Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) Stock Price & Analysis
Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) closed at USD 9.04 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, up 7.75% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 8.39; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 8.33–9.05 on volume of 11,608,350 shares. Market capitalization is $2.68B, with a 52-week range of USD 8.15–18 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 09:22 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/GPK.md
Key facts (GPK)
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 30, 2026): revenue $8.64B, net income $194M (2.2% margin) (SEC filings).
- Valuation: P/E 13.8x (avg 11.1x at the last 3 fiscal year-ends), EV/EBITDA 7.6x, net debt $5.44B.
- 1 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold GPK (13F, Q2 2026): 0 new, 1 added, 0 reduced, 0 unchanged.
- Insider open-market purchases, last ~7 months: 2 Form 4 filings, $354K; 0 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders.
- Analysts: Hold (mean 2.91 on a 1–5 scale) (11 analysts), mean target USD 10.95 (range 9–17).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y -46.8% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y -51.4% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-03, EPS estimate USD 0.22, revenue estimate $2.16B.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (GPK)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $7.16B | $9.44B | $9.43B | $8.81B | $8.62B | $8.64B |
| Gross profit | $1.07B | $1.83B | $2.12B | $1.96B | $1.60B | — |
| Operating income | $407M | $906M | $1.17B | $1.12B | $804M | $504M |
| Net income | $204M | $522M | $723M | $658M | $444M | $194M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.68 | $1.69 | $2.34 | $2.16 | $1.48 | — |
| Gross margin | 15.0% | 19.4% | 22.5% | 22.3% | 18.6% | — |
| Operating margin | 5.7% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 5.8% |
| Net margin | 2.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Revenue growth | +9.1% | +31.9% | -0.1% | -6.6% | -2.2% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $172M | $150M | $162M | $157M | $261M | — |
| Total debt | $5.78B | $5.23B | $5.35B | $5.16B | $5.55B | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (GPK)
P/E 13.8x · P/S 0.3x · EV/EBITDA 7.6x · EV/Sales 0.9x · P/B 0.8x · Earnings yield 7.25% · Dividend yield (paid, TTM) 4.86% · Net debt $5.44B · EV $8.12B
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 10.2x, Dec 2024 12.6x, Dec 2023 10.5x.
Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026) (GPK)
1 of 80 tracked investors hold GPK. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Einhorn | Greenlight Capital | 2.69% | $105M | Added +9.4% |
Insider purchases (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (GPK)
2 purchases, $354K. Private placements, offerings, dividend reinvestment and employee stock purchase plan buys are excluded.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | Avg price | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-08 | Hagemann Robert | Director | 14,000 | $154K | 11 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-05-07 | Stafeil Jeffrey | Director | 17,878 | $200K | 11.19 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.
Analysts (GPK)
Consensus Hold (mean 2.91 on a 1–5 scale), 11 analysts; mean target USD 10.95 (low 9, high 17).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Wells Fargo | Target lowered | Underweight | $10 → $9 |
| 2026-10-13 | RBC Capital | Target lowered | Sector Perform | $10 → $9 |
| 2026-10-12 | Truist Securities | Target lowered | Hold | $11 → $9 |
| 2026-10-05 | UBS | Target lowered | Neutral | $12 → $9.5 |
| 2026-10-02 | Citigroup | Target lowered | Neutral | $13 → $9 |
| 2026-09-30 | RBC Capital | Target lowered | Sector Perform | $11 → $10 |
| 2026-09-23 | JP Morgan | Upgrade | Neutral → Overweight | $12.5 → $11.5 |
| 2026-09-11 | B of A Securities | Target lowered | Neutral | $14 → $13 |
| 2026-08-06 | UBS | Target raised | Neutral | $11 → $12 |
| 2026-08-05 | Wells Fargo | Target raised | Underweight | $9 → $10 |
| 2026-07-15 | Wells Fargo | Target raised | Underweight | $8 → $9 |
| 2026-06-29 | JP Morgan | Initiated | Neutral | $11.7 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (GPK)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | -46.8% | -51.4% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | -46.9% | -13.4% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 47.2% | 30.0% |
| Max drawdown | -51.5% (Oct 2025→Oct 2026) | -70.6% (Sep 2024→Oct 2026) |
GPK revenue by business segment (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Americas Paperboard Packaging | $1.49B | 68.0% | -1.6% |
| International Paperboard Packaging | $579.0M | 26.5% | +3.4% |
| Total revenue | $2.19B | 100% | — |
As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).
GPK suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 10-K)
| Relationship | Company | Sentence in the filing |
|---|---|---|
| Customer | GENERAL MILLS INC (GIS) | “Consumer product customers include The Kraft Heinz Company, General Mills, Inc., Nestlé USA, Inc., Mars, Inc., Ferrero Group and Kimberly-Clark Corporation, among others.” |
| Customer | McDonald's (MCD) | “Quick-service restaurant customers include Chick-fil-A, McDonald's, Wendy's, Panda Express, Dairy Queen, Chipotle, Panera and KFC.” |
| Customer | Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) | “Health/beauty customers include GlaxoSmithKline, Bayer, Johnson & Johnson, Abbott, Novartis, L'Oréal S.A., Procter & Gamble and Colgate-Palmolive.” |
| Customer | Procter & Gamble (PG) | “Health/beauty customers include GlaxoSmithKline, Bayer, Johnson & Johnson, Abbott, Novartis, L'Oréal S.A., Procter & Gamble and Colgate-Palmolive.” |
| Partner | Coca-Cola (KO) | “Prior to working in the Coca-Cola system, Mr. Lischer held various roles with Deloitte, most recently serving as a National Office Partner.” |
Quoted from the company's 10-K filed Mar 2, 2026.
GPK company outlook (results filed Aug 4, 2026)
- “The Company now expects 2026 Net Sales at the high-end of the range of $8.4 billion to $8.6 billion, Adjusted EBITDA at the low-end of the range of $1.05 billion to $1.25 billion, and Adjusted EPS in the range of $0.65 to $0.90.”
- “The Company now expects 2026 Adjusted Cash Flow in the range of $600 million to $700 million, and 2026 capital spending below $450 million.”
Quoted word-for-word from the SEC 8-K results press release.
GPK analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $0.22 | $0.35 | -37.7% | $2.16B | 10 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $0.22 | $0.26 | -15.2% | $2.10B | 9 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $0.67 | $0.82 | -18.4% | $8.63B | 10 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $0.97 | $1.16 | -16.0% | $8.80B | 9 |
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 09:22 UTC)
| Price | USD 9.04 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▲ 7.75% (up) |
| Previous Close | USD 8.39 |
| Open | USD 8.25 |
| Day Range | USD 8.33 – 9.05 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 8.15 – 18 |
| Volume | 11,608,350 shares |
| Market Cap | $2.68B |
| Exchange | NYQ |
Technical Analysis (GPK)
Nexqual's technical model rates GPK "SELL" based on 2 bullish and 4 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:22 UTC.
| Overall Signal | SELL |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 50.05 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Below (USD 9.79) |
| MACD | -0.32 (negative) |
Analyst Ratings (GPK)
Wall Street analysts rate GPK "Hold" based on 11 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 10.95 (range USD 9–17), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:22 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Hold |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 11 |
| Mean Target | USD 10.95 |
| High Target | USD 17 |
| Low Target | USD 9 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 2 / 8 / 1 |
Earnings (GPK)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-11-03 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 0.22 |
| Revenue Estimate | $2.16B |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 0.14 vs est 0.12 ▲ beat |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 0.09 vs est 0.06 ▲ beat |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 0.29 vs est 0.35 ▼ miss |
| 2025-09-30 | USD 0.58 vs est 0.57 ▲ beat |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:22 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (GPK)
| Total Revenue | $8.64B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | -0.70% |
| Gross Margin | +15.49% |
| Operating Margin | +4.53% |
| Profit Margin | +2.25% |
| ROE | +6.01% |
| Debt / Equity | 1.76 |
| Current Ratio | 1.38 |
| Total Cash | $207.00M |
| Total Debt | $5.70B |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:22 UTC.
Financial Health Score (GPK)
Nexqual rates Graphic Packaging Holding Company's overall financial health "Weak" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:22 UTC.
| Growth | Weak — Revenue -2% YoY (annual), declining |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Weak — Gross margin 15%, operating 5% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Weak — $205M cash and investments vs $5.65B debt (Jun 2026, SEC) |
| Cash Flow | Solid — Operating cash flow $841M (FY ended Dec 2025, 10-K) |
| Efficiency | Mixed — ROE 6%, ROA 3.1% |
Ownership (GPK)
| Insider Ownership | +1.55% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +122.10% |
| Shares Outstanding | 296.07M |
| Float | 270.88M |
| Short % of Float | +8.56% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:22 UTC.
Leadership (GPK)
Graphic Packaging Holding Company is led by Robbert E. Rietbroek, President, CEO & Director, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:22 UTC.
| President, CEO & Director | Robbert E. Rietbroek |
|---|---|
| Senior VP & Interim CFO | Charles D. Lischer |
| Executive VP & President of Americas | Joseph P. Yost |
| Senior Vice President & Chief Information Officer | Nikhil Narvekar |
| Vice President of Investor Relations | Melanie Skijus |
Major Backers & Investors (GPK)
Notable institutional backers of Graphic Packaging Holding Company include Fuller & Thaler Asset Management Inc., AQR Capital Management, LLC, FMR, LLC, according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:22 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| Fuller & Thaler Asset Management Inc. | 7.05% |
| AQR Capital Management, LLC | 6.83% |
| FMR, LLC | 5.87% |
| UNDISCOVERED MANAGERS Fd.S-Undiscovered Managers Behavioral Value Fd. | 4.96% |
| DME Capital Management, LP | 3.36% |
| Fidelity | 3.29% |
| American Century Companies Inc | 2.79% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| BlackRock | 14.07% |
| Vanguard Group | 9.4% |
| State Street | 3.53% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:22 UTC.
From Graphic Packaging Holding Company's Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-03-02)
Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)
- As of December 31, 2025, the Company had a large patent portfolio, presently owning, controlling or holding rights to more than 3,100 U.S. and foreign patents, with more than 900 U.S. and foreign patent applications currently pending.
Partnerships
- On April 30, 2025, the Company's Board of Directors authorized an additional share repurchase program to allow the Company to purchase up to $1.5 billion of the Company's issued and outstanding shares of common stock through open market purchases, privately negotiated transactions and Rule 10b5-1 plans (the "2025 share repurchase program").
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| AMBP | Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. | USD 4.73 | ▲ 3.05% |
| SLGN | Silgan Holdings Inc. | USD 39.76 | ▲ 2.05% |
| GEF | Greif Inc. | USD 83.13 | ▲ 1.5% |
| SON | Sonoco Products Company | USD 50.27 | ▼ 1.35% |
| REYN | Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. | USD 23.61 | ▲ 4.28% |
| TRS | TriMas Corporation | USD 39.9 | ▲ 0.18% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 09:22 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt