PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD) Stock Price & Analysis
PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD) closed at USD 79.17 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, up 0.57% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 79.17; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 77.23–79.91 on volume of 5,717,659 shares. Market capitalization is —, with a 52-week range of USD 71.94–139.41 (NMS). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 09:27 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/PDD.md
Key facts (PDD)
- 4 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold PDD (13F, Q2 2026): 0 new, 3 added, 0 reduced, 1 unchanged.
- Total return with dividends: 1Y -40.6% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y -20.1% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-18, EPS estimate USD 18.84, revenue estimate $116B.
Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026) (PDD)
4 of 80 tracked investors hold PDD. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Li Lu | Himalaya Capital Management | 22.17% | $821M | Added +133.5% |
| Norbert Lou | Punch Card Management | 12.37% | $31.7M | Unchanged |
| Duan Yongping | H&H International Investment | 9.99% | $1.91B | Added +26.7% |
| Dodge & Cox Funds | Dodge & Cox | 0.18% | $347M | Added +0.3% |
Analysts (PDD)
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | JP Morgan | Target lowered | Neutral | $110 → $95 |
| 2026-08-25 | Benchmark | Target lowered | Buy | $127 → $114 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (PDD)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | -40.6% | -20.1% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | -40.7% | -4.4% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 33.6% | 64.3% |
| Max drawdown | -46.9% (Nov 2025→Jun 2026) | -67.6% (Oct 2021→Mar 2022) |
PDD analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $18.84 | $18.58 | +1.4% | $115.64B | 11 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $20.27 | $20.39 | -0.6% | $131.37B | 9 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $68.57 | $68.23 | +0.5% | $466.02B | 28 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $82.58 | $82.60 | -0.0% | $517.12B | 29 |
PDD options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±9.1% (±$7.22) by Nov 20, 2026, which includes earnings on Nov 18, 2026; the earnings reaction alone is priced at about ±6.0%.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | 7 | 33.1% | ±3.9% |
| Nov 6, 2026 | 14 | 33.7% | ±5.5% |
| Nov 13, 2026 | 21 | 31.0% | ±6.1% |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 28 | 40.4% | ±9.1% |
| Nov 27, 2026 | 35 | 40.5% | ±10.2% |
| Dec 4, 2026 | 42 | 36.8% | ±10.1% |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 56 | 36.4% | ±11.6% |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 84 | 35.1% | ±13.6% |
30-day implied volatility 39.2% vs 25.3% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 1.15. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 09:27 UTC)
| Price | USD 79.17 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▲ 0.57% (up) |
| Previous Close | USD 79.17 |
| Open | USD 79.17 |
| Day Range | USD 77.23 – 79.91 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 71.94 – 139.41 |
| Volume | 5,717,659 shares |
| Market Cap | — |
| Exchange | NMS |
Technical Analysis (PDD)
Nexqual's technical model rates PDD "STRONG SELL" based on 0 bullish and 5 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:27 UTC.
| Overall Signal | STRONG SELL |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 45.58 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Below (USD 81.34) |
| MACD | -0.01 (negative) |
Earnings (PDD)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-11-18 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 18.84 |
| Revenue Estimate | $115.64B |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 19.33 vs est 18.35 ▲ beat |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 9.51 vs est 16.37 ▼ miss |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 17.69 vs est 21.02 ▼ miss |
| 2025-09-30 | USD 21.08 vs est 16.57 ▲ beat |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:27 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (PDD)
| Total Revenue | $450.78B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +8.10% |
| Gross Margin | +56.32% |
| Operating Margin | +24.71% |
| Profit Margin | +20.43% |
| ROE | +22.75% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.01 |
| Current Ratio | 2.62 |
| Total Cash | $456.41B |
| Total Debt | $4.84B |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:27 UTC.
Ownership (PDD)
| Insider Ownership | +0.72% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +31.45% |
| Shares Outstanding | 1.42B |
| Float | 753.95M |
| Short % of Float | +3.43% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:27 UTC.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| MELI | MercadoLibre, Inc. | USD 1,824.95 | ▼ 1.61% |
| DASH | DoorDash, Inc. | USD 185.94 | ▲ 0.81% |
| EBAY | eBay Inc. | USD 122.04 | ▼ 0.7% |
| BABA | Alibaba Group Holding Limited | USD 101.82 | ▼ 2.48% |
| SE | Sea Limited | USD 75.69 | ▼ 2.89% |
| JD | JD.com, Inc. | USD 25.68 | ▼ 0.43% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 09:27 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
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