Pattern Group Inc. (PTRN) Stock Price & Analysis

Pattern Group Inc. (PTRN) closed at USD 16.53 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, down 5.27% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.

The prior close was USD 17.45; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 16.45–17.51 on volume of 922,843 shares. Market capitalization is $2.93B, with a 52-week range of USD 8.92–29.8 (NMS). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 09:58 UTC.

Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/PTRN.md

Key facts (PTRN)

Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (PTRN)

USDFY2023FY2024FY2025TTM
Revenue$1.37B$1.80B$2.50B$3.01B
Gross profit$601M$781M$1.09B—
Operating income$52.8M$87.2M$25.4M$41.0M
Net income$41.3M$67.9M$16.2M$26.4M
EPS (diluted)$0.22$0.47-$1.36—
Free cash flow$27.0M$49.9M$78.9M$106M
Gross margin44.0%43.5%43.6%—
Operating margin3.9%4.9%1.0%1.4%
Net margin3.0%3.8%0.6%0.9%
Revenue growth—+31.5%+39.3%—
Cash + short-term investments$127M$176M$289M—

Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.

Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (PTRN)

P/E 111.2x · P/S 1.0x · P/FCF 27.6x · P/B 4.5x · FCF yield 3.62% · Earnings yield 0.90%

P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 81.7x.

Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (PTRN)

0 of 3 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.

Trade dateInsiderRoleSharesValue% of holdings sold10b5-1 planInsider type
2026-06-18Kl Pattern Holdings Lp9,200,000$167M32.7%NoToo little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2024)
2026-06-02Mather AnnDirector3,755$76K8.8%NoToo little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025)
2026-05-15Mather AnnDirector5,301$88K11%NoToo little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025)

% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).

Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.

Analysts (PTRN)

Consensus Buy (mean 1.89 on a 1–5 scale), 9 analysts; mean target USD 27 (low 20, high 30).

Rating changes, last 120 days:

DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
2026-08-06Evercore ISI GroupTarget raisedOutperform$26 → $29
2026-08-06NeedhamTarget raisedBuy$24 → $29
2026-08-03KeybancTarget raisedOverweight$20 → $30
2026-07-14JefferiesDowngradeBuy → Hold$21 → $30

Total return (dividends reinvested) (PTRN)

1Y (from 2025-10-23)5Y (from 2025-09-15)
Total return+0.7%+5.8%
S&P 500 (SPY)+14.9%+80.3%
Per year+0.7%+5.2%
Volatility (annualized)68.1%62.5%
Max drawdown-47.9% (Nov 2025→Feb 2026)-42.9% (Jul 2026→Oct 2026)

PTRN revenue by product line (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)

LineRevenueShare of totalYoY
Amazon.com$730.3M83.3%+40.7%
Other online marketplaces and channels$65.5M7.5%+86.5%
Amazon marketplaces, international$64.3M7.3%+75.9%
SaaS, logistics and other revenue$16.7M1.9%+123.3%
Total revenue$876.8M100%—

PTRN revenue by region (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)

LineRevenueShare of totalYoY
U.S.$766.8M87.5%+42.2%
International$110.0M12.5%+87.2%
Total revenue$876.8M100%—

As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).

PTRN suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 10-K)

RelationshipCompanySentence in the filing
CustomerAmazon (AMZN)“For the year ended December 31, 2025, we derived 93% of our revenue from consumer product sales on Amazon.”

Quoted from the company's 10-K filed Mar 6, 2026.

PTRN customer concentration

In the period ended Dec 31, 2025, a single direct customer accounted for 93% of revenue, per the company's 10-K filed Mar 6, 2026. The company does not name it.

PTRN company outlook (results filed May 6, 2026)

Analysts expect $853.7M for the current quarter, 4.8% above the midpoint of the company's guidance ($815.0M).

Quoted word-for-word from the SEC 8-K results press release.

PTRN analyst estimates and revisions

PeriodEPS estimate90 days agoChangeRevenue estimateAnalysts
Current quarter (ends Sep 2026)$0.15$0.13+16.9%$853.7M3
Next quarter (ends Dec 2026)$0.15$0.15+3.3%$939.6M3
Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026)$0.63$0.55+13.6%$3.44B2
Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027)$0.79$0.70+12.6%$4.28B3

PTRN options: expected move

Options price a move of about ±18.5% (±$3.05) by Nov 20, 2026, which includes earnings on Nov 4, 2026. Over the last 3 reports the stock moved ±11.7% on average.

ExpirationDaysATM implied volatilityExpected move
Nov 20, 20262877.3%±18.5%
Dec 18, 20265683.0%±27.2%
Mar 19, 202714775.8%±39.3%
Jun 17, 202723780.5%±52.6%

30-day implied volatility 71% vs 46.8% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0.38. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.

Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 09:58 UTC)

PriceUSD 16.53
Change▼ 5.27% (down)
Previous CloseUSD 17.45
OpenUSD 17.41
Day RangeUSD 16.45 – 17.51
52-Week RangeUSD 8.92 – 29.8
Volume922,843 shares
Market Cap$2.93B
ExchangeNMS

Technical Analysis (PTRN)

Nexqual's technical model rates PTRN "SELL" based on 1 bullish and 5 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:58 UTC.

Overall SignalSELL
RSI (14)35.79 (neutral)
vs SMA50Below (USD 19.2)
MACD-0.56 (negative)

Analyst Ratings (PTRN)

Wall Street analysts rate PTRN "Buy" based on 9 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 27 (range USD 20–30), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:58 UTC.

Consensus RatingBuy
Analyst Count9
Mean TargetUSD 27
High TargetUSD 30
Low TargetUSD 20
Buy / Hold / Sell8 / 1 / 0

Earnings (PTRN)

Next Earnings Date2026-11-04
EPS EstimateUSD 0.15
Revenue Estimate$853.72M

Recent Earnings History

QuarterActual vs Estimate
2026-06-30USD 0.16 vs est 0.12 ▲ beat
2025-12-31USD 0.23 vs est 0.12 ▲ beat
2025-09-30USD -1.95 vs est -1.69 ▼ miss

Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:58 UTC.

Financials & Fundamentals (PTRN)

Total Revenue$3.01B
Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY)+46.60%
Gross Margin+43.89%
Operating Margin+4.05%
Profit Margin+0.88%
ROE+4.92%
Debt / Equity0.08
Current Ratio2.35
Total Cash$345.83M
Total Debt$51.31M
Free Cash Flow (last four quarters to Jun 2026, SEC 10-Q / 10-K)$106.13M (3.5% of revenue)

Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:58 UTC.

Financial Health Score (PTRN)

Nexqual rates Pattern Group Inc.'s overall financial health "Solid" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:58 UTC.

GrowthStrong — Revenue +47% YoY (latest Q)
ProfitabilitySolid — Gross margin 44%, operating 4% (last 12 months)
Balance SheetStrong — $346M cash vs $51M debt, net cash position
Cash FlowMixed — FCF $106M (last 4 quarters to Jun 2026, SEC), slim 3.5% margin
EfficiencyWeak — ROE 5%, ROA 2.9%

Ownership (PTRN)

Insider Ownership+49.10%
Institutional Ownership+42.60%
Shares Outstanding155.70M
Float46.04M
Short % of Float+16.84%

Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:58 UTC.

Leadership (PTRN)

Pattern Group Inc. is led by David Wright, Co-Founder, President, CEO & Chairman, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:58 UTC.

Co-Founder, President, CEO & ChairmanDavid Wright
Co-Founder & DirectorMelanie Alder
Chief Financial OfficerJason Beesley
Chief Marketing OfficerChris Baird
Managing Director of AsiaArthur Cheung

Major Backers & Investors (PTRN)

Notable institutional backers of Pattern Group Inc. include Knox Lane LP, Wasatch Advisors LP, LOOMIS SAYLES & CO L P, according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:58 UTC.

Active Investors

InvestorStake
Knox Lane LP12.19%
Wasatch Advisors LP2.59%
LOOMIS SAYLES & CO L P1.27%
Lord, Abbett & Co. LLC1.27%
NORGES BANK1.21%
Capital Group1.16%
Allspring Global Investments Holdings, LLC1.16%
Alyeska Investment Group, L.p.1.13%

Index Funds (Passive)

FundStake
BlackRock1.57%
Vanguard Group1.31%

Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:58 UTC.

From Pattern Group Inc.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-03-06)

Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)

Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)

Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.

Peers & Related Stocks

SymbolNamePriceChange
VIPSVipshop Holdings LimitedUSD 12.77▲ 1.43%
RVLVRevolve Group, Inc.USD 22.69▲ 3.09%
GLBEGlobal-E Online Ltd.USD 41.33▲ 0.46%
LQDTLiquidity Services, Inc.USD 44.3▲ 1.7%
ETSYEtsy, Inc.USD 90.82▲ 4.12%
HEPSD-Market Electronic Services & USD 2.79▲ 1.45%

Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 09:58 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.

For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt