Smurfit Westrock Plc (SW) Stock Price & Analysis
Smurfit Westrock Plc (SW) closed at USD 42.43 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, up 2.34% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 42.43; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 40.95–42.52 on volume of 5,684,391 shares. Market capitalization is —, with a 52-week range of USD 32.73–52.65 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 09:21 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/SW.md
Key facts (SW)
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 30, 2026): revenue $31.3B, net income $497M (1.6% margin), free cash flow $1.01B (SEC filings).
- Valuation: P/E 44.8x (avg 35.9x at the last 3 fiscal year-ends), EV/EBITDA 8.5x, net debt $13.5B.
- 3 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold SW (13F, Q2 2026): 0 new, 1 added, 2 reduced, 0 unchanged.
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +1.6% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y +3.9% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-10-28, EPS estimate USD 0.57, revenue estimate $8.28B.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (SW)
| USD | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $13.5B | $12.1B | $21.1B | $31.2B | $31.3B |
| Gross profit | $3.27B | $3.05B | $4.20B | $6.04B | — |
| Operating income | $1.56B | $1.37B | $1.01B | $1.72B | $1.48B |
| Net income | $1.03B | $825M | $319M | $699M | $497M |
| EPS (diluted) | $3.96 | $3.17 | $0.82 | $1.33 | — |
| Free cash flow | $503M | $630M | $17.0M | $1.20B | $1.01B |
| Gross margin | 24.2% | 25.3% | 19.9% | 19.4% | — |
| Operating margin | 11.5% | 11.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% |
| Net margin | 7.7% | 6.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% |
| Revenue growth | — | -10.5% | +74.6% | +47.7% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $841M | $1.00B | $855M | $892M | — |
| Total debt | — | $3.75B | $14.1B | $13.6B | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (SW)
P/E 44.8x · P/S 0.7x · EV/EBITDA 8.5x · EV/Sales 1.1x · P/FCF 21.9x · P/B 1.2x · FCF yield 4.56% · Earnings yield 2.23% · Dividend yield (paid, TTM) 4.15% · Net debt $13.5B · EV $35.7B
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 29.1x, Dec 2024 65.7x, Dec 2023 12.9x.
Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026) (SW)
3 of 80 tracked investors hold SW. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Ketterer | Causeway Capital Management | 7.53% | $696M | Reduced -3.4% |
| Harry Burn | Sound Shore | 2.61% | $84.9M | Added +21.6% |
| Van Den Berg Management I | 1.53% | $7.3M | Reduced -2.5% |
Analysts (SW)
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | RBC Capital | Target lowered | Outperform | $60 → $55 |
| 2026-10-12 | Truist Securities | Target lowered | Buy | $57 → $54 |
| 2026-10-02 | Citigroup | Target lowered | Buy | $57 → $54 |
| 2026-09-23 | JP Morgan | Target raised | Overweight | $68 → $69 |
| 2026-08-27 | Morgan Stanley | Target raised | Overweight | $57 → $58 |
| 2026-08-04 | Citigroup | Target raised | Buy | $56 → $57 |
| 2026-08-04 | Barclays | Target raised | Overweight | $52 → $56 |
| 2026-07-31 | JP Morgan | Target lowered | Overweight | $71 → $68 |
| 2026-07-30 | RBC Capital | Target raised | Outperform | $56 → $60 |
| 2026-07-30 | Truist Securities | Target raised | Buy | $55 → $57 |
| 2026-07-30 | Wells Fargo | Target raised | Overweight | $52 → $55 |
| 2026-07-28 | JP Morgan | Target raised | Overweight | $65 → $71 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (SW)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +1.6% | +3.9% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | +1.6% | +0.8% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 43.7% | 41.5% |
| Max drawdown | -30.5% (Feb 2026→May 2026) | -52.8% (Jan 2022→Oct 2022) |
SW revenue by business segment (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| North America | $4.66B | 58.0% | +0.1% |
| Europe, MEA and APAC | $2.82B | 35.1% | +1.6% |
| LATAM | $559.0M | 7.0% | +8.5% |
| Total revenue | $8.03B | 100% | — |
SW revenue by product line (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Packaging | $3.50B | 43.6% | -1.7% |
| Paper | $1.16B | 14.4% | +5.9% |
| Total revenue | $8.03B | 100% | — |
SW revenue by region (fiscal year ended Dec 31, 2025)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. Plans | $14.47B | 46.4% | +97.9% |
| Other Europe MEA & APAC | $7.17B | 23.0% | +15.6% |
| Other Americas | $3.38B | 10.8% | +45.1% |
| Mexico | $2.52B | 8.1% | +28.6% |
| Germany | $1.87B | 6.0% | +9.5% |
| France | $1.55B | 5.0% | +8.3% |
| Ireland | $226.0M | 0.7% | +31.4% |
| Total revenue | $31.18B | 100% | — |
As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).
SW company outlook (results filed Jul 29, 2026)
- “With input costs remaining elevated, especially freight, we currently expect third quarter Adjusted EBITDA 2 to be approximately $1.3 billion and for the full year Adjusted EBITDA 2 we expect to be in the range of $4.9 billion to $5.1 billion with good momentum through the latter half of 2026 and beyond.”
- “Because such items cannot be reasonably predicted with the level of precision required, we are unable to provide an outlook for the comparable GAAP measure (net income). 2 Statements that are not historical facts, including statements about the beliefs and expectations of the management of Smurfit Westrock, are forward-looking statements.”
Quoted word-for-word from the SEC 8-K results press release.
SW analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $0.57 | $0.76 | -24.6% | $8.28B | 7 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $0.70 | $0.80 | -12.4% | $8.10B | 7 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $1.72 | $2.15 | -20.0% | $32.20B | 7 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $3.55 | $3.36 | +5.6% | $34.61B | 13 |
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 09:21 UTC)
| Price | USD 42.43 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▲ 2.34% (up) |
| Previous Close | USD 42.43 |
| Open | USD 42.43 |
| Day Range | USD 40.95 – 42.52 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 32.73 – 52.65 |
| Volume | 5,684,391 shares |
| Market Cap | — |
| Exchange | NYQ |
Technical Analysis (SW)
Nexqual's technical model rates SW "SELL" based on 2 bullish and 4 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:21 UTC.
| Overall Signal | SELL |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 47.57 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Below (USD 44.76) |
| MACD | -0.95 (negative) |
Earnings (SW)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-10-28 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 0.57 |
| Revenue Estimate | $8.28B |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 0.35 vs est 0.42 ▼ miss |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 0.33 vs est 0.4 ▼ miss |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 0.28 vs est 0.5 ▼ miss |
| 2025-09-30 | USD 0.58 vs est 0.72 ▼ miss |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:21 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (SW)
| Total Revenue | $31.33B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +1.10% |
| Gross Margin | +18.16% |
| Operating Margin | +5.47% |
| Profit Margin | +1.59% |
| ROE | +2.71% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.78 |
| Current Ratio | 1.45 |
| Total Cash | $677.00M |
| Total Debt | $14.16B |
| Free Cash Flow (last four quarters to Jun 2026, SEC 10-Q / 10-K) | $1.01B (3.2% of revenue) |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:21 UTC.
Financial Health Score (SW)
Nexqual rates Smurfit Westrock Plc's overall financial health "Mixed" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:21 UTC.
| Growth | Strong — Revenue +48% YoY (annual) |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Mixed — Gross margin 18%, operating 5% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Mixed — $677M cash and investments vs $14.2B debt (Jun 2026, SEC) |
| Cash Flow | Mixed — FCF $1.01B (last 4 quarters to Jun 2026, SEC), slim 3.2% margin |
| Efficiency | Weak — ROE 3%, ROA 2.6% |
Ownership (SW)
| Insider Ownership | +0.51% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +101.73% |
| Shares Outstanding | 524.52M |
| Float | 520.62M |
| Short % of Float | +5.73% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:21 UTC.
Leadership (SW)
Smurfit Westrock Plc is led by Anthony Paul J. Smurfit, President, Group CEO & Director, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:21 UTC.
| President, Group CEO & Director | Anthony Paul J. Smurfit |
|---|---|
| Executive VP, Group CFO & Executive Director | Ken Bowles |
| President & Chief Executive Officer North America (Including Mexico) | Laurent Sellier |
| President & Chief Executive Officer of Europe, MEA & APAC | Saverio Mayer |
| President & CEO of LATAM | Alvaro Jose Henao |
Major Backers & Investors (SW)
Notable institutional backers of Smurfit Westrock Plc include Capital Group, Income Fund of America, Causeway Capital Management LLC, according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:21 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| Capital Group | 11.08% |
| Income Fund of America | 3.36% |
| Causeway Capital Management LLC | 2.87% |
| Franklin Resources, Inc. | 2.57% |
| Investment Co of America | 2.25% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| Vanguard Group | 11.17% |
| BlackRock | 8.67% |
| State Street | 5.35% |
| Nuveen | 4.73% |
| Geode Capital | 2.77% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:21 UTC.
From Smurfit Westrock Plc's Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-02-27)
Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)
- Our innovation model prioritizes agility for faster innovation and smarter testing, promoting global innovation with local relevance, fostering end-to-end circular packaging innovation, and enabling quicker, better decision making with market-leading capabilities.
- Our vertically integrated system provides raw materials of wood or recovered fiber, which are used to manufacture various grades of board, which are then converted into packaging products.
- Based on these focus areas, we have developed the following strategic priorities: 1.Expanding market positions through focused growth, including in particular driving the sustainability agenda; 2.Continuing focus on customer engagement and innovation to become the supplier/partner of choice for our customers; 3.Enhancing operational excellence through the continuous upgrade of customer offerings and service; 5.Efficiently allocating capital.
- We are one of the largest integrated producers of linerboard, white-top linerboard and containerboard and kraft paper in North America (including the U.S., Canada and Mexico), and we serve primarily corrugated packaging markets.
Partnerships
- Since 2016 our flagship leadership development program, Open Leadership, runs in partnership with INSEAD business school and has seen more than 500 of our senior leaders attend this year long three-module program.
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| PKG | Packaging Corporation of Americ | USD 248.92 | ▲ 4.15% |
| AMCR | Amcor plc | USD 46.28 | ▲ 2.23% |
| IP | International Paper Company | USD 33.68 | ▲ 0.15% |
| BALL | Ball Corporation | USD 65.81 | ▲ 2.59% |
| AVY | Avery Dennison Corporation | USD 184.66 | ▲ 3.14% |
| CCK | Crown Holdings, Inc. | USD 119.26 | ▲ 2.62% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 09:21 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt