Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. (ABR) Stock Price & Analysis
Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. (ABR) closed at USD 2.96 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, up 2.07% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 2.9; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 2.86–3.04 on volume of 6,431,849 shares. Market capitalization is $600.08M, with a 52-week range of USD 2.53–11.95 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 10:12 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/ABR.md
Key facts (ABR)
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 30, 2026): revenue $479M, net income $59.0M (12.3% margin) (SEC filings).
- Valuation: P/E 10.2x (avg 9.5x at the last 3 fiscal year-ends), net debt $10.8B.
- 2 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold ABR (13F, Q2 2026): 0 new, 2 added, 0 reduced, 0 unchanged.
- Analysts: Sell (mean 3.80 on a 1–5 scale) (5 analysts), mean target USD 3.25 (range 3–3.5).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y -71.0% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y -73.3% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-10-30, EPS estimate USD 0.05, revenue estimate $48.6M.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (ABR)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $587M | $619M | $721M | $622M | $510M | $479M |
| Operating income | $424M | $371M | $428M | $297M | $177M | — |
| Net income | $378M | $354M | $401M | $284M | $158M | $59.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | $2.28 | $1.67 | $1.75 | $1.18 | $0.56 | — |
| Operating margin | 72.2% | 60.0% | 59.3% | 47.8% | 34.6% | — |
| Net margin | 64.3% | 57.2% | 55.6% | 45.6% | 30.9% | 12.3% |
| Revenue growth | +35.1% | +5.4% | +16.5% | -13.7% | -18.0% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $405M | $534M | $929M | $504M | $483M | — |
| Total debt | $12.1B | $280M | $12.0B | $9.96B | $11.1B | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (ABR)
P/E 10.2x · P/S 1.3x · EV/Sales 23.9x · P/B 0.2x · Earnings yield 9.83% · Dividend yield (paid, TTM) 44.38% · Buyback yield (TTM) 8.93% · Net debt $10.8B · EV $11.4B
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 10.3x, Dec 2024 10.0x, Dec 2023 8.3x.
Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026) (ABR)
2 of 80 tracked investors hold ABR. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Miller | Miller Value Partners | 0.78% | $3.3M | Added +1.2% |
| Leon Cooperman | Omega Family Office | 0.25% | $9.0M | Added +6.7% |
Analysts (ABR)
Consensus Sell (mean 3.80 on a 1–5 scale), 5 analysts; mean target USD 3.25 (low 3, high 3.5).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Target lowered | Underperform | $5 → $3 |
| 2026-10-09 | Piper Sandler | Target lowered | Underweight | $5 → $3.5 |
| 2026-09-29 | Citizens | Downgrade | Market Outperform → Market Perform | |
| 2026-08-03 | Piper Sandler | Target lowered | Underweight | $5.5 → $5 |
| 2026-08-03 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Target lowered | Underperform | $5.5 → $5 |
| 2026-07-17 | JP Morgan | Upgrade | Underweight → Neutral | $7 → $5.5 |
| 2026-07-02 | Piper Sandler | Target lowered | Underweight | $8 → $5.5 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (ABR)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | -71.0% | -73.3% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | -71.2% | -23.2% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 47.3% | 38.8% |
| Max drawdown | -75.0% (Oct 2025→Oct 2026) | -78.0% (Sep 2024→Oct 2026) |
ABR analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $0.05 | $0.08 | -42.5% | $48.6M | 5 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $0.05 | $0.11 | -56.6% | $48.1M | 5 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $0.23 | $0.28 | -16.7% | $209.6M | 4 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $0.45 | $0.61 | -26.4% | $217.7M | 5 |
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 10:12 UTC)
| Price | USD 2.96 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▲ 2.07% (up) |
| Previous Close | USD 2.9 |
| Open | USD 2.92 |
| Day Range | USD 2.86 – 3.04 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 2.53 – 11.95 |
| Volume | 6,431,849 shares |
| Market Cap | $600.08M |
| Exchange | NYQ |
Technical Analysis (ABR)
Nexqual's technical model rates ABR "SELL" based on 1 bullish and 5 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 10:12 UTC.
| Overall Signal | SELL |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 28.83 (oversold) |
| vs SMA50 | Below (USD 4.21) |
| MACD | -0.42 (negative) |
Analyst Ratings (ABR)
Wall Street analysts rate ABR "Sell" based on 5 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 3.25 (range USD 3–3.5), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 10:12 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Sell |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 5 |
| Mean Target | USD 3.25 |
| High Target | USD 3.5 |
| Low Target | USD 3 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 0 / 3 / 2 |
Earnings (ABR)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-10-30 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 0.05 |
| Revenue Estimate | $48.62M |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 0.1 vs est 0.03 ▲ beat |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 0.07 vs est 0.11 ▼ miss |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 0.19 vs est 0.16 ▲ beat |
| 2025-09-30 | USD 0.35 vs est 0.24 ▲ beat |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:12 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (ABR)
| Total Revenue | $498.07M |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | -24.80% |
| Gross Margin | +79.16% |
| Operating Margin | -12.73% |
| Profit Margin | +11.58% |
| ROE | +1.98% |
| Debt / Equity | 3.87 |
| Current Ratio | 2.1 |
| Total Cash | $289.12M |
| Total Debt | $11.14B |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:12 UTC.
Financial Health Score (ABR)
Nexqual rates Arbor Realty Trust, Inc.'s overall financial health "Weak" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 10:12 UTC.
| Growth | Critical — Revenue -34% YoY (annual), sharp decline |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Solid — Gross margin 79%, operating -13% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Weak — $288M cash and investments vs $11.1B debt (Jun 2026, SEC) |
| Cash Flow | Solid — Operating cash flow $372M (FY ended Dec 2025, 10-K) |
| Efficiency | Weak — ROE 2%, ROA 0.4% |
Ownership (ABR)
| Insider Ownership | +2.89% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +67.86% |
| Shares Outstanding | 186.56M |
| Float | 178.10M |
| Short % of Float | +26.70% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:12 UTC.
Leadership (ABR)
Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. is led by Ivan Paul Kaufman, Chairman, President & CEO, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 10:12 UTC.
| Chairman, President & CEO | Ivan Paul Kaufman |
|---|---|
| Executive VP & CFO | Paul Anthony Elenio |
| Executive Vice President of Servicing & Asset Management | Dennis van der Reis |
| COO & Executive VP | Yoni Goodman |
| Executive VP & CTO | Howard Leiner |
Major Backers & Investors (ABR)
Notable institutional backers of Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. include Coatue Management, Goldman Sachs, Invesco, according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 10:12 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| Coatue Management | 2.25% |
| Goldman Sachs | 1.93% |
| Invesco | 1.69% |
| Charles Schwab Investment Management, Inc. | 1.67% |
| UBS Group AG | 1.62% |
| Fidelity | 1.13% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| BlackRock | 14.19% |
| Vanguard Group | 9.78% |
| State Street | 4.18% |
| Geode Capital | 2.68% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:12 UTC.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| IVR | INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL INC | USD 5.52 | ▲ 1.85% |
| PMT | PennyMac Mortgage Investment Tr | USD 7.01 | ▲ 2.49% |
| MFA | MFA Financial, Inc. | USD 6.62 | ▲ 2.32% |
| FBRT | Franklin BSP Realty Trust, Inc. | USD 6.25 | ▲ 3.82% |
| ADAM | Adamas Trust, Inc. | USD 7.73 | ▲ 3.9% |
| CIM | Chimera Investment Corporation | USD 8.45 | ▲ 2.55% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 10:12 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt