Keel Infrastructure Corp. (KEEL) Stock Price & Analysis

Keel Infrastructure Corp. (KEEL) closed at USD 2.31 on Thursday, October 29, 2026, down 4.94% on the day. The US market is currently closed (after-hours); this is not a live price.

The prior close was USD 2.43; the Oct 29, 2026 session ranged USD 2.25–2.38 on volume of 20,142,083 shares. Market capitalization is $1.43B, with a 52-week range of USD 1.68–7.37 (NGM). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 29, 2026 at 22:51 UTC.

Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/KEEL.md

Key facts (KEEL)

Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (KEEL)

USDFY2023FY2024FY2025TTM
Revenue$120M$133M$229M$176M
Gross profit-$23.7M-$15.9M-$18.9M—
Operating income-$50.0M-$28.0M-$150M-$263M
Net income-$55.5M-$28.4M-$285M-$271M
EPS (diluted)-$0.21-$0.07-$0.52—
Free cash flow-$155M-$429M-$327M-$327M
Gross margin-19.7%-11.9%-8.2%—
Operating margin-41.5%-21.0%-65.2%-149.6%
Net margin-46.1%-21.3%-124.1%-154.2%
Revenue growth—+10.7%+72.0%—
Cash + short-term investments$84.0M$59.5M$631M—
Total debt$4.0M$1.6M$669M—

Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.

Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (KEEL)

P/S 8.1x · P/B 4.3x · FCF yield -22.91% · Earnings yield -19.02%

Insider purchases (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (KEEL)

4 purchases, $526K. Private placements, offerings, dividend reinvestment and employee stock purchase plan buys are excluded.

Trade dateInsiderRoleSharesValueAvg priceInsider type
2026-08-21Gagnon BenjaminChief Executive Officer38,888$129K3.33Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025)
2026-08-20Wilson Liam DanielChief Operating Officer30,769$100K3.25Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025)
2026-08-17Wilson Liam DanielChief Operating Officer26,472$100K3.78Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025)
2026-08-13Gagnon BenjaminChief Executive Officer58,888$196K3.33Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025)

Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.

Analysts (KEEL)

Consensus Buy (mean 2.00 on a 1–5 scale), 11 analysts; mean target USD 6.23 (low 4, high 10).

Rating changes, last 120 days:

DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
2026-10-16Cantor FitzgeraldTarget loweredOverweight$5 → $4
2026-07-22BTIGInitiatedBuy$8

Total return (dividends reinvested) (KEEL)

1Y (from 2025-10-30)5Y (from 2021-10-25)
Total return-43.1%-54.9%
S&P 500 (SPY)+14.4%+79.1%
Per year-43.2%-14.7%
Volatility (annualized)102.0%104.0%
Max drawdown-67.4% (Jun 2026→Oct 2026)-95.2% (Nov 2021→Dec 2022)

Dividends (KEEL)

KEEL paid no cash dividend in the last five years.

Short interest (KEEL)

115,503,749 shares sold short, 19.03% of the float, as of Oct 15, 2026 (exchange short-interest report, published about twice a month). Prior report (Sep 15, 2026): 109,865,632 shares (+5.1%). Days to cover: 3.8 (short shares ÷ average daily volume).

KEEL earnings history and stock reaction

Results filedQuarterEPSConsensusSurpriseStock reaction
Aug 10, 2026Quarter ended Jun 30, 2026−$0.19−$0.07Miss −171.4%-15.2%
May 11, 2026Quarter ended Mar 31, 2026−$0.09−$0.04Miss −$0.05+2.5%

EPS as reported against the analyst consensus before the release; surprise uses the cent-rounded figures shown (in dollars when EPS and consensus have opposite signs). Stock reaction = close before the results to close after (the first close following a release after the bell or before the open).

KEEL recent SEC filings (last 120 days)

FiledFormWhat it says
Aug 10, 202610-QQuarterly report · period ended Jun 30, 2026
Aug 10, 20268-KQuarterly results
Jul 29, 2026Schedule 13GBlackRock, Inc.: 8.4% of shares, passive 5%+ holder
Jul 6, 20268-KDirector or executive officer change, or pay arrangement; Regulation FD disclosure
“On July 5, 2026, Keel Infrastructure Corp. (the "Company") appointed Ganesh Aiyer, age 55, as President, effective July 6, 2026. Mr. Aiyer will report directly to the Company's Chief Executive Officer. Mr. Aiyer most recently served as Chief Business Officer at Digital Realty Trust, one of the largest data center REITs in the world that owns and operates over 300 data centers across 25 countries, since 2019. At Digital Realty, Mr. Aiyer led global commercial strategy and business operations spanning hyperscale,…”

Source: SEC EDGAR. Quotes are the opening words of each item as filed; each form links to the filing. Insider Form 4 filings are listed in the insider sections.

KEEL revenue by product line (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)

LineRevenueShare of totalYoY
Bitcoin Mining$25.9M85.0%-53.3%
Energy sales$2.4M7.8%-19.1%
Electrical services$2.0M6.6%+99.4%
Cryptocurrency Hosting$179,0000.6%-88.3%
Total revenue$30.4M100%—

KEEL revenue by region (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)

LineRevenueShare of totalYoY
Canada$19.1M62.7%-35.7%
United States$11.4M37.3%-63.7%
Total revenue$30.4M100%—

As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).

KEEL suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 10-K)

RelationshipCompanySentence in the filing
SupplierMining“enter into contracts with a limited number of third-party suppliers in connection with our Mining operations and our transition to HPC”
PartnerVertiv (VRT)“committed $129 million for critical equipment and building materials through a turnkey agreement with Vertiv.”
PartnerCustomized Energy Solutions“Merchant Market under a professional services agreement with Customized Energy Solutions, Ltd. To support our co-located data centers,”

Quoted from the company's 10-K filed Mar 31, 2026.

KEEL company outlook (results filed Aug 10, 2026)

Quoted word-for-word from the SEC 8-K results press release.

KEEL analyst estimates and revisions

PeriodEPS estimate90 days agoChangeRevenue estimateAnalysts
Current quarter (ends Sep 2026)$-0.12$-0.06−$0.06$20.0M4
Next quarter (ends Dec 2026)$-0.11$-0.06−$0.05$17.9M4
Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026)$-0.56$-0.17−$0.39$106.0M2
Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027)$-0.40$-0.15−$0.25$84.6M4

KEEL options: expected move

Options price a move of about ±18.4% (±$0.41) by Nov 6, 2026, which includes earnings on Nov 5, 2026. Over the last 2 reports the stock moved ±8.9% on average.

ExpirationDaysATM implied volatilityExpected move
Oct 30, 20261173.4%±11.7%
Nov 6, 20268124.6%±18.4%
Nov 13, 202615155.8%±26.9%
Nov 20, 202622111.5%±23.8%
Nov 27, 202629127.8%±30.0%
Dec 4, 202636108.3%±28.5%
Dec 11, 202643276.8%±70.0%
Dec 18, 20265098.9%±30.5%

30-day implied volatility 106.4% vs 75.7% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0.13. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.

Key Statistics (as of October 29, 2026 at 22:51 UTC)

PriceUSD 2.31
Change▼ 4.94% (down)
Previous CloseUSD 2.43
OpenUSD 2.35
Day RangeUSD 2.25 – 2.38
52-Week RangeUSD 1.68 – 7.37
Volume20,142,083 shares
Market Cap$1.43B
ExchangeNGM

Technical Analysis (KEEL)

Nexqual's technical model rates KEEL "STRONG SELL" based on 0 bullish and 5 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 29, 2026 at 22:51 UTC.

Overall SignalSTRONG SELL
RSI (14)35.59 (neutral)
vs SMA50Below (USD 3.2)
MACD-0.32 (negative)

Analyst Ratings (KEEL)

Wall Street analysts rate KEEL "Buy" based on 11 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 6.23 (range USD 4–10), per Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 22:51 UTC.

Consensus RatingBuy
Analyst Count11
Mean TargetUSD 6.23
High TargetUSD 10
Low TargetUSD 4
Buy / Hold / Sell10 / 1 / 0

Earnings (KEEL)

Next Earnings Date2026-11-05
EPS EstimateUSD -0.12
Revenue Estimate$19.96M

Recent Earnings History

QuarterActual vs Estimate
2026-06-30USD -0.19 vs est -0.07 ▼ miss
2026-03-31USD -0.09 vs est -0.04 ▼ miss
2025-12-31USD -0.11 vs est -0.02 ▼ miss
2025-09-30USD -0.15 vs est -0.02 ▼ miss

Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 22:51 UTC.

Financials & Fundamentals (KEEL)

Total Revenue$188.14M
Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY)-50.00%
Gross Margin-32.26%
Operating Margin-180.98%
Profit Margin-230.59%
ROE-75.64%
Debt / Equity3.16
Current Ratio16.26
Total Cash$715.52M
Total Debt$1.04B

Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 22:51 UTC.

Financial Health Score (KEEL)

Nexqual rates Keel Infrastructure Corp.'s overall financial health "Weak" across five dimensions, as of October 29, 2026 at 22:51 UTC.

GrowthStrong — Revenue +19% YoY (annual)
ProfitabilityCritical — Net margin -154% (last 4 quarters to Jun 2026, SEC); banks have no gross margin
Balance SheetN/A — Not comparable for banks: deposits and customer funds sit on the balance sheet, so cash vs debt does not measure safety (SEC industry: Finance Services)
Cash FlowN/A — Not meaningful for banks and lenders: lending and trading move operating cash flow by billions each year (SEC industry: Finance Services)
EfficiencyCritical — ROE -83%, ROA -19.2% (last 4 quarters, SEC)

Ownership (KEEL)

Insider Ownership+4.57%
Institutional Ownership+67.01%
Shares Outstanding617.57M
Float590.38M
Short % of Float+19.03%

Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 22:51 UTC.

Leadership (KEEL)

Keel Infrastructure Corp. is led by Benjamin J. Gagnon, Chief Executive Officer, per Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 22:51 UTC.

Chief Executive OfficerBenjamin J. Gagnon
PresidentGanesh Aiyer

Major Backers & Investors (KEEL)

Notable institutional backers of Keel Infrastructure Corp. include Situational Awareness LP , Monarch Alternative Capital, LP, Jane Street Group, LLC, according to Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 22:51 UTC.

Active Investors

InvestorStake
Situational Awareness LP 4.28%
Monarch Alternative Capital, LP4.26%
Jane Street Group, LLC3.75%
Morgan Stanley2.05%
Invesco1.88%
Fidelity1.46%

Index Funds (Passive)

FundStake
BlackRock7.12%
Vanguard Group4.36%
Geode Capital2.53%
State Street2.2%

Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 22:51 UTC.

From Keel Infrastructure Corp.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-03-31)

Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)

Partnerships

Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.

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Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 29, 2026 at 22:51 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.

For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt