Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST) Stock Price & Analysis
Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST) closed at USD 70.61 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, down 1.16% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 71.44; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 69.09–72.28 on volume of 692,116 shares. Market capitalization is $7.81B, with a 52-week range of USD 36.57–81.44 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 09:55 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/VIST.md
Key facts (VIST)
- 2 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold VIST (13F, Q2 2026): 0 new, 2 added, 0 reduced, 0 unchanged.
- Analysts: Buy (mean 1.67 on a 1–5 scale) (12 analysts), mean target USD 91.11 (range 74.13–111.46).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +77.7% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y +946.1% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-10-28, EPS estimate USD 43.47, revenue estimate $1.20B.
Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026) (VIST)
2 of 80 tracked investors hold VIST. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Ketterer | Causeway Capital Management | 0.35% | $32.0M | Added +126.9% |
| Polen Capital | Polen Capital Management | <0.01% | $541K | Added +163.9% |
Analysts (VIST)
Consensus Buy (mean 1.67 on a 1–5 scale), 12 analysts; mean target USD 91.11 (low 74.13, high 111.46).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | JP Morgan | Target raised | Overweight | $93 → $94 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (VIST)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +77.7% | +946.1% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | +78.0% | +59.7% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 46.2% | 51.3% |
| Max drawdown | -23.8% (May 2026→Jul 2026) | -41.9% (Dec 2024→Sep 2025) |
VIST suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 20-F)
| Relationship | Company | Sentence in the filing |
|---|---|---|
| Supplier | Dell Technologies (DELL) | “Our partners of choice for high-availability servers and storage include Dell, IBM, and NetApp; for networking and firewalls, we rely on Cisco; and for administrative processes and internal controls, we use SAP and satellite solutions, which standardize our operations across the organization.” |
| Supplier | IBM (IBM) | “Our partners of choice for high-availability servers and storage include Dell, IBM, and NetApp; for networking and firewalls, we rely on Cisco; and for administrative processes and internal controls, we use SAP and satellite solutions, which standardize our operations across the organization.” |
| Supplier | Cisco (CSCO) | “Our partners of choice for high-availability servers and storage include Dell, IBM, and NetApp; for networking and firewalls, we rely on Cisco; and for administrative processes and internal controls, we use SAP and satellite solutions, which standardize our operations across the organization.” |
| Supplier | SAP (SAP) | “Our partners of choice for high-availability servers and storage include Dell, IBM, and NetApp; for networking and firewalls, we rely on Cisco; and for administrative processes and internal controls, we use SAP and satellite solutions, which standardize our operations across the organization.” |
| Customer | Trafigura Argentina | “In the past three years, our main domestic customers were Raizen and Trafigura.” |
| Customer | Vista Energy International | “VEISA is a company fully owned by Vista and was established as a part of our export-oriented strategy in order to broaden our market reach and expand our customer base.” |
| Customer | Valle | “Production from our Neuquina Basin properties is mostly transported to Puerto Rosales, a major industrial port in the southern region of the Province of Buenos Aires through the Oldelval pipeline system, then goes to either the domestic refining market, which processed approximately 540 Mbbl/d during 2025, or to international customers through maritime transportation.” |
| Partner | Argentina | “A continued deterioration of economic conditions in Brazil, Argentina's main trading partner, and a deterioration of the economies of other important trading partners of Argentina, such as China or the United States, or emerging markets in general, could have a significant adverse impact on Argentina's trade balance and adversely affect Argentina's economic growth, and therefore, could negatively impact our financ…” |
| Partner | Banco Santander, S.A. (SAN) | “On January 30, 2026, Vista Argentina entered into the 2026 Credit Agreement with Banco Santander, S.A.” |
| Partner | Norte | “We are the operator and holder of an 84.6% working interest in the unincorporated joint venture for the exploitation concession for Coirón Amargo Norte in the Neuquina Basin located in the Province of Neuquén, which covers approximately 26,598 gross acres.” |
| Partner | Vista Sponsor Holdings | “On August 1, 2017, prior to the closing of our initial public offering in Mexico, Vista and its strategic partners, Vista Sponsor Holdings, L.P. (an entity controlled by senior personnel from Riverstone Investment Group LLC) together with Miguel Galuccio, Pablo Vera Pinto, Juan Garoby and Alejandro Cherñacov (collectively, the "Sponsor"), entered into a strategic partners agreement ("Strategic Partners Agreement")…” |
| Partner | Riverstone Investment Group | “On August 1, 2017, prior to the closing of our initial public offering in Mexico, Vista and its strategic partners, Vista Sponsor Holdings, L.P. (an entity controlled by senior personnel from Riverstone Investment Group LLC) together with Miguel Galuccio, Pablo Vera Pinto, Juan Garoby and Alejandro Cherñacov (collectively, the "Sponsor"), entered into a strategic partners agreement ("Strategic Partners Agreement")…” |
| Competitor | Chevron (CVX) | “In Argentina, we compete for resources with YPF, Pan American, Pluspetrol, Tecpetrol, Chevron, Pampa, Compañía General de Combustibles, among others.” |
Quoted from the company's 20-F filed Apr 28, 2026.
VIST analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $43.47 | $56.30 | -22.8% | $1.20B | 3 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $60.62 | $69.56 | -12.9% | $1.23B | 2 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $190.23 | $170.85 | +11.3% | $4.34B | 5 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $194.33 | $171.37 | +13.4% | $4.42B | 6 |
VIST options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±10.9% (±$7.60) by Nov 20, 2026, which includes earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2026 | 28 | 48.1% | ±10.9% |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 56 | 44.4% | ±14.1% |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 84 | 45.4% | ±17.6% |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 147 | 41.8% | ±21.3% |
| May 21, 2027 | 210 | 42.9% | ±26.1% |
| Jun 17, 2027 | 237 | 43.9% | ±28.3% |
30-day implied volatility 47.3% vs 33.9% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0.12. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 09:55 UTC)
| Price | USD 70.61 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▼ 1.16% (down) |
| Previous Close | USD 71.44 |
| Open | USD 71.95 |
| Day Range | USD 69.09 – 72.28 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 36.57 – 81.44 |
| Volume | 692,116 shares |
| Market Cap | $7.81B |
| Exchange | NYQ |
Technical Analysis (VIST)
Nexqual's technical model rates VIST "STRONG BUY" based on 5 bullish and 0 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:55 UTC.
| Overall Signal | STRONG BUY |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 52.06 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Above (USD 70.48) |
| MACD | 0.29 (positive) |
Analyst Ratings (VIST)
Wall Street analysts rate VIST "Buy" based on 12 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 91.11 (range USD 74.13–111.46), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:55 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Buy |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 12 |
| Mean Target | USD 91.11 |
| High Target | USD 111.46 |
| Low Target | USD 74.13 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 12 / 0 / 0 |
Earnings (VIST)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-10-28 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 43.47 |
| Revenue Estimate | $1.20B |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 41.5 vs est 48.44 ▼ miss |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 15.56 vs est 18.75 ▼ miss |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 8.41 vs est 17.17 ▼ miss |
| 2025-09-30 | USD 27.27 vs est 21.03 ▲ beat |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:55 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (VIST)
| Total Revenue | $3.53B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +102.30% |
| Gross Margin | +82.52% |
| Operating Margin | +44.24% |
| Profit Margin | +23.56% |
| ROE | +29.79% |
| Debt / Equity | 1.07 |
| Current Ratio | 0.69 |
| Total Cash | $606.81M |
| Total Debt | $3.75B |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:55 UTC.
Financial Health Score (VIST)
Nexqual rates Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V.'s overall financial health "Solid" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:55 UTC.
| Growth | Strong — Revenue +50% YoY (annual) |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Strong — Gross margin 83%, operating 44% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Weak — $607M cash vs $3.75B debt |
| Cash Flow | Solid — Operating cash flow $1.81B (TTM) |
| Efficiency | Strong — ROE 30%, ROA 10.0% |
Ownership (VIST)
| Insider Ownership | +11.74% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +61.32% |
| Shares Outstanding | 110.62M |
| Float | 89.76M |
| Short % of Float | +2.65% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:55 UTC.
Leadership (VIST)
Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. is led by Miguel Matias Galuccio, Founder, Chairman & CEO, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:55 UTC.
| Founder, Chairman & CEO | Miguel Matias Galuccio |
|---|---|
| Co-Founder & CFO | Pablo Manuel Vera Pinto |
| Co-Founder & CTO | Juan Garoby |
Major Backers & Investors (VIST)
Notable institutional backers of Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. include Capital Group, JPMorgan, Price (T.Rowe) Associates Inc, according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:55 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| Capital Group | 5.63% |
| JPMorgan | 5% |
| Price (T.Rowe) Associates Inc | 4.14% |
| New World Fund Inc | 3.43% |
| Abu Dhabi Investment Council Co P.j.s.c | 2.61% |
| Baillie Gifford | 2.47% |
| Lazard Asset Management LLC | 2.34% |
| Ninety One UK Ltd | 2% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:55 UTC.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHRD | Chord Energy Corporation | USD 150.48 | ▼ 0.25% |
| MTDR | Matador Resources Company | USD 56.79 | ▼ 1.66% |
| MGY | Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation | USD 25.27 | ▼ 0.63% |
| SM | SM Energy Company | USD 38.42 | ▼ 0.49% |
| RRC | Range Resources Corporation | USD 43.86 | ▲ 2.14% |
| MUR | Murphy Oil Corporation | USD 42.37 | ▼ 1.37% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 09:55 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt