Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) Stock Price & Analysis
Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) closed at USD 67.88 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, up 0.06% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 67.88; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 66.97–69.08 on volume of 1,130,826 shares. Market capitalization is —, with a 52-week range of USD 51.6–107.46 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 11:04 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/SHAK.md
Key facts (SHAK)
- Last four reported quarters (through Jul 1, 2026): revenue $1.55B, net income $39.7M (2.6% margin), free cash flow -$11.7M (SEC filings).
- Insider open-market sales, last ~7 months: 1 Form 4 filings, $26K; 0 not under a Rule 10b5-1 plan ($0K); 0 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders (three-year test, Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski 2012).
- Insider open-market purchases, last ~7 months: 6 Form 4 filings, $3.2M; 0 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders.
- Total return with dividends: 1Y -25.8% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y -4.0% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-05, EPS estimate USD 0.34, revenue estimate $427M.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (SHAK)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $740M | $900M | $1.09B | $1.25B | $1.45B | $1.55B |
| Operating income | -$15.9M | -$26.9M | $5.9M | $3.0M | $62.5M | $55.4M |
| Net income | -$4.6M | -$21.2M | $20.3M | $10.2M | $45.7M | $39.7M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$0.12 | -$0.54 | $0.48 | $0.24 | $1.09 | — |
| Free cash flow | -$43.1M | -$65.8M | -$14.0M | $35.7M | $56.5M | -$11.7M |
| Operating margin | -2.1% | -3.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% |
| Net margin | -0.6% | -2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% |
| Revenue growth | +41.5% | +21.7% | +20.8% | +15.2% | +15.4% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $382M | $311M | $293M | $321M | — | — |
| Total debt | $244M | $245M | $246M | $247M | $248M | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jul 1, 2026) (SHAK)
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 74.3x, Dec 2024 562.1x, Dec 2023 160.6x.
Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (SHAK)
1 of 1 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | % of holdings sold | 10b5-1 plan | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-15 | Sentell Stephanie Ann | Chief Operations Officer | 258 | $26K | 1.7% | Yes | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2024) |
% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).
Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.
Insider purchases (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (SHAK)
6 purchases, $3.2M. Private placements, offerings, dividend reinvestment and employee stock purchase plan buys are excluded.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | Avg price | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-15 | Silverman Josh | Director | 8,290 | $501K | 60.38 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-05-15 | Flug Jeffrey | Director | 1,000 | $61K | 61.3 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2025) |
| 2026-05-15 | Chapman Charles J Iii | Director | 2,000 | $123K | 61.36 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-05-15 | Balbale Sumaiya | Director | 4,068 | $250K | 61.42 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-05-15 | Lynch Robert | Chief Executive Officer | 5,000 | $302K | 60.39 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-05-15 | Meyer Daniel Harris | Director | 32,258 | $2.0M | 61.88 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023) |
Analysts (SHAK)
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | UBS | Target raised | Neutral | $68 → $73 |
| 2026-10-21 | Wells Fargo | Target raised | Equal-Weight | $65 → $70 |
| 2026-10-15 | Morgan Stanley | Target raised | Equal-Weight | $74 → $79 |
| 2026-09-29 | JP Morgan | Target lowered | Neutral | $77 → $75 |
| 2026-09-08 | RBC Capital | Initiated | Outperform | $89 |
| 2026-08-06 | DA Davidson | Target raised | Buy | $70 → $85 |
| 2026-08-06 | BNP Paribas | Target raised | Outperform | $77 → $81 |
| 2026-08-03 | UBS | Target lowered | Neutral | $79 → $68 |
| 2026-07-31 | Mizuho | Target lowered | Outperform | $100 → $80 |
| 2026-07-14 | Piper Sandler | Target lowered | Neutral | $79 → $66 |
| 2026-07-09 | Deutsche Bank | Target lowered | Buy | $105 → $93 |
| 2026-06-29 | DA Davidson | Maintained | Buy | $70 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (SHAK)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | -25.8% | -4.0% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | -25.8% | -0.8% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 58.0% | 52.0% |
| Max drawdown | -50.0% (Apr 2026→Jun 2026) | -63.1% (Jun 2025→Jun 2026) |
SHAK revenue by product line (quarter ended Jul 1, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shack sales | $403.4M | 96.6% | +17.5% |
| Licensing revenue | $14.2M | 3.4% | +7.1% |
| — Sales-based royalties (part of Licensing revenue) | $13.6M | 3.2% | +7.5% |
| — Initial territory, opening, and termination fees (part of Licensing revenue) | $620,000 | 0.1% | -1.4% |
| Total revenue | $417.6M | 100% | — |
SHAK revenue by region (fiscal year ended Dec 31, 2025)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| United States | $1.41B | 97.4% | +15.4% |
| Non Us | $38.2M | 2.6% | +14.9% |
| Total revenue | $1.45B | 100% | — |
As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).
SHAK suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 10-K)
| Relationship | Company | Sentence in the filing |
|---|---|---|
| Partner | SSE Holdings | “If the Internal Revenue Service ("IRS") were to contend successfully that SSE Holdings should be treated as a "publicly traded partnership" for U.S. federal income tax purposes, SSE Holdings would be treated as a corporation for U.S. federal income tax purposes and thus would be subject to entity-level tax on its taxable income, which could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations, financial pos…” |
Quoted from the company's 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026.
Companies that name SHAK in their SEC reports
| Relationship to SHAK | Company | Filing | Sentence |
|---|---|---|---|
| partner | PENN Entertainment, Inc. (PENN) | 10-K Feb 26, 2026 | “We seek to grow our customer database and PENN Play loyalty program through our iCasino and OSB businesses, the development of new properties, the expansion of existing properties and other business lines, and through partnerships with third-party partners, such as Shake Shack Inc., Ticketmaster Entertainment, LLC, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd., Live Nation Entertainment, Inc., and Choice Hotels Internationa…” |
SHAK analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $0.34 | $0.39 | -11.7% | $427.1M | 24 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $0.36 | $0.43 | -16.2% | $438.7M | 23 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $1.13 | $1.12 | +0.9% | $1.65B | 25 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $1.42 | $1.49 | -4.9% | $1.89B | 26 |
SHAK options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±14.3% (±$9.70) by Nov 6, 2026, which includes earnings on Nov 5, 2026; the earnings reaction alone is priced at about ±11.4%. Over the last 8 reports the stock moved ±10.1% on average.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | 7 | 53.1% | ±6.3% |
| Nov 6, 2026 | 14 | 88.0% | ±14.3% |
| Nov 13, 2026 | 21 | 78.0% | ±15.3% |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 28 | 66.8% | ±15.1% |
| Nov 27, 2026 | 35 | 65.2% | ±16.4% |
| Dec 4, 2026 | 42 | 60.6% | ±16.6% |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 56 | 56.8% | ±18.3% |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 84 | 55.6% | ±21.8% |
30-day implied volatility 66.4% vs 46.7% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 2.23. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 11:04 UTC)
| Price | USD 67.88 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▲ 0.06% (up) |
| Previous Close | USD 67.88 |
| Open | USD 67.88 |
| Day Range | USD 66.97 – 69.08 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 51.6 – 107.46 |
| Volume | 1,130,826 shares |
| Market Cap | — |
| Exchange | NYQ |
Technical Analysis (SHAK)
Nexqual's technical model rates SHAK "STRONG BUY" based on 5 bullish and 0 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 11:04 UTC.
| Overall Signal | STRONG BUY |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 51.04 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Above (USD 66.04) |
| MACD | 1.87 (positive) |
Earnings (SHAK)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-11-05 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 0.34 |
| Revenue Estimate | $427.06M |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 0.43 vs est 0.3 ▲ beat |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 0 vs est 0.12 ▼ miss |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 0.37 vs est 0.35 ▲ beat |
| 2025-09-30 | USD 0.36 vs est 0.31 ▲ beat |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 11:04 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (SHAK)
| Total Revenue | $1.55B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +17.20% |
| Gross Margin | +40.38% |
| Operating Margin | +5.07% |
| Profit Margin | +2.56% |
| ROE | +7.94% |
| Debt / Equity | 1.67 |
| Current Ratio | 1.67 |
| Total Cash | $307.96M |
| Total Debt | $952.09M |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 11:04 UTC.
Ownership (SHAK)
| Insider Ownership | +4.39% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +91.66% |
| Shares Outstanding | 40.35M |
| Float | 38.50M |
| Short % of Float | +10.87% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 11:04 UTC.
From Shake Shack Inc.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-02-26)
Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)
- In fiscal 2025, we implemented Belltower Instant Recall System, an industry-leading system for communicating product recalls from supplier to distributor to restaurant level.
- Our proprietary products include the burger recipe for our specific blend, our patty grinding specifications and the product formulations.
- To maintain this, we take care of our teams first and foremost, and this allows us to take care of our guests, our communities, our suppliers, and our shareholders.
- As our portfolio expands and matures, these reinvestments remain central to sustaining high standards across our system, supporting strong operations, guest experience and sales growth.
Partnerships
- Growth in Canada, Japan, and other regions exceeded expectations, and we signed several new long-term development agreements, including a plan to open 15 Shacks in Vietnam with Maxim's and a 12-Shack partnership in Panama with Grupo Attie–Multifood Enterprises.
- Our partnership with Delta Air Lines grew meaningfully in 2025, with Shake Shack now served in select routes across flights originating from 13 domestic airports via First Class pre select and supported by strong guest feedback.
Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)
- Shake Shack Inc. Form 10-K | 30
- Shake Shack Inc. Form 10-K | 31
- Our ability to use our net operating loss carryforwards may be subject to limitation.
- Changes in effective tax rates or adverse outcomes resulting from examination of our income or other tax returns could adversely affect our results of operations and financial condition.
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| WING | Wingstop Inc. | USD 120.87 | ▲ 0.77% |
| CHA | Chagee Holdings Limited | USD 12.46 | ▼ 3.78% |
| ARCO | Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. | USD 8.02 | ▼ 0.87% |
| JMKE | Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. | USD 17.69 | ▲ 0.17% |
| CAKE | The Cheesecake Factory Incorpor | USD 112.44 | ▼ 1.7% |
| CBRL | Cracker Barrel Old Country Stor | USD 67.31 | ▲ 2.37% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 11:04 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt