CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) Stock Price & Analysis

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) closed at USD 120.68 on Friday, October 23, 2026, up 1.79% on the day. The US market is currently closed; this is not a live price.

The prior close was USD 118.56; the Oct 23, 2026 session ranged USD 118.79–121.97 on volume of 2,034,356 shares. Market capitalization is $18.26B, with a 52-week range of USD 75.42–141.96 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 24, 2026 at 11:12 UTC.

Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/CF.md

Key facts (CF)

• Last four reported quarters (through Jun 30, 2026): revenue $7.74B, net income $2.50B (32.3% margin), free cash flow $1.91B (SEC filings).
• Valuation: P/E 7.3x (avg 8.6x at the last 3 fiscal year-ends), EV/EBITDA 4.7x, net debt $736M.
• Analysts: Hold (mean 2.77 on a 1–5 scale) (22 analysts), mean target USD 128.34 (range 105–195.72).
• Total return with dividends: 1Y +42.5% vs S&P 500 +13.4%; 5Y +135.9% vs S&P 500 +76.9%.
• Next earnings: 2026-11-04, EPS estimate USD 3.04, revenue estimate $1.79B.

Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (CF)

Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.

Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (CF)

P/E 7.3x · P/S 2.4x · EV/EBITDA 4.7x · EV/Sales 2.5x · P/FCF 9.6x · P/B 3.2x · FCF yield 10.46% · Earnings yield 13.69% · Dividend yield (paid, TTM) 1.72% · Buyback yield (TTM) 5.25% · Net debt $736M · EV $19.0B

P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 7.0x, Dec 2024 10.4x, Dec 2023 8.4x.

Analysts (CF)

Consensus Hold (mean 2.77 on a 1–5 scale), 22 analysts; mean target USD 128.34 (low 105, high 195.72).

Rating changes, last 120 days:

Total return (dividends reinvested) (CF)

CF revenue by business segment (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)

CF revenue by region (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)

As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).

CF suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 10-K)

Quoted from the company's 10-K filed Feb 25, 2026.

Companies that name CF in their SEC reports

CF customer concentration

In the period ended Dec 31, 2025, a single direct customer accounted for 13% of revenue, per the company's 10-K filed Feb 25, 2026. The company does not name it.

CF analyst estimates and revisions

CF options: expected move

Options price a move of about ±8.0% (±$9.60) by Nov 6, 2026, which includes earnings on Nov 4, 2026; the earnings reaction alone is priced at about ±4.6%. Over the last 5 reports the stock moved ±5.8% on average.

30-day implied volatility 46.5% vs 30.7% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0.57. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.

Key Statistics (as of October 24, 2026 at 11:12 UTC)

Technical Analysis (CF)

Nexqual's technical model rates CF "NEUTRAL" based on 3 bullish and 3 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 24, 2026 at 11:12 UTC.

Analyst Ratings (CF)

Wall Street analysts rate CF "Hold" based on 22 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 128.34 (range USD 105–195.72), per Nexqual as of October 24, 2026 at 11:12 UTC.

Earnings (CF)

Recent Earnings History

Source: Nexqual, October 24, 2026 at 11:12 UTC.

Financials & Fundamentals (CF)

Source: Nexqual, October 24, 2026 at 11:12 UTC.

Financial Health Score (CF)

Nexqual rates CF Industries Holdings, Inc.'s overall financial health "Strong" across five dimensions, as of October 24, 2026 at 11:12 UTC.

Ownership (CF)

Source: Nexqual, October 24, 2026 at 11:12 UTC.

Leadership (CF)

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is led by Christopher D. Bohn, CEO, President & Director, per Nexqual as of October 24, 2026 at 11:12 UTC.

Major Backers & Investors (CF)

Notable institutional backers of CF Industries Holdings, Inc. include Price (T.Rowe) Associates Inc, Capital Group, Invesco, according to Nexqual as of October 24, 2026 at 11:12 UTC.

Active Investors

Index Funds (Passive)

Source: Nexqual, October 24, 2026 at 11:12 UTC.

From CF Industries Holdings, Inc.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-02-25)

Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)

• Approximately 200 countries, including Canada, the United Kingdom and the members of the EU have joined the Paris Agreement, an international agreement intended to provide a framework pursuant to which the parties to the agreement will attempt to hold the increase in global average temperatures to below 2°C above pre-industrial levels and to pursue efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels.
• Our strategy is to leverage our unique capabilities to accelerate the world's transition to clean energy.
• Our unique capabilities include: advantaged production, unmatched distribution and logistics network, operational excellence and disciplined capital stewardship.
• Our leadership in ammonia production enables us to drive continued operational excellence in our underlying business while investing in decarbonization technologies to produce ammonia with a lower carbon intensity than that of ammonia produced through traditional processes ("low-carbon ammonia").

Partnerships

• On April 8, 2025, we formed the Blue Point joint venture with JERA Co., Inc. (JERA), Japan's largest energy company, and Mitsui & Co., Ltd. (Mitsui), a leading global investment and trading company, to construct a low-carbon ammonia production facility at our Blue Point complex located in Modeste, Louisiana.
• On December 1, 2023, we acquired an ammonia production facility located in Waggaman, Louisiana from Dyno Nobel Louisiana Ammonia, LLC (DNLA), a U.S. subsidiary of Australia-based Incitec Pivot Limited (IPL), pursuant to an asset purchase agreement with DNLA and IPL.

Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)

• We are subject to numerous environmental, health and safety laws, regulations and permitting requirements, as well as potential environmental liabilities, which may require us to make substantial expenditures or modify business plans.
• Regulatory or legislative provisions related to GHG emissions in the jurisdictions in which we operate or conduct business could materially adversely affect our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
• The market for low-carbon ammonia may be slow to develop, may not develop to the size expected or may not develop at all. Moreover, we may not be successful in the development and implementation of our low-carbon ammonia projects in a timely or economic manner, or at all, due to a number of factors, many of which are beyond our control.
• We believe the demand for low-carbon ammonia could take several years to materialize and then ten or more years to fully develop and mature, and we cannot be certain that this demand or the demand for low-carbon hydrogen will grow to the size or at the rate we expect or at all. In 2025, hydrogen was estimated to account for approximately 2% of global energy needs.

Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.

Peers & Related Stocks

Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 24, 2026 at 11:12 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.

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