Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) Stock Price & Analysis
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) closed at USD 37.08 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, up 3.03% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 35.99; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 35.63–37.27 on volume of 1,276,461 shares. Market capitalization is $2.88B, with a 52-week range of USD 33.99–55.4 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 09:26 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/HGV.md
Key facts (HGV)
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 30, 2026): revenue $5.28B, net income $151M (2.9% margin), free cash flow $413M (SEC filings).
- Valuation: P/E 19.1x (avg 50.1x at the last 3 fiscal year-ends), net debt $4.60B.
- 2 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold HGV (13F, Q2 2026): 1 new, 0 added, 1 reduced, 0 unchanged.
- Insider open-market sales, last ~7 months: 4 Form 4 filings, $12.7M; 4 not under a Rule 10b5-1 plan ($12.7M); 2 by opportunistic insiders (2 outside 10b5-1 plans), 0 by routine insiders (three-year test, Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski 2012).
- Analysts: Hold (mean 2.55 on a 1–5 scale) (11 analysts), mean target USD 50.64 (range 38–74).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y -17.9% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y -24.9% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-10-29, EPS estimate USD 1.11, revenue estimate $1.42B.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (HGV)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.33B | $3.83B | $3.98B | $4.98B | $5.05B | $5.28B |
| Net income | $176M | $352M | $313M | $47.0M | $81.0M | $151M |
| EPS (diluted) | $1.75 | $2.93 | $2.80 | $0.45 | $0.89 | — |
| Free cash flow | $150M | $689M | $281M | $267M | $230M | $413M |
| Net margin | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.9% |
| Revenue growth | +161.2% | +64.2% | +3.7% | +25.2% | +1.3% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $432M | $223M | $589M | $328M | $239M | — |
| Total debt | $2.91B | $2.65B | $3.05B | $4.60B | $4.54B | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (HGV)
P/E 19.1x · P/S 0.6x · EV/Sales 1.4x · P/FCF 7.0x · P/B 2.6x · FCF yield 14.33% · Earnings yield 5.24% · Buyback yield (TTM) 20.82% · Net debt $4.60B · EV $7.49B
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 50.6x, Dec 2024 85.4x, Dec 2023 14.3x.
Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026) (HGV)
2 of 80 tracked investors hold HGV. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clifford Sosin | CAS Investment Partners | 14.48% | $273M | Reduced -0.6% |
| Ruane Cunniff | Ruane Cunniff LP | <0.01% | $219K | New position |
Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (HGV)
0 of 4 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | % of holdings sold | 10b5-1 plan | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Corbin Charles R. Jr. | See Remarks | 20,691 | $970K | 30.2% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023) |
| 2026-05-28 | Wang Mark D | See Remarks | 190,813 | $9.9M | 17.4% | No | Opportunistic (traded every year 2023–2025, no repeating month) |
| 2026-05-21 | Corbin Charles R. Jr. | See Remarks | 32,907 | $1.6M | 32.4% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023) |
| 2026-05-19 | Hernandez Carlos | See Remarks | 5,595 | $261K | 28.4% | No | Opportunistic (traded every year 2023–2025, no repeating month) |
% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).
Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.
Analysts (HGV)
Consensus Hold (mean 2.55 on a 1–5 scale), 11 analysts; mean target USD 50.64 (low 38, high 74).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Wells Fargo | Target lowered | Equal-Weight | $51 → $38 |
| 2026-10-16 | Goldman Sachs | Target lowered | Neutral | $47 → $40 |
| 2026-10-15 | Susquehanna | Target lowered | Neutral | $50 → $39 |
| 2026-10-08 | JP Morgan | Initiated | Neutral | $39 |
| 2026-09-10 | Truist Securities | Target lowered | Buy | $71 → $69 |
| 2026-08-18 | Morgan Stanley | Target lowered | Equal-Weight | $58 → $54 |
| 2026-08-03 | Goldman Sachs | Target lowered | Neutral | $55 → $47 |
| 2026-07-31 | Mizuho | Target lowered | Outperform | $75 → $74 |
| 2026-07-31 | Barclays | Target lowered | Equal-Weight | $51 → $46 |
| 2026-07-17 | Morgan Stanley | Target raised | Equal-Weight | $55 → $58 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (HGV)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | -17.9% | -24.9% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | -18.0% | -5.6% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 39.3% | 36.8% |
| Max drawdown | -37.7% (Jun 2026→Oct 2026) | -39.9% (Nov 2021→Sep 2022) |
Companies that name HGV in their SEC reports
| Relationship to HGV | Company | Filing | Sentence |
|---|---|---|---|
| partner | Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) | 10-K Feb 11, 2026 | “Revenues from this segment include: (i) management and franchise fees charged to third-party hotel owners; (ii) licensing fees from our strategic partners, including co-branded credit card providers and strategic partner hotels, and Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. ("HGV"); and (iii) fees for managing the hotels in our ownership segment.” |
HGV analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $1.11 | $1.43 | -21.9% | $1.42B | 11 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $1.74 | $1.77 | -1.3% | $1.50B | 11 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $4.76 | $5.23 | -9.0% | $5.59B | 11 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $5.13 | $5.52 | -7.1% | $5.77B | 10 |
HGV options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±11.9% (±$4.40) by Nov 20, 2026, which includes earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2026 | 28 | 50.5% | ±11.9% |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 56 | 52.3% | ±16.6% |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 84 | 48.7% | ±18.6% |
| Apr 16, 2027 | 175 | 44.0% | ±23.9% |
30-day implied volatility 47.6% vs 28.8% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 09:26 UTC)
| Price | USD 37.08 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▲ 3.03% (up) |
| Previous Close | USD 35.99 |
| Open | USD 36.4 |
| Day Range | USD 35.63 – 37.27 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 33.99 – 55.4 |
| Volume | 1,276,461 shares |
| Market Cap | $2.88B |
| Exchange | NYQ |
Technical Analysis (HGV)
Nexqual's technical model rates HGV "SELL" based on 2 bullish and 5 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:26 UTC.
| Overall Signal | SELL |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 51.24 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Below (USD 38.79) |
| MACD | -0.64 (negative) |
Analyst Ratings (HGV)
Wall Street analysts rate HGV "Hold" based on 11 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 50.64 (range USD 38–74), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:26 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Hold |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 11 |
| Mean Target | USD 50.64 |
| High Target | USD 74 |
| Low Target | USD 38 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 4 / 7 / 0 |
Earnings (HGV)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-10-29 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 1.11 |
| Revenue Estimate | $1.42B |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 0.89 vs est 1.01 ▼ miss |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 0.99 vs est 0.59 ▲ beat |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 0.88 vs est 1.16 ▼ miss |
| 2025-09-30 | USD 0.6 vs est 0.97 ▼ miss |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:26 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (HGV)
| Total Revenue | $4.70B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +6.20% |
| Gross Margin | +24.62% |
| Operating Margin | +12.67% |
| Profit Margin | +3.21% |
| ROE | +11.46% |
| Debt / Equity | 6.24 |
| Current Ratio | 4.81 |
| Total Cash | $290.00M |
| Total Debt | $7.85B |
| Free Cash Flow (last four quarters to Jun 2026, SEC 10-Q / 10-K) | $413.00M (7.8% of revenue) |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:26 UTC.
Financial Health Score (HGV)
Nexqual rates Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.'s overall financial health "Mixed" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:26 UTC.
| Growth | Mixed — Revenue +1.3% YoY (annual), slow |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Mixed — Gross margin 25%, operating 13% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Weak — $272M cash and investments vs $4.88B debt (Jun 2026, SEC) |
| Cash Flow | Solid — FCF $413M (last 4 quarters to Jun 2026, SEC), 8% margin |
| Efficiency | Mixed — ROE 11%, ROA 3.3% |
Ownership (HGV)
| Insider Ownership | +2.06% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +108.65% |
| Shares Outstanding | 77.72M |
| Float | 47.70M |
| Short % of Float | +16.71% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:26 UTC.
Leadership (HGV)
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. is led by Mark D. Wang, CEO & Director, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:26 UTC.
| CEO & Director | Mark D. Wang |
|---|---|
| President & CFO (Leave of Absence) | Daniel J. Mathewes |
| Executive VP of Finance & Acting CFO | Erin A. Day |
| Senior EVP & COO | Gordon S. Gurnik |
| Executive VP & CTO | Onkar Birk |
Major Backers & Investors (HGV)
Notable institutional backers of Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. include Apollo Management Holdings, L.P., Hill Path Capital, LP, CAS Investment Partners, LLC, according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:26 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| Apollo Management Holdings, L.P. | 16.08% |
| Hill Path Capital, LP | 8.38% |
| CAS Investment Partners, LLC | 6.7% |
| North Peak Capital Management, Llc | 5.73% |
| Mudita Advisors LLP | 3.61% |
| FMR, LLC | 3.61% |
| Fidelity | 2.09% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| BlackRock | 10.39% |
| Vanguard Group | 7.63% |
| Dimensional Fund Advisors | 5.09% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:26 UTC.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| VAC | Marriott Vacations Worldwide Co | USD 112.93 | ▼ 0.16% |
| PENN | PENN Entertainment, Inc. | USD 15.46 | ▲ 3.83% |
| MCRI | Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. | USD 113.5 | ▲ 0.3% |
| RRR | Red Rock Resorts, Inc. | USD 50.43 | ▲ 2.38% |
| BYD | Boyd Gaming Corporation | USD 72.27 | ▲ 2.35% |
| MTN | Vail Resorts, Inc. | USD 148.23 | ▲ 0.83% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 09:26 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt