Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (ALRM) Stock Price & Analysis
Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (ALRM) closed at USD 66.54 on Thursday, October 29, 2026, up 2.50% on the day. The US market is currently closed (after-hours); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 64.92; the Oct 29, 2026 session ranged USD 63.67–66.65 on volume of 532,748 shares. Market capitalization is $3.27B, with a 52-week range of USD 41.49–66.65 (NMS). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 29, 2026 at 23:43 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/ALRM.md
Key facts (ALRM)
- Valuation: P/E 27.1x (avg 31.8x at the last 3 fiscal year-ends), EV/EBITDA 18.8x, net debt $11.7M.
- Analysts: Hold (mean 2.67 on a 1–5 scale) (6 analysts), mean target USD 63 (range 40–85).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +35.5% vs S&P 500 +14.4%; 5Y -21.0% vs S&P 500 +79.1%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-05, EPS estimate USD 0.75, revenue estimate $266M. All companies reporting that day: https://nexqual.com/earnings/2026-11-05
- Dividend: ALRM paid no cash dividend in the last five years.
- Short interest: 9.53% of float (as of 2026-10-15), 6.5 days to cover.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (ALRM)
P/E 27.1x · P/S 3.0x · EV/EBITDA 18.8x · EV/Sales 3.0x · P/FCF 17.0x · P/B 3.7x · FCF yield 5.90% · Earnings yield 3.68% · Buyback yield (TTM) 2.40% · Net debt $11.7M · EV $3.20B
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 22.8x, Dec 2024 28.8x, Dec 2023 43.9x.
Analysts (ALRM)
Consensus Hold (mean 2.67 on a 1–5 scale), 6 analysts; mean target USD 63 (low 40, high 85).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Barclays | Target raised | Equal-Weight | $55 → $60 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (ALRM)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-30) | 5Y (from 2021-10-25) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +35.5% | -21.0% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.4% | +79.1% |
| Per year | +35.7% | -4.6% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 30.2% | 30.2% |
| Max drawdown | -20.7% (Dec 2025→May 2026) | -52.5% (Nov 2021→Mar 2026) |
Dividends (ALRM)
ALRM paid no cash dividend in the last five years.
Short interest (ALRM)
3,096,633 shares sold short, 9.53% of the float, as of Oct 15, 2026 (exchange short-interest report, published about twice a month). Prior report (Sep 15, 2026): 2,955,286 shares (+4.8%). Days to cover: 6.5 (short shares ÷ average daily volume).
ALRM earnings history and stock reaction
| Results filed | Quarter | EPS | Consensus | Surprise | Stock reaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | Quarter ended Jun 30, 2026 | $0.77 | $0.65 | Beat +18.5% | — |
| — | Quarter ended Mar 31, 2026 | $0.65 | $0.60 | Beat +8.3% | — |
| — | Quarter ended Dec 31, 2025 | $0.72 | $0.64 | Beat +12.5% | — |
| — | Quarter ended Sep 30, 2025 | $0.76 | $0.61 | Beat +24.6% | — |
EPS as reported against the analyst consensus before the release; surprise uses the cent-rounded figures shown (in dollars when EPS and consensus have opposite signs). Stock reaction = close before the results to close after (the first close following a release after the bell or before the open).
ALRM analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $0.75 | $0.76 | -1.1% | $266.3M | 6 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $0.74 | $0.73 | +2.2% | $274.1M | 6 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $2.89 | $2.77 | +4.4% | $1.08B | 6 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $3.07 | $2.96 | +3.6% | $1.13B | 6 |
Key Statistics (as of October 29, 2026 at 23:43 UTC)
| Price | USD 66.54 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▲ 2.50% (up) |
| Previous Close | USD 64.92 |
| Open | USD 64.78 |
| Day Range | USD 63.67 – 66.65 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 41.49 – 66.65 |
| Volume | 532,748 shares |
| Market Cap | $3.27B |
| Exchange | NMS |
Technical Analysis (ALRM)
Nexqual's technical model rates ALRM "BUY" based on 5 bullish and 2 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 29, 2026 at 23:43 UTC.
| Overall Signal | BUY |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 87.56 (overbought) |
| vs SMA50 | Above (USD 56.85) |
| MACD | 2.7 (positive) |
Analyst Ratings (ALRM)
Wall Street analysts rate ALRM "Hold" based on 6 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 63 (range USD 40–85), per Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 23:43 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Hold |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 6 |
| Mean Target | USD 63 |
| High Target | USD 85 |
| Low Target | USD 40 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 3 / 2 / 1 |
Earnings (ALRM)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-11-05 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 0.75 |
| Revenue Estimate | $266.33M |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 0.77 vs est 0.65 ▲ beat |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 0.65 vs est 0.6 ▲ beat |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 0.72 vs est 0.64 ▲ beat |
| 2025-09-30 | USD 0.76 vs est 0.61 ▲ beat |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 23:43 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (ALRM)
| Total Revenue | $1.06B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +9.20% |
| Gross Margin | +65.81% |
| Operating Margin | +15.07% |
| Profit Margin | +11.11% |
| ROE | +13.31% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.62 |
| Current Ratio | 4.96 |
| Total Cash | $481.32M |
| Total Debt | $567.47M |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 23:43 UTC.
Financial Health Score (ALRM)
Nexqual rates Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.'s overall financial health "Solid" across five dimensions, as of October 29, 2026 at 23:43 UTC.
| Growth | Solid — Revenue +8% YoY (annual) |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Strong — Gross margin 66%, operating 15% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Strong — $481M cash vs $567M debt |
| Cash Flow | Solid — Operating cash flow $199M (TTM) |
| Efficiency | Mixed — ROE 13%, ROA 5.0% |
Ownership (ALRM)
| Insider Ownership | +5.59% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +101.63% |
| Shares Outstanding | 49.09M |
| Float | 46.59M |
| Short % of Float | +9.53% |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 23:43 UTC.
Leadership (ALRM)
Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. is led by Stephen S. Trundle, CEO & Director, per Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 23:43 UTC.
| CEO & Director | Stephen S. Trundle |
|---|---|
| Chief Financial Officer | Kevin Bradley |
| President of Platforms Business | Daniel Kerzner |
| Vice President of Strategic Communications & Investor Relations | Matthew Zartman |
| Senior Vice President of Sales | Donald Natale |
Major Backers & Investors (ALRM)
Notable institutional backers of Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. include Disciplined Growth Investors, Inc., Bank of Montreal /CAN/, Morgan Stanley, according to Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 23:43 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| Disciplined Growth Investors, Inc. | 7.25% |
| Bank of Montreal /CAN/ | 6.99% |
| Morgan Stanley | 2.39% |
| Arrowstreet Capital, Limited Partnership | 2.04% |
| Fidelity | 1.06% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| BlackRock | 19.19% |
| Vanguard Group | 12.49% |
| State Street | 4.42% |
| Geode Capital | 2.71% |
| Dimensional Fund Advisors | 2.54% |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 23:43 UTC.
From Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-02-19)
Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)
- Today, our products are currently localized and available in over 50 countries outside of North America, including Argentina, Chile, Sweden, Turkey and the United Kingdom.
- Our proprietary algorithms help safeguard connected properties by continuously monitoring devices and sensors and learning the unique activity patterns in a property.
- The Alarm.com platform supports the end-to-end process for deploying and managing our solutions with tools that make installation and support more efficient and accurate.
- Our platforms are architected to scale and our technology team has developed proprietary cloud-based applications to support our service provider partners and subscribers.
Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)
- Evolving government and industry regulation and changes in applicable laws relating to the Internet and data privacy may increase our expenditures related to compliance efforts or otherwise limit the solutions we can offer, which may harm our business and adversely affect our financial condition.
- Failure to comply with laws and regulations could harm our business.
- We have indemnity obligations to certain of our service provider partners for certain expenses and liabilities resulting from intellectual property infringement claims regarding our platforms and solutions, which could force us to incur substantial costs.
- Our amended and restated certificate of incorporation designates the Court of Chancery of the State of Delaware and, to the extent enforceable, the federal district courts of the United States of America as the exclusive forums for certain litigation that may be initiated by our stockholders, which could limit our stockholders' ability to obtain a favorable judicial forum for disputes with us.
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| CVLT | Commvault Systems, Inc. | USD 171.61 | ▲ 3.09% |
| APPF | AppFolio, Inc. | USD 207.05 | ▲ 1% |
| TTAN | ServiceTitan, Inc. | USD 80.73 | ▼ 0.16% |
| DSGX | The Descartes Systems Group Inc | USD 92.03 | ▼ 0.36% |
| YMM | Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. | USD 8.09 | ▲ 0.12% |
| IDCC | InterDigital, Inc. | USD 334.27 | ▲ 4.28% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 29, 2026 at 23:43 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt