→Oct 2026) | -60.7% (Jun 2026→Oct 2026) |
FPS revenue by product line (quarter ended Mar 31, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Custom products | $259.3M | 68.5% | +82.4% |
| Powertrain solutions | $98.9M | 26.1% | +248.0% |
| Standard products | $13.2M | 3.5% | +53.2% |
| Services | $7.3M | 1.9% | +4.1% |
| Total revenue | $378.7M | 100% | — |
As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).
FPS suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 10-K)
| Relationship | Company | Sentence in the filing |
|---|---|---|
| Supplier | States Manufacturing | “We purchase some raw materials used in our products, including electrical steel, carbon steel, aluminum, copper and specialized insulation materials, as well as key components such as circuit breakers outside of the United States through arrangements with various vendors.” |
| Competitor | Vertiv (VRT) | “In the Data Center market, we compete with Vertiv Holdings Co.'s power management products business;” |
Quoted from the company's 10-K filed Sep 15, 2026.
FPS customer concentration
In the period ended Jun 30, 2026, a single direct customer accounted for 11% of revenue, per the company's 10-K filed Sep 15, 2026. The company does not name it.
FPS company outlook (results filed Oct 22, 2026)
- “The Company's fiscal first quarter 2027 revenues and Adjusted EBITDA will exceed the high end of its previously provided guidance ranges.”
Quoted word-for-word from the SEC 8-K results press release.
FPS analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $0.20 | $0.23 | -12.3% | $459.5M | 11 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $0.27 | $0.24 | +11.8% | $559.2M | 10 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Jun 2027) | $1.35 | $1.16 | +16.6% | $2.54B | 12 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Jun 2028) | $2.02 | $1.77 | +14.3% | $3.41B | 12 |
FPS options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±22.7% (±$5.68) by Nov 13, 2026, which includes earnings on Nov 12, 2026; the earnings reaction alone is priced at about ±5.8%. Over the last 3 reports the stock moved ±13% on average.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | 8 | 119.1% | ±14.1% |
| Nov 6, 2026 | 15 | 115.5% | ±16.7% |
| Nov 13, 2026 | 22 | 116.2% | ±22.7% |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 29 | 111.4% | ±25.0% |
| Nov 27, 2026 | 36 | 91.5% | ±25.6% |
| Dec 4, 2026 | 43 | 106.0% | ±28.8% |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 57 | 98.1% | ±30.6% |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 85 | 91.4% | ±34.8% |
30-day implied volatility 110.2% vs 112.7% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0.6. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 07:54 UTC)
| Price | USD 24.92 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▼ 21.54% (down) |
| Previous Close | USD 31.76 |
| Open | USD 27.18 |
| Day Range | USD 23.16 – 27.31 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 23.16 – 66 |
| Volume | 44,342,872 shares |
| Market Cap | $7.95B |
| Exchange | NYQ |
Technical Analysis (FPS)
Nexqual's technical model rates FPS "SELL" based on 2 bullish and 5 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 07:54 UTC.
| Overall Signal | SELL |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 31.28 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Below (USD 34.64) |
| MACD | -1.85 (negative) |
Analyst Ratings (FPS)
Wall Street analysts rate FPS "Buy" based on 12 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 54.67 (range USD 44–76), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 07:54 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Buy |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 12 |
| Mean Target | USD 54.67 |
| High Target | USD 76 |
| Low Target | USD 44 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 10 / 2 / 0 |
Earnings (FPS)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-11-12 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 0.2 |
| Revenue Estimate | $459.46M |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 0.25 vs est 0.24 ▲ beat |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 07:54 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (FPS)
| Total Revenue | $1.42B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +94.30% |
| Gross Margin | +35.03% |
| Operating Margin | +19.86% |
| Profit Margin | +5.76% |
| ROE | +17.04% |
| Debt / Equity | 1.05 |
| Current Ratio | 1.54 |
| Total Cash | $97.48M |
| Total Debt | $703.77M |
| Free Cash Flow (fiscal year ended Jun 2026, SEC 10-K) | -$6.82M (-0.5% of revenue) |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 07:54 UTC.
Financial Health Score (FPS)
Nexqual rates Forgent Power Solutions, Inc.'s overall financial health "Mixed" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 07:54 UTC.
| Growth | Strong — Revenue +89% YoY (annual) |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Solid — Gross margin 35%, operating 20% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Mixed — $97M cash and investments vs $582M debt (Jun 2026, SEC) |
| Cash Flow | Weak — FCF negative: -$7M (FY ended Jun 2026, 10-K), burning cash |
| Efficiency | Solid — ROE 17%, ROA 6.0% |
Ownership (FPS)
| Insider Ownership | +0.14% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +94.86% |
| Shares Outstanding | 274.53M |
| Float | 170.62M |
| Short % of Float | +7.43% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 07:54 UTC.
Leadership (FPS)
Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. is led by Gary John Niederpruem, CEO & Director, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 07:54 UTC.
| CEO & Director | Gary John Niederpruem |
|---|---|
| Chief Financial Officer | Ryan S. Fiedler |
| Vice President of Investor Relations | Kate Africk |
| President of Transformers | Douglas Banty |
Major Backers & Investors (FPS)
Notable institutional backers of Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. include Coatue Management, FMR, LLC, Jupiter Topco LLC, according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 07:54 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| Coatue Management | 7.47% |
| FMR, LLC | 3.83% |
| Jupiter Topco LLC | 3.08% |
| First TRT Exch-Trd Fd. VI-First TRT RBA American Industrial Renaissanc | 2.99% |
| Invesco | 2.6% |
| UBS Group AG | 2.06% |
| Franklin Resources, Inc. | 1.88% |
| Jericho Capital Asset Management, LP | 1.61% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| Vanguard Group | 3.85% |
| BlackRock | 2.43% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 07:54 UTC.
From Forgent Power Solutions, Inc.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-09-15)
Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)
- Leveraging our proprietary design tools and extensive database of reference designs, we can engineer a custom product for a customer in as little as a few hours and we are able to produce and ship a custom product in as little as a week.
- Our manufacturing process is highly vertically integrated and we typically purchase only raw materials such as copper, steel and aluminum and components such as breakers to produce our products.
- Jobs are tracked end-to-end via dashboards, work travelers, and detailed labor tracking and costing.
- To develop new products, we leverage our proprietary database of reference designs and UL Solutions files that span every major category of electrical distribution equipment.
Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)
- Failure by us to comply with EHS regulations, or by our vendors to use ethical business practices and comply with applicable laws, could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
- We are subject to antitrust and competition laws that can result in sanctions and conditions on our business.
- We manufacture some of our products in Mexico and are exposed to risks associated with doing business in Mexico, including compliance with laws and regulations and enforcement of consistent company-wide standards and procedures. A disruption in our Mexican manufacturing operations could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
- Failure to meet at times competing environmental and sustainability-related standards could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.
Peers & Related Stocks
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|---|---|---|---|
| AEIS | Advanced Energy Industries, Inc | USD 216.64 | ▼ 12.49% |
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| ENS | EnerSys | USD 168.67 | ▼ 4.65% |
| POWL | Powell Industries, Inc. | USD 150.71 | ▼ 11.51% |
| NVT | nVent Electric plc | USD 127.67 | ▼ 12.63% |
| HUBB | Hubbell Inc | USD 445.8 | ▼ 3.25% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 07:54 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt