YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) Stock Price & Analysis
YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) closed at USD 49.17 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, down 2.38% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 50.37; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 47.96–50.83 on volume of 868,923 shares. Market capitalization is $19.28B, with a 52-week range of USD 25.1–57.87 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 10:05 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/YPF.md
Key facts (YPF)
- 1 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold YPF (13F, Q2 2026): 0 new, 1 added, 0 reduced, 0 unchanged.
- Insider open-market sales, last ~7 months: 1 Form 4 filings, $10K; 1 not under a Rule 10b5-1 plan ($10K); 0 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders (three-year test, Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski 2012).
- Insider open-market purchases, last ~7 months: 3 Form 4 filings, $537K; 0 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders.
- Analysts: Buy (mean 1.92 on a 1–5 scale) (13 analysts), mean target USD 61.97 (range 50–78).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +82.9% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y +1000.0% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-10-28, EPS estimate USD 1.82, revenue estimate $8.57T.
Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026) (YPF)
1 of 80 tracked investors hold YPF. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Howard Marks | Oaktree Capital | 1.19% | $45.1M | Added +11.8% |
Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (YPF)
0 of 1 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | % of holdings sold | 10b5-1 plan | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-29 | Maquieyra Martin | Director | 218 | $10K | 100% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).
Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.
Insider purchases (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (YPF)
3 purchases, $537K. Private placements, offerings, dividend reinvestment and employee stock purchase plan buys are excluded.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | Avg price | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | Marin Horacio Daniel | Chairman of the Board/ CEO | 2,840 | $132K | 46.35 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-07-02 | Farina Matias Osvaldo | VP Upstream | 8,875 | $401K | 45.22 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-05-29 | Maquieyra Martin | Director | 77 | $4K | 54.44 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
Analysts (YPF)
Consensus Buy (mean 1.92 on a 1–5 scale), 13 analysts; mean target USD 61.97 (low 50, high 78).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | JP Morgan | Target raised | Overweight | $61.5 → $66 |
| 2026-08-27 | UBS | Target raised | Neutral | $48 → $55 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (YPF)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +82.9% | +1000.0% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | +83.2% | +61.4% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 42.7% | 55.7% |
| Max drawdown | -21.2% (Jun 2026→Jul 2026) | -47.9% (Jan 2025→Sep 2025) |
YPF suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 20-F)
| Relationship | Company | Sentence in the filing |
|---|---|---|
| Supplier | Argentina | “Regarding the natural gas market, the revenues we obtain from selling natural gas in Argentina to certain segments, particularly residential clients and generation plants have been subject to government regulations and thus could be negatively affected by changing policies.” |
| Supplier | Aerolineas Argentinas | “In 2025, our Board of Directors approved a supply agreement of jet fuel with Aerolineas Argentinas S.A. for three years.” |
| Supplier | YPF Gas | “The LPG unit does not directly supply the retail market, which is supplied by our associate, YPF Gas S.A. ("YPF Gas"), among other LPG fractionators.” |
| Partner | Argentine | “On January 28, 2022, the Argentine government reached an agreement with the International Monetary Fund ("IMF"), approved through Law No. 27,668, to refinance US$ 44.0 billion of debt incurred between 2018 and 2019 under a Stand-By Agreement, originally scheduled to be paid in the years 2021, 2022 and 2023.” |
| Partner | Mega | “The LNG and Integrated Gas business segment performs activities related to: (i) natural gas transportation and commercialization to third parties and to the Midstream and Downstream business segment; (ii) the separation of NGLs and their fractionation, storage and transportation for the production of ethane, propane, butane and gasoline, and its commercialization, through our joint venture Compañía Mega S.A. ("Meg…” |
| Partner | Santa Fe Bio | “In 2025, the company Santa Fe Bio S.A. was created, a joint venture with Essential Energy S.A., in which we hold a 50% equity stake, which plans to build an advanced technology biorefinery to produce aviation fuels from vegetable oils.” |
| Partner | Essential Energy | “In 2025, the company Santa Fe Bio S.A. was created, a joint venture with Essential Energy S.A., in which we hold a 50% equity stake, which plans to build an advanced technology biorefinery to produce aviation fuels from vegetable oils.” |
| Partner | METHANEX CORP (MEOH) | “In August 2024, YPF entered into a muti-year term firm agreement with Methanex that allows the supply of the remaining natural gas volumes originally committed under the GSA 2001 until December 2025 and the natural gas volumes not delivered for regulatory reasons agreed to be recovered with Methanex until November 2027.” |
| Partner | Profertil | “During 2025, and until December 2025, our activities in the fertilizer market included the production, storage, distribution and sale of fertilizers through our joint venture Profertil S.A. ("Profertil"), one of the market leaders of fertilizers in the Southern Cone.” |
| Partner | Buenos Aires | “We and several other industrial companies operating in La Plata City, in the Buenos Aires Province, have entered into a community emergency response agreement with three municipalities and local hospitals, firefighters and other health and safety service providers to implement an emergency response program.” |
| Partner | Oil Spill Response | “Additionally, in 2025, we continued our agreement with Oil Spill Response Ltd. which provides support to our Oil Spill Contingency Plan, evaluating and reducing the possible environmental impact caused by an oil spill in the Argentine Sea, thus reducing the environmental impact of potential oil spills.” |
| Partner | Wild Well Control | “We also keep our agreement with Wild Well Control Inc. and Gabino Lockwood up to date, in order to be prepared for possible blow out events.” |
Quoted from the company's 20-F filed Mar 26, 2026.
YPF analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $1.82 | $1.54 | +18.2% | $8.57T | 1 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $1.07 | $0.93 | +15.1% | $7.83T | 1 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $7.15 | $5.77 | +23.9% | $33.14T | 4 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $5.49 | $5.79 | -5.3% | $30.94T | 5 |
YPF options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±10.0% (±$4.97) by Nov 20, 2026, which includes earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2026 | 28 | 44.3% | ±10.0% |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 56 | 42.7% | ±13.4% |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 84 | 42.2% | ±16.1% |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 147 | 40.7% | ±20.4% |
| Apr 16, 2027 | 175 | 39.2% | ±21.4% |
| May 21, 2027 | 210 | 42.5% | ±25.4% |
| Aug 20, 2027 | 301 | 43.5% | ±31.0% |
| Nov 19, 2027 | 392 | 45.8% | ±37.0% |
30-day implied volatility 43.3% vs 32.4% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 1.97. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 10:05 UTC)
| Price | USD 49.17 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▼ 2.38% (down) |
| Previous Close | USD 50.37 |
| Open | USD 50.4 |
| Day Range | USD 47.96 – 50.83 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 25.1 – 57.87 |
| Volume | 868,923 shares |
| Market Cap | $19.28B |
| Exchange | NYQ |
Technical Analysis (YPF)
Nexqual's technical model rates YPF "STRONG SELL" based on 0 bullish and 5 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 10:05 UTC.
| Overall Signal | STRONG SELL |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 40.9 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Below (USD 51.93) |
| MACD | -0.49 (negative) |
Analyst Ratings (YPF)
Wall Street analysts rate YPF "Buy" based on 13 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 61.97 (range USD 50–78), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 10:05 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Buy |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 13 |
| Mean Target | USD 61.97 |
| High Target | USD 78 |
| Low Target | USD 50 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 10 / 3 / 0 |
Earnings (YPF)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-10-28 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 1.82 |
| Revenue Estimate | $8.57T |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 3.07 vs est 2.66 ▲ beat |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 0.97 vs est 0.92 ▲ beat |
| 2025-12-31 | USD -1.67 vs est 0.78 ▼ miss |
| 2025-09-30 | USD -0.62 vs est 0.59 ▼ miss |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:05 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (YPF)
| Total Revenue | $29.23T |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +72.20% |
| Gross Margin | +35.64% |
| Operating Margin | +27.51% |
| Profit Margin | +4.00% |
| ROE | +7.26% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.85 |
| Current Ratio | 0.93 |
| Total Cash | $3.66T |
| Total Debt | $16.02T |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:05 UTC.
Financial Health Score (YPF)
Nexqual rates YPF Sociedad Anónima's overall financial health "Mixed" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 10:05 UTC.
| Growth | Strong — Revenue +27% YoY (annual) |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Solid — Gross margin 36%, operating 28% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Weak — ARS 3.66T cash vs ARS 16.02T debt |
| Cash Flow | Solid — Operating cash flow ARS 10.98T (TTM) |
| Efficiency | Mixed — ROE 7%, ROA 8.3% |
Ownership (YPF)
| Insider Ownership | +0.34% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +40.60% |
| Shares Outstanding | 392.02M |
| Float | 160.44M |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:05 UTC.
Leadership (YPF)
YPF Sociedad Anónima is led by Horacio Daniel Marin, CEO & Non Independent Chairman, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 10:05 UTC.
| CEO & Non Independent Chairman | Horacio Daniel Marin |
|---|---|
| Vice President of Finance | Pedro Luis Kearney |
| Technology Vice President | Alejandro Luis Wyss |
| Vice President of Administration & Reporting | Juan Jose Mata |
| Corporate Vice President of Legal Affairs | German Fernandez Lahore |
Major Backers & Investors (YPF)
Notable institutional backers of YPF Sociedad Anónima include Aquamarine Financial (cayman) Ltd, FMR, LLC, Fidelity, according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 10:05 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| Aquamarine Financial (cayman) Ltd | 3.16% |
| FMR, LLC | 2.72% |
| Fidelity | 1.96% |
| JPMorgan | 1.19% |
| North of South Capital LLP | 1.02% |
| Vr Advisory Services Ltd | 0.82% |
| Duquesne Family Office Llc | 0.8% |
| Mirae Asset Global ETFs Holdings Ltd. | 0.41% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:05 UTC.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| EC | Ecopetrol S.A. | USD 17.01 | ▼ 1.33% |
| NFG | National Fuel Gas Company | USD 80.93 | ▲ 2.04% |
| CVE | Cenovus Energy Inc | USD 32.01 | ▼ 3.38% |
| IMO | Imperial Oil Limited | USD 131.84 | ▼ 2.75% |
| E | ENI S.p.A. | USD 59.53 | ▲ 0.56% |
| SU | Suncor Energy Inc. | USD 77.41 | ▼ 2.04% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 10:05 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt