Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. (YMM) Stock Price & Analysis
Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. (YMM) closed at USD 8.35 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, down 1.76% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 8.5; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 8.27–8.54 on volume of 13,389,878 shares. Market capitalization is $8.73B, with a 52-week range of USD 7.46–13.4 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 09:12 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/YMM.md
Key facts (YMM)
- 1 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold YMM (13F, Q2 2026): 0 new, 0 added, 1 reduced, 0 unchanged.
- Analysts: Buy (mean 1.87 on a 1–5 scale) (15 analysts), mean target USD 12.54 (range 9.08–16.34).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y -33.8% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y -46.3% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-16, EPS estimate USD 1.34, revenue estimate $3.31B.
Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026) (YMM)
1 of 80 tracked investors hold YMM. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Davis | Davis Advisors | 0.96% | $224M | Reduced -3.9% |
Analysts (YMM)
Consensus Buy (mean 1.87 on a 1–5 scale), 15 analysts; mean target USD 12.54 (low 9.08, high 16.34).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-29 | JP Morgan | Upgrade | Neutral → Overweight | $8.6 → $10 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (YMM)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | -33.8% | -46.3% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | -33.9% | -11.7% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 36.1% | 59.6% |
| Max drawdown | -42.7% (Oct 2025→Jun 2026) | -70.6% (Oct 2021→Oct 2022) |
YMM suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 20-F)
| Relationship | Company | Sentence in the filing |
|---|---|---|
| Partner | Morespark | “Parties to the agreement include over 80 legal entities that held our preferred shares prior to our IPO as follows: (i) Morespark Limited, (ii) Hillhouse TCA TRK Holdings Limited, (iii) Hillhouse TRK-III Holdings Limited, (iv) Shanghai Dingbei Enterprise Management Consulting Partnership (Limited Partnership), (v) Redview Capital Investment VI Limited, (vi) HERO FINE GROUP LIMITED, (vii) Eastern Bell International…” |
| Partner | Hillhouse TCA TRK Holdings | “Parties to the agreement include over 80 legal entities that held our preferred shares prior to our IPO as follows: (i) Morespark Limited, (ii) Hillhouse TCA TRK Holdings Limited, (iii) Hillhouse TRK-III Holdings Limited, (iv) Shanghai Dingbei Enterprise Management Consulting Partnership (Limited Partnership), (v) Redview Capital Investment VI Limited, (vi) HERO FINE GROUP LIMITED, (vii) Eastern Bell International…” |
| Partner | Hillhouse TRK-III Holdings | “Parties to the agreement include over 80 legal entities that held our preferred shares prior to our IPO as follows: (i) Morespark Limited, (ii) Hillhouse TCA TRK Holdings Limited, (iii) Hillhouse TRK-III Holdings Limited, (iv) Shanghai Dingbei Enterprise Management Consulting Partnership (Limited Partnership), (v) Redview Capital Investment VI Limited, (vi) HERO FINE GROUP LIMITED, (vii) Eastern Bell International…” |
| Partner | Redview Capital Investment VI | “Parties to the agreement include over 80 legal entities that held our preferred shares prior to our IPO as follows: (i) Morespark Limited, (ii) Hillhouse TCA TRK Holdings Limited, (iii) Hillhouse TRK-III Holdings Limited, (iv) Shanghai Dingbei Enterprise Management Consulting Partnership (Limited Partnership), (v) Redview Capital Investment VI Limited, (vi) HERO FINE GROUP LIMITED, (vii) Eastern Bell International…” |
| Partner | Eastern Bell International XXIV | “Parties to the agreement include over 80 legal entities that held our preferred shares prior to our IPO as follows: (i) Morespark Limited, (ii) Hillhouse TCA TRK Holdings Limited, (iii) Hillhouse TRK-III Holdings Limited, (iv) Shanghai Dingbei Enterprise Management Consulting Partnership (Limited Partnership), (v) Redview Capital Investment VI Limited, (vi) HERO FINE GROUP LIMITED, (vii) Eastern Bell International…” |
| Partner | Pantheon Access Co-Investment Program | “Parties to the agreement include over 80 legal entities that held our preferred shares prior to our IPO as follows: (i) Morespark Limited, (ii) Hillhouse TCA TRK Holdings Limited, (iii) Hillhouse TRK-III Holdings Limited, (iv) Shanghai Dingbei Enterprise Management Consulting Partnership (Limited Partnership), (v) Redview Capital Investment VI Limited, (vi) HERO FINE GROUP LIMITED, (vii) Eastern Bell International…” |
| Partner | GGV Capital VI | “Parties to the agreement include over 80 legal entities that held our preferred shares prior to our IPO as follows: (i) Morespark Limited, (ii) Hillhouse TCA TRK Holdings Limited, (iii) Hillhouse TRK-III Holdings Limited, (iv) Shanghai Dingbei Enterprise Management Consulting Partnership (Limited Partnership), (v) Redview Capital Investment VI Limited, (vi) HERO FINE GROUP LIMITED, (vii) Eastern Bell International…” |
| Partner | GGV Capital VI Plus | “Parties to the agreement include over 80 legal entities that held our preferred shares prior to our IPO as follows: (i) Morespark Limited, (ii) Hillhouse TCA TRK Holdings Limited, (iii) Hillhouse TRK-III Holdings Limited, (iv) Shanghai Dingbei Enterprise Management Consulting Partnership (Limited Partnership), (v) Redview Capital Investment VI Limited, (vi) HERO FINE GROUP LIMITED, (vii) Eastern Bell International…” |
| Related party | Plus Automation | “As of December 31, 2025, We had paid US$18 million to Plus Automation, Inc., with the remaining consideration of RMB14,058 recorded in amounts due to related parties.” |
Quoted from the company's 20-F filed Apr 14, 2026.
Companies that name YMM in their SEC reports
| Relationship to YMM | Company | Filing | Sentence |
|---|---|---|---|
| partner | JOYY Inc. (JOYY) | 20-F Apr 28, 2026 | “Mr. Ji is the cofounder and managing partner of All-Stars Investment Limited, which focuses on investing in technology leaders, such as Didi, Xiaomi, Full Truck Alliance and Grab.” |
YMM analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $1.34 | $1.22 | +9.7% | $3.31B | 5 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $1.11 | $1.24 | -10.2% | $2.99B | 4 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $4.98 | $4.92 | +1.2% | $12.41B | 11 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $5.83 | $5.80 | +0.6% | $13.50B | 12 |
YMM options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±13.5% (±$1.13) by Dec 18, 2026, which includes earnings on Nov 16, 2026.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2026 | 56 | 33.6% | ±13.5% |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 147 | 39.6% | ±21.6% |
30-day implied volatility 50.5% vs 26% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) —. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 09:12 UTC)
| Price | USD 8.35 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▼ 1.76% (down) |
| Previous Close | USD 8.5 |
| Open | USD 8.44 |
| Day Range | USD 8.27 – 8.54 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 7.46 – 13.4 |
| Volume | 13,389,878 shares |
| Market Cap | $8.73B |
| Exchange | NYQ |
Technical Analysis (YMM)
Nexqual's technical model rates YMM "SELL" based on 1 bullish and 4 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:12 UTC.
| Overall Signal | SELL |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 43.42 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Below (USD 8.48) |
| MACD | 0.06 (positive) |
Analyst Ratings (YMM)
Wall Street analysts rate YMM "Buy" based on 15 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 12.54 (range USD 9.08–16.34), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:12 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Buy |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 15 |
| Mean Target | USD 12.54 |
| High Target | USD 16.34 |
| Low Target | USD 9.08 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 13 / 2 / 0 |
Earnings (YMM)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-11-16 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 1.34 |
| Revenue Estimate | $3.31B |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 1.36 vs est 1.26 ▲ beat |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 1.15 vs est 0.97 ▲ beat |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 1.01 vs est 0.98 ▲ beat |
| 2025-09-30 | USD 0.93 vs est 1.02 ▼ miss |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:12 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (YMM)
| Total Revenue | $12.78B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +4.40% |
| Gross Margin | +87.26% |
| Operating Margin | +43.95% |
| Profit Margin | +32.99% |
| ROE | +10.42% |
| Debt / Equity | 0 |
| Current Ratio | 7.96 |
| Total Cash | $23.55B |
| Total Debt | $24.86M |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:12 UTC.
Financial Health Score (YMM)
Nexqual rates Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.'s overall financial health "Solid" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:12 UTC.
| Growth | Solid — Revenue +11% YoY (annual) |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Strong — Gross margin 87%, operating 44% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Strong — CNY 23.6B cash vs CNY 25M debt, net cash position |
| Cash Flow | Solid — Operating cash flow CNY 6.70B (TTM) |
| Efficiency | Mixed — ROE 10%, ROA 6.1% |
Ownership (YMM)
| Insider Ownership | +0.94% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +84.90% |
| Shares Outstanding | 932.51M |
| Float | 764.08M |
| Short % of Float | +2.20% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:12 UTC.
Leadership (YMM)
Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. is led by Hui Zhang, Founder, Chairman & CEO, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:12 UTC.
| Founder, Chairman & CEO | Hui Zhang |
|---|---|
| President & Director | Langbo Guo |
| Chief Cultural Officer, Vice President of Human Resource & Director | Guizhen Ma |
Major Backers & Investors (YMM)
Notable institutional backers of Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. include First Beijing Investment Ltd, Invesco, FIL LTD, according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:12 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| First Beijing Investment Ltd | 9.84% |
| Invesco | 6.66% |
| FIL LTD | 6.49% |
| Greenwoods Asset Management Hong Kong Ltd. | 4.23% |
| Krane Funds Advisors LLC | 3.04% |
| Davis Selected Advisers | 2.96% |
| Krane Shares Trust-KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF | 2.69% |
| JPMorgan | 2.48% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| BlackRock | 3.45% |
| Vanguard Group | 2.52% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:12 UTC.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| IDCC | InterDigital, Inc. | USD 332.06 | ▼ 0.78% |
| PCOR | Procore Technologies, Inc. | USD 62.29 | ▲ 2.27% |
| PCTY | Paylocity Holding Corporation | USD 177.67 | ▲ 4.93% |
| TTAN | ServiceTitan, Inc. | USD 85.2 | ▲ 3.5% |
| DSGX | The Descartes Systems Group Inc | USD 94 | ▲ 1.74% |
| APPF | AppFolio, Inc. | USD 217.33 | ▲ 0.06% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 09:12 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt