The Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL) Stock Price & Analysis
The Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL) closed at USD 10.41 on Friday, October 23, 2026, down 6.05% on the day. The US market is currently closed; this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 11.08; the Oct 23, 2026 session ranged USD 10.32–11.14 on volume of 1,738,278 shares. Market capitalization is $920.67M, with a 52-week range of USD 9.38–22 (NCM). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 24, 2026 at 17:01 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/SMPL.md
Key facts (SMPL)
- Last four reported quarters (through May 30, 2026): revenue $1.39B, net income -$199M (-14.3% margin), free cash flow $119M (SEC filings).
- 1 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold SMPL (13F, Q2 2026): 0 new, 1 added, 0 reduced, 0 unchanged.
- Insider open-market purchases, last ~7 months: 2 Form 4 filings, $1.1M; 0 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders.
- Analysts: Hold (mean 2.70 on a 1–5 scale) (10 analysts), mean target USD 13.75 (range 11–20).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y -48.6% vs S&P 500 +13.4%; 5Y -73.8% vs S&P 500 +76.9%.
- Next earnings: 2026-10-27, EPS estimate USD 0.4, revenue estimate $327M.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (SMPL)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.01B | $1.17B | $1.24B | $1.33B | $1.45B | $1.39B |
| Gross profit | $410M | $446M | $453M | $512M | $526M | — |
| Operating income | $174M | $203M | $205M | $206M | $157M | -$237M |
| Net income | $40.9M | $109M | $134M | $139M | $104M | -$199M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.42 | $1.08 | $1.32 | $1.38 | $1.02 | — |
| Free cash flow | $126M | $105M | $160M | $210M | $158M | $119M |
| Gross margin | 40.7% | 38.1% | 36.5% | 38.4% | 36.2% | — |
| Operating margin | 17.3% | 17.3% | 16.5% | 15.5% | 10.8% | -17.1% |
| Net margin | 4.1% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 7.1% | -14.3% |
| Revenue growth | +23.1% | +16.2% | +6.3% | +7.1% | +9.0% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $75.3M | $67.5M | $87.7M | $133M | $98.5M | — |
| Total debt | $452M | $403M | $282M | $397M | $249M | — |
Fiscal years end Aug. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through May 30, 2026) (SMPL)
P/S 0.7x · EV/Sales 0.9x · P/FCF 7.7x · P/B 0.7x · FCF yield 12.97% · Earnings yield -21.59% · Buyback yield (TTM) 26.04% · Net debt $273M · EV $1.19B
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Aug 2025 28.0x, Aug 2024 23.0x, Aug 2023 27.2x.
Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026) (SMPL)
1 of 80 tracked investors hold SMPL. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Howard Marks | Oaktree Capital | 0.42% | $16.0M | Added +6.6% |
Insider purchases (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (SMPL)
2 purchases, $1.1M. Private placements, offerings, dividend reinvestment and employee stock purchase plan buys are excluded.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | Avg price | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | Daley Clayton C Jr | Director | 10,000 | $118K | 11.78 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-04-23 | Kilts James M | Director | 80,000 | $991K | 12.39 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.
Analysts (SMPL)
Consensus Hold (mean 2.70 on a 1–5 scale), 10 analysts; mean target USD 13.75 (low 11, high 20).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | TD Cowen | Target lowered | Hold | $13 → $11 |
| 2026-07-10 | DA Davidson | Target lowered | Neutral | $39 → $14 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (SMPL)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-24) | 5Y (from 2021-10-25) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | -48.6% | -73.8% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +13.4% | +76.9% |
| Per year | -48.7% | -23.5% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 49.0% | 35.7% |
| Max drawdown | -55.9% (Jan 2026→Sep 2026) | -77.9% (Apr 2022→Sep 2026) |
SMPL suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 10-K)
| Relationship | Company | Sentence in the filing |
|---|---|---|
| Customer | Amazon (AMZN) | “Sales to our next largest retailer, Amazon, represented approximately 18% of consolidated sales in fiscal year 2025.” |
| Customer | Walmart (WMT) | “Sales to our largest retailer, Walmart Inc., represented approximately 31% of consolidated sales in fiscal year 2025, with approximately 24% through their mass retail channel and approximately 7% through their Sam's Club and e-commerce channels.” |
| Customer | NCP-ATK Holdings | “We sell our products on questnutrition.com, Atkins.com, liveowyn.com, Amazon.com and the e-commerce platforms of our brick-and-mortar customers, which all deliver our products directly to the location designated by the consumer.” |
| Partner | Only What You Need | “•We intend to grow through mergers, acquisitions or joint ventures, and we may not successfully integrate, operate or realize the anticipated benefits of such business combinations, including the OWYN Acquisition.” |
Quoted from the company's 10-K filed Oct 28, 2025.
SMPL customer concentration
In the period ended Aug 30, 2025, 2 direct customers each accounted for at least 10% (31%, 18%) of revenue, per the company's 10-K filed Oct 28, 2025. The company does not name them.
SMPL company outlook (results filed Jul 9, 2026)
- “We delivered third quarter net sales of $357 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $57 million, ahead of our expectations, with performance supported in part by the early effect of select cost actions we announced last quarter," said Joe Scalzo, President and Chief Executive Officer.”
Quoted word-for-word from the SEC 8-K results press release.
SMPL analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Aug 2026) | $0.40 | $0.41 | -4.0% | $327.1M | 10 |
| Next quarter (ends Nov 2026) | $0.38 | $0.40 | -5.2% | $298.8M | 7 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Aug 2026) | $1.64 | $1.65 | -0.2% | $1.35B | 10 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Aug 2027) | $1.67 | $1.71 | -2.4% | $1.23B | 10 |
SMPL options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±15.1% (±$1.58) by Nov 20, 2026, which includes earnings on Oct 27, 2026. Over the last 8 reports the stock moved ±9.8% on average.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2026 | 27 | 67.6% | ±15.1% |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 55 | 77.0% | ±23.5% |
| Feb 19, 2027 | 118 | 54.5% | ±23.5% |
| May 21, 2027 | 209 | 50.5% | ±30.3% |
30-day implied volatility 66.7% vs 37.1% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 4. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 24, 2026 at 17:01 UTC)
| Price | USD 10.41 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▼ 6.05% (down) |
| Previous Close | USD 11.08 |
| Open | USD 11.02 |
| Day Range | USD 10.32 – 11.14 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 9.38 – 22 |
| Volume | 1,738,278 shares |
| Market Cap | $920.67M |
| Exchange | NCM |
Technical Analysis (SMPL)
Nexqual's technical model rates SMPL "NEUTRAL" based on 2 bullish and 3 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 24, 2026 at 17:01 UTC.
| Overall Signal | NEUTRAL |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 47.14 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Below (USD 10.47) |
| MACD | 0.17 (positive) |
Analyst Ratings (SMPL)
Wall Street analysts rate SMPL "Hold" based on 10 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 13.75 (range USD 11–20), per Nexqual as of October 24, 2026 at 17:01 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Hold |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 10 |
| Mean Target | USD 13.75 |
| High Target | USD 20 |
| Low Target | USD 11 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 3 / 7 / 0 |
Earnings (SMPL)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-10-27 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 0.4 |
| Revenue Estimate | $327.13M |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | USD 0.42 vs est 0.35 ▲ beat |
| 2026-02-28 | USD 0.45 vs est 0.4 ▲ beat |
| 2025-11-30 | USD 0.39 vs est 0.36 ▲ beat |
| 2025-08-31 | USD 0.46 vs est 0.47 ▼ miss |
Source: Nexqual, October 24, 2026 at 17:01 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (SMPL)
| Total Revenue | $1.39B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | -6.30% |
| Gross Margin | +33.27% |
| Operating Margin | +12.78% |
| Profit Margin | -14.28% |
| ROE | -12.20% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.32 |
| Current Ratio | 4.8 |
| Total Cash | $123.88M |
| Total Debt | $448.46M |
| Free Cash Flow (last four quarters to May 2026, SEC 10-Q / 10-K) | $119.42M (8.6% of revenue) |
Source: Nexqual, October 24, 2026 at 17:01 UTC.
Financial Health Score (SMPL)
Nexqual rates The Simply Good Foods Company's overall financial health "Mixed" across five dimensions, as of October 24, 2026 at 17:01 UTC.
| Growth | Solid — Revenue +9% YoY (annual) |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Solid — Gross margin 33%, operating 13% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Strong — $124M cash and investments vs $397M debt (May 2026, SEC) |
| Cash Flow | Solid — FCF $119M (last 4 quarters to May 2026, SEC), 9% margin |
| Efficiency | Critical — ROE -12%, ROA 5.4% |
Ownership (SMPL)
| Insider Ownership | +9.23% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +102.94% |
| Shares Outstanding | 88.44M |
| Float | 80.35M |
| Short % of Float | +14.32% |
Source: Nexqual, October 24, 2026 at 17:01 UTC.
Leadership (SMPL)
The Simply Good Foods Company is led by Joseph E. Scalzo, President, CEO & Director, per Nexqual as of October 24, 2026 at 17:01 UTC.
| President, CEO & Director | Joseph E. Scalzo |
|---|---|
| Independent Chairman of the Board | James Marshall Kilts |
| CFO & Principal Accounting Officer | Christopher James Bealer |
| Senior Vice President of Atkins & OWYN Marketing | Ryan A. Thomas |
| Vice President, Investor Relations and Treasury | Matthew D. Siler |
Major Backers & Investors (SMPL)
Notable institutional backers of The Simply Good Foods Company include NORGES BANK, River Road Asset Management, LLC, Silvercrest Asset Management Group, LLC, according to Nexqual as of October 24, 2026 at 17:01 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| NORGES BANK | 3.42% |
| River Road Asset Management, LLC | 2.91% |
| Silvercrest Asset Management Group, LLC | 2.87% |
| T. Rowe Price | 2.86% |
| Goldman Sachs | 2.73% |
| Brown Advisory Funds-Brown Advisory Small-Cap Fundamental Value Fund | 1.4% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| BlackRock | 15.4% |
| Vanguard Group | 10.41% |
| State Street | 3.9% |
| Geode Capital | 3.18% |
Source: Nexqual, October 24, 2026 at 17:01 UTC.
From The Simply Good Foods Company's Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2025-10-28)
Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)
- As part of Simply Good Foods' strategy to become an industry leading snacking platform, in November 2019, we acquired Quest Nutrition, LLC ("Quest") and we acquired Only What You Need, Inc. in June 2024.
- Sales to our largest retailer, Walmart Inc., represented approximately 31% of consolidated sales in fiscal year 2025, with approximately 24% through their mass retail channel and approximately 7% through their Sam's Club and e-commerce channels.
- Sales to our next largest retailer, Amazon, represented approximately 18% of consolidated sales in fiscal year 2025.
- As a manufacturer and distributor of food products, we are subject to several food-related regulations, including the Federal Food, Drug and Cosmetic Act and regulations promulgated thereunder by the FDA.
Partnerships
- In May 2024, we announced our partnership with the Boys and Girls clubs of metro Denver to create the Spark and Spoon project.
Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)
- Our advertising is regulated for accuracy, and if our advertising is determined to be false or misleading, we may face fines or sanctions.
- Changes in the legal and regulatory environment could limit our business activities, increase our operating costs, reduce demand for our products or result in litigation.
- Litigation or legal proceedings could expose us to significant liabilities and have a negative effect on our reputation.
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| INGR | Ingredion Incorporated | USD 95.7 | ▼ 1.52% |
| CPB | The Campbell's Company | USD 20.73 | ▼ 2.49% |
| PPC | Pilgrim's Pride Corporation | USD 28.13 | ▲ 0.14% |
| CAG | ConAgra Brands, Inc. | USD 14.86 | ▼ 1.39% |
| SFD | Smithfield Foods, Inc. | USD 18.64 | ▼ 0.93% |
| LW | Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. | USD 53.83 | ▼ 2.45% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 24, 2026 at 17:01 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
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