TPG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc. (MITT) Stock Price & Analysis
TPG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc. (MITT) is trading at USD 5.42, down 0.82% today, as of October 23, 2026 at 16:39 UTC (US market open; quotes may be delayed), according to Nexqual market data.
MITT last closed at USD 5.46; today's session has ranged USD 5.38–5.44 on volume of 66,154 shares. Market capitalization is $172.22M, with a 52-week range of USD 5.2–9.27 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 16:40 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/MITT.md
Key facts (MITT)
- Valuation: P/E 3.9x (avg 3.8x at the last 3 fiscal year-ends).
- Analysts: Buy (mean 1.83 on a 1–5 scale) (6 analysts), mean target USD 8.58 (range 7.75–10.25).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y -16.9% vs S&P 500 +14.6%; 5Y -14.6% vs S&P 500 +77.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-03, EPS estimate USD 0.27, revenue estimate $21.5M.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (MITT)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net income | $104M | -$53.1M | $53.8M | $55.7M | $48.7M | $44.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | $5.29 | -$3.12 | $1.68 | $1.23 | $0.90 | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $68.1M | $84.6M | $112M | $119M | $57.8M | — |
| Total debt | $1.78B | $621M | $85.3M | $0K | — | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (MITT)
P/E 3.9x · P/B 0.3x · Earnings yield 25.52% · Dividend yield (paid, TTM) 16.15%
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 5.4x, Dec 2024 3.5x, Dec 2023 2.5x.
Analysts (MITT)
Consensus Buy (mean 1.83 on a 1–5 scale), 6 analysts; mean target USD 8.58 (low 7.75, high 10.25).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Citizens | Target lowered | Market Outperform | $9.25 → $8.5 |
| 2026-10-09 | Piper Sandler | Target lowered | Overweight | $9 → $8 |
| 2026-08-10 | Jones Trading | Target lowered | Buy | $9 → $8 |
| 2026-07-02 | Piper Sandler | Target lowered | Overweight | $10 → $9.5 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (MITT)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-25) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | -16.9% | -14.6% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.6% | +77.3% |
| Per year | -17.0% | -3.1% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 29.2% | 36.6% |
| Max drawdown | -37.0% (Jan 2026→Oct 2026) | -67.4% (Nov 2021→Oct 2022) |
MITT suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 10-K)
| Relationship | Company | Sentence in the filing |
|---|---|---|
| Supplier | Arc Home | “We obtain our assets through Arc Home, LLC ("Arc Home"), our residential mortgage loan originator in which we own an approximate 66.0% interest, and through other third-party origination partners.” |
Quoted from the company's 10-K filed Feb 25, 2026.
Companies that name MITT in their SEC reports
| Relationship to MITT | Company | Filing | Sentence |
|---|---|---|---|
| partner | TPG Inc. (TPG) | 10-K Feb 17, 2026 | “TPG Asset Based Finance invests through a variety of vehicles including the Mortgage Value Partners Fund open-ended hedge fund, the Asset Based Credit closed-end fund series and evergreen vehicle, SMAs and TPG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc. (NYSE: MITT) ("MITT"), which is an externally managed, publicly traded residential mortgage real estate investment trust.” |
MITT analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $0.27 | $0.28 | -2.7% | $21.5M | 5 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $0.27 | $0.28 | -4.3% | $21.6M | 5 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $1.05 | $1.07 | -2.4% | $83.9M | 3 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $1.21 | $1.25 | -3.1% | $93.7M | 5 |
MITT options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±10.5% (±$0.58) by Nov 20, 2026, which includes earnings on Nov 3, 2026. Over the last 8 reports the stock moved ±5.6% on average.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2026 | 28 | 54.2% | ±10.5% |
| Feb 19, 2027 | 119 | 34.2% | ±17.9% |
| May 21, 2027 | 210 | 34.7% | ±21.5% |
30-day implied volatility 54.1% vs 30.4% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0.25. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 16:40 UTC)
| Price | USD 5.42 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▼ 0.82% (down) |
| Previous Close | USD 5.46 |
| Open | USD 5.4 |
| Day Range | USD 5.38 – 5.44 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 5.2 – 9.27 |
| Volume | 66,154 shares |
| Market Cap | $172.22M |
| Exchange | NYQ |
Technical Analysis (MITT)
Nexqual's technical model rates MITT "STRONG SELL" based on 0 bullish and 5 bearish signals across 128 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 16:40 UTC.
| Overall Signal | STRONG SELL |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 35.1 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Below (USD 6.17) |
| MACD | -0.25 (negative) |
Analyst Ratings (MITT)
Wall Street analysts rate MITT "Buy" based on 6 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 8.58 (range USD 7.75–10.25), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 16:40 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Buy |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 6 |
| Mean Target | USD 8.58 |
| High Target | USD 10.25 |
| Low Target | USD 7.75 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 5 / 1 / 0 |
Earnings (MITT)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-11-03 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 0.27 |
| Revenue Estimate | $21.50M |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 0.24 vs est 0.27 ▼ miss |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 0.26 vs est 0.25 ▲ beat |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 0.25 vs est 0.24 ▲ beat |
| 2025-09-30 | USD 0.23 vs est 0.2 ▲ beat |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 16:40 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (MITT)
| Total Revenue | $81.90M |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +53.70% |
| Gross Margin | +87.80% |
| Operating Margin | +80.03% |
| Profit Margin | +53.67% |
| ROE | +8.12% |
| Debt / Equity | 13.45 |
| Current Ratio | 8.85 |
| Total Cash | $61.79M |
| Total Debt | $7.34B |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 16:40 UTC.
Financial Health Score (MITT)
Nexqual rates TPG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc.'s overall financial health "Mixed" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 16:40 UTC.
| Growth | Strong — Revenue +16% YoY (annual) |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Strong — Gross margin 88%, operating 80% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Weak — $62M cash vs $7.34B debt |
| Cash Flow | Solid — Operating cash flow $60M (FY ended Dec 2025, 10-K) |
| Efficiency | Mixed — ROE 8%, ROA 0.6% |
Ownership (MITT)
| Insider Ownership | +3.64% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +41.64% |
| Shares Outstanding | 31.80M |
| Float | 30.72M |
| Short % of Float | +5.07% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 16:40 UTC.
Leadership (MITT)
TPG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc. is led by Thomas J. Durkin, President, CEO, Head of Structured Credit & Specialty Finance and Director, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 16:40 UTC.
| President, CEO, Head of Structured Credit & Specialty Finance and Director | Thomas J. Durkin |
|---|---|
| CFO, Treasurer & Principal Accounting Officer | Anthony W. Rossiello |
| Chief Investment Officer & Director | Nicholas Smith |
Major Backers & Investors (MITT)
Notable institutional backers of TPG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc. include Goldman Sachs, Fidelity, Prudential Financial, Inc., according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 16:40 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| Goldman Sachs | 2.19% |
| Fidelity | 1.65% |
| Prudential Financial, Inc. | 1.61% |
| Qube Research & Technologies Ltd | 1.29% |
| LSV Asset Management | 1% |
| UBS Group AG | 0.91% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| BlackRock | 8.23% |
| Vanguard Group | 4.14% |
| Geode Capital | 2.52% |
| State Street | 1.99% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 16:40 UTC.
From TPG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-02-25)
Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)
- We believe that we are organized in conformity with the requirements for qualification and taxation as a REIT under the Code, and that our manner of operation enables us to meet the requirements for qualification and taxation as a REIT.
Partnerships
- We are able to leverage our Manager, along with our ownership interest in Arc Home, a vertically integrated origination platform, to access investment opportunities in the non-agency residential mortgage loan market.
- In accordance with investment guidelines adopted by our Board of Directors, our Manager evaluates specific investment opportunities as well as our overall portfolio composition.
Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)
- Climate change, climate change-related initiatives and regulation and sustainability-related issues, may adversely affect our business and financial results and damage our reputation.
- The federal conservatorship of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and related efforts, along with any changes in laws and regulations affecting the relationship between these agencies and the U.S. government, may adversely affect our business.
- Our rights under our repurchase agreements may be subject to the effects of the bankruptcy laws in the event of the bankruptcy or insolvency of us or our lenders under the financing arrangements, which may allow our lenders to repudiate our financing arrangements.
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| KREF | KKR Real Estate Finance Trust I | USD 5.62 | ▼ 1.84% |
| RWT | Redwood Trust, Inc. | USD 3.14 | ▲ 0.48% |
| BRSP | BrightSpire Capital, Inc. | USD 3.61 | ▼ 1.1% |
| TRTX | TPG RE Finance Trust, Inc. | USD 6.23 | ▲ 0.08% |
| FBRT | Franklin BSP Realty Trust, Inc. | USD 6.17 | ▼ 1.36% |
| ABR | Arbor Realty Trust | USD 2.81 | ▼ 5.24% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 16:40 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
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