Herc Holdings Inc. (HRI) Stock Price & Analysis
Herc Holdings Inc. (HRI) closed at USD 173.95 on Thursday, October 29, 2026, up 4.68% on the day. The US market is currently closed; this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 166.17; the Oct 29, 2026 session ranged USD 166–174.42 on volume of 946,839 shares. Market capitalization is $5.82B, with a 52-week range of USD 88.45–188.35 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 30, 2026 at 00:25 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/HRI.md
Key facts (HRI)
- Last four reported quarters (through Sep 30, 2026): revenue $4.92B, net income $123M (2.5% margin), free cash flow $1.13B (SEC filings).
- Valuation: P/E 47.3x (avg 1565.7x at the last 3 fiscal year-ends), net debt $7.96B.
- 3 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold HRI (13F, Q2 2026): 0 new, 1 added, 0 reduced, 2 unchanged.
- Insider open-market purchases, last ~7 months: 1 Form 4 filing, $503K; 0 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders.
- Analysts: Buy (mean 2.27 on a 1–5 scale) (11 analysts), mean target USD 199.25 (range 145–240).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +23.4% vs S&P 500 +14.8%; 5Y +4.6% vs S&P 500 +79.1%.
- Latest earnings report: 2026-10-27 (next date not yet announced).
- Dividend: USD 2.8 a year (yield 1.69%), paid quarterly; latest ex-dividend date 2026-09-02; annual dividends grew 6.8% a year 2022–2025.
- Short interest: 11.76% of float (as of 2026-10-15), 3.5 days to cover.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (HRI)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.07B | $2.74B | $3.28B | $3.57B | $4.38B | $4.92B |
| Net income | $224M | $330M | $347M | $211M | $1.0M | $123M |
| EPS (diluted) | $7.37 | $10.92 | $12.09 | $7.40 | $0.03 | — |
| Free cash flow | $696M | $813M | $930M | $1.06B | $928M | $1.13B |
| Net margin | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 5.9% | 0.0% | 2.5% |
| Revenue growth | +16.4% | +32.2% | +19.8% | +8.7% | +22.6% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $35.1M | $54.0M | $71.0M | $83.0M | $52.0M | — |
| Total debt | $1.93B | $2.93B | $3.69B | $4.09B | $8.05B | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Sep 30, 2026) (HRI)
P/E 47.3x · P/S 1.2x · EV/Sales 2.8x · P/FCF 5.2x · P/B 2.9x · FCF yield 19.33% · Earnings yield 2.11% · Dividend yield (paid, TTM) 1.61% · Net debt $7.96B · EV $13.8B
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 4659.1x, Dec 2024 25.6x, Dec 2023 12.3x.
Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026) (HRI)
3 of 80 tracked investors hold HRI. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| First Eagle Investment | First Eagle Investment Management | 0.04% | $22.3M | Added +56.8% |
| Thomas Russo | Gardner Russo & Quinn | 0.01% | $925K | Unchanged |
| Bill Nygren | Oakmark Funds | <0.01% | $644K | Unchanged |
Insider purchases (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (HRI)
1 purchase, $503K. Private placements, offerings, dividend reinvestment and employee stock purchase plan buys are excluded.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | Avg price | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Olsson Erik | Director | 3,085 | $503K | 163 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.
Analysts (HRI)
Consensus Buy (mean 2.27 on a 1–5 scale), 11 analysts; mean target USD 199.25 (low 145, high 240).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | Barclays | Target raised | Overweight | $175 → $200 |
| 2026-10-28 | Citigroup | Target raised | Buy | $150 → $180 |
| 2026-10-28 | JP Morgan | Target raised | Overweight | $165 → $230 |
| 2026-10-28 | BNP Paribas | Target raised | Neutral | $165 → $176 |
| 2026-10-28 | Wells Fargo | Target raised | Overweight | $176 → $200 |
| 2026-10-28 | Baird | Target raised | Outperform | $220 → $240 |
| 2026-10-12 | Citigroup | Target lowered | Buy | $175 → $150 |
| 2026-10-08 | Wells Fargo | Target lowered | Overweight | $218 → $176 |
| 2026-09-10 | JP Morgan | Upgrade | Neutral → Overweight | $165 → $175 |
| 2026-08-17 | Wells Fargo | Target raised | Overweight | $176 → $218 |
| 2026-07-29 | BNP Paribas | Target raised | Neutral | $160 → $165 |
| 2026-07-29 | Keybanc | Target raised | Overweight | $165 → $185 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (HRI)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-30) | 5Y (from 2021-10-25) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +23.4% | +4.6% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.8% | +79.1% |
| Per year | +23.5% | +0.9% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 60.7% | 52.7% |
| Max drawdown | -49.5% (Feb 2026→Apr 2026) | -59.9% (Nov 2024→Mar 2026) |
Dividends (HRI)
Annual dividend rate USD 2.80 per share, yield 1.69% at the current price. Paid over the last 12 months: USD 2.80 in 4 payments (quarterly).
Most recent ex-dividend date: Sep 2, 2026; payment date: Sep 16, 2026. To receive a dividend, shares must be owned before the ex-dividend date.
Latest change: raised 5.3% to USD 0.70 per payment from USD 0.665, starting with the Feb 18, 2025 ex-dividend date.
Payout ratio 75% of earnings · 5-year average yield 1.32% · annual dividends grew 6.8% a year from 2022 to 2025.
| Ex-dividend date | Amount per share |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | USD 0.70 |
| 2026-05-29 | USD 0.70 |
| 2026-02-18 | USD 0.70 |
| 2025-12-15 | USD 0.70 |
| 2025-08-22 | USD 0.70 |
| 2025-05-30 | USD 0.70 |
| 2025-02-18 | USD 0.70 |
| 2024-12-16 | USD 0.665 |
Total by calendar year: 2022 USD 2.30 · 2023 USD 2.532 · 2024 USD 2.66 · 2025 USD 2.80.
Short interest (HRI)
2,934,889 shares sold short, 11.76% of the float, as of Oct 15, 2026 (exchange short-interest report, published about twice a month). Prior report (Sep 15, 2026): 2,433,857 shares (+20.6%). Days to cover: 3.5 (short shares ÷ average daily volume).
HRI earnings history and stock reaction
| Results filed | Quarter | EPS | Consensus | Surprise | Stock reaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | Quarter ended Sep 30, 2026 | $3.91 | $2.92 | Beat +33.9% | — |
| — | Quarter ended Jun 30, 2026 | $1.43 | $0.73 | Beat +95.9% | — |
| — | Quarter ended Mar 31, 2026 | $0.21 | −$0.21 | Beat +$0.42 | — |
| — | Quarter ended Dec 31, 2025 | $2.07 | $1.87 | Beat +10.7% | — |
EPS as reported against the analyst consensus before the release; surprise uses the cent-rounded figures shown (in dollars when EPS and consensus have opposite signs). Stock reaction = close before the results to close after (the first close following a release after the bell or before the open).
HRI recent SEC filings (last 120 days)
| Filed | Form | What it says |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | 10-Q | Quarterly report · period ended Sep 30, 2026 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | 8-K | Quarterly results |
| Oct 26, 2026 | 8-K | Director or executive officer change, or pay arrangement “On October 23, 2026, the Board of Directors (the "Board") of Herc Holdings Inc. (the "Company") appointed Lawrence H. Silber, the Company's Chief Executive Officer since 2015, as Executive Chairman, effective as of January 1, 2027 ("Effective Date"). As part of a planned succession, the Board appointed Aaron Birnbaum, President of the Company, to succeed Mr. Silber as the Company's Chief Executive Officer, effective as of the Effective Date. Additionally, Michael A. Kelly, who currently serves as a director and…” |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Schedule 13G/A | BlackRock, Inc.: 14.0% of shares, passive 5%+ holder (amended) |
| Sep 3, 2026 | 8-K | Entered a material agreement “As previously disclosed, on September 17, 2018, Herc Rentals Inc. (together with its subsidiaries, the "Company"), as the servicer and performance guarantor, entered into a receivables financing agreement (as amended, the "RFA"), with Herc Receivables U.S. LLC, a special purpose vehicle wholly-owned by the Company (the "Receivables Subsidiary"), the lenders from time to time party thereto (the "Lenders"), and Credit Agricole Corporate and Investment Bank ("CACIB"), as Administrative Agent, pursuant to which the…” |
| Aug 19, 2026 | 8-K | Director or executive officer change, or pay arrangement “On August 18, 2026, the Board elected Erik Olsson to serve as a director on the Board, effective immediately. Mr. Olsson is the former Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer of Mobile Mini. Prior to Mobile Mini, Mr. Olsson served as President and Chief Executive Officer of RSC Holdings. The Board has determined that Mr. Olsson is an independent director under the New York Stock Exchange listing standards and the Company's Corporate Governance Guidelines. Mr. Olsson will serve as a member of…” |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Schedule 13G/A | Coliseum Capital Management, LLC, Coliseum Capital, LLC: 3.3% of shares, passive 5%+ holder (amended) |
| Jul 28, 2026 | 10-Q | Quarterly report · period ended Jun 30, 2026 |
| Jul 28, 2026 | 8-K | Quarterly results |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Schedule 13G/A | Invesco Ltd.: 0.1% of shares, passive 5%+ holder (amended) |
Source: SEC EDGAR. Quotes are the opening words of each item as filed; each form links to the filing. Insider Form 4 filings are listed in the insider sections.
Companies that name HRI in their SEC reports
| Relationship to HRI | Company | Filing | Sentence |
|---|---|---|---|
| partner | HERTZ GLOBAL HOLDINGS, INC (HTZ) | 10-K Feb 26, 2026 | “In connection with the separation of the car rental business in 2016, the Company executed an agreement with Herc Holdings Inc. that contains mutual indemnification clauses and a customary indemnification provision with respect to liability arising out of, or resulting” |
HRI company outlook (results filed Oct 27, 2026)
- “As a result, we are raising our full-year 2026 revenue, adjusted EBITDA and capex guidance for the second time this year," Silber added. "Our ability to serve these complex projects and deliver for our customers reflects our increased scale and ongoing technological innovation, as well as the hard work, expertise and dedication of Team Herc.”
Quoted word-for-word from the SEC 8-K results press release.
HRI analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $2.96 | $2.35 | +25.9% | $1.36B | 9 |
| Next quarter (ends Mar 2027) | $2.06 | $0.81 | +153.7% | $1.29B | 6 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $8.81 | $7.50 | +17.5% | $5.40B | 10 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $11.70 | $10.11 | +15.8% | $5.51B | 11 |
Key Statistics (as of October 30, 2026 at 00:25 UTC)
| Price | USD 173.95 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▲ 4.68% (up) |
| Previous Close | USD 166.17 |
| Open | USD 167.01 |
| Day Range | USD 166 – 174.42 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 88.45 – 188.35 |
| Volume | 946,839 shares |
| Market Cap | $5.82B |
| Exchange | NYQ |
Technical Analysis (HRI)
Nexqual's technical model rates HRI "BUY" based on 5 bullish and 3 bearish signals across 126 daily candles, as of October 30, 2026 at 00:25 UTC.
| Overall Signal | BUY |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 71.43 (overbought) |
| vs SMA50 | Above (USD 139.06) |
| MACD | 2.23 (positive) |
Analyst Ratings (HRI)
Wall Street analysts rate HRI "Buy" based on 11 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 199.25 (range USD 145–240), per Nexqual as of October 30, 2026 at 00:25 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Buy |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 11 |
| Mean Target | USD 199.25 |
| High Target | USD 240 |
| Low Target | USD 145 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 8 / 2 / 1 |
Earnings (HRI)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-10-27 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 2.96 |
| Revenue Estimate | $1.36B |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | USD 3.91 vs est 2.92 ▲ beat |
| 2026-06-30 | USD 1.43 vs est 0.73 ▲ beat |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 0.21 vs est -0.21 ▲ beat |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 2.07 vs est 1.87 ▲ beat |
Source: Nexqual, October 30, 2026 at 00:25 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (HRI)
| Total Revenue | $4.92B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +4.60% |
| Gross Margin | +32.67% |
| Operating Margin | +18.18% |
| Profit Margin | +2.50% |
| ROE | +6.29% |
| Debt / Equity | 4.85 |
| Current Ratio | 1.08 |
| Total Cash | $66.00M |
| Total Debt | $9.63B |
| Free Cash Flow (last four quarters to Sep 2026, SEC 10-Q / 10-K) | $1.13B (22.9% of revenue) |
Source: Nexqual, October 30, 2026 at 00:25 UTC.
Financial Health Score (HRI)
Nexqual rates Herc Holdings Inc.'s overall financial health "Mixed" across five dimensions, as of October 30, 2026 at 00:25 UTC.
| Growth | Strong — Revenue +23% YoY (annual) |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Solid — Gross margin 33%, operating 18% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Critical — $66M cash and investments vs $8.03B debt (Sep 2026, SEC) |
| Cash Flow | Strong — FCF $1.13B (last 4 quarters to Sep 2026, SEC), 23% margin |
| Efficiency | Mixed — ROE 6%, ROA 0.9% (last 4 quarters, SEC) |
Ownership (HRI)
| Insider Ownership | +2.18% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +106.63% |
| Shares Outstanding | 33.46M |
| Float | 30.64M |
| Short % of Float | +11.76% |
Source: Nexqual, October 30, 2026 at 00:25 UTC.
Leadership (HRI)
Herc Holdings Inc. is led by Lawrence H. Silber, CEO & Director, per Nexqual as of October 30, 2026 at 00:25 UTC.
| CEO & Director | Lawrence H. Silber |
|---|---|
| President | Aaron D. Birnbaum |
| Senior VP & CFO | W. Mark Humphrey |
| Senior Vice President of Investor Relations, Communications & Sustainability | Leslie Hunziker |
Major Backers & Investors (HRI)
Notable institutional backers of Herc Holdings Inc. include FMR, LLC, Fidelity, NORGES BANK, according to Nexqual as of October 30, 2026 at 00:25 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| FMR, LLC | 14.95% |
| Fidelity | 6.44% |
| NORGES BANK | 6.33% |
| First Trust Advisors LP | 3.92% |
| Coliseum Capital Management, Llc | 3.34% |
| First TRT Exch-Trd Fd. VI-First TRT RBA American Industrial Renaissanc | 3.12% |
| Gamco Investors, Inc ET AL | 2.92% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| Vanguard Group | 9.24% |
| BlackRock | 8.57% |
| Dimensional Fund Advisors | 3.98% |
Source: Nexqual, October 30, 2026 at 00:25 UTC.
From Herc Holdings Inc.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-02-17)
Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)
- Our competitive strengths include the following: A Market Leader in North America with Significant Scale and Broad Footprint—We believe we are one of the largest equipment rental companies in the North American equipment rental industry, with an estimated 4% market share by revenue and 602 locations in 46 states in the United States and five provinces in Canada.
- In 2025, we accelerated the growth of our footprint with the acquisition of H&E Equipment Services, Inc. ("H&E"), adding approximately 160 locations, over 2,500 team members and rental equipment primarily consisting of high-quality general rental categories including aerial, earthmoving, and material handling equipment.
- Our extensive and high-quality rental fleet enables us to serve a diverse customer base that requires large quantities and/or varied types of equipment for rent.
- Focusing on urban markets allows us to reach diverse end markets and provides a broad customer base.
Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)
- We are exposed to a variety of claims and losses arising from our operations, and our insurance may not cover all or any portion of such claims.
- Environmental, health, and safety laws and regulations and the costs of complying with them, or any change to them impacting our markets, could materially adversely affect our financial position, results of operations and cash flows.
- Climate change and legal or regulatory responses thereto may have a long-term negative impact on our business and results of operations.
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| GATX | GATX Corporation | USD 180.47 | ▲ 6.87% |
| EQPT | EquipmentShare.com Inc | USD 18.18 | ▲ 1.39% |
| CAR | Avis Budget Group, Inc. | USD 108.16 | ▲ 6.31% |
| WSC | WillScot Holdings Corporation | USD 18.57 | ▲ 3.28% |
| R | Ryder System, Inc. | USD 280.68 | ▲ 1.84% |
| UHAL | U-Haul Holding Company | USD 56.8 | ▲ 2.99% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 30, 2026 at 00:25 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt