Mattel, Inc. (MAT) Stock Price & Analysis
Mattel, Inc. (MAT) closed at USD 16.94 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, down 0.06% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 16.95; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 16.78–17.08 on volume of 5,060,508 shares. Market capitalization is $4.84B, with a 52-week range of USD 12.4–22.48 (NMS). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 09:25 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/MAT.md
Key facts (MAT)
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 30, 2026): revenue $5.49B, net income $427M (7.8% margin) (SEC filings).
- Valuation: P/E 11.3x (avg 19.6x at the last 3 fiscal year-ends), EV/EBITDA 11.0x, net debt $1.81B.
- Earnings quality: non-operating income $142M vs operating income $429M over the last four quarters; P/E excluding non-operating income ≈15.8x (estimate: non-operating income taxed at the company's 14.9% effective rate).
- 2 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold MAT (13F, Q2 2026): 0 new, 1 added, 1 reduced, 0 unchanged.
- Analysts: Buy (mean 2.47 on a 1–5 scale) (15 analysts), mean target USD 18.46 (range 11–28).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y -11.7% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y -17.2% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-05, EPS estimate USD 0.94, revenue estimate $1.83B.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (MAT)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $5.46B | $5.43B | $5.44B | $5.38B | $5.35B | $5.49B |
| Gross profit | $2.63B | $2.48B | $2.58B | $2.73B | $2.61B | — |
| Operating income | $730M | $676M | $562M | $694M | $546M | $429M |
| Net income | $903M | $394M | $214M | $542M | $398M | $427M |
| EPS (diluted) | $2.53 | $1.10 | $0.60 | $1.58 | $1.24 | — |
| Gross margin | 48.1% | 45.7% | 47.5% | 50.8% | 48.7% | — |
| Operating margin | 13.4% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 7.8% |
| Net margin | 16.5% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% |
| Revenue growth | +18.9% | -0.4% | +0.1% | -1.1% | -0.6% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $731M | $761M | $1.26B | $1.39B | $1.24B | — |
| Total debt | $2.57B | $2.33B | $2.33B | $2.33B | $2.33B | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (MAT)
P/E 11.3x · P/E ex non-operating (est.) ≈15.8x · P/S 0.9x · EV/EBITDA 11.0x · EV/Sales 1.2x · P/B 2.4x · Earnings yield 8.83% · Buyback yield (TTM) 14.26% · Net debt $1.81B · EV $6.65B
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 16.1x, Dec 2024 11.2x, Dec 2023 31.5x.
Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026) (MAT)
2 of 80 tracked investors hold MAT. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Hawkins | Southeastern Asset Management | 8.92% | $171M | Reduced -3.8% |
| John Rogers | Ariel Investments | 2.13% | $214M | Added +13.6% |
Analysts (MAT)
Consensus Buy (mean 2.47 on a 1–5 scale), 15 analysts; mean target USD 18.46 (low 11, high 28).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | Citigroup | Target raised | Neutral | $15 → $17 |
| 2026-10-12 | Seaport Global | Upgrade | Neutral → Buy | $20 |
| 2026-08-25 | Argus Research | Reiterated | Buy | $22 |
| 2026-07-14 | Roth Capital | Target lowered | Neutral | $16 → $15 |
| 2026-07-10 | Citigroup | Target lowered | Neutral | $16 → $15 |
| 2026-07-09 | Goldman Sachs | Downgrade | Neutral → Sell | $15 → $12 |
| 2026-06-26 | Goldman Sachs | Target lowered | Neutral | $18 → $15 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (MAT)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | -11.7% | -17.2% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | -11.7% | -3.7% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 44.8% | 35.8% |
| Max drawdown | -42.9% (Jan 2026→Sep 2026) | -49.7% (May 2022→Sep 2026) |
MAT analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $0.94 | $1.01 | -7.3% | $1.83B | 12 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $0.56 | $0.49 | +13.4% | $1.85B | 11 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $1.30 | $1.33 | -2.4% | $5.67B | 14 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $1.58 | $1.61 | -1.7% | $5.97B | 14 |
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 09:25 UTC)
| Price | USD 16.94 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▼ 0.06% (down) |
| Previous Close | USD 16.95 |
| Open | USD 16.86 |
| Day Range | USD 16.78 – 17.08 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 12.4 – 22.48 |
| Volume | 5,060,508 shares |
| Market Cap | $4.84B |
| Exchange | NMS |
Technical Analysis (MAT)
Nexqual's technical model rates MAT "BUY" based on 5 bullish and 1 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:25 UTC.
| Overall Signal | BUY |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 65.45 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Above (USD 14.87) |
| MACD | 0.77 (positive) |
Analyst Ratings (MAT)
Wall Street analysts rate MAT "Buy" based on 15 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 18.46 (range USD 11–28), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:25 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Buy |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 15 |
| Mean Target | USD 18.46 |
| High Target | USD 28 |
| Low Target | USD 11 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 10 / 3 / 2 |
Earnings (MAT)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-11-05 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 0.94 |
| Revenue Estimate | $1.83B |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 0.01 vs est 0.04 ▼ miss |
| 2026-03-31 | USD -0.2 vs est -0.21 ▲ beat |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 0.39 vs est 0.55 ▼ miss |
| 2025-09-30 | USD 0.89 vs est 1.06 ▼ miss |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:25 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (MAT)
| Total Revenue | $5.49B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +10.50% |
| Gross Margin | +47.60% |
| Operating Margin | +1.32% |
| Profit Margin | +7.79% |
| ROE | +20.50% |
| Debt / Equity | 1.37 |
| Current Ratio | 1.9 |
| Total Cash | $523.86M |
| Total Debt | $2.75B |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:25 UTC.
Financial Health Score (MAT)
Nexqual rates Mattel, Inc.'s overall financial health "Mixed" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:25 UTC.
| Growth | Weak — Revenue -1% YoY (annual), declining |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Solid — Gross margin 48%, operating 1% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Mixed — $524M cash and investments vs $2.33B debt (Jun 2026, SEC) |
| Cash Flow | Solid — Operating cash flow $593M (FY ended Dec 2025, 10-K) |
| Efficiency | Strong — ROE 20%, ROA 4.7% |
Ownership (MAT)
| Insider Ownership | +1.10% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +108.67% |
| Shares Outstanding | 285.70M |
| Float | 231.21M |
| Short % of Float | +16.67% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:25 UTC.
Major Backers & Investors (MAT)
Notable institutional backers of Mattel, Inc. include Edgepoint Investment Group Inc., Primecap Management Company, Ariel Investments, LLC, according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:25 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| Edgepoint Investment Group Inc. | 17.87% |
| Primecap Management Company | 10.33% |
| Ariel Investments, LLC | 5.4% |
| Southeastern Asset Management Inc/TN/ | 4.31% |
| Ariel Investment Trust-Ariel Fund | 2.72% |
| LSV Asset Management | 2.51% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| Vanguard Group | 9.2% |
| BlackRock | 9.16% |
| Dimensional Fund Advisors | 4.41% |
| State Street | 3.35% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:25 UTC.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| GOLF | Acushnet Holdings Corp. | USD 81.97 | ▲ 2.5% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | USD 53.27 | ▲ 3.06% |
| YETI | YETI Holdings, Inc. | USD 44.03 | ▲ 2.95% |
| LTH | Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. | USD 41.99 | ▲ 3.02% |
| CALY | Callaway Golf Company | USD 14.36 | ▲ 2.21% |
| OSW | OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited | USD 24.29 | ▲ 1.5% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 09:25 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
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