Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) Stock Price & Analysis
Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) closed at USD 45.92 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, down 0.82% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 46.3; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 45.34–46.49 on volume of 4,833,450 shares. Market capitalization is $10.71B, with a 52-week range of USD 28.81–46.67 (NMS). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 09:51 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/MTCH.md
Key facts (MTCH)
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 30, 2026): revenue $3.51B, net income $708M (20.2% margin), free cash flow $1.14B (SEC filings).
- Valuation: P/E 15.1x (avg 15.6x at the last 3 fiscal year-ends), EV/EBITDA 13.1x, net debt $2.97B.
- Analysts: Hold (mean 2.50 on a 1–5 scale) (20 analysts), mean target USD 42.88 (range 35–53).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +43.4% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y -71.6% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-02, EPS estimate USD 1.01, revenue estimate $892M.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (MTCH)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.98B | $3.19B | $3.36B | $3.48B | $3.49B | $3.51B |
| Gross profit | $2.14B | $2.23B | $2.41B | $2.49B | $2.54B | — |
| Operating income | $852M | $515M | $917M | $823M | $873M | $988M |
| Net income | $277M | $360M | $651M | $551M | $613M | $708M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.93 | $1.24 | $2.26 | $2.02 | $2.38 | — |
| Free cash flow | $833M | $477M | $829M | $882M | $1.02B | $1.14B |
| Gross margin | 71.9% | 69.9% | 71.6% | 71.5% | 72.8% | — |
| Operating margin | 28.5% | 16.2% | 27.3% | 23.7% | 25.0% | 28.2% |
| Net margin | 9.3% | 11.3% | 19.4% | 15.8% | 17.6% | 20.2% |
| Revenue growth | +24.8% | +6.9% | +5.5% | +3.4% | +0.2% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $827M | $581M | $869M | $971M | $1.03B | — |
| Total debt | $3.93B | $3.84B | $3.84B | $3.85B | $3.97B | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (MTCH)
P/E 15.1x · P/S 3.0x · EV/EBITDA 13.1x · EV/Sales 3.9x · P/FCF 9.4x · FCF yield 10.66% · Earnings yield 6.61% · Dividend yield (paid, TTM) 1.70% · Buyback yield (TTM) 5.74% · Net debt $2.97B · EV $13.7B
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 13.8x, Dec 2024 16.6x, Dec 2023 16.4x.
Analysts (MTCH)
Consensus Hold (mean 2.50 on a 1–5 scale), 20 analysts; mean target USD 42.88 (low 35, high 53).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Evercore ISI Group | Upgrade | In-Line → Outperform | $39 → $53 |
| 2026-08-05 | TD Cowen | Target lowered | Buy | $46 → $45 |
| 2026-08-05 | Truist Securities | Target raised | Hold | $37 → $41 |
| 2026-07-07 | Wells Fargo | Target raised | Equal-Weight | $38 → $41 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (MTCH)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +43.4% | -71.6% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | +43.6% | -22.2% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 32.5% | 41.8% |
| Max drawdown | -15.8% (Dec 2025→Feb 2026) | -83.8% (Oct 2021→May 2025) |
MTCH revenue by business segment (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tinder | $469.4M | 55.0% | -1.5% |
| Hinge | $203.5M | 23.9% | +21.5% |
| Everyone Everywhere | $182.0M | 21.3% | -17.5% |
| Total revenue | $853.1M | 100% | — |
MTCH revenue by region (fiscal year ended Dec 31, 2025)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Non Us | $1.96B | 56.1% | +3.7% |
| United States | $1.53B | 43.9% | -3.9% |
| Total revenue | $3.49B | 100% | — |
As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).
MTCH suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 10-K)
| Relationship | Company | Sentence in the filing |
|---|---|---|
| Supplier | Apple (AAPL) | “We rely on the Apple App Store and the Google Play Store to distribute and monetize our mobile” |
| Partner | Alphabet (Google) (GOOGL) | “partnership with Google entered into in 2024 is set to expire in the first quarter of 2027.” |
Quoted from the company's 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026.
MTCH company outlook (results filed Aug 4, 2026)
- “For Q3 2026, Match Group expects: • Total Revenue of $885 to $895 million, down 2% to 3% Y/Y. • Adjusted EBITDA of $330 to $335 million, representing a Y/Y increase of 10% at the mid-point of the range. • Adjusted EBITDA Margin of 37% at the mid-points of the ranges.”
Quoted word-for-word from the SEC 8-K results press release.
MTCH analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $1.01 | $0.94 | +7.4% | $892.2M | 5 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $1.04 | $0.97 | +7.2% | $871.6M | 5 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $3.95 | $3.87 | +2.2% | $3.48B | 5 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $4.58 | $4.20 | +9.1% | $3.62B | 5 |
MTCH options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±11.5% (±$5.23) by Nov 20, 2026, which includes earnings on Nov 2, 2026. Over the last 8 reports the stock moved ±6.6% on average.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2026 | 28 | 50.2% | ±11.5% |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 56 | 42.9% | ±13.7% |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 84 | 39.8% | ±15.4% |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 147 | 42.4% | ±21.5% |
| Jun 17, 2027 | 237 | 38.3% | ±24.6% |
30-day implied volatility 49.1% vs 31.1% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0.33. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 09:51 UTC)
| Price | USD 45.92 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▼ 0.82% (down) |
| Previous Close | USD 46.3 |
| Open | USD 46.28 |
| Day Range | USD 45.34 – 46.49 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 28.81 – 46.67 |
| Volume | 4,833,450 shares |
| Market Cap | $10.71B |
| Exchange | NMS |
Technical Analysis (MTCH)
Nexqual's technical model rates MTCH "BUY" based on 5 bullish and 1 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:51 UTC.
| Overall Signal | BUY |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 67.54 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Above (USD 41.66) |
| MACD | 1.2 (positive) |
Analyst Ratings (MTCH)
Wall Street analysts rate MTCH "Hold" based on 20 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 42.88 (range USD 35–53), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:51 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Hold |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 20 |
| Mean Target | USD 42.88 |
| High Target | USD 53 |
| Low Target | USD 35 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 8 / 12 / 0 |
Earnings (MTCH)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-11-02 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 1.01 |
| Revenue Estimate | $892.25M |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 0.91 vs est 0.96 ▼ miss |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 0.97 vs est 0.86 ▲ beat |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 1.06 vs est 1.02 ▲ beat |
| 2025-09-30 | USD 0.83 vs est 0.91 ▼ miss |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:51 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (MTCH)
| Total Revenue | $3.51B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | -1.20% |
| Gross Margin | +74.87% |
| Operating Margin | +28.77% |
| Profit Margin | +20.17% |
| Current Ratio | 1.72 |
| Total Cash | $583.81M |
| Total Debt | $3.67B |
| Free Cash Flow (last four quarters to Jun 2026, SEC 10-Q / 10-K) | $1.14B (32.5% of revenue) |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:51 UTC.
Financial Health Score (MTCH)
Nexqual rates Match Group, Inc.'s overall financial health "Solid" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:51 UTC.
| Growth | Mixed — Revenue +0.2% YoY (annual), slow |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Strong — Gross margin 75%, operating 29% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Mixed — $584M cash and investments vs $3.55B debt (Jun 2026, SEC) |
| Cash Flow | Strong — FCF $1.14B (last 4 quarters to Jun 2026, SEC), 33% margin |
| Efficiency | Mixed — No data |
Ownership (MTCH)
| Insider Ownership | +0.77% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +109.91% |
| Shares Outstanding | 233.27M |
| Float | 227.90M |
| Short % of Float | +6.75% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:51 UTC.
Leadership (MTCH)
Match Group, Inc. is led by Spencer M. Rascoff, CEO & Director, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:51 UTC.
| CEO & Director | Spencer M. Rascoff |
|---|---|
| Chief Financial Officer | Steven Bailey |
Major Backers & Investors (MTCH)
Notable institutional backers of Match Group, Inc. include Ameriprise Financial, Inc., Fuller & Thaler Asset Management Inc., Capitol Series Trust-FullerThaler Behavioral Small-Cap Equity Fund, according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:51 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| Ameriprise Financial, Inc. | 8.37% |
| Fuller & Thaler Asset Management Inc. | 3.67% |
| Capitol Series Trust-FullerThaler Behavioral Small-Cap Equity Fund | 3.51% |
| AQR Capital Management, LLC | 3.47% |
| Starboard Value LP | 3.39% |
| LSV Asset Management | 2.85% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| BlackRock | 12.45% |
| Vanguard Group | 11.01% |
| Columbia Threadneedle | 4.03% |
| State Street | 3.61% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:51 UTC.
From Match Group, Inc.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-02-26)
Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)
- We rely on third parties, primarily data centers and cloud-based, hosted web service providers, such as Amazon Web Services, as well as third party computer systems, service providers, software providers, and broadband and other communications systems, in connection with the provision of our applications generally, as well as to facilitate and process certain transactions with our users.
- We believe that our approach to talent has been instrumental in our growth and has made Match Group a desirable destination for current and future employees.
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.
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Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 09:51 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
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