Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (ALRM) Stock Price & Analysis

Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (ALRM) closed at USD 66.54 on Thursday, October 29, 2026, up 2.50% on the day. The US market is currently closed (after-hours); this is not a live price.

The prior close was USD 64.92; the Oct 29, 2026 session ranged USD 63.67–66.65 on volume of 532,748 shares. Market capitalization is $3.27B, with a 52-week range of USD 41.49–66.65 (NMS). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 29, 2026 at 23:43 UTC.

Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/ALRM.md

Key facts (ALRM)

Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (ALRM)

P/E 27.1x · P/S 3.0x · EV/EBITDA 18.8x · EV/Sales 3.0x · P/FCF 17.0x · P/B 3.7x · FCF yield 5.90% · Earnings yield 3.68% · Buyback yield (TTM) 2.40% · Net debt $11.7M · EV $3.20B

P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 22.8x, Dec 2024 28.8x, Dec 2023 43.9x.

Analysts (ALRM)

Consensus Hold (mean 2.67 on a 1–5 scale), 6 analysts; mean target USD 63 (low 40, high 85).

Rating changes, last 120 days:

DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
2026-08-10BarclaysTarget raisedEqual-Weight$55 → $60

Total return (dividends reinvested) (ALRM)

1Y (from 2025-10-30)5Y (from 2021-10-25)
Total return+35.5%-21.0%
S&P 500 (SPY)+14.4%+79.1%
Per year+35.7%-4.6%
Volatility (annualized)30.2%30.2%
Max drawdown-20.7% (Dec 2025→May 2026)-52.5% (Nov 2021→Mar 2026)

Dividends (ALRM)

ALRM paid no cash dividend in the last five years.

Short interest (ALRM)

3,096,633 shares sold short, 9.53% of the float, as of Oct 15, 2026 (exchange short-interest report, published about twice a month). Prior report (Sep 15, 2026): 2,955,286 shares (+4.8%). Days to cover: 6.5 (short shares ÷ average daily volume).

ALRM earnings history and stock reaction

Results filedQuarterEPSConsensusSurpriseStock reaction
—Quarter ended Jun 30, 2026$0.77$0.65Beat +18.5%—
—Quarter ended Mar 31, 2026$0.65$0.60Beat +8.3%—
—Quarter ended Dec 31, 2025$0.72$0.64Beat +12.5%—
—Quarter ended Sep 30, 2025$0.76$0.61Beat +24.6%—

EPS as reported against the analyst consensus before the release; surprise uses the cent-rounded figures shown (in dollars when EPS and consensus have opposite signs). Stock reaction = close before the results to close after (the first close following a release after the bell or before the open).

ALRM analyst estimates and revisions

PeriodEPS estimate90 days agoChangeRevenue estimateAnalysts
Current quarter (ends Sep 2026)$0.75$0.76-1.1%$266.3M6
Next quarter (ends Dec 2026)$0.74$0.73+2.2%$274.1M6
Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026)$2.89$2.77+4.4%$1.08B6
Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027)$3.07$2.96+3.6%$1.13B6

Key Statistics (as of October 29, 2026 at 23:43 UTC)

PriceUSD 66.54
Change▲ 2.50% (up)
Previous CloseUSD 64.92
OpenUSD 64.78
Day RangeUSD 63.67 – 66.65
52-Week RangeUSD 41.49 – 66.65
Volume532,748 shares
Market Cap$3.27B
ExchangeNMS

Technical Analysis (ALRM)

Nexqual's technical model rates ALRM "BUY" based on 5 bullish and 2 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 29, 2026 at 23:43 UTC.

Overall SignalBUY
RSI (14)87.56 (overbought)
vs SMA50Above (USD 56.85)
MACD2.7 (positive)

Analyst Ratings (ALRM)

Wall Street analysts rate ALRM "Hold" based on 6 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 63 (range USD 40–85), per Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 23:43 UTC.

Consensus RatingHold
Analyst Count6
Mean TargetUSD 63
High TargetUSD 85
Low TargetUSD 40
Buy / Hold / Sell3 / 2 / 1

Earnings (ALRM)

Next Earnings Date2026-11-05
EPS EstimateUSD 0.75
Revenue Estimate$266.33M

Recent Earnings History

QuarterActual vs Estimate
2026-06-30USD 0.77 vs est 0.65 ▲ beat
2026-03-31USD 0.65 vs est 0.6 ▲ beat
2025-12-31USD 0.72 vs est 0.64 ▲ beat
2025-09-30USD 0.76 vs est 0.61 ▲ beat

Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 23:43 UTC.

Financials & Fundamentals (ALRM)

Total Revenue$1.06B
Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY)+9.20%
Gross Margin+65.81%
Operating Margin+15.07%
Profit Margin+11.11%
ROE+13.31%
Debt / Equity0.62
Current Ratio4.96
Total Cash$481.32M
Total Debt$567.47M

Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 23:43 UTC.

Financial Health Score (ALRM)

Nexqual rates Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.'s overall financial health "Solid" across five dimensions, as of October 29, 2026 at 23:43 UTC.

GrowthSolid — Revenue +8% YoY (annual)
ProfitabilityStrong — Gross margin 66%, operating 15% (last 12 months)
Balance SheetStrong — $481M cash vs $567M debt
Cash FlowSolid — Operating cash flow $199M (TTM)
EfficiencyMixed — ROE 13%, ROA 5.0%

Ownership (ALRM)

Insider Ownership+5.59%
Institutional Ownership+101.63%
Shares Outstanding49.09M
Float46.59M
Short % of Float+9.53%

Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 23:43 UTC.

Leadership (ALRM)

Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. is led by Stephen S. Trundle, CEO & Director, per Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 23:43 UTC.

CEO & DirectorStephen S. Trundle
Chief Financial OfficerKevin Bradley
President of Platforms BusinessDaniel Kerzner
Vice President of Strategic Communications & Investor RelationsMatthew Zartman
Senior Vice President of SalesDonald Natale

Major Backers & Investors (ALRM)

Notable institutional backers of Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. include Disciplined Growth Investors, Inc., Bank of Montreal /CAN/, Morgan Stanley, according to Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 23:43 UTC.

Active Investors

InvestorStake
Disciplined Growth Investors, Inc.7.25%
Bank of Montreal /CAN/6.99%
Morgan Stanley2.39%
Arrowstreet Capital, Limited Partnership2.04%
Fidelity1.06%

Index Funds (Passive)

FundStake
BlackRock19.19%
Vanguard Group12.49%
State Street4.42%
Geode Capital2.71%
Dimensional Fund Advisors2.54%

Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 23:43 UTC.

From Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-02-19)

Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)

Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)

Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.

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Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 29, 2026 at 23:43 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.

For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt