Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) Stock Price & Analysis
Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) closed at USD 642.14 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, down 7.86% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 696.89; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 629–672.77 on volume of 5,763,985 shares. Market capitalization is $146.02B, with a 52-week range of USD 217.67–1,145 (NMS). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 09:57 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/STX.md
Key facts (STX)
- Last four reported quarters (through Jul 3, 2026): revenue $12.2B, net income $3.18B (26.1% margin), free cash flow $3.10B (SEC filings).
- Valuation: P/E 45.9x (avg 49.4x at the last 3 fiscal year-ends), EV/EBITDA 33.8x, net debt $1.90B.
- Insider open-market sales, last ~7 months: 56 Form 4 filings, $506M; 20 not under a Rule 10b5-1 plan ($174M); 9 by opportunistic insiders (1 outside 10b5-1 plans), 37 by routine insiders (three-year test, Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski 2012).
- Analysts: Buy (mean 1.96 on a 1–5 scale) (26 analysts), mean target USD 1,116.58 (range 700–1,600).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +185.3% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y +748.3% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-10-27, EPS estimate USD 7.4, revenue estimate $4.14B.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (STX)
| USD | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $11.7B | $7.38B | $6.55B | $9.10B | $12.2B | $12.2B |
| Gross profit | $3.47B | $1.35B | $1.54B | $3.20B | $5.56B | — |
| Operating income | $1.96B | -$342M | $452M | $1.89B | $4.09B | $4.09B |
| Net income | $1.65B | -$529M | $335M | $1.47B | $3.18B | $3.18B |
| EPS (diluted) | $7.36 | -$2.56 | $1.58 | $6.77 | $13.90 | — |
| Free cash flow | $1.28B | $626M | $664M | $818M | $3.10B | $3.10B |
| Gross margin | 29.7% | 18.3% | 23.4% | 35.2% | 45.6% | — |
| Operating margin | 16.8% | -4.6% | 6.9% | 20.8% | 33.6% | 33.6% |
| Net margin | 14.1% | -7.2% | 5.1% | 16.1% | 26.1% | 26.1% |
| Revenue growth | +9.2% | -36.7% | -11.3% | +38.9% | +34.1% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $615M | $786M | $1.36B | $891M | $1.70B | — |
| Total debt | $5.65B | $5.52B | $5.73B | $5.05B | $3.60B | — |
Fiscal years end Jul. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jul 3, 2026) (STX)
P/E 45.9x · P/S 12.0x · EV/EBITDA 33.8x · EV/Sales 12.1x · P/FCF 47.0x · P/B 67.4x · FCF yield 2.13% · Earnings yield 2.18% · Dividend yield (paid, TTM) 0.43% · Buyback yield (TTM) 0.12% · Net debt $1.90B · EV $148B
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Jul 2026 61.6x, Jun 2025 21.3x, Jun 2024 65.4x.
Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (STX)
36 of 56 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | % of holdings sold | 10b5-1 plan | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Mosley William D | CEO | 11,002 | $10.3M | 2.9% | Yes (adopted February 18, 2026) | Routine (sold in Aug & Sep & Dec each year 2023–2025; this trade is outside those months) |
| 2026-10-01 | Mosley William D | CEO | 18,998 | $17.4M | 4.8% | Yes | Routine (sold in Aug & Sep & Dec each year 2023–2025; this trade is outside those months) |
| 2026-09-21 | Morris John Christopher | EVP & CTO | 9,354 | $8.2M | 29.2% | Yes | Routine (sold in Dec each year 2023–2025; this trade is outside those months) |
| 2026-09-15 | Romano Gianluca | EVP & CFO | 49,984 | $38.6M | 41.4% | No | Routine (sold in Nov each year 2023–2025; this trade is outside those months) |
| 2026-09-15 | Mosley William D | CEO | 97,889 | $75.6M | 20.6% | No | Routine (sold in Aug & Sep & Dec each year 2023–2025) |
| 2026-09-15 | Teh Ban Seng | EVP & Chief Commercial Officer | 52,730 | $41.2M | 90.1% | Yes | Opportunistic (traded every year 2023–2025, no repeating month) |
| 2026-09-15 | Morris John Christopher | EVP & CTO | 15,466 | $11.9M | 33.2% | No | Routine (sold in Dec each year 2023–2025; this trade is outside those months) |
| 2026-09-14 | Teh Ban Seng | EVP & Chief Commercial Officer | 989 | $770K | 14.5% | Yes (adopted February 11, 2026) | Opportunistic (traded every year 2023–2025, no repeating month) |
| 2026-09-14 | Morris John Christopher | EVP & CTO | 493 | $385K | 2.9% | No | Routine (sold in Dec each year 2023–2025; this trade is outside those months) |
| 2026-09-11…2026-09-14 | Romano Gianluca | EVP & CFO | 5,555 | $4.7M | 15.5% | Yes (adopted April 30, 2026) | Routine (sold in Nov each year 2023–2025; this trade is outside those months) |
| 2026-09-14 | Mosley William D | CEO | 1,870 | $1.5M | 0.6% | No | Routine (sold in Aug & Sep & Dec each year 2023–2025) |
| 2026-09-11 | Romano Gianluca | EVP & CFO | 45,898 | $38.1M | 57.3% | Yes | Routine (sold in Nov each year 2023–2025; this trade is outside those months) |
| 2026-09-10 | Teh Ban Seng | EVP & Chief Commercial Officer | 663 | $570K | 10.2% | Yes (adopted February 11, 2026) | Opportunistic (traded every year 2023–2025, no repeating month) |
| 2026-09-10 | Morris John Christopher | EVP & CTO | 572 | $493K | 3.4% | No | Routine (sold in Dec each year 2023–2025; this trade is outside those months) |
| 2026-09-10 | Romano Gianluca | EVP & CFO | 1,348 | $1.2M | 4.4% | No | Routine (sold in Nov each year 2023–2025; this trade is outside those months) |
| 2026-09-10 | Mosley William D | CEO | 2,849 | $2.5M | 0.9% | No | Routine (sold in Aug & Sep & Dec each year 2023–2025) |
| 2026-09-01 | Mosley William D | CEO | 30,000 | $24.5M | 9.2% | Yes | Routine (sold in Aug & Sep & Dec each year 2023–2025) |
| 2026-09-01 | Conyers Yolanda Lee | Director | 750 | $611K | 18.3% | Yes (adopted August 4, 2025) | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023) |
| 2026-08-24 | Lee James Ci | EVP & CLO | 9,013 | $7.2M | 96.3% | Yes | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2024) |
| 2026-08-21 | Teh Ban Seng | EVP & Chief Commercial Officer | 9,862 | $8.4M | 65.4% | Yes (adopted February 11, 2026) | Opportunistic (traded every year 2023–2025, no repeating month) |
% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).
Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.
Analysts (STX)
Consensus Buy (mean 1.96 on a 1–5 scale), 26 analysts; mean target USD 1,116.58 (low 700, high 1,600).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | B of A Securities | Target raised | Buy | $1150 → $1200 |
| 2026-10-20 | Morgan Stanley | Target raised | Overweight | $1187 → $1200 |
| 2026-10-16 | Wells Fargo | Target lowered | Overweight | $1180 → $865 |
| 2026-07-30 | Argus Research | Target raised | Buy | $750 → $900 |
| 2026-07-30 | Barclays | Target raised | Overweight | $1000 → $1250 |
| 2026-07-29 | Morgan Stanley | Target raised | Overweight | $1035 → $1187 |
| 2026-07-29 | JP Morgan | Target raised | Overweight | $1095 → $1240 |
| 2026-07-29 | TD Cowen | Target raised | Buy | $850 → $1000 |
| 2026-07-29 | Susquehanna | Target raised | Neutral | $775 → $875 |
| 2026-07-29 | Wedbush | Target raised | Outperform | $825 → $1000 |
| 2026-07-29 | Wells Fargo | Target raised | Overweight | $1100 → $1180 |
| 2026-07-29 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Reiterated | Overweight | $1300 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (STX)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +185.3% | +748.3% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | +186.3% | +53.2% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 75.9% | 48.7% |
| Max drawdown | -41.5% (Jun 2026→Oct 2026) | -53.4% (Dec 2021→Oct 2022) |
STX revenue by region (quarter ended Jul 3, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| United States | $1.91B | 52.5% | +63.8% |
| Singapore | $1.37B | 37.7% | +34.5% |
| The Netherlands | $352.0M | 9.7% | +34.9% |
| Other | $1.0M | 0.0% | +0.0% |
| Total revenue | $3.63B | 100% | — |
As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).
STX suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 10-K)
| Relationship | Company | Sentence in the filing |
|---|---|---|
| Competitor | Western Digital (WDC) | “Our global competitors include HDD manufacturers such as Western Digital Corporation and Toshiba Electronics Devices & Storage Corporation along with NAND flash suppliers that provide and enable alternative storage technologies, as well as storage systems and solutions providers.” |
Quoted from the company's 10-K filed Aug 4, 2026.
STX company outlook (results filed Jul 28, 2026)
- “The business outlook for the fiscal first quarter 2027 is based on our current assumptions and expectations; actual results may differ materially, as a result of, among other things, the important factors discussed in the Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements section of this release.”
- “Guidance regarding non-GAAP diluted EPS excludes known pre-tax charges related to estimated share-based compensation expenses of $0.26 per share.”
Quoted word-for-word from the SEC 8-K results press release.
STX analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $7.40 | $5.88 | +25.9% | $4.14B | 20 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $8.54 | $6.79 | +25.8% | $4.53B | 20 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Jun 2027) | $36.66 | $28.58 | +28.3% | $19.08B | 22 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Jun 2028) | $57.44 | $45.14 | +27.2% | $25.68B | 20 |
STX options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±12.3% (±$75.80) by Oct 30, 2026, which includes earnings on Oct 27, 2026. Over the last 8 reports the stock moved ±10% on average.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | 7 | 97.7% | ±12.3% |
| Nov 6, 2026 | 14 | 86.0% | ±14.7% |
| Nov 13, 2026 | 21 | 79.5% | ±16.5% |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 28 | 75.2% | ±17.7% |
| Nov 27, 2026 | 35 | 71.1% | ±18.6% |
| Dec 4, 2026 | 42 | 69.0% | ±19.6% |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 56 | 68.7% | ±22.4% |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 84 | 66.9% | ±26.5% |
30-day implied volatility 74.6% vs 69.4% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0.76. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 09:57 UTC)
| Price | USD 642.14 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▼ 7.86% (down) |
| Previous Close | USD 696.89 |
| Open | USD 670.75 |
| Day Range | USD 629 – 672.77 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 217.67 – 1,145 |
| Volume | 5,763,985 shares |
| Market Cap | $146.02B |
| Exchange | NMS |
Technical Analysis (STX)
Nexqual's technical model rates STX "SELL" based on 1 bullish and 5 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:57 UTC.
| Overall Signal | SELL |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 33.01 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Below (USD 828.9) |
| MACD | -53.92 (negative) |
Analyst Ratings (STX)
Wall Street analysts rate STX "Buy" based on 26 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 1,116.58 (range USD 700–1,600), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:57 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Buy |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 26 |
| Mean Target | USD 1,116.58 |
| High Target | USD 1,600 |
| Low Target | USD 700 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 23 / 3 / 0 |
Earnings (STX)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-10-27 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 7.4 |
| Revenue Estimate | $4.14B |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 5.71 vs est 5.09 ▲ beat |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 4.1 vs est 3.51 ▲ beat |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 3.11 vs est 2.84 ▲ beat |
| 2025-09-30 | USD 2.61 vs est 2.4 ▲ beat |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:57 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (STX)
| Total Revenue | $12.20B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +48.50% |
| Gross Margin | +45.58% |
| Operating Margin | +43.07% |
| Profit Margin | +26.11% |
| ROE | +371.53% |
| Debt / Equity | 1.8 |
| Current Ratio | 1.67 |
| Total Cash | $1.70B |
| Total Debt | $3.90B |
| Free Cash Flow (last four quarters to Jul 2026, SEC 10-Q / 10-K) | $3.10B (25.5% of revenue) |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:57 UTC.
Financial Health Score (STX)
Nexqual rates Seagate Technology Holdings plc's overall financial health "Strong" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:57 UTC.
| Growth | Strong — Revenue +34% YoY (annual) |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Strong — Gross margin 46%, operating 43% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Weak — $1.70B cash and investments vs $3.60B debt (Jul 2026, SEC) |
| Cash Flow | Strong — FCF $3.10B (last 4 quarters to Jul 2026, SEC), 25% margin |
| Efficiency | Strong — ROE 372%, ROA 29.4% |
Ownership (STX)
| Insider Ownership | +0.30% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +84.60% |
| Shares Outstanding | 227.39M |
| Float | 225.86M |
| Short % of Float | +3.07% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:57 UTC.
Leadership (STX)
Seagate Technology Holdings plc is led by William David Mosley, CEO & Chairman, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:57 UTC.
| CEO & Chairman | William David Mosley |
|---|---|
| Executive VP & CFO | Gianluca Romano |
| Executive VP & CTO | John C. Morris |
| Executive Vice President of Global Operations | Kian Fatt Chong |
| Senior Vice President of Investor Relations & Treasury | Shanye Hudson |
Major Backers & Investors (STX)
Notable institutional backers of Seagate Technology Holdings plc include FMR, LLC, Invesco, WCM Investment Management, LLC, according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:57 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| FMR, LLC | 3.59% |
| Invesco | 3.31% |
| WCM Investment Management, LLC | 2.34% |
| JPMorgan | 2.29% |
| Morgan Stanley | 2.08% |
| Fidelity | 1.28% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| Vanguard Group | 9.95% |
| BlackRock | 6.67% |
| State Street | 4.36% |
| Geode Capital | 2.27% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:57 UTC.
From Seagate Technology Holdings plc's Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-08-04)
Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)
- Our competitive differentiation is built on decades of storage innovation, vertically integrated engineering and manufacturing capabilities along with a technology roadmap designed to advance both storage capacity and system performance.
- Through innovations such as our Mozaic platform, which incorporates our unique implementation of heat-assisted magnetic recording ("HAMR") technology, advanced magnetic recording with proprietary photonics and other innovations, we enable higher storage densities and drive capacities in a capital efficient manner.
- Our vertically integrated approach enables close coordination across development, product design and manufacturing teams helping us to accelerate technology transitions, optimize product performance and efficiently scale manufacturing of new technologies.
- Our manufacturing strategy combines vertically integrated design and production with a global manufacturing footprint to support the development and delivery of advanced data storage products.
Partnerships
- Our vertically integrated engineering and manufacturing capabilities, together with continued investment in advanced storage technologies, position us to address customers' evolving storage requirements.
Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)
- Our business is subject to various laws, regulations and governmental policies that may cause us to incur significant expense or adversely impact our results of operations and financial condition.
- Changes in U.S. trade policy, including the imposition of sanctions or tariffs and the resulting consequences, may have a material and adverse impact on our business and results of operations.
- Our business is exposed to risks associated with litigation, investigations and regulatory proceedings that may cause us to incur significant expense or adversely impact our results of operations and financial condition.
- Tax-related matters could have a material and adverse effect on our business, results of operations or financial condition.
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| WDC | Western Digital Corporation | USD 354.19 | ▼ 6.43% |
| SNDK | Sandisk Corporation | USD 1,260.93 | ▼ 8.51% |
| ANET | Arista Networks, Inc. | USD 171.07 | ▼ 7.19% |
| DELL | Dell Technologies Inc. | USD 452.95 | ▼ 6.78% |
| P | Everpure, Inc. | USD 121.2 | ▼ 7.43% |
| HPQ | HP Inc. | USD 33.76 | ▲ 7.79% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 09:57 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt