Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) Stock Price & Analysis
Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) closed at USD 64.94 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, up 7.02% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 60.68; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 60.78–65.08 on volume of 450,529 shares. Market capitalization is $2.79B, with a 52-week range of USD 59.12–83.18 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 08:37 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/GRBK.md
Key facts (GRBK)
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 30, 2026): revenue $1.98B, net income $291M (14.7% margin), free cash flow $112M (SEC filings).
- Valuation: P/E 9.6x (avg 7.9x at the last 3 fiscal year-ends).
- 2 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold GRBK (13F, Q2 2026): 0 new, 1 added, 0 reduced, 1 unchanged.
- Insider open-market sales, last ~7 months: 1 Form 4 filings, $353K; 1 not under a Rule 10b5-1 plan ($353K); 1 by opportunistic insiders (1 outside 10b5-1 plans), 0 by routine insiders (three-year test, Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski 2012).
- Analysts: Hold (mean 3.00 on a 1–5 scale) (3 analysts), mean target USD 62 (range 62–62).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y -5.1% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y +155.8% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-10-28, EPS estimate USD 1.43, revenue estimate $476M.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (GRBK)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.40B | $1.76B | $1.75B | $2.06B | $2.04B | $1.98B |
| Gross profit | $362M | $523M | $548M | $704M | $641M | — |
| Net income | $190M | $292M | $285M | $382M | $313M | $291M |
| EPS (diluted) | $3.72 | $6.02 | $6.14 | $8.45 | $7.07 | — |
| Free cash flow | -$94.4M | $88.7M | $206M | $21.5M | $208M | $112M |
| Gross margin | 25.8% | 29.8% | 31.3% | 34.1% | 31.4% | — |
| Net margin | 13.6% | 16.6% | 16.3% | 18.5% | 15.4% | 14.7% |
| Revenue growth | +43.7% | +25.3% | -0.5% | +17.8% | -1.0% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $77.2M | $76.6M | $180M | $142M | $155M | — |
| Total debt | $340M | $372M | $350M | $340M | $323M | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (GRBK)
P/E 9.6x · P/S 1.4x · P/FCF 25.0x · P/B 1.4x · FCF yield 4.00% · Earnings yield 10.43% · Dividend yield (paid, TTM) 0.10% · Buyback yield (TTM) 1.42%
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 8.8x, Dec 2024 6.6x, Dec 2023 8.4x.
Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026) (GRBK)
2 of 80 tracked investors hold GRBK. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Einhorn | Greenlight Capital | 19.39% | $758M | Unchanged |
| Polen Capital | Polen Capital Management | 0.01% | $1.2M | Added +15.6% |
Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (GRBK)
0 of 1 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | % of holdings sold | 10b5-1 plan | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-09 | Press Richard S | Director | 5,000 | $353K | 6% | No | Opportunistic (traded every year 2023–2025, no repeating month) |
% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).
Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.
Analysts (GRBK)
Consensus Hold (mean 3.00 on a 1–5 scale), 3 analysts; mean target USD 62 (low 62, high 62).
Total return (dividends reinvested) (GRBK)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | -5.1% | +155.8% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | -5.1% | +20.6% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 33.4% | 43.5% |
| Max drawdown | -25.4% (Feb 2026→Oct 2026) | -44.6% (Dec 2021→Jun 2022) |
GRBK revenue by business segment (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Homebuilders | $472.0M | 95.6% | -11.4% |
| Financial Services | $12.2M | 2.5% | +93.9% |
| Land Subdivider and Developers | $9.6M | 1.9% | +371.1% |
| Total revenue | $493.8M | 100% | — |
GRBK revenue by product line (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home Building | $481.6M | 97.5% | -9.9% |
| — Residential Real Estate (part of Home Building) | $472.0M | 95.6% | -11.4% |
| — Real Estate, Other (part of Home Building) | $9.6M | 1.9% | +371.1% |
| Land and Lots | $9.6M | 1.9% | — |
| Total revenue | $493.8M | 100% | — |
GRBK revenue by region (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| US Central Region | $381.1M | 77.2% | -6.6% |
| US Southeast Region | $90.9M | 18.4% | -27.0% |
| Total revenue | $493.8M | 100% | — |
As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).
GRBK suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 10-K)
| Relationship | Company | Sentence in the filing |
|---|---|---|
| Partner | GBTM Sendera | “Following our analysis of GBTM Sendera's operating agreement, the Company determined that GBTM Sendera is not a VIE as the joint venture's equity at risk is sufficient to permit the entity to finance its activities without additional subordinated financial support from its members.” |
Quoted from the company's 10-K filed Feb 25, 2026.
GRBK analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $1.43 | $1.43 | +0.0% | $475.5M | 2 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $1.61 | $1.53 | +5.2% | $518.0M | 2 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $6.14 | $5.75 | +6.9% | $1.94B | 2 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $6.00 | $6.24 | -3.8% | $1.97B | 2 |
GRBK options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±7.0% (±$4.55) by Nov 20, 2026, which includes earnings on Oct 28, 2026. Over the last 8 reports the stock moved ±3.3% on average.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2026 | 28 | 31.1% | ±7.0% |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 56 | 35.8% | ±11.2% |
| Feb 19, 2027 | 119 | 33.3% | ±15.1% |
| May 21, 2027 | 210 | 33.7% | ±20.2% |
30-day implied volatility 36.5% vs 34.7% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0.59. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 08:37 UTC)
| Price | USD 64.94 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▲ 7.02% (up) |
| Previous Close | USD 60.68 |
| Open | USD 60.6 |
| Day Range | USD 60.78 – 65.08 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 59.12 – 83.18 |
| Volume | 450,529 shares |
| Market Cap | $2.79B |
| Exchange | NYQ |
Technical Analysis (GRBK)
Nexqual's technical model rates GRBK "NEUTRAL" based on 2 bullish and 3 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 08:37 UTC.
| Overall Signal | NEUTRAL |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 49.78 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Below (USD 67.63) |
| MACD | -1.72 (negative) |
Analyst Ratings (GRBK)
Wall Street analysts rate GRBK "Hold" based on 3 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 62 (range USD 62–62), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 08:37 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Hold |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 3 |
| Mean Target | USD 62 |
| High Target | USD 62 |
| Low Target | USD 62 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 0 / 3 / 0 |
Earnings (GRBK)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-10-28 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 1.43 |
| Revenue Estimate | $475.52M |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 1.7 vs est 1.39 ▲ beat |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 1.39 vs est 1.19 ▲ beat |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 1.78 vs est 1.67 ▲ beat |
| 2025-09-30 | USD 1.77 vs est 1.48 ▲ beat |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 08:37 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (GRBK)
| Total Revenue | $1.97B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | -8.70% |
| Gross Margin | +30.50% |
| Operating Margin | +19.55% |
| Profit Margin | +14.79% |
| ROE | +16.38% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.14 |
| Current Ratio | 7.05 |
| Total Cash | $131.64M |
| Total Debt | $291.86M |
| Free Cash Flow (last four quarters to Jun 2026, SEC 10-Q / 10-K) | $111.61M (5.6% of revenue) |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 08:37 UTC.
Financial Health Score (GRBK)
Nexqual rates Green Brick Partners, Inc.'s overall financial health "Solid" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 08:37 UTC.
| Growth | Weak — Revenue -0% YoY (annual), declining |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Solid — Gross margin 31%, operating 20% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Strong — $155M cash and investments vs $323M debt (Dec 2025, SEC) |
| Cash Flow | Solid — FCF $112M (last 4 quarters to Jun 2026, SEC), 6% margin |
| Efficiency | Solid — ROE 16%, ROA 9.4% |
Ownership (GRBK)
| Insider Ownership | +8.40% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +83.29% |
| Shares Outstanding | 43.01M |
| Float | 29.92M |
| Short % of Float | +9.40% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 08:37 UTC.
Leadership (GRBK)
Green Brick Partners, Inc. is led by David Michael Einhorn, Co-Founder & Chairman of the Board, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 08:37 UTC.
| Co-Founder & Chairman of the Board | David Michael Einhorn |
|---|---|
| Chief Financial Officer | Jeffery D. Cox |
| Senior Vice President of Investor Relations | Keith Johnson |
| Executive Vice President of Land | Bobby L. Samuel III, P.E. |
Major Backers & Investors (GRBK)
Notable institutional backers of Green Brick Partners, Inc. include DME Capital Management, LP, FMR, LLC, Fidelity, according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 08:37 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| DME Capital Management, LP | 22.01% |
| FMR, LLC | 4.01% |
| Fidelity | 3.79% |
| Price (T.Rowe) Associates Inc | 1.66% |
| Salem Investment Counselors, Inc. | 1.51% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| BlackRock | 11.32% |
| Vanguard Group | 4.7% |
| Dimensional Fund Advisors | 4.39% |
| State Street | 3.5% |
| Geode Capital | 1.83% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 08:37 UTC.
From Green Brick Partners, Inc.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-02-25)
Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)
- We believe our unique approach enables us to provide superior value to our customers and the communities in which they live, as well as long-term returns for our investors and stakeholders.
- As of December 31, 2025, we believe our extensive land and lot inventory will allow us to maximize our profitability and return on capital.
- We believe this will allow us to maintain sufficient capital to fund our continued growth.
- We create environmentally sustainable homes and our purchasing power enables us to include green-friendly features in our homes.
Partnerships
- To ensure our product portfolio remains responsive to evolving consumer preferences, we collaborate with leading marketing and design consultants.
Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)
- Data protection and privacy laws continue to evolve and become more complex in various U.S. federal and state jurisdictions. Such regulatory changes, variations in requirements across jurisdictions and ongoing discussions about a national privacy laws could present compliance challenges. The costs of complying with such changes could adversely affect our business.
- Product liability and warranty claims and litigation that arise in the ordinary course of business may be costly, which could adversely affect our business.
- Our business and financial results could be adversely affected by the failure of persons who act on our behalf to comply with applicable regulations and guidelines.
- Our developments are subject to government regulations, which could cause us to incur significant liabilities or restrict our business activities.
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| KBH | KB Home | USD 46.19 | ▲ 7.39% |
| MHO | M/I Homes, Inc. | USD 123.3 | ▲ 8.12% |
| MTH | Meritage Homes Corporation | USD 63.63 | ▲ 7.27% |
| CVCO | Cavco Industries, Inc. | USD 547.44 | ▲ 6.04% |
| SKY | Champion Homes, Inc. | USD 79.72 | ▲ 5.27% |
| IBP | Installed Building Products, In | USD 198.13 | ▲ 5.46% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 08:37 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt