The Mosaic Company (MOS) Stock Price & Analysis
The Mosaic Company (MOS) closed at USD 17.27 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, down 2.32% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 17.68; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 16.99–17.54 on volume of 13,288,213 shares. Market capitalization is $5.49B, with a 52-week range of USD 16.99–32.25 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 09:27 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/MOS.md
Key facts (MOS)
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 30, 2026): revenue $12.2B, net income -$639M (-5.2% margin), free cash flow -$947M (SEC filings).
- 2 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold MOS (13F, Q2 2026): 0 new, 0 added, 2 reduced, 0 unchanged.
- Analysts: Hold (mean 2.65 on a 1–5 scale) (20 analysts), mean target USD 26.27 (range 17–35).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y -39.6% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y -53.4% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-03, EPS estimate USD -0.02, revenue estimate $3.07B.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (MOS)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $12.4B | $19.1B | $13.7B | $11.1B | $12.1B | $12.2B |
| Gross profit | $3.20B | $5.76B | $2.21B | $1.51B | $1.90B | — |
| Operating income | $2.47B | $4.79B | $1.34B | $622M | $822M | -$170M |
| Net income | $1.63B | $3.58B | $1.16B | $175M | $541M | -$639M |
| EPS (diluted) | $4.27 | $10.06 | $3.50 | $0.55 | $1.70 | — |
| Free cash flow | $898M | $2.69B | $1.00B | $47.4M | -$535M | -$947M |
| Gross margin | 25.9% | 30.1% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 15.8% | — |
| Operating margin | 20.0% | 25.0% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | -1.4% |
| Net margin | 13.2% | 18.7% | 8.5% | 1.6% | 4.5% | -5.2% |
| Revenue growth | +42.3% | +54.8% | -28.4% | -18.8% | +8.4% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $770M | $735M | $349M | $273M | $277M | — |
| Total debt | $3.98B | $3.40B | $3.63B | $4.18B | $5.01B | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (MOS)
P/S 0.5x · EV/EBITDA 10.1x · EV/Sales 0.8x · P/B 0.5x · FCF yield -17.25% · Earnings yield -11.63% · Dividend yield (paid, TTM) 5.10% · Net debt $4.47B · EV $9.96B
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 14.2x, Dec 2024 45.1x, Dec 2023 10.2x.
Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026) (MOS)
2 of 80 tracked investors hold MOS. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Rogers | Ariel Investments | 0.03% | $2.6M | Reduced -16.7% |
| Mairs & Power | Mairs & Power Funds | <0.01% | $339K | Reduced -20.0% |
Analysts (MOS)
Consensus Hold (mean 2.65 on a 1–5 scale), 20 analysts; mean target USD 26.27 (low 17, high 35).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Barclays | Target lowered | Equal-Weight | $26 → $22 |
| 2026-10-13 | Mizuho | Target lowered | Neutral | $25 → $22 |
| 2026-10-05 | RBC Capital | Downgrade | Outperform → Sector Perform | $27 → $25 |
| 2026-09-11 | Keybanc | Initiated | Sector Weight | |
| 2026-08-13 | Freedom Broker | Downgrade | Buy → Sell | $32 → $17 |
| 2026-06-30 | Morgan Stanley | Target lowered | Equal-Weight | $28 → $26 |
| 2026-06-26 | Rothschild & Co | Initiated | Buy | $30 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (MOS)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | -39.6% | -53.4% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | -39.7% | -14.1% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 44.6% | 41.9% |
| Max drawdown | -43.9% (Mar 2026→Oct 2026) | -74.4% (Apr 2022→Oct 2026) |
MOS analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $-0.02 | $0.28 | -105.5% | $3.07B | 11 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $0.18 | $0.30 | -41.4% | $3.10B | 11 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $0.34 | $0.78 | -56.2% | $12.14B | 16 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $1.53 | $1.82 | -16.3% | $12.80B | 16 |
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 09:27 UTC)
| Price | USD 17.27 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▼ 2.32% (down) |
| Previous Close | USD 17.68 |
| Open | USD 17.46 |
| Day Range | USD 16.99 – 17.54 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 16.99 – 32.25 |
| Volume | 13,288,213 shares |
| Market Cap | $5.49B |
| Exchange | NYQ |
Technical Analysis (MOS)
Nexqual's technical model rates MOS "SELL" based on 2 bullish and 5 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:27 UTC.
| Overall Signal | SELL |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 17.02 (oversold) |
| vs SMA50 | Below (USD 22.5) |
| MACD | -1.52 (negative) |
Analyst Ratings (MOS)
Wall Street analysts rate MOS "Hold" based on 20 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 26.27 (range USD 17–35), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:27 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Hold |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 20 |
| Mean Target | USD 26.27 |
| High Target | USD 35 |
| Low Target | USD 17 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 8 / 10 / 2 |
Earnings (MOS)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-11-03 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD -0.02 |
| Revenue Estimate | $3.07B |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 0.13 vs est 0.14 ▼ miss |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 0.05 vs est 0.22 ▼ miss |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 0.22 vs est 0.47 ▼ miss |
| 2025-09-30 | USD 1.04 vs est 0.95 ▲ beat |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:27 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (MOS)
| Total Revenue | $12.25B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | -6.00% |
| Gross Margin | +11.24% |
| Operating Margin | -0.12% |
| Profit Margin | -5.21% |
| ROE | -5.07% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.52 |
| Current Ratio | 1.34 |
| Total Cash | $294.00M |
| Total Debt | $6.08B |
| Free Cash Flow (last four quarters to Jun 2026, SEC 10-Q / 10-K) | -$947.10M (-7.7% of revenue) |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:27 UTC.
Financial Health Score (MOS)
Nexqual rates The Mosaic Company's overall financial health "Weak" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:27 UTC.
| Growth | Solid — Revenue +8% YoY (annual) |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Critical — Gross margin 11%, operating -0% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Solid — $294M cash and investments vs $4.77B debt (Jun 2026, SEC) |
| Cash Flow | Weak — FCF negative: -$947M (last 4 quarters to Jun 2026, SEC), burning cash |
| Efficiency | Critical — ROE -5%, ROA 1.2% |
Ownership (MOS)
| Insider Ownership | +0.34% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +99.32% |
| Shares Outstanding | 317.90M |
| Float | 297.80M |
| Short % of Float | +12.52% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:27 UTC.
Leadership (MOS)
The Mosaic Company is led by Bruce M. Bodine, CEO, President & Director, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:27 UTC.
| CEO, President & Director | Bruce M. Bodine |
|---|---|
| Executive VP & CFO | Luciano Siani Pires |
| Executive Vice President of Operations | Karen A. Swager |
| Executive Vice President of Commercial | Yijun Wang |
| Vice President of Investor Relations | Paul Abdelmassieh Massoud C.F.A. |
Major Backers & Investors (MOS)
Notable institutional backers of The Mosaic Company include AQR Capital Management, LLC, Invesco, FMR, LLC, according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:27 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| AQR Capital Management, LLC | 5.75% |
| Invesco | 4.69% |
| FMR, LLC | 4.15% |
| Donald Smith & Co., Inc. | 2.43% |
| Fidelity | 1.3% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| Vanguard Group | 11.17% |
| BlackRock | 7.79% |
| State Street | 4.73% |
| Dimensional Fund Advisors | 4.53% |
| Geode Capital | 2.81% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:27 UTC.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| CTVA | Corteva, Inc. | USD 12.86 | ▲ 1.1% |
| SMG | Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (The | USD 59.15 | ▲ 5.76% |
| CF | CF Industries Holdings, Inc. | USD 118.56 | ▲ 1.94% |
| NTR | Nutrien Ltd. | USD 69.09 | ▲ 1.42% |
| FMC | FMC Corporation | USD 5.02 | ▼ 0.2% |
| IPI | Intrepid Potash, Inc | USD 30.77 | ▼ 1.38% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 09:27 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt