Japan Tobacco Inc. (JAPAY) Stock Price & Analysis
Japan Tobacco Inc. (JAPAY) is trading at USD 23.95, down 0.21% today, as of October 23, 2026 at 16:20 UTC (US market open; quotes may be delayed), according to Nexqual market data.
JAPAY last closed at USD 24; today's session has ranged USD 23.95–23.99 on volume of 4,139 shares. Market capitalization is $85.04B, with a 52-week range of USD 15.74–24.03 (PNK). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 16:40 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/JAPAY.md
Key facts (JAPAY)
- Analysts: Sell (mean 3.50 on a 1–5 scale) (2 analysts), mean target USD 26.5 (range 17–36).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +46.2% vs S&P 500 +14.6%; 5Y +151.6% vs S&P 500 +77.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-10-29, EPS estimate USD 0.36, revenue estimate $1.01T.
Analysts (JAPAY)
Consensus Sell (mean 3.50 on a 1–5 scale), 2 analysts; mean target USD 26.5 (low 17, high 36).
Total return (dividends reinvested) (JAPAY)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-25) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +46.2% | +151.6% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.6% | +77.3% |
| Per year | +46.3% | +20.3% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 22.5% | 19.3% |
| Max drawdown | -11.5% (Feb 2026→Mar 2026) | -23.4% (Dec 2021→Oct 2022) |
JAPAY analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $0.36 | $0.00 | — | $1.01T | 1 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $0.04 | $0.00 | — | $878.27B | 1 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $1.08 | $1.08 | +0.8% | $3.89T | 2 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $1.19 | $1.17 | +1.6% | $4.06T | 2 |
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 16:40 UTC)
| Price | USD 23.95 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▼ 0.21% (down) |
| Previous Close | USD 24 |
| Open | USD 23.99 |
| Day Range | USD 23.95 – 23.99 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 15.74 – 24.03 |
| Volume | 4,139 shares |
| Market Cap | $85.04B |
| Exchange | PNK |
Technical Analysis (JAPAY)
Nexqual's technical model rates JAPAY "BUY" based on 5 bullish and 2 bearish signals across 128 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 16:40 UTC.
| Overall Signal | BUY |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 72.29 (overbought) |
| vs SMA50 | Above (USD 22.19) |
| MACD | 0.56 (positive) |
Analyst Ratings (JAPAY)
Wall Street analysts rate JAPAY "Sell" based on 2 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 26.5 (range USD 17–36), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 16:40 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Sell |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 2 |
| Mean Target | USD 26.5 |
| High Target | USD 36 |
| Low Target | USD 17 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 1 / 0 / 1 |
Earnings (JAPAY)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-10-29 |
|---|---|
| Revenue Estimate | $1.01T |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 0.4 vs est 0.33 ▲ beat |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 16:40 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (JAPAY)
| Total Revenue | $3.72T |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +17.00% |
| Gross Margin | +56.86% |
| Operating Margin | +31.74% |
| Profit Margin | +16.73% |
| ROE | +14.30% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.38 |
| Current Ratio | 2.04 |
| Total Cash | $827.91B |
| Total Debt | $1.68T |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 16:40 UTC.
Financial Health Score (JAPAY)
Nexqual rates Japan Tobacco Inc.'s overall financial health "Solid" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 16:40 UTC.
| Growth | Strong — Revenue +554% YoY (annual) |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Strong — Gross margin 57%, operating 32% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Strong — JPY 827.9B cash vs JPY 1.68T debt |
| Cash Flow | Solid — Operating cash flow JPY 677.9B (TTM) |
| Efficiency | Mixed — ROE 14%, ROA 7.4% |
Ownership (JAPAY)
| Insider Ownership | +0.00% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +0.00% |
| Shares Outstanding | 3.55B |
| Float | 2.19B |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 16:40 UTC.
Leadership (JAPAY)
Japan Tobacco Inc. is led by Takehiko Tsutsui, CEO & President, President of Tobacco Business & Representative Director, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 16:40 UTC.
| CEO & President, President of Tobacco Business & Representative Director | Takehiko Tsutsui |
|---|---|
| EVP of Finance, Corporate Communications, Business Development & D-LAB and Representative Director | Kei Nakano |
| EVP CG, Compliance, CS, Sustainability, People, Culture, IT, Legal, OR, BA & Food Bus and Director | Koji Shimayoshi |
| Senior VP, CFO & Corporate Communications | Hiromasa Furukawa |
| Senior VP and Chief Technology & Information Security Officer | Hisashi Shimobayashi |
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| MO | Altria Group, Inc. | USD 74.86 | ▼ 1.59% |
| BTI | British American Tobacco Indus | USD 59.3 | ▼ 1.93% |
| PM | Philip Morris International Inc | USD 200.47 | ▼ 0.63% |
| RLX | RLX Technology Inc. | USD 1.63 | ▼ 0.91% |
| TPB | Turning Point Brands, Inc. | USD 65.14 | ▼ 2.59% |
| AIIR | Air Global PLC | USD 7.64 | ▲ 0.86% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 16:40 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt