Keel Infrastructure Corp. (KEEL) Stock Price & Analysis
Keel Infrastructure Corp. (KEEL) closed at USD 2.31 on Thursday, October 29, 2026, down 4.94% on the day. The US market is currently closed (after-hours); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 2.43; the Oct 29, 2026 session ranged USD 2.25–2.38 on volume of 20,142,083 shares. Market capitalization is $1.43B, with a 52-week range of USD 1.68–7.37 (NGM). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 29, 2026 at 22:51 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/KEEL.md
Key facts (KEEL)
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 30, 2026): revenue $176M, net income -$271M (-154.2% margin) (SEC filings).
- Insider open-market purchases, last ~7 months: 4 Form 4 filings, $526K; 0 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders.
- Analysts: Buy (mean 2.00 on a 1–5 scale) (11 analysts), mean target USD 6.23 (range 4–10).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y -43.1% vs S&P 500 +14.4%; 5Y -54.9% vs S&P 500 +79.1%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-05, EPS estimate USD -0.12, revenue estimate $20.0M. All companies reporting that day: https://nexqual.com/earnings/2026-11-05
- Dividend: KEEL paid no cash dividend in the last five years.
- Short interest: 19.03% of float (as of 2026-10-15), 3.8 days to cover.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (KEEL)
| USD | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $120M | $133M | $229M | $176M |
| Gross profit | -$23.7M | -$15.9M | -$18.9M | — |
| Operating income | -$50.0M | -$28.0M | -$150M | -$263M |
| Net income | -$55.5M | -$28.4M | -$285M | -$271M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$0.21 | -$0.07 | -$0.52 | — |
| Free cash flow | -$155M | -$429M | -$327M | -$327M |
| Gross margin | -19.7% | -11.9% | -8.2% | — |
| Operating margin | -41.5% | -21.0% | -65.2% | -149.6% |
| Net margin | -46.1% | -21.3% | -124.1% | -154.2% |
| Revenue growth | — | +10.7% | +72.0% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $84.0M | $59.5M | $631M | — |
| Total debt | $4.0M | $1.6M | $669M | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (KEEL)
P/S 8.1x · P/B 4.3x · FCF yield -22.91% · Earnings yield -19.02%
Insider purchases (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (KEEL)
4 purchases, $526K. Private placements, offerings, dividend reinvestment and employee stock purchase plan buys are excluded.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | Avg price | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Gagnon Benjamin | Chief Executive Officer | 38,888 | $129K | 3.33 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-08-20 | Wilson Liam Daniel | Chief Operating Officer | 30,769 | $100K | 3.25 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-08-17 | Wilson Liam Daniel | Chief Operating Officer | 26,472 | $100K | 3.78 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-08-13 | Gagnon Benjamin | Chief Executive Officer | 58,888 | $196K | 3.33 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.
Analysts (KEEL)
Consensus Buy (mean 2.00 on a 1–5 scale), 11 analysts; mean target USD 6.23 (low 4, high 10).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Target lowered | Overweight | $5 → $4 |
| 2026-07-22 | BTIG | Initiated | Buy | $8 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (KEEL)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-30) | 5Y (from 2021-10-25) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | -43.1% | -54.9% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.4% | +79.1% |
| Per year | -43.2% | -14.7% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 102.0% | 104.0% |
| Max drawdown | -67.4% (Jun 2026→Oct 2026) | -95.2% (Nov 2021→Dec 2022) |
Dividends (KEEL)
KEEL paid no cash dividend in the last five years.
Short interest (KEEL)
115,503,749 shares sold short, 19.03% of the float, as of Oct 15, 2026 (exchange short-interest report, published about twice a month). Prior report (Sep 15, 2026): 109,865,632 shares (+5.1%). Days to cover: 3.8 (short shares ÷ average daily volume).
KEEL earnings history and stock reaction
| Results filed | Quarter | EPS | Consensus | Surprise | Stock reaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2026 | Quarter ended Jun 30, 2026 | −$0.19 | −$0.07 | Miss −171.4% | -15.2% |
| May 11, 2026 | Quarter ended Mar 31, 2026 | −$0.09 | −$0.04 | Miss −$0.05 | +2.5% |
EPS as reported against the analyst consensus before the release; surprise uses the cent-rounded figures shown (in dollars when EPS and consensus have opposite signs). Stock reaction = close before the results to close after (the first close following a release after the bell or before the open).
KEEL recent SEC filings (last 120 days)
| Filed | Form | What it says |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2026 | 10-Q | Quarterly report · period ended Jun 30, 2026 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | 8-K | Quarterly results |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Schedule 13G | BlackRock, Inc.: 8.4% of shares, passive 5%+ holder |
| Jul 6, 2026 | 8-K | Director or executive officer change, or pay arrangement; Regulation FD disclosure “On July 5, 2026, Keel Infrastructure Corp. (the "Company") appointed Ganesh Aiyer, age 55, as President, effective July 6, 2026. Mr. Aiyer will report directly to the Company's Chief Executive Officer. Mr. Aiyer most recently served as Chief Business Officer at Digital Realty Trust, one of the largest data center REITs in the world that owns and operates over 300 data centers across 25 countries, since 2019. At Digital Realty, Mr. Aiyer led global commercial strategy and business operations spanning hyperscale,…” |
Source: SEC EDGAR. Quotes are the opening words of each item as filed; each form links to the filing. Insider Form 4 filings are listed in the insider sections.
KEEL revenue by product line (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Mining | $25.9M | 85.0% | -53.3% |
| Energy sales | $2.4M | 7.8% | -19.1% |
| Electrical services | $2.0M | 6.6% | +99.4% |
| Cryptocurrency Hosting | $179,000 | 0.6% | -88.3% |
| Total revenue | $30.4M | 100% | — |
KEEL revenue by region (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Canada | $19.1M | 62.7% | -35.7% |
| United States | $11.4M | 37.3% | -63.7% |
| Total revenue | $30.4M | 100% | — |
As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).
KEEL suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 10-K)
| Relationship | Company | Sentence in the filing |
|---|---|---|
| Supplier | Mining | “enter into contracts with a limited number of third-party suppliers in connection with our Mining operations and our transition to HPC” |
| Partner | Vertiv (VRT) | “committed $129 million for critical equipment and building materials through a turnkey agreement with Vertiv.” |
| Partner | Customized Energy Solutions | “Merchant Market under a professional services agreement with Customized Energy Solutions, Ltd. To support our co-located data centers,” |
Quoted from the company's 10-K filed Mar 31, 2026.
KEEL company outlook (results filed Aug 10, 2026)
- “Bitcoin mining operations in preparation for HPC site construction. • Advanced the Sherbrooke, QC data center project with an agreement with Hydro-Sherbrooke for the conditional transfer and operation of 96 MW of existing capacity, as well as a purchase agreement for a parcel of land on which to develop the data center.”
Quoted word-for-word from the SEC 8-K results press release.
KEEL analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $-0.12 | $-0.06 | −$0.06 | $20.0M | 4 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $-0.11 | $-0.06 | −$0.05 | $17.9M | 4 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $-0.56 | $-0.17 | −$0.39 | $106.0M | 2 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $-0.40 | $-0.15 | −$0.25 | $84.6M | 4 |
KEEL options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±18.4% (±$0.41) by Nov 6, 2026, which includes earnings on Nov 5, 2026. Over the last 2 reports the stock moved ±8.9% on average.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | 1 | 173.4% | ±11.7% |
| Nov 6, 2026 | 8 | 124.6% | ±18.4% |
| Nov 13, 2026 | 15 | 155.8% | ±26.9% |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 22 | 111.5% | ±23.8% |
| Nov 27, 2026 | 29 | 127.8% | ±30.0% |
| Dec 4, 2026 | 36 | 108.3% | ±28.5% |
| Dec 11, 2026 | 43 | 276.8% | ±70.0% |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 50 | 98.9% | ±30.5% |
30-day implied volatility 106.4% vs 75.7% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0.13. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 29, 2026 at 22:51 UTC)
| Price | USD 2.31 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▼ 4.94% (down) |
| Previous Close | USD 2.43 |
| Open | USD 2.35 |
| Day Range | USD 2.25 – 2.38 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 1.68 – 7.37 |
| Volume | 20,142,083 shares |
| Market Cap | $1.43B |
| Exchange | NGM |
Technical Analysis (KEEL)
Nexqual's technical model rates KEEL "STRONG SELL" based on 0 bullish and 5 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 29, 2026 at 22:51 UTC.
| Overall Signal | STRONG SELL |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 35.59 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Below (USD 3.2) |
| MACD | -0.32 (negative) |
Analyst Ratings (KEEL)
Wall Street analysts rate KEEL "Buy" based on 11 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 6.23 (range USD 4–10), per Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 22:51 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Buy |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 11 |
| Mean Target | USD 6.23 |
| High Target | USD 10 |
| Low Target | USD 4 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 10 / 1 / 0 |
Earnings (KEEL)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-11-05 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD -0.12 |
| Revenue Estimate | $19.96M |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD -0.19 vs est -0.07 ▼ miss |
| 2026-03-31 | USD -0.09 vs est -0.04 ▼ miss |
| 2025-12-31 | USD -0.11 vs est -0.02 ▼ miss |
| 2025-09-30 | USD -0.15 vs est -0.02 ▼ miss |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 22:51 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (KEEL)
| Total Revenue | $188.14M |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | -50.00% |
| Gross Margin | -32.26% |
| Operating Margin | -180.98% |
| Profit Margin | -230.59% |
| ROE | -75.64% |
| Debt / Equity | 3.16 |
| Current Ratio | 16.26 |
| Total Cash | $715.52M |
| Total Debt | $1.04B |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 22:51 UTC.
Financial Health Score (KEEL)
Nexqual rates Keel Infrastructure Corp.'s overall financial health "Weak" across five dimensions, as of October 29, 2026 at 22:51 UTC.
| Growth | Strong — Revenue +19% YoY (annual) |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Critical — Net margin -154% (last 4 quarters to Jun 2026, SEC); banks have no gross margin |
| Balance Sheet | N/A — Not comparable for banks: deposits and customer funds sit on the balance sheet, so cash vs debt does not measure safety (SEC industry: Finance Services) |
| Cash Flow | N/A — Not meaningful for banks and lenders: lending and trading move operating cash flow by billions each year (SEC industry: Finance Services) |
| Efficiency | Critical — ROE -83%, ROA -19.2% (last 4 quarters, SEC) |
Ownership (KEEL)
| Insider Ownership | +4.57% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +67.01% |
| Shares Outstanding | 617.57M |
| Float | 590.38M |
| Short % of Float | +19.03% |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 22:51 UTC.
Leadership (KEEL)
Keel Infrastructure Corp. is led by Benjamin J. Gagnon, Chief Executive Officer, per Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 22:51 UTC.
| Chief Executive Officer | Benjamin J. Gagnon |
|---|---|
| President | Ganesh Aiyer |
Major Backers & Investors (KEEL)
Notable institutional backers of Keel Infrastructure Corp. include Situational Awareness LP , Monarch Alternative Capital, LP, Jane Street Group, LLC, according to Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 22:51 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| Situational Awareness LP | 4.28% |
| Monarch Alternative Capital, LP | 4.26% |
| Jane Street Group, LLC | 3.75% |
| Morgan Stanley | 2.05% |
| Invesco | 1.88% |
| Fidelity | 1.46% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| BlackRock | 7.12% |
| Vanguard Group | 4.36% |
| Geode Capital | 2.53% |
| State Street | 2.2% |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 22:51 UTC.
From Keel Infrastructure Corp.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-03-31)
Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)
- We operate in a complex and rapidly evolving regulatory environment and we are subject to a wide range of laws and regulations enacted by federal, state, provincial, and local governments, governmental agencies, and regulatory authorities, including the SEC, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission ("CFTC"), the Federal Trade Commission, and the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network of the U.S.
- Currently our Infrastructure Assets are deployed to operate ASIC miners, contributing hashrate to Mining Pools under Full Pay Per Share ("FPPS") arrangements, with fees paid daily in Bitcoin.
- Our Infrastructure Assets represent a 2.2 GW power capacity pipeline, comprising 648 MW of secured capacity and 1,513 MW of planned capacity in development, located across our U.S.
- Currently, our Infrastructure Assets are deployed to support our Bitcoin Mining activities.
Partnerships
- We have committed $129 million for critical equipment and building materials through a turnkey agreement with Vertiv.
- The Macquarie Credit Facility provided up to $300 million for HPC data center development at Panther Creek, secured by Panther Creek assets.
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.
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Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 29, 2026 at 22:51 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt