Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) Stock Price & Analysis
Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) closed at USD 18.81 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, up 2.79% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 18.3; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 18.39–18.84 on volume of 1,785,665 shares. Market capitalization is $7.41B, with a 52-week range of USD 18.17–29.81 (NMS). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 10:06 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/SFD.md
Key facts (SFD)
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 28, 2026): revenue $15.5B, net income $1.06B (6.8% margin), free cash flow $807M (SEC filings).
- Valuation: P/E 7.0x (avg 8.9x at the last 1 fiscal year-ends), EV/EBITDA 4.5x, net debt $52.0M.
- Insider open-market sales, last ~7 months: 3 Form 4 filings, $4.4M; 3 not under a Rule 10b5-1 plan ($4.4M); 0 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders (three-year test, Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski 2012).
- Analysts: Buy (mean 2.29 on a 1–5 scale) (7 analysts), mean target USD 24.93 (range 21–29).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y -8.8% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y -5.0% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-10-27, EPS estimate USD 0.26, revenue estimate $3.66B.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (SFD)
| USD | FY2015 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | — | $16.2B | $14.6B | $14.1B | $15.5B | $15.5B |
| Gross profit | $1.76B | $1.50B | $889M | $1.90B | $2.09B | — |
| Operating income | $794M | $1.12B | -$56.0M | $1.12B | $1.29B | $1.33B |
| Net income | $452M | $870M | $17.0M | $953M | $987M | $1.06B |
| EPS (diluted) | — | $2.29 | $0.05 | $2.51 | $2.51 | — |
| Free cash flow | — | $183M | $335M | $566M | $718M | $807M |
| Gross margin | — | 9.2% | 6.1% | 13.4% | 13.5% | — |
| Operating margin | — | 6.9% | -0.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% |
| Net margin | — | 5.4% | 0.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% |
| Revenue growth | — | — | -9.6% | -3.4% | +9.8% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $705M | $547M | $687M | $943M | $1.54B | — |
| Total debt | $2.26B | — | $1.99B | $1.98B | $1.99B | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 28, 2026) (SFD)
P/E 7.0x · P/S 0.5x · EV/EBITDA 4.5x · EV/Sales 0.5x · P/FCF 9.2x · P/B 1.1x · FCF yield 10.90% · Earnings yield 14.30% · Net debt $52.0M · EV $7.46B
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 8.9x.
Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (SFD)
0 of 3 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | % of holdings sold | 10b5-1 plan | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-16 | France Steven | President, Packaged Meats | 82,825 | $2.2M | 36.3% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2024) |
| 2026-06-12 | Starling Raymond A | Director | 3,960 | $106K | 24.9% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-06-09 | Hall Mark L. | Chief Financial Officer | 78,579 | $2.1M | 36.8% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2024) |
% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).
Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.
Analysts (SFD)
Consensus Buy (mean 2.29 on a 1–5 scale), 7 analysts; mean target USD 24.93 (low 21, high 29).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Stephens & Co. | Initiated | Equal-Weight | $22 |
| 2026-09-09 | Barclays | Target lowered | Overweight | $31 → $29 |
| 2026-08-12 | Barclays | Target lowered | Overweight | $32 → $31 |
| 2026-07-02 | B of A Securities | Target lowered | Buy | $33 → $32 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (SFD)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2025-01-27) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | -8.8% | -5.0% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | -8.8% | -2.9% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 25.7% | 29.1% |
| Max drawdown | -36.8% (Apr 2026→Oct 2026) | -34.9% (Apr 2026→Oct 2026) |
SFD revenue by business segment (quarter ended Jun 28, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Packaged Meats | $2.02B | 54.7% | -2.7% |
| Fresh Pork | $2.01B | 54.3% | -3.5% |
| Hog Production | $772.0M | 20.9% | -8.1% |
| Other | $154.0M | 4.2% | +28.3% |
| Total revenue | $3.70B | 100% | — |
SFD revenue by product line (quarter ended Jun 28, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Retail | $1.22B | 33.1% | -4.2% |
| Foodservice | $668.0M | 18.1% | -1.3% |
| Industrial | $102.0M | 2.8% | -2.9% |
| Other / Unallocated | $15.0M | 0.4% | +114.3% |
| Exports | $13.0M | 0.4% | +8.3% |
| Total revenue | $3.70B | 100% | — |
As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).
SFD suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 10-K)
| Relationship | Company | Sentence in the filing |
|---|---|---|
| Supplier | Murphy Family Farms | “Murphy Family Farms is now a hog supplier to us and supplies approximately 3.2 million hogs annually.” |
| Supplier | VisionAg Hog Production | “VisionAg is now a hog supplier to us and supplies approximately 600,000 hogs annually.” |
| Customer | Walmart (WMT) | “Walmart Inc., including its subsidiary Sam's West, Inc. (collectively "Walmart"), is a customer of our Packaged Meats and Fresh Pork segments and accounted for approximately 15%, 16% and 15% of our consolidated sales in fiscal years 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.” |
| Partner | Famous | “In December 2012, we entered into a license agreement with Nathan's Famous that commenced in March of 2014 and expires in March 2032.” |
| Partner | Align RNG | “(5)In 2019, we announced that we planned to contribute up to $250 million to our joint venture, Align RNG, LLC ("Align") through 2028 to fund various projects as approved by Align's board from time to time.” |
| Partner | West | “In addition to the charges noted in the table above, the West Coast Exit and Hog Production Reform impacted our biogas joint ventures for which we recognized additional costs and losses as follows:” |
| Partner | Monarch Bio Energy | “•In the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2023, we incurred $14 million in costs associated with biogas assets owned by our joint venture, Monarch Bio Energy, LLC ("Monarch"), in connection with the farms in” |
Quoted from the company's 10-K filed Mar 24, 2026.
Companies that name SFD in their SEC reports
| Relationship to SFD | Company | Filing | Sentence |
|---|---|---|---|
| partner | NATHANS FAMOUS, INC. (NATH) | 10-K Jun 9, 2026 | “As a result of our partnership with Smithfield Foods, we expect Nathan's Famous products to continue penetrating the grocery, mass merchandising and club channels by expanding points of distribution in targeted, underpenetrated regions and through the development of new products.” |
| partner | DOMINION ENERGY, INC (D) | 10-K Feb 23, 2026 | “Align RNG—In November 2018, Dominion Energy announced the formation of Align RNG, an equal partnership with Smithfield Foods, Inc. to capture methane from swine farms across various states and convert it into pipeline quality natural gas.” |
SFD company outlook (results filed Aug 11, 2026)
- “Outlook to Reflect External Macro Environment SMITHFIELD, Va., August 11, 2026 -- Smithfield Foods, Inc.”
Quoted word-for-word from the SEC 8-K results press release.
SFD analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $0.26 | $0.64 | -59.8% | $3.66B | 4 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $0.59 | $0.75 | -21.5% | $4.25B | 4 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $2.13 | $2.65 | -19.7% | $15.46B | 6 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $2.08 | $2.55 | -18.4% | $15.31B | 6 |
SFD options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±9.4% (±$1.78) by Nov 20, 2026, which includes earnings on Oct 27, 2026. Over the last 7 reports the stock moved ±5.2% on average.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2026 | 28 | 28.9% | ±9.4% |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 56 | 28.4% | ±10.9% |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 147 | 27.7% | ±15.4% |
| Jun 17, 2027 | 237 | 37.3% | ±25.5% |
30-day implied volatility 30.4% vs 21.7% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0.09. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 10:06 UTC)
| Price | USD 18.81 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▲ 2.79% (up) |
| Previous Close | USD 18.3 |
| Open | USD 18.43 |
| Day Range | USD 18.39 – 18.84 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 18.17 – 29.81 |
| Volume | 1,785,665 shares |
| Market Cap | $7.41B |
| Exchange | NMS |
Technical Analysis (SFD)
Nexqual's technical model rates SFD "SELL" based on 1 bullish and 4 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 10:06 UTC.
| Overall Signal | SELL |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 41.99 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Below (USD 20.24) |
| MACD | -0.51 (negative) |
Analyst Ratings (SFD)
Wall Street analysts rate SFD "Buy" based on 7 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 24.93 (range USD 21–29), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 10:06 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Buy |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 7 |
| Mean Target | USD 24.93 |
| High Target | USD 29 |
| Low Target | USD 21 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 4 / 3 / 0 |
Earnings (SFD)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-10-27 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 0.26 |
| Revenue Estimate | $3.66B |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 0.62 vs est 0.6 ▲ beat |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 0.64 vs est 0.59 ▲ beat |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 0.83 vs est 0.67 ▲ beat |
| 2025-09-30 | USD 0.58 vs est 0.5 ▲ beat |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:06 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (SFD)
| Total Revenue | $15.47B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | -2.30% |
| Gross Margin | +13.46% |
| Operating Margin | +8.40% |
| Profit Margin | +6.84% |
| ROE | +15.45% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.33 |
| Current Ratio | 2.56 |
| Total Cash | $1.35B |
| Total Debt | $2.40B |
| Free Cash Flow (last four quarters to Jun 2026, SEC 10-Q / 10-K) | $807.00M (5.2% of revenue) |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:06 UTC.
Financial Health Score (SFD)
Nexqual rates Smithfield Foods, Inc.'s overall financial health "Mixed" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 10:06 UTC.
| Growth | Solid — Revenue +10% YoY (annual) |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Weak — Gross margin 13%, operating 8% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Strong — $1.35B cash and investments vs $1.40B debt (Jun 2026, SEC) |
| Cash Flow | Solid — FCF $807M (last 4 quarters to Jun 2026, SEC), 5% margin |
| Efficiency | Solid — ROE 15%, ROA 7.3% |
Ownership (SFD)
| Insider Ownership | +88.27% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +14.22% |
| Shares Outstanding | 393.77M |
| Float | 46.25M |
| Short % of Float | +11.19% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:06 UTC.
Leadership (SFD)
Smithfield Foods, Inc. is led by Charles Shane Smith, President, CEO & Director, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 10:06 UTC.
| President, CEO & Director | Charles Shane Smith |
|---|---|
| Chief Financial Officer | Mark L. Hall |
| President of Packaged Meats | Steven J. France |
| Vice President of Investor Relations | Julie MacMedan |
| Chief Marketing Officer | Brendan Smith |
Major Backers & Investors (SFD)
Notable institutional backers of Smithfield Foods, Inc. include LSV Asset Management, Two Sigma Investments, LP, AQR Capital Management, LLC, according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 10:06 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| LSV Asset Management | 1.81% |
| Two Sigma Investments, LP | 1.08% |
| AQR Capital Management, LLC | 1.04% |
| FMR, LLC | 0.74% |
| Goldman Sachs | 0.58% |
| Qube Research & Technologies Ltd | 0.32% |
| UBS Group AG | 0.3% |
| Fourth Sail Capital LP | 0.27% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| Dimensional Fund Advisors | 0.43% |
| BlackRock | 0.35% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:06 UTC.
From Smithfield Foods, Inc.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-03-24)
Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)
- Walmart Inc., including its subsidiary Sam's West, Inc. (collectively "Walmart"), is a customer of our Packaged Meats and Fresh Pork segments and accounted for approximately 15%, 16% and 15% of our consolidated sales in fiscal years 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.
- From the process's origin at the grain farms to the ultimate step of delivering hogs to our processing plants, we monitor the vertically integrated process at every juncture to ensure a premium level of product, assurance of supply and control of input costs.
- Our capabilities and supply chain allow us to provide differentiated products and high service levels to our customers.
- Our distribution network enables us to enhance our customer reach and sell our products efficiently and cost effectively throughout the U.S. and the world.
Partnerships
- In December 2012, we entered into a license agreement with Nathan's Famous that commenced in March of 2014 and expires in March 2032.
- Our preliminary estimate of the proposed investment is up to $1.3 billion over the next three years.
Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)
- Product liability claims or product recalls can adversely affect our business reputation, expose us to increased scrutiny by federal and state regulators and may not be covered by insurance.
- Climate change, or legal, regulatory, voluntary or market measures to address climate change, may negatively affect our business, operations or reputation.
- Governmental authorities may take further action restricting our ability to produce and/or sell livestock or adopt new regulations impacting our production or processing operations, which could adversely affect our business.
- We are, and could become, subject to legal proceedings and regulatory investigations that may result in significant expenses, fines and reputational damage.
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| LW | Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. | USD 55.18 | ▲ 3.9% |
| CAG | ConAgra Brands, Inc. | USD 15.07 | ▲ 7.34% |
| PPC | Pilgrim's Pride Corporation | USD 28.09 | ▲ 1.23% |
| CPB | The Campbell's Company | USD 21.26 | ▲ 8.69% |
| DAR | Darling Ingredients Inc. | USD 55.64 | ▼ 5.84% |
| INGR | Ingredion Incorporated | USD 97.18 | ▲ 1.57% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 10:06 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt