USA Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR) Stock Price & Analysis

USA Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR) closed at USD 9.63 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, down 5.87% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.

The prior close was USD 10.23; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 9.41–10.06 on volume of 12,596,002 shares. Market capitalization is $3.61B, with a 52-week range of USD 9.41–32.8 (NGM). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 11:03 UTC.

Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/USAR.md

Key facts (USAR)

• Insider open-market sales, last ~7 months: 2 Form 4 filings, $1.5M; 2 not under a Rule 10b5-1 plan ($1.5M); 0 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders (three-year test, Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski 2012).
• Analysts: Buy (mean 1.89 on a 1–5 scale) (9 analysts), mean target USD 35.56 (range 21–45).
• Total return with dividends: 1Y -60.0% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y -4.9% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
• Next earnings: 2026-11-05, EPS estimate USD -0.15, revenue estimate $13.6M.

Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (USAR)

Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.

Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (USAR)

P/B 1.4x · FCF yield -6.80% · Earnings yield -7.87%

Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (USAR)

0 of 2 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.

% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).

Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.

Analysts (USAR)

Consensus Buy (mean 1.89 on a 1–5 scale), 9 analysts; mean target USD 35.56 (low 21, high 45).

Rating changes, last 120 days:

Total return (dividends reinvested) (USAR)

USAR revenue by region (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)

As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).

USAR suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 10-K)

Quoted from the company's 10-K filed Mar 30, 2026.

USAR customer concentration

In the period ended Jun 30, 2026, 4 direct customers each accounted for at least 10% (29%, 26%, 23%, 18%) of revenue, per the company's 10-Q filed Aug 10, 2026. The company does not name them.

USAR analyst estimates and revisions

USAR options: expected move

Options price a move of about ±13.8% (±$1.33) by Nov 6, 2026, which includes earnings on Nov 5, 2026; the earnings reaction alone is priced at about ±4.0%. Over the last 7 reports the stock moved ±5.7% on average.

30-day implied volatility 87.5% vs 61.4% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0.6. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.

Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 11:03 UTC)

Technical Analysis (USAR)

Nexqual's technical model rates USAR "SELL" based on 2 bullish and 5 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 11:03 UTC.

Analyst Ratings (USAR)

Wall Street analysts rate USAR "Buy" based on 9 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 35.56 (range USD 21–45), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 11:03 UTC.

Earnings (USAR)

Recent Earnings History

Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 11:03 UTC.

Financials & Fundamentals (USAR)

Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 11:03 UTC.

Financial Health Score (USAR)

Nexqual rates USA Rare Earth, Inc.'s overall financial health "Weak" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 11:03 UTC.

Ownership (USAR)

Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 11:03 UTC.

Leadership (USAR)

USA Rare Earth, Inc. is led by Thrasyvoulos Moraitis, President, CEO & Director, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 11:03 UTC.

Major Backers & Investors (USAR)

Notable institutional backers of USA Rare Earth, Inc. include Alyeska Investment Group, L.p., UBS Group AG, Price (T.Rowe) Associates Inc, according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 11:03 UTC.

Active Investors

Index Funds (Passive)

Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 11:03 UTC.

From USA Rare Earth, Inc.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-03-30)

Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)

• Our plan is to build an integrated platform to encompass the entire rare earth value chain: extraction and separation of rare earth oxides; conversion of oxides into metals, alloys and strip-cast; and production of sintered neodymium-iron-boron ("NdFeB") permanent magnets.
• The Colorado Facility serves as the technical engine driving our proprietary extraction and separation technology platform, which is the foundational intellectual property underpinning our entire processing approach.
• We have applied for a U.S. patent in connection with our proprietary methods for metal extraction.
• Generally, we rely on a combination of trade secret protection, non-disclosure and licensing agreements, patents and trademarks to establish and protect our proprietary intellectual property rights.

Partnerships

• As discussed further above, on March 4, 2026, we entered into the TMRC Merger Agreement with respect to the proposed TMRC Mergers.
• Less Common Metals has a strategic partnership with Solvay SA ("Solvay"), a multinational chemical company, to supply rare earth metals to Permag LLC, a leader in high-precision magnets and magnetic assemblies, and Arnold Magnetic Technologies Corporation, a producer of advanced permanent magnets.

Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)

• We will be required to obtain and maintain governmental permits and approvals to develop and operate the Projects, a process which is often costly and time-consuming. Failure to obtain or retain any necessary permits or approvals for our planned operations may negatively impact our business.
• We may not be able to obtain or renew permits or approvals that are necessary to our planned operations, or we may discover that the cost and time required to obtain or renew such permits and approvals exceeds our expectations.
• The U.S. has imposed, and could impose in the future, broad-ranging tariffs on imports from some of its largest trading partners. In retaliation, many countries have imposed, and could impose in the future, counter-tariffs on U.S.-produced items. Tariffs have spurred, and could continue to spur, additional retaliatory moves by affected countries, including by China and the European Union member states.
• USA Rare Earth, Inc. | 2025 Annual Report (Form 10-K) | 35

Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.

Peers & Related Stocks

Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 11:03 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.

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