Redwire Corporation (RDW) Stock Price & Analysis
Redwire Corporation (RDW) closed at USD 8.36 on Friday, October 23, 2026, up 2.70% on the day. The US market is currently closed; this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 8.14; the Oct 23, 2026 session ranged USD 7.84–8.44 on volume of 10,028,065 shares. Market capitalization is $2.09B, with a 52-week range of USD 4.87–26.64 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 24, 2026 at 00:15 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/RDW.md
Key facts (RDW)
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 30, 2026): revenue $426M, net income -$244M (-57.3% margin), free cash flow -$98.2M (SEC filings).
- Insider open-market sales, last ~7 months: 9 Form 4 filings, $600M; 9 not under a Rule 10b5-1 plan ($600M); 0 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders (three-year test, Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski 2012).
- Analysts: Hold (mean 2.64 on a 1–5 scale) (11 analysts), mean target USD 14.28 (range 8–20).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +1.8% vs S&P 500 +14.0%; 5Y -29.6% vs S&P 500 +76.9%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-04, EPS estimate USD -0.09, revenue estimate $127M.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (RDW)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $138M | $161M | $244M | $304M | $335M | $426M |
| Gross profit | $29.4M | $28.7M | $58.0M | $44.5M | $17.3M | — |
| Operating income | -$70.2M | -$146M | -$15.5M | -$42.2M | -$230M | -$215M |
| Net income | -$61.5M | -$131M | -$27.3M | -$114M | -$227M | -$244M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$1.36 | -$2.09 | -$0.73 | -$2.35 | -$2.28 | — |
| Free cash flow | -$39.5M | -$35.3M | -$4.4M | -$23.7M | -$191M | -$98.2M |
| Gross margin | 21.3% | 17.9% | 23.8% | 14.6% | 5.2% | — |
| Operating margin | -51.0% | -91.2% | -6.4% | -13.9% | -68.5% | -50.5% |
| Net margin | -44.7% | -81.4% | -11.2% | -37.6% | -67.6% | -57.3% |
| Revenue growth | — | +16.7% | +51.9% | +24.7% | +10.3% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $20.5M | $28.3M | $30.3M | $33.7M | $94.5M | — |
| Total debt | $77.6M | $77.3M | $88.2M | $126M | $85.2M | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (RDW)
P/S 4.9x · EV/Sales 3.7x · P/B 1.3x · FCF yield -4.70% · Earnings yield -11.68% · Net cash $509M · EV $1.58B
Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (RDW)
0 of 9 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | % of holdings sold | 10b5-1 plan | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Ae Red Holdings, Llc | Director | 929,435 | $10.5M | 86.3% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2025) |
| 2026-06-11 | Ae Red Holdings, Llc | Director | 1,070,565 | $23.0M | 49.8% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2025) |
| 2026-05-18 | Ae Red Holdings, Llc | Director | 15,247,586 | $210M | 99.2% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2025) |
| 2026-04-22 | Ae Red Holdings, Llc | Director | 21,365,909 | $232M | 99.4% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2025) |
| 2026-04-20…2026-04-21 | Ae Red Holdings, Llc | Director | 2,744,259 | $28.4M | 11.3% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2025) |
| 2026-04-16…2026-04-17 | Ae Red Holdings, Llc | Director | 5,179,743 | $55.2M | 17.6% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2025) |
| 2026-04-14…2026-04-15 | Ae Red Holdings, Llc | Director | 1,895,311 | $18.6M | 6.1% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2025) |
| 2026-04-10…2026-04-13 | Ae Red Holdings, Llc | Director | 1,371,411 | $13.1M | 4.2% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2025) |
| 2026-04-08…2026-04-09 | Ae Red Holdings, Llc | Director | 950,144 | $9.2M | 2.8% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2025) |
% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).
Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.
Analysts (RDW)
Consensus Hold (mean 2.64 on a 1–5 scale), 11 analysts; mean target USD 14.28 (low 8, high 20).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Piper Sandler | Initiated | Neutral | $11 |
| 2026-09-15 | Guggenheim | Initiated | Neutral | |
| 2026-08-31 | B of A Securities | Target raised | Underperform | $7 → $8 |
| 2026-08-10 | Canaccord Genuity | Target raised | Buy | $14 → $15 |
| 2026-08-05 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Target raised | Overweight | $9 → $13.5 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (RDW)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-24) | 5Y (from 2021-10-25) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +1.8% | -29.6% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.0% | +76.9% |
| Per year | +1.8% | -6.8% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 111.8% | 92.7% |
| Max drawdown | -70.0% (May 2026→Jul 2026) | -85.0% (Nov 2021→Dec 2022) |
RDW revenue by business segment (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Defense Tech | $61.9M | 52.9% | +1118.6% |
| Space | $55.2M | 47.1% | -2.6% |
| Total revenue | $117.1M | 100% | — |
RDW revenue by region (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNITED STATES | $67.6M | 57.7% | +110.9% |
| Europe | $42.2M | 36.1% | +45.5% |
| Other | $7.3M | 6.2% | +933.4% |
| Total revenue | $117.1M | 100% | — |
As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).
RDW suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 10-K)
| Relationship | Company | Sentence in the filing |
|---|---|---|
| Partner | Eli Lilly (LLY) | “Redwire has launched 42 PIL-BOXes through December 31, 2025, for our partners including, but not limited to, Bristol Myers Squibb and Eli Lilly.” |
| Competitor | Airbus | “We compete domestically and internationally against space systems components providers, including Airbus, Sodern, Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (a segment of Rocket Labs), UAS providers, including AeroVironment, Inc., Insitu, A Boeing Company, and Shield AI; and in some instances against larger companies such as Anduril Industries and Northrop Grumman.” |
| Competitor | Boeing (BA) | “We compete domestically and internationally against space systems components providers, including Airbus, Sodern, Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (a segment of Rocket Labs), UAS providers, including AeroVironment, Inc., Insitu, A Boeing Company, and Shield AI; and in some instances against larger companies such as Anduril Industries and Northrop Grumman.” |
Quoted from the company's 10-K filed Feb 27, 2026.
Companies that name RDW in their SEC reports
| Relationship to RDW | Company | Filing | Sentence |
|---|---|---|---|
| partner | York Space Systems Inc. (YSS) | 10-K Mar 20, 2026 | “Since September 2023, General McConville has been an Operating Partner at AE Industrial Partners, and has served on the board of Redwire Corporation (NYSE: RDW) since October 2025 and on the board of BETA Technologies, Inc. (NYSE: BETA) since October 2024.” |
RDW company outlook (results filed Aug 5, 2026)
- “With $214.0 million of recorded revenue during the first half of 2026 and Backlog 3 providing significant visibility for the back half of the year, we are again pleased to reaffirm our 2026 revenue forecast." Webcast and Investor Call Management will conduct a conference call starting at 9:00 a.m.”
- “While all financial projections, estimates and targets are necessarily speculative, Redwire believes that the preparation of prospective financial information involves increasingly higher levels of uncertainty the further out the projection, estimate 3 Book-to-Bill and Backlog are key business measures.”
- “Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements Readers are cautioned that the statements contained in this press release regarding expectations of our performance or other matters that may affect our business, results of operations, or financial condition are "forward-looking statements" as defined by the "safe harbor" provisions in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.”
- “(6) the inability to successfully integrate recently completed and future acquisitions, including the recent acquisition of Edge Autonomy, or successfully select, execute or integrate future acquisitions into the business and realize the anticipated benefits or do so within the expected timeframe;”
Quoted word-for-word from the SEC 8-K results press release.
RDW analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $-0.09 | $-0.12 | -22.9% | $126.6M | 4 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $-0.09 | $-0.11 | -18.2% | $135.8M | 4 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $-0.45 | $-0.68 | -34.6% | $475.3M | 4 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $-0.32 | $-0.41 | -22.0% | $564.4M | 4 |
RDW options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±14.3% (±$1.20) by Nov 6, 2026, which includes earnings on Nov 4, 2026; the earnings reaction alone is priced at about ±9.9%. Over the last 8 reports the stock moved ±13.4% on average.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | 7 | 68.7% | ±7.8% |
| Nov 6, 2026 | 14 | 90.7% | ±14.3% |
| Nov 13, 2026 | 21 | 86.7% | ±16.7% |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 28 | 83.3% | ±18.5% |
| Nov 27, 2026 | 35 | 84.4% | ±20.9% |
| Dec 4, 2026 | 42 | 91.5% | ±24.8% |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 56 | 78.5% | ±24.2% |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 84 | 79.3% | ±29.6% |
30-day implied volatility 82.7% vs 60.5% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0.92. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 24, 2026 at 00:15 UTC)
| Price | USD 8.36 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▲ 2.70% (up) |
| Previous Close | USD 8.14 |
| Open | USD 8 |
| Day Range | USD 7.84 – 8.44 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 4.87 – 26.64 |
| Volume | 10,028,065 shares |
| Market Cap | $2.09B |
| Exchange | NYQ |
Technical Analysis (RDW)
Nexqual's technical model rates RDW "SELL" based on 1 bullish and 5 bearish signals across 126 daily candles, as of October 24, 2026 at 00:15 UTC.
| Overall Signal | SELL |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 33.42 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Below (USD 10.71) |
| MACD | -0.72 (negative) |
Analyst Ratings (RDW)
Wall Street analysts rate RDW "Hold" based on 11 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 14.28 (range USD 8–20), per Nexqual as of October 24, 2026 at 00:15 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Hold |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 11 |
| Mean Target | USD 14.28 |
| High Target | USD 20 |
| Low Target | USD 8 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 6 / 4 / 1 |
Earnings (RDW)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-11-04 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD -0.09 |
| Revenue Estimate | $126.56M |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD -0.09 vs est -0.13 ▲ beat |
| 2026-03-31 | USD -0.12 vs est -0.17 ▲ beat |
| 2025-12-31 | USD -0.22 vs est -0.16 ▼ miss |
| 2025-09-30 | USD -0.19 vs est -0.13 ▼ miss |
Source: Nexqual, October 24, 2026 at 00:15 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (RDW)
| Total Revenue | $426.27M |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +89.60% |
| Gross Margin | +22.73% |
| Operating Margin | -18.86% |
| Profit Margin | -57.26% |
| ROE | -18.15% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.06 |
| Current Ratio | 3.92 |
| Total Cash | $556.97M |
| Total Debt | $90.28M |
| Free Cash Flow (last four quarters to Jun 2026, SEC 10-Q / 10-K) | -$98.20M (-23.0% of revenue) |
Source: Nexqual, October 24, 2026 at 00:15 UTC.
Financial Health Score (RDW)
Nexqual rates Redwire Corporation's overall financial health "Mixed" across five dimensions, as of October 24, 2026 at 00:15 UTC.
| Growth | Solid — Revenue +10% YoY (annual) |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Weak — Gross margin 23%, operating -19% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Strong — $557M cash and investments vs $48M debt (Jun 2026, SEC), net cash |
| Cash Flow | Weak — FCF negative: -$98M (last 4 quarters to Jun 2026, SEC), burning cash |
| Efficiency | Critical — ROE -18%, ROA -6.1% |
Ownership (RDW)
| Insider Ownership | +1.33% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +69.94% |
| Shares Outstanding | 249.99M |
| Float | 246.18M |
| Short % of Float | +21.28% |
Source: Nexqual, October 24, 2026 at 00:15 UTC.
Leadership (RDW)
Redwire Corporation is led by Peter Anthony Cannito, President, CEO & Chairman, per Nexqual as of October 24, 2026 at 00:15 UTC.
| President, CEO & Chairman | Peter Anthony Cannito |
|---|---|
| Chief Financial Officer | Chris Edmunds |
| Executive VP of Strategic Communications & Chief Marketing Officer | Austin Jordan |
| President of Redwire Space | Michael Gold |
| Senior Vice President of Financial Planning & Analysis | Jeff Zeunik |
Major Backers & Investors (RDW)
Notable institutional backers of Redwire Corporation include Mirae Asset Global Investments Co., Ltd., Renaissance Technologies, Van Eck Associates Corporation, according to Nexqual as of October 24, 2026 at 00:15 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| Mirae Asset Global Investments Co., Ltd. | 4.74% |
| Renaissance Technologies | 3.76% |
| Van Eck Associates Corporation | 2.74% |
| Marex Group Ltd. | 2.46% |
| UBS Group AG | 1.5% |
| Shaw D.E. & Co., Inc. | 1.49% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| BlackRock | 6.43% |
| State Street | 5.84% |
| Vanguard Group | 2.99% |
| Geode Capital | 1.57% |
Source: Nexqual, October 24, 2026 at 00:15 UTC.
From Redwire Corporation's Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-02-27)
Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)
- Redwire leverages high-fidelity digital engineering tools and model-based systems engineering to produce end-to-end virtual environments that decrease cost, increase speed to market, and enable mission optimization.
- Our scale, reputation for quality and relationships allow us to be agile and innovative in our approach to pursuing growth through business models, partnerships and acquisitions.
- Our broad and innovative technology portfolio of core offerings enables us to be a natural supply chain partner with components, systems and payloads.
- If finalized, these rules could require changes to our system designs and increase compliance costs in order to secure or maintain spectrum licensure for both spacecraft and sUAS platforms.
Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)
- We are subject to trade control laws and regulations; including export controls and stringent U.S. economic sanctions, which could affect our ability to do business with certain customers.
- The inability to secure and maintain necessary licenses and other authorizations could negatively impact our ability to compete successfully or to operate our spaceflight business as planned.
- Our business is subject to a wide variety of additional extensive and evolving government laws and regulations. Failure to comply with such laws and regulations could have a material adverse effect on our business.
- Our reputation and ability to do business may be impacted by the improper conduct of our employees, agents or business partners.
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| SARO | StandardAero, Inc. | USD 21.78 | ▲ 0.28% |
| KTOS | Kratos Defense & Security Solut | USD 38.68 | ▲ 1.07% |
| CAE | CAE Inc | USD 25 | ▼ 0.08% |
| DRS | Leonardo DRS, Inc. | USD 34.51 | ▲ 0.61% |
| MOG-B | Moog Inc. | USD 335.16 | ▼ 8.43% |
| HII | Huntington Ingalls Industries, | USD 274.08 | ▼ 1.71% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 24, 2026 at 00:15 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt