Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL) Stock Price & Analysis
Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL) closed at USD 4.94 on Wednesday, October 28, 2026, up 2.92% on the day. The US market is currently closed (after-hours); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 4.8; the Oct 28, 2026 session ranged USD 4.67–4.99 on volume of 858,274 shares. Market capitalization is $521.97M, with a 52-week range of USD 3.16–5.9 (NGM). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 28, 2026 at 22:44 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/ASTL.md
Key facts (ASTL)
- Analysts: Hold (mean 2.50 on a 1–5 scale) (4 analysts).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +16.2% vs S&P 500 +13.6%; 5Y -52.0% vs S&P 500 +79.8%.
- Next earnings: 2026-10-28, EPS estimate USD -0.73, revenue estimate $229M.
Analysts (ASTL)
Consensus Hold (mean 2.50 on a 1–5 scale), 4 analysts.
Total return (dividends reinvested) (ASTL)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-29) | 5Y (from 2021-10-25) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +16.2% | -52.0% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +13.6% | +79.8% |
| Per year | +16.3% | -13.6% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 68.5% | 51.5% |
| Max drawdown | -38.1% (Jun 2026→Jul 2026) | -70.9% (Nov 2024→Sep 2025) |
ASTL earnings history and stock reaction
| Results filed | Quarter | EPS | Consensus | Surprise | Stock reaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | Quarter ended Jun 30, 2026 | −$0.36 | −$0.80 | Beat +55.0% | — |
| — | Quarter ended Mar 31, 2026 | −$1.50 | −$1.15 | Miss −30.4% | — |
| — | Quarter ended Dec 31, 2025 | −$2.54 | −$1.08 | Miss −135.2% | — |
| — | Quarter ended Sep 30, 2025 | −$1.14 | −$0.98 | Miss −16.3% | — |
EPS as reported against the analyst consensus before the release; surprise uses the cent-rounded figures shown (in dollars when EPS and consensus have opposite signs). Stock reaction = close before the results to close after (the first close following a release after the bell or before the open).
ASTL recent SEC filings (last 120 days)
| Filed | Form | What it says |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | 25-NSE | Removal from exchange listing |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 6-K | Current report (foreign issuer) · period ended Oct 15, 2026 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | 6-K | Current report (foreign issuer) · period ended Oct 1, 2026 |
| Sep 2, 2026 | 6-K | Current report (foreign issuer) · period ended Sep 2, 2026 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | 6-K | Current report (foreign issuer) · period ended Aug 17, 2026 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Schedule 13G/A | MMCAP International Inc. SPC, MM Asset Management Inc.: 10.4% of shares, passive 5%+ holder (amended) |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Schedule 13G | DONALD SMITH & CO., INC., DSCO Value Fund, L.P.: 5.0% of shares, passive 5%+ holder |
| Jul 30, 2026 | 6-K | Current report (foreign issuer) · period ended Jun 30, 2026 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | 6-K | Current report (foreign issuer) · period ended Jul 16, 2026 |
| Jul 1, 2026 | 6-K | Current report (foreign issuer) · period ended Jun 30, 2026 |
Source: SEC EDGAR. Quotes are the opening words of each item as filed; each form links to the filing. Insider Form 4 filings are listed in the insider sections.
ASTL analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $-0.73 | $-0.31 | −$0.42 | $229.5M | 3 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $-0.20 | $-0.09 | −$0.11 | $295.7M | 1 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $-3.33 | $-3.02 | −$0.31 | $1.13B | 3 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $-0.36 | $-0.31 | −$0.05 | $1.78B | 1 |
Key Statistics (as of October 28, 2026 at 22:44 UTC)
| Price | USD 4.94 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▲ 2.92% (up) |
| Previous Close | USD 4.8 |
| Open | USD 4.78 |
| Day Range | USD 4.67 – 4.99 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 3.16 – 5.9 |
| Volume | 858,274 shares |
| Market Cap | $521.97M |
| Exchange | NGM |
Technical Analysis (ASTL)
Nexqual's technical model rates ASTL "BUY" based on 5 bullish and 2 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 28, 2026 at 22:44 UTC.
| Overall Signal | BUY |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 68.39 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Above (USD 4.34) |
| MACD | 0.14 (positive) |
Analyst Ratings (ASTL)
Wall Street analysts rate ASTL "Hold" based on 4 analysts, per Nexqual as of October 28, 2026 at 22:44 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Hold |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 4 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 1 / 3 / 0 |
Earnings (ASTL)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-10-28 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD -0.73 |
| Revenue Estimate | $229.47M |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD -0.36 vs est -0.8 ▲ beat |
| 2026-03-31 | USD -1.5 vs est -1.15 ▼ miss |
| 2025-12-31 | USD -2.54 vs est -1.09 ▼ miss |
| 2025-09-30 | USD -1.14 vs est -0.98 ▼ miss |
Source: Nexqual, October 28, 2026 at 22:44 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (ASTL)
| Total Revenue | $1.54B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | -54.60% |
| Gross Margin | -45.53% |
| Operating Margin | -51.44% |
| Profit Margin | -71.61% |
| ROE | -139.13% |
| Debt / Equity | 3.68 |
| Current Ratio | 2.49 |
| Total Cash | $62.60M |
| Total Debt | $1.09B |
Source: Nexqual, October 28, 2026 at 22:44 UTC.
Ownership (ASTL)
| Insider Ownership | +5.04% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +71.82% |
| Shares Outstanding | 105.66M |
| Float | 70.51M |
| Short % of Float | +5.65% |
Source: Nexqual, October 28, 2026 at 22:44 UTC.
Leadership (ASTL)
Algoma Steel Group Inc. is led by Rajat Marwah, CEO & Director, per Nexqual as of October 28, 2026 at 22:44 UTC.
| CEO & Director | Rajat Marwah |
|---|---|
| Senior Vice President of Production | Michael Panzeri |
| Chief Financial Officer | Michael Moraca |
| Vice President of Human Resources and Corporate Affairs | Laura Devoni |
Major Backers & Investors (ASTL)
Notable institutional backers of Algoma Steel Group Inc. include Maple Rock Capital Partners, Inc., MMCAP International, Inc. SPC, Donald Smith & Co., Inc., according to Nexqual as of October 28, 2026 at 22:44 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| Maple Rock Capital Partners, Inc. | 15.96% |
| MMCAP International, Inc. SPC | 10.37% |
| Donald Smith & Co., Inc. | 4.99% |
| Scheer, Rowlett & Associates Investment Management, Ltd. | 3.64% |
| Morgan Stanley | 2.8% |
| Aegis Financial Corporation | 1.69% |
| Cdc Financial, Inc. | 1.65% |
| Aegis Funds-Aegis Value Fund | 1.63% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| BlackRock | 3.92% |
Source: Nexqual, October 28, 2026 at 22:44 UTC.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| MTUS | Metallus Inc. | USD 21.17 | ▲ 0.19% |
| NWPX | NWPX Infrastructure, Inc. | USD 99.67 | ▼ 0.17% |
| SID | Companhia Siderurgica Nacional | USD 0.8 | ▼ 7.55% |
| WS | Worthington Steel, Inc. | USD 42.35 | ▼ 0.84% |
| SIM | Grupo Simec, S.A.B. de C.V. | USD 25.86 | ▲ 0.15% |
| CLF | Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. | USD 13.94 | ▲ 0.29% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 28, 2026 at 22:44 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt