Groupon, Inc. (GRPN) Stock Price & Analysis
Groupon, Inc. (GRPN) is trading at USD 16.58, up 0.94% today, as of October 29, 2026 at 17:35 UTC (US market open; quotes may be delayed), according to Nexqual market data.
GRPN last closed at USD 16.42; today's session has ranged USD 16.17–16.67 on volume of 208,039 shares. Market capitalization is $674.03M, with a 52-week range of USD 9.17–29.9 (NMS). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 29, 2026 at 17:36 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/GRPN.md
Key facts (GRPN)
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 30, 2026): revenue $497M, net income -$126M (-25.3% margin), free cash flow $29.9M (SEC filings).
- Analysts: Hold (mean 2.67 on a 1–5 scale) (3 analysts), mean target USD 28.67 (range 16–40).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y -19.7% vs S&P 500 +12.9%; 5Y -21.9% vs S&P 500 +78.8%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-05, EPS estimate USD -0.01, revenue estimate $129M.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (GRPN)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $967M | $599M | $515M | $493M | $498M | $497M |
| Gross profit | $737M | $523M | $451M | $444M | $453M | — |
| Operating income | -$4.7M | -$168M | -$18.3M | $8.8M | $23.6M | $4.7M |
| Net income | $119M | -$238M | -$55.4M | -$59.0M | -$83.5M | -$126M |
| EPS (diluted) | $3.68 | -$7.88 | -$1.77 | -$1.51 | -$2.08 | — |
| Free cash flow | -$174M | -$172M | -$97.3M | $40.6M | $49.9M | $29.9M |
| Gross margin | 76.2% | 87.3% | 87.5% | 90.2% | 90.8% | — |
| Operating margin | -0.5% | -28.0% | -3.5% | 1.8% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Net margin | 12.3% | -39.7% | -10.8% | -12.0% | -16.8% | -25.3% |
| Revenue growth | -31.7% | -38.1% | -14.1% | -4.3% | +1.2% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $499M | $281M | $142M | $229M | $296M | — |
| Total debt | $323M | $300M | $269M | $246M | $343M | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (GRPN)
P/S 1.4x · EV/EBITDA 37.6x · EV/Sales 1.5x · P/FCF 22.5x · FCF yield 4.44% · Earnings yield -18.64% · Net debt $81.1M · EV $755M
Analysts (GRPN)
Consensus Hold (mean 2.67 on a 1–5 scale), 3 analysts; mean target USD 28.67 (low 16, high 40).
Total return (dividends reinvested) (GRPN)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-29) | 5Y (from 2021-10-25) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | -19.7% | -21.9% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +12.9% | +78.8% |
| Per year | -19.7% | -4.8% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 75.0% | 91.0% |
| Max drawdown | -55.3% (Nov 2025→Mar 2026) | -88.1% (Nov 2021→May 2023) |
GRPN earnings history and stock reaction
| Results filed | Quarter | EPS | Consensus | Surprise | Stock reaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Quarter ended Jun 30, 2026 | −$0.04 | −$0.06 | Beat +33.3% | -8.3% |
| May 7, 2026 | Quarter ended Mar 31, 2026 | −$0.32 | −$0.04 | Miss −$0.28 | +12.2% |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Quarter ended Dec 31, 2025 | $0.17 | $0.14 | Beat +21.4% | -8.2% |
| Nov 6, 2025 | Quarter ended Sep 30, 2025 | −$2.92 | $0.03 | Miss −$2.95 | -12.3% |
| Aug 6, 2025 | — | — | — | — | +21.2% |
| May 7, 2025 | — | — | — | — | +43.1% |
| Mar 11, 2025 | — | — | — | — | +42.2% |
| Nov 12, 2024 | — | — | — | — | -29.8% |
EPS as reported against the analyst consensus before the release; surprise uses the cent-rounded figures shown (in dollars when EPS and consensus have opposite signs). Stock reaction = close before the results to close after (the first close following a release after the bell or before the open).
GRPN recent SEC filings (last 120 days)
| Filed | Form | What it says |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Schedule 13G/A | BlackRock, Inc.: 4.1% of shares, passive 5%+ holder (amended) |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Schedule 13G | Millennium Management LLC, Millennium Group Management LLC: 5.0% of shares, passive 5%+ holder |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Schedule 13G/A | CONTINENTAL GENERAL INSURANCE CO, Continental Insurance Group, Ltd.: 6.5% of shares, passive 5%+ holder (amended) |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Schedule 13D/A | Pale Fire Capital SICAV a.s., Pale Fire Capital investicni spolecnost a.s.: 32.0% of shares, 5%+ holder that may seek to influence the company (amended) |
| Aug 6, 2026 | 8-K | Quarterly results |
| Aug 6, 2026 | 10-Q | Quarterly report · period ended Jun 30, 2026 |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Schedule 13G | BlackRock, Inc.: 5.3% of shares, passive 5%+ holder |
Source: SEC EDGAR. Quotes are the opening words of each item as filed; each form links to the filing. Insider Form 4 filings are listed in the insider sections.
GRPN suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 10-K)
| Relationship | Company | Sentence in the filing |
|---|---|---|
| Supplier | Alphabet (Google) (GOOGL) | “We rely on "Gatekeeper" platforms (Apple App Store and Google Play) to distribute our application.” |
| Supplier | Apple (AAPL) | “We rely on "Gatekeeper" platforms (Apple App Store and Google Play) to distribute our application.” |
| Related party | Uptake | “We subleased a portion of 600 West Chicago to Uptake, Inc., a Lightbank LLC portfolio company as a related party transaction.” |
| Related party | Lightbank | “We subleased a portion of 600 West Chicago to Uptake, Inc., a Lightbank LLC portfolio company as a related party transaction.” |
| Competitor | Meta Platforms (META) | “•Global Technology Platforms: Large companies such as Google, Meta, and ByteDance/TikTok, which not only offer local business advertising solutions but also control key digital channels we use to acquire customers.” |
| Competitor | ByteDance | “•Global Technology Platforms: Large companies such as Google, Meta, and ByteDance/TikTok, which not only offer local business advertising solutions but also control key digital channels we use to acquire customers.” |
Quoted from the company's 10-K filed Mar 10, 2026.
GRPN company outlook (results filed Aug 6, 2026)
- “The outlook above reflects management's current expectations for 2026 and includes forward-looking statements regarding the Company's anticipated financial performance and operating priorities.”
Quoted word-for-word from the SEC 8-K results press release.
GRPN analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $-0.01 | $0.03 | −$0.04 | $129.4M | 2 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $0.23 | $0.22 | +1.5% | $147.4M | 3 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $-0.16 | $-0.13 | −$0.03 | $518.6M | 2 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $0.86 | $0.83 | +3.2% | $560.3M | 3 |
GRPN options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±18.7% (±$3.03) by Nov 20, 2026, which includes earnings on Nov 5, 2026. Over the last 8 reports the stock moved ±22.2% on average.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2026 | 22 | 92.8% | ±18.7% |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 50 | 83.2% | ±24.8% |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 78 | 77.5% | ±28.5% |
| Apr 16, 2027 | 169 | 80.3% | ±42.9% |
30-day implied volatility 89.3% vs 69.5% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0.12. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 29, 2026 at 17:36 UTC)
| Price | USD 16.58 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▲ 0.94% (up) |
| Previous Close | USD 16.42 |
| Open | USD 16.31 |
| Day Range | USD 16.17 – 16.67 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 9.17 – 29.9 |
| Volume | 208,039 shares |
| Market Cap | $674.03M |
| Exchange | NMS |
Technical Analysis (GRPN)
Nexqual's technical model rates GRPN "STRONG SELL" based on 0 bullish and 5 bearish signals across 128 daily candles, as of October 29, 2026 at 17:36 UTC.
| Overall Signal | STRONG SELL |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 41.35 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Below (USD 18.74) |
| MACD | -0.88 (negative) |
Analyst Ratings (GRPN)
Wall Street analysts rate GRPN "Hold" based on 3 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 28.67 (range USD 16–40), per Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 17:36 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Hold |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 3 |
| Mean Target | USD 28.67 |
| High Target | USD 40 |
| Low Target | USD 16 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 2 / 0 / 1 |
Earnings (GRPN)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-11-05 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 0.23 |
| Revenue Estimate | $129.39M |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD -0.04 vs est -0.06 ▲ beat |
| 2026-03-31 | USD -0.32 vs est -0.04 ▼ miss |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 0.17 vs est 0.14 ▲ beat |
| 2025-09-30 | USD -2.92 vs est 0.03 ▼ miss |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 17:36 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (GRPN)
| Total Revenue | $497.41M |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | -0.80% |
| Gross Margin | +90.72% |
| Operating Margin | +1.96% |
| Profit Margin | -25.26% |
| Current Ratio | 0.79 |
| Total Cash | $226.25M |
| Total Debt | $312.30M |
| Free Cash Flow (last four quarters to Jun 2026, SEC 10-Q / 10-K) | $29.95M (6.0% of revenue) |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 17:36 UTC.
Financial Health Score (GRPN)
Nexqual rates Groupon, Inc.'s overall financial health "Mixed" across five dimensions, as of October 29, 2026 at 17:36 UTC.
| Growth | Mixed — Revenue +1.2% YoY (annual), slow |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Strong — Gross margin 91%, operating 1% (last 4 quarters to Jun 2026, SEC; the Dec 2025 quarter alone accounts for 139% of operating income) |
| Balance Sheet | Mixed — $226M cash and investments vs $307M debt (Jun 2026, SEC) |
| Cash Flow | Solid — FCF $30M (last 4 quarters to Jun 2026, SEC), 6% margin |
| Efficiency | Critical — ROE not meaningful (negative equity); ROA -21.0% (last 4 quarters, SEC) |
Ownership (GRPN)
| Insider Ownership | +19.00% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +93.56% |
| Shares Outstanding | 40.67M |
| Float | 18.37M |
| Short % of Float | +50.18% |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 17:36 UTC.
Leadership (GRPN)
Groupon, Inc. is led by Dusan Senkypl, CEO & Director, per Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 17:36 UTC.
| CEO & Director | Dusan Senkypl |
|---|---|
| CFO and Senior VP of Finance, FP & A, Treasury & Strategy | Rana P. Kashyap |
| Chief Operating Officer | Aditya Rajkumar |
Major Backers & Investors (GRPN)
Notable institutional backers of Groupon, Inc. include Pale Fire Capital SE, Continental General Insurance Co, Windward Management LP, according to Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 17:36 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| Pale Fire Capital SE | 25.04% |
| Continental General Insurance Co | 6.1% |
| Windward Management LP | 5.77% |
| Divisadero Street Capital Management, LP | 4.54% |
| UBS Group AG | 3.1% |
| Wolf Hill Capital Management, LP | 2.46% |
| Garnet Equity Capital Holdings, Inc. | 2.39% |
| Millennium Management | 2.33% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| BlackRock | 5.47% |
| Vanguard Group | 2.5% |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 17:36 UTC.
From Groupon, Inc.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-03-10)
Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)
- We control access to our proprietary technology by entering into confidentiality and invention assignment agreements with our employees and contractors, and confidentiality agreements with third parties.
- Circumstances outside our control could pose a threat to our intellectual property rights and the efforts we have taken to protect our proprietary rights may not be sufficient or effective or deter independent development of equivalent or superior intellectual property rights by others.
- We continue to invest in making our platform more efficient, stable and agile.
- By improving our technology, our customer base can enjoy a modernized experience along with seamless execution of new product innovation, improved customer experience and customer satisfaction.
Partnerships
- For instance, non-compliance with the GDPR could result in proceedings against us by governmental entities or others and fines up to the greater of €20 million or 4% of annual global revenue, and non-compliance with CPRA could result in fines of up to $7,500 per violation in addition to providing consumers with a private right of action.
- A customer who interacts with these communications is directed to our website or mobile application to learn more about the deal and to make a purchase.
Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)
- We are involved in pending litigation and other claims and an adverse resolution of such matters may adversely affect our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
- The application of certain laws and regulations, including, among other laws, the CARD Act and similar state and foreign laws, may harm our business and results of operations.
- Government regulation of the Internet and e-commerce is evolving, and unfavorable changes or failure by us to comply with these regulations could substantially harm our business and results of operations.
- Failure to comply with existing, expanding or newly enacted U.S. federal, state and international privacy laws and regulations, could adversely affect our business.
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.
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Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 29, 2026 at 17:36 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt