Unusual Machines, Inc. (UMAC) Stock Price & Analysis

Unusual Machines, Inc. (UMAC) closed at USD 16.27 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, down 4.18% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.

The prior close was USD 16.98; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 15.65–16.93 on volume of 2,494,510 shares. Market capitalization is $812.79M, with a 52-week range of USD 7.25–34.93 (ASE). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 11:17 UTC.

Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/UMAC.md

Key facts (UMAC)

• Last four reported quarters (through Jun 30, 2026): revenue $31.9M, net income -$6.5M (-20.3% margin), free cash flow -$58.5M (SEC filings).
• Insider open-market sales, last ~7 months: 10 Form 4 filings, $8.8M; 2 not under a Rule 10b5-1 plan ($3.8M); 0 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders (three-year test, Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski 2012).
• Analysts: Buy (mean 1.63 on a 1–5 scale) (8 analysts), mean target USD 39 (range 30–45).
• Total return with dividends: 1Y +37.0% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y +444.1% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
• Next earnings: 2026-11-05, EPS estimate USD -0.16, revenue estimate $12.3M.

Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (UMAC)

Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.

Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (UMAC)

P/S 25.5x · P/B 2.1x · FCF yield -7.20% · Earnings yield -0.80%

Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (UMAC)

8 of 10 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.

% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).

Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.

Analysts (UMAC)

Consensus Buy (mean 1.63 on a 1–5 scale), 8 analysts; mean target USD 39 (low 30, high 45).

Rating changes, last 120 days:

Total return (dividends reinvested) (UMAC)

UMAC revenue by product line (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)

As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).

UMAC customer concentration

In the period ended Dec 31, 2025, 2 direct customers each accounted for at least 10% (16.7%, 15.9%) of revenue, per the company's 10-K filed Mar 12, 2026. The company does not name them.

UMAC company outlook (results filed Aug 6, 2026)

• “As a note, we do not expect Q3 revenue to follow this historical quarterly pattern, as our additional labor and capacity are engaged in foundational work to enable us to dramatically expand in Q4 and into 2027.”
• “I expect production margins to decline from the 34.7% reported in Q2 as we incur introduction costs in Q3, then rebound in Q4 as revenue ramps up quickly again.”
• “We are still targeting to achieve this by the end of 2026 as revenues increase and margins recover from the anticipated pressure created by the introduction of new operating centers and processes.”
• “Our focus remains on building the infrastructure necessary to support that ecosystem, and we are pursuing this with the expectation that we will not be demand-limited through 2027.”

Quoted word-for-word from the SEC 8-K results press release.

UMAC analyst estimates and revisions

UMAC options: expected move

Options price a move of about ±17.7% (±$2.93) by Nov 6, 2026, which includes earnings on Nov 5, 2026; the earnings reaction alone is priced at about ±9.5%. Over the last 7 reports the stock moved ±6.3% on average.

30-day implied volatility 100.3% vs 70.2% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 1.46. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.

Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 11:17 UTC)

Technical Analysis (UMAC)

Nexqual's technical model rates UMAC "SELL" based on 2 bullish and 5 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 11:17 UTC.

Analyst Ratings (UMAC)

Wall Street analysts rate UMAC "Buy" based on 8 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 39 (range USD 30–45), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 11:17 UTC.

Earnings (UMAC)

Recent Earnings History

Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 11:17 UTC.

Financials & Fundamentals (UMAC)

Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 11:17 UTC.

Financial Health Score (UMAC)

Nexqual rates Unusual Machines, Inc.'s overall financial health "Mixed" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 11:17 UTC.

Ownership (UMAC)

Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 11:17 UTC.

Leadership (UMAC)

Unusual Machines, Inc. is led by Andrew Camden, President & COO, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 11:17 UTC.

Major Backers & Investors (UMAC)

Notable institutional backers of Unusual Machines, Inc. include Halter Ferguson Financial Inc. , Hood River Capital Management LLC, Ameriprise Financial, Inc., according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 11:17 UTC.

Active Investors

Index Funds (Passive)

Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 11:17 UTC.

From Unusual Machines, Inc.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-03-12)

Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)

• The FCC's updated restrictions apply to new device models but do not prohibit the import, sale or use of any existing models previously authorized by the FCC. the restriction to exempt drones and drones components on the Pentagon's Blue List of cleared UAS aircraft, such as components produced by foreign manufacturers including Sony, Nvidia and Panasonic.
• Fortune Business Insights likewise forecasts the motor market at $6.7 billion in 2025, with expansion toward $16.3 billion by 2034 as commercial and industrial drone deployment increases. targets that are cash flow positive and manufacture and sell drone components or enable us to domestically produce them.

Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.

Peers & Related Stocks

Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 11:17 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.

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