Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (AMBP) Stock Price & Analysis
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (AMBP) closed at USD 4.73 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, up 3.05% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 4.59; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 4.62–4.88 on volume of 3,838,029 shares. Market capitalization is $2.83B, with a 52-week range of USD 3.29–5.47 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 10:00 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/AMBP.md
Key facts (AMBP)
- Analysts: Hold (mean 3.14 on a 1–5 scale) (7 analysts), mean target USD 5.08 (range 4.7–6).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +26.1% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y -25.4% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-10-22, EPS estimate USD 0.02, revenue estimate $1.42B.
Analysts (AMBP)
Consensus Hold (mean 3.14 on a 1–5 scale), 7 analysts; mean target USD 5.08 (low 4.7, high 6).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | UBS | Target lowered | Neutral | $5 → $4.5 |
| 2026-07-25 | UBS | Target raised | Neutral | $4.75 → $5 |
| 2026-07-15 | Wells Fargo | Target raised | Equal-Weight | $4 → $5 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (AMBP)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +26.1% | -25.4% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | +26.2% | -5.7% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 33.9% | 41.8% |
| Max drawdown | -19.7% (Feb 2026→Apr 2026) | -69.3% (Oct 2021→Oct 2023) |
AMBP suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 20-F)
| Relationship | Company | Sentence in the filing |
|---|---|---|
| Partner | PepsiCo (PEP) | “For example, in 2025 Celsius made two acquisitions, purchasing Alani Nu in April 2025 and the Rockstar Energy brand in the U.S. and Canada from PepsiCo as part of a strategic partnership in August 2025.” |
Quoted from the company's 20-F filed Mar 5, 2026.
AMBP analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $0.02 | $0.03 | -31.7% | $1.42B | 5 |
| Next quarter (ends Mar 2027) | $0.05 | $0.05 | -3.6% | $1.53B | 4 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $0.26 | $0.27 | -3.7% | $6.35B | 5 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $0.28 | $0.30 | -6.3% | $6.39B | 6 |
AMBP options: expected move
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2026 | 56 | 44.4% | ±16.9% |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 84 | 22.1% | ±11.1% |
30-day implied volatility 34.1% vs 31% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 10:00 UTC)
| Price | USD 4.73 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▲ 3.05% (up) |
| Previous Close | USD 4.59 |
| Open | USD 4.65 |
| Day Range | USD 4.62 – 4.88 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 3.29 – 5.47 |
| Volume | 3,838,029 shares |
| Market Cap | $2.83B |
| Exchange | NYQ |
Technical Analysis (AMBP)
Nexqual's technical model rates AMBP "NEUTRAL" based on 3 bullish and 3 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 10:00 UTC.
| Overall Signal | NEUTRAL |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 56.59 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Below (USD 4.77) |
| MACD | -0.01 (negative) |
Analyst Ratings (AMBP)
Wall Street analysts rate AMBP "Hold" based on 7 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 5.08 (range USD 4.7–6), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 10:00 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Hold |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 7 |
| Mean Target | USD 5.08 |
| High Target | USD 6 |
| Low Target | USD 4.7 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 1 / 5 / 1 |
Earnings (AMBP)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-10-22 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 0.02 |
| Revenue Estimate | $1.42B |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | USD 0.08 vs est 0.08 ▲ beat |
| 2026-06-30 | USD 0.11 vs est 0.09 ▲ beat |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 0.05 vs est 0.03 ▲ beat |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 0.03 vs est 0.02 ▲ beat |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:00 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (AMBP)
| Total Revenue | $6.26B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +18.60% |
| Gross Margin | +12.47% |
| Operating Margin | +6.73% |
| Profit Margin | +0.93% |
| Current Ratio | 1.07 |
| Total Cash | $213.00M |
| Total Debt | $4.32B |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:00 UTC.
Financial Health Score (AMBP)
Nexqual rates Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.'s overall financial health "Mixed" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 10:00 UTC.
| Growth | Solid — Revenue +12% YoY (annual) |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Weak — Gross margin 12%, operating 7% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Mixed — $213M cash vs $4.32B debt |
| Cash Flow | Solid — Operating cash flow $493M (TTM) |
| Efficiency | Mixed — No data |
Ownership (AMBP)
| Insider Ownership | +76.11% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +21.61% |
| Shares Outstanding | 597.71M |
| Float | 149.93M |
| Short % of Float | +6.30% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:00 UTC.
Leadership (AMBP)
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. is led by Oliver James Graham, CEO & Director, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 10:00 UTC.
| CEO & Director | Oliver James Graham |
|---|---|
| Executive Chairman | Mark Porto |
| CFO & Director | Stefan Schellinger |
| Investor Relations Director | Stephen Lyons |
Major Backers & Investors (AMBP)
Notable institutional backers of Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. include Arini Capital Management Ltd, Canyon Capital Advisors LLC, Goldman Sachs, according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 10:00 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| Arini Capital Management Ltd | 3.5% |
| Canyon Capital Advisors LLC | 1.74% |
| Goldman Sachs | 1.45% |
| Platinum Equity, LLC | 0.89% |
| Diameter Capital Partners LP | 0.84% |
| Private Management Group, Inc. | 0.83% |
| Empyrean Capital Partners, LP | 0.67% |
| GLOBAL X FUNDS-Global X SuperDividend U.S. ETF | 0.55% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| BlackRock | 1.38% |
| Dimensional Fund Advisors | 0.86% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:00 UTC.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| GPK | Graphic Packaging Holding Compa | USD 9.04 | ▲ 7.75% |
| SLGN | Silgan Holdings Inc. | USD 39.76 | ▲ 2.05% |
| GEF | Greif Inc. | USD 83.13 | ▲ 1.5% |
| SON | Sonoco Products Company | USD 50.27 | ▼ 1.35% |
| REYN | Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. | USD 23.61 | ▲ 4.28% |
| TRS | TriMas Corporation | USD 39.9 | ▲ 0.18% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 10:00 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt