TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) Stock Price & Analysis
TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) closed at USD 1,141.74 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, up 1.09% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 1,129.38; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 1,105.26–1,144.41 on volume of 488,958 shares. Market capitalization is $63.11B, with a 52-week range of USD 1,071.25–1,463.03 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/TDG.md
Key facts (TDG)
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 27, 2026): revenue $10.0B, net income $2.13B (21.3% margin), free cash flow $1.93B (SEC filings).
- Valuation: P/E 29.6x (avg 40.8x at the last 3 fiscal year-ends), EV/EBITDA 18.5x, net debt $30.1B.
- 6 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold TDG (13F, Q2 2026): 0 new, 1 added, 3 reduced, 2 unchanged.
- Insider open-market sales, last ~7 months: 15 Form 4 filings, $123M; 4 not under a Rule 10b5-1 plan ($45.1M); 0 by opportunistic insiders, 15 by routine insiders (three-year test, Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski 2012).
- Analysts: Buy (mean 2.35 on a 1–5 scale) (23 analysts), mean target USD 1,414.3 (range 1,100–1,745).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y -15.4% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y +111.9% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-05, EPS estimate USD 12.21, revenue estimate $2.95B.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (TDG)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $4.80B | $5.43B | $6.58B | $7.94B | $8.83B | $10.0B |
| Gross profit | $2.51B | $3.10B | $3.84B | $4.67B | $5.31B | — |
| Operating income | $1.69B | $2.21B | $2.92B | $3.53B | $4.17B | $4.61B |
| Net income | $680M | $866M | $1.30B | $1.71B | $2.07B | $2.13B |
| EPS (diluted) | $10.41 | $13.40 | $22.03 | $25.62 | $32.08 | — |
| Free cash flow | $808M | $829M | $1.24B | $1.88B | $1.82B | $1.93B |
| Gross margin | 52.4% | 57.1% | 58.3% | 58.8% | 60.1% | — |
| Operating margin | 35.2% | 40.8% | 44.4% | 44.5% | 47.2% | 46.0% |
| Net margin | 14.2% | 16.0% | 19.7% | 21.6% | 23.5% | 21.3% |
| Revenue growth | -6.0% | +13.2% | +21.3% | +20.6% | +11.2% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $4.79B | $3.00B | $3.47B | $6.26B | $2.81B | — |
| Total debt | $19.9B | $19.5B | $19.5B | $24.5B | $29.4B | — |
Fiscal years end Sep. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 27, 2026) (TDG)
P/E 29.6x · P/S 6.3x · EV/EBITDA 18.5x · EV/Sales 9.3x · P/FCF 32.8x · FCF yield 3.05% · Earnings yield 3.37% · Dividend yield (paid, TTM) 8.39% · Buyback yield (TTM) 2.86% · Net debt $30.1B · EV $93.2B
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Sep 2025 37.0x, Sep 2024 48.1x, Sep 2023 37.2x.
Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026) (TDG)
6 of 80 tracked investors hold TDG. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AltaRock Partners | 27.51% | $1.17B | Reduced -3.7% | |
| Triple Frond Partners | 12.67% | $142M | Unchanged | |
| Bryan Lawrence | Oakcliff Capital | 11.99% | $32.2M | Unchanged |
| Vulcan Value Partners | 6.91% | $227M | Reduced -7.5% | |
| Daniel Loeb | Third Point | 2.27% | $105M | Added +216.0% |
| Stephen Mandel | Lone Pine Capital | 0.23% | $38.0M | Reduced -20.0% |
Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (TDG)
11 of 15 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | % of holdings sold | 10b5-1 plan | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Reiss Joel | Co-Chief Operating Officer | 4,100 | $4.6M | 53.2% | Yes | Routine (sold in Jun & Jul & Aug & Sep & Oct & Nov & Dec each year 2023–2025) |
| 2026-09-15 | Reiss Joel | Co-Chief Operating Officer | 3,900 | $4.3M | 52% | Yes | Routine (sold in Jun & Jul & Aug & Sep & Oct & Nov & Dec each year 2023–2025) |
| 2026-08-18 | Howley W Nicholas | Director | 10,132 | $12.5M | 32% | Yes | Routine (sold in Jan & Feb & May & Jun & Jul & Aug & Nov each year 2023–2025) |
| 2026-08-17 | Reiss Joel | Co-Chief Operating Officer | 3,900 | $4.8M | 52% | Yes | Routine (sold in Jun & Jul & Aug & Sep & Oct & Nov & Dec each year 2023–2025) |
| 2026-07-20 | Howley W Nicholas | Director | 10,132 | $12.3M | 32% | Yes | Routine (sold in Jan & Feb & May & Jun & Jul & Aug & Nov each year 2023–2025) |
| 2026-07-15 | Reiss Joel | Co-Chief Operating Officer | 414 | $510K | 10.3% | Yes | Routine (sold in Jun & Jul & Aug & Sep & Oct & Nov & Dec each year 2023–2025) |
| 2026-07-15 | Reiss Joel | Co-Chief Operating Officer | 3,486 | $4.2M | 46.5% | Yes | Routine (sold in Jun & Jul & Aug & Sep & Oct & Nov & Dec each year 2023–2025) |
| 2026-06-18 | Howley W Nicholas | Director | 10,132 | $13.4M | 32% | No | Routine (sold in Jan & Feb & May & Jun & Jul & Aug & Nov each year 2023–2025) |
| 2026-06-18 | Howley W Nicholas | Director | 10,132 | $13.4M | 32% | No | Routine (sold in Jan & Feb & May & Jun & Jul & Aug & Nov each year 2023–2025) |
| 2026-06-18 | Howley W Nicholas | Director | 10,132 | $13.4M | 32% | No | Routine (sold in Jan & Feb & May & Jun & Jul & Aug & Nov each year 2023–2025) |
| 2026-06-15 | Reiss Joel | Co-Chief Operating Officer | 3,900 | $5.0M | 52% | No | Routine (sold in Jun & Jul & Aug & Sep & Oct & Nov & Dec each year 2023–2025) |
| 2026-05-18 | Howley W Nicholas | Director | 10,132 | $12.0M | 32% | Yes | Routine (sold in Jan & Feb & May & Jun & Jul & Aug & Nov each year 2023–2025) |
| 2026-05-15 | Reiss Joel | Co-Chief Operating Officer | 3,900 | $4.5M | 52% | Yes | Routine (sold in Jun & Jul & Aug & Sep & Oct & Nov & Dec each year 2023–2025; this trade is outside those months) |
| 2026-04-20 | Howley W Nicholas | Director | 10,132 | $12.8M | 32% | Yes | Routine (sold in Jan & Feb & May & Jun & Jul & Aug & Nov each year 2023–2025; this trade is outside those months) |
| 2026-04-15 | Reiss Joel | Co-Chief Operating Officer | 3,900 | $5.0M | 52% | Yes | Routine (sold in Jun & Jul & Aug & Sep & Oct & Nov & Dec each year 2023–2025; this trade is outside those months) |
% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).
Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.
Analysts (TDG)
Consensus Buy (mean 2.35 on a 1–5 scale), 23 analysts; mean target USD 1,414.3 (low 1,100, high 1,745).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Morgan Stanley | Target lowered | Equal-Weight | $1400 → $1300 |
| 2026-10-15 | RBC Capital | Target lowered | Sector Perform | $1350 → $1200 |
| 2026-10-12 | Goldman Sachs | Target lowered | Buy | $1972 → $1745 |
| 2026-10-09 | TD Cowen | Target lowered | Buy | $1450 → $1300 |
| 2026-09-30 | Wells Fargo | Target lowered | Equal-Weight | $1450 → $1210 |
| 2026-09-28 | BMO Capital | Target lowered | Outperform | $1525 → $1400 |
| 2026-09-17 | JP Morgan | Target lowered | Neutral | $1450 → $1415 |
| 2026-09-16 | RBC Capital | Reiterated | Sector Perform | $1350 |
| 2026-09-15 | Guggenheim | Initiated | Neutral | |
| 2026-08-05 | UBS | Target raised | Buy | $1585 → $1695 |
| 2026-08-05 | Stifel | Downgrade | Buy → Hold | $1525 → $1405 |
| 2026-07-15 | Morgan Stanley | Downgrade | Overweight → Equal-Weight | $1680 → $1345 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (TDG)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | -15.4% | +111.9% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | -15.5% | +16.2% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 26.8% | 26.8% |
| Max drawdown | -25.8% (Jan 2026→Sep 2026) | -27.8% (Jul 2025→Sep 2026) |
TDG revenue by business segment (quarter ended Jun 27, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Power & Control | $1.51B | 55.1% | +32.5% |
| Airframe | $1.19B | 43.3% | +12.1% |
| Non-aviation | $46.0M | 1.7% | +15.0% |
| Total revenue | $2.74B | 100% | — |
TDG revenue by region (fiscal year ended Sep 30, 2025)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| United States | $5.54B | 62.7% | +10.0% |
| Non Us | $3.30B | 37.3% | +13.3% |
| Total revenue | $8.83B | 100% | — |
As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).
TDG suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 10-K)
| Relationship | Company | Sentence in the filing |
|---|---|---|
| Supplier | Boeing (BA) | “Our sales to manufacturers of large commercial aircraft, such as Boeing, Airbus, and related OEM suppliers, as well as manufacturers of business jets have historically experienced periodic downturns.” |
| Supplier | Airbus | “Our sales to manufacturers of large commercial aircraft, such as Boeing, Airbus, and related OEM suppliers, as well as manufacturers of business jets have historically experienced periodic downturns.” |
Quoted from the company's 10-K filed Nov 12, 2025.
TDG customer concentration
In the period ended Sep 30, 2025, a single direct customer accounted for 10% of revenue, per the company's 10-K filed Nov 12, 2025. The company does not name it.
TDG company outlook (results filed Aug 4, 2026)
- “At the mid-point, we are increasing guidance for sales by $150 million, EBITDA As Defined by $100 million, and adjusted EPS by $1.52.”
- “Additionally, we are shifting our market channel guidance upward to reflect our latest market growth expectations." The guidance excludes any contribution from the pending acquisition of P&I.”
Quoted word-for-word from the SEC 8-K results press release.
TDG analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $12.21 | $11.64 | +4.9% | $2.95B | 20 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $9.71 | $9.81 | -1.0% | $2.64B | 7 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Sep 2026) | $41.28 | $40.05 | +3.0% | $10.53B | 22 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Sep 2027) | $48.63 | $46.90 | +3.7% | $11.75B | 20 |
TDG options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±8.3% (±$94.65) by Nov 20, 2026, which includes earnings on Nov 5, 2026. Over the last 8 reports the stock moved ±6.4% on average.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2026 | 28 | 36.8% | ±8.3% |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 56 | 33.9% | ±10.7% |
| Feb 19, 2027 | 119 | 32.3% | ±14.9% |
| May 21, 2027 | 210 | 32.1% | ±19.6% |
30-day implied volatility 36.1% vs 18.8% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 1.09. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC)
| Price | USD 1,141.74 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▲ 1.09% (up) |
| Previous Close | USD 1,129.38 |
| Open | USD 1,122.07 |
| Day Range | USD 1,105.26 – 1,144.41 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 1,071.25 – 1,463.03 |
| Volume | 488,958 shares |
| Market Cap | $63.11B |
| Exchange | NYQ |
Technical Analysis (TDG)
Nexqual's technical model rates TDG "BUY" based on 4 bullish and 1 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.
| Overall Signal | BUY |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 54.81 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Above (USD 1,140.34) |
| MACD | 1.88 (positive) |
Analyst Ratings (TDG)
Wall Street analysts rate TDG "Buy" based on 23 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 1,414.3 (range USD 1,100–1,745), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Buy |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 23 |
| Mean Target | USD 1,414.3 |
| High Target | USD 1,745 |
| Low Target | USD 1,100 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 12 / 11 / 0 |
Earnings (TDG)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-11-05 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 12.21 |
| Revenue Estimate | $2.95B |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 10.87 vs est 10.28 ▲ beat |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 9.85 vs est 9.71 ▲ beat |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 8.23 vs est 8.04 ▲ beat |
| 2025-09-30 | USD 10.82 vs est 10.05 ▲ beat |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (TDG)
| Total Revenue | $10.01B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +22.50% |
| Gross Margin | +59.82% |
| Operating Margin | +46.01% |
| Profit Margin | +21.28% |
| Current Ratio | 3.02 |
| Total Cash | $2.78B |
| Total Debt | $33.49B |
| Free Cash Flow (last four quarters to Jun 2026, SEC 10-Q / 10-K) | $1.93B (19.3% of revenue) |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.
Financial Health Score (TDG)
Nexqual rates TransDigm Group Incorporated's overall financial health "Solid" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.
| Growth | Solid — Revenue +11% YoY (annual) |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Strong — Gross margin 60%, operating 46% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Mixed — $2.77B cash and investments vs $32.9B debt (Jun 2026, SEC) |
| Cash Flow | Strong — FCF $1.93B (last 4 quarters to Jun 2026, SEC), 19% margin |
| Efficiency | Mixed — No data |
Ownership (TDG)
| Insider Ownership | +0.41% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +97.51% |
| Shares Outstanding | 55.28M |
| Float | 54.99M |
| Short % of Float | +2.90% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.
Leadership (TDG)
TransDigm Group Incorporated is led by Michael J. Lisman, CEO, President & Director, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.
| CEO, President & Director | Michael J. Lisman |
|---|---|
| Chief Financial Officer | Sarah Louise Wynne |
| Co-Chief Operating Officer | Joel B. Reiss |
| Co-Chief Operating Officer | Patrick Joseph Murphy |
| Director of Investor Relations | Mary Hartman |
Major Backers & Investors (TDG)
Notable institutional backers of TransDigm Group Incorporated include Capital Group, Capital International Investors, AMERICAN FUNDS FUNDAMENTAL INVESTORS, according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| Capital Group | 13.22% |
| Capital International Investors | 9.05% |
| AMERICAN FUNDS FUNDAMENTAL INVESTORS | 4.95% |
| Growth Fund of America | 3.7% |
| Principal Financial Group, Inc. | 3.06% |
| AMERICAN BALANCED FUND | 2.93% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| Vanguard Group | 11.14% |
| BlackRock | 8.71% |
| State Street | 4.58% |
| Geode Capital | 2.3% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.
From TransDigm Group Incorporated's Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2025-11-12)
Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)
- Our proprietary products, and particularly our new product initiatives, are designed by our engineers and are intended to serve the needs of the aircraft component industry.
Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)
- We could incur substantial costs as a result of violations of or liabilities under environmental laws and regulations.
- We may be subject to periodic litigation and regulatory proceedings, which may adversely affect our business and financial performance.
- We could be adversely affected by the impact of failure, misuse or quality issues of our products.
- We produce highly engineered aircraft components, and accordingly, the adverse impact of product quality issues, actual or perceived, can be significant.
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| HONA | Honeywell Aerospace Inc. | USD 163.02 | ▲ 0.34% |
| NOC | Northrop Grumman Corporation | USD 552.35 | ▲ 2.42% |
| HWM | Howmet Aerospace Inc. | USD 193.29 | ▼ 7.14% |
| LHX | L3Harris Technologies, Inc. | USD 254.23 | ▲ 2.7% |
| GD | General Dynamics Corporation | USD 350.79 | ▲ 1.76% |
| HEI | Heico Corporation | USD 300.02 | ▲ 0.57% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt