United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) Stock Price & Analysis
United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) closed at USD 101.52 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, up 1.96% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 99.57; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 99.01–101.97 on volume of 4,703,160 shares. Market capitalization is $86.37B, with a 52-week range of USD 86.3–122.41 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 09:54 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/UPS.md
Key facts (UPS)
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 30, 2026): revenue $89.9B, net income $4.57B (5.1% margin), free cash flow $5.46B (SEC filings).
- Valuation: P/E 18.9x (avg 18.0x at the last 3 fiscal year-ends).
- 7 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold UPS (13F, Q2 2026): 1 new, 3 added, 2 reduced, 1 unchanged.
- Analysts: Hold (mean 2.69 on a 1–5 scale) (29 analysts), mean target USD 113.69 (range 76–135).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +24.3% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y -36.9% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-10-27, EPS estimate USD 1.62, revenue estimate $22.3B.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (UPS)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $97.3B | $100B | $91.0B | $91.1B | $88.7B | $89.9B |
| Operating income | $12.8B | $13.1B | $9.14B | $8.47B | $7.87B | $6.58B |
| Net income | $12.9B | $11.5B | $6.71B | $5.78B | $5.57B | $4.57B |
| EPS (diluted) | $14.68 | $13.20 | $7.80 | $6.75 | $6.56 | — |
| Free cash flow | $10.8B | $9.34B | $5.08B | $6.21B | $4.76B | $5.46B |
| Operating margin | 13.2% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% |
| Net margin | 13.2% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% |
| Revenue growth | +15.0% | +3.1% | -9.3% | +0.1% | -2.6% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $10.6B | $7.59B | $6.07B | $6.32B | $5.89B | — |
| Total debt | $21.9B | $19.7B | $25.3B | $22.9B | $24.2B | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (UPS)
P/E 18.9x · P/S 1.0x · P/FCF 15.8x · P/B 5.7x · FCF yield 6.32% · Earnings yield 5.29% · Dividend yield (paid, TTM) 6.26% · Buyback yield (TTM) 0.00%
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 15.1x, Dec 2024 18.7x, Dec 2023 20.2x.
Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026) (UPS)
7 of 80 tracked investors hold UPS. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Miller | Miller Value Partners | 2.95% | $12.5M | Reduced -2.6% |
| Harry Burn | Sound Shore | 2.65% | $86.2M | Added +10.1% |
| Hillman Capital | Hillman Capital Management | 1.74% | $2.4M | Unchanged |
| Van Den Berg Management I | 0.58% | $2.7M | Added +1.4% | |
| Bruce Berkowitz | Fairholme Capital | 0.17% | $2.6M | New position |
| Tweedy Browne | 0.14% | $1.8M | Added +7.2% | |
| Mairs & Power | Mairs & Power Funds | 0.01% | $1.2M | Reduced -34.0% |
Analysts (UPS)
Consensus Hold (mean 2.69 on a 1–5 scale), 29 analysts; mean target USD 113.69 (low 76, high 135).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | Bernstein | Target lowered | Outperform | $131 → $127 |
| 2026-10-20 | Evercore ISI Group | Target lowered | In-Line | $118 → $107 |
| 2026-10-07 | Citigroup | Target lowered | Buy | $132 → $122 |
| 2026-10-07 | Truist Securities | Target lowered | Buy | $130 → $115 |
| 2026-07-29 | Stifel | Target raised | Buy | $114 → $115 |
| 2026-07-29 | Susquehanna | Target raised | Neutral | $118 → $120 |
| 2026-07-29 | Stephens & Co. | Target lowered | Overweight | $135 → $130 |
| 2026-07-29 | Oppenheimer | Target raised | Outperform | $115 → $117 |
| 2026-07-29 | UBS | Target raised | Buy | $123 → $124 |
| 2026-07-29 | BMO Capital | Target raised | Market Perform | $110 → $115 |
| 2026-07-21 | Evercore ISI Group | Target raised | In-Line | $111 → $117 |
| 2026-07-21 | Bernstein | Target raised | Outperform | $130 → $133 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (UPS)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +24.3% | -36.9% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | +24.4% | -8.8% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 30.3% | 28.8% |
| Max drawdown | -20.6% (Jul 2026→Sep 2026) | -56.4% (Jan 2022→Oct 2025) |
UPS revenue by business segment (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. Domestic Package | $14.93B | 65.4% | +6.0% |
| International | $5.04B | 22.1% | +12.5% |
| Supply Chain Solutions ("SCS") | $2.86B | 12.5% | +7.8% |
| Total revenue | $22.83B | 100% | — |
UPS revenue by product line (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Logistic | $1.54B | 6.7% | +4.3% |
| Forwarding | $791.0M | 3.5% | +8.1% |
| Product & Service Other | $529.0M | 2.3% | +18.9% |
| Total revenue | $22.83B | 100% | — |
UPS revenue by region (fiscal year ended Dec 31, 2025)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| U.S | $67.43B | 76.1% | -4.2% |
| International | $21.23B | 23.9% | +2.6% |
| Total revenue | $88.66B | 100% | — |
As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).
UPS suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 10-K)
| Relationship | Company | Sentence in the filing |
|---|---|---|
| Customer | Amazon (AMZN) | “In 2025, one customer, Amazon.com, Inc. and its affiliates, represented approximately 10.6% of our consolidated revenues, substantially all of which was within our U.S. Domestic Package segment.” |
Quoted from the company's 10-K filed Feb 17, 2026.
Companies that name UPS in their SEC reports
| Relationship to UPS | Company | Filing | Sentence |
|---|---|---|---|
| customer | Armlogi Holding Corp. (BTOC) | 10-K Sep 28, 2026 | “We rely on third-party logistics providers, such as FedEx and United Parcel Service, Inc. ("UPS"), for end-to-end delivery, as we do not have our own in-house delivery team or vehicles.” |
| partner | LuxExperience B.V. (LUXE) | 20-F Sep 16, 2026 | “Customer complaints or negative publicity about our sites, products, third-party vendors, product delivery times, logistics providers, such as DHL, FedEx and UPS, social media providers, customer support, customer data handling or security practices, especially on blogs and social media platforms, could rapidly and severely diminish use of our sites and current and potential customers' and brand partners' confiden…” |
| supplier | RADIANT LOGISTICS, INC (RLGT) | 10-K Sep 14, 2026 | “The Company's primary transportation services involve arranging shipments, on behalf of its customers, of materials, products, equipment, and other goods that are generally larger than shipments handled by integrated carriers of primarily small parcels, such as FedEx, DHL, and UPS, including arranging and monitoring all aspects of material flow activity utilizing advanced information technology systems.” |
| customer | Paylocity Holding Corp (PCTY) | 10-K Aug 5, 2026 | “We rely on third-party couriers such as the United Parcel Service, or UPS, to ship printed checks to our clients, and any disruptions in their operations that impact their ability to successfully perform their tasks may negatively impact our business.” |
| supplier | NEOGEN CORP (NEOG) | 10-K Jul 30, 2026 | “We ship a significant portion of our products to customers through independent package delivery companies, such as UPS, Federal Express and DHL.” |
| competitor | FEDEX CORP (FDX) | 10-K Jul 20, 2026 | “Competitors for Express U.S. Domestic include other package delivery concerns, principally United Parcel Service, Inc. ("UPS"), passenger airlines offering express package services, regional delivery companies, air freight forwarders, and the USPS.” |
| supplier | INVO Fertility, Inc. (IVF) | 10-K Jun 2, 2026 | “ship our products to our customers through known independent package delivery companies, such as FedEx and UPS.” |
| customer | AsiaStrategy (SORA) | 20-F Apr 30, 2026 | “primarily rely international and domestic courier and logistic companies for the shipping from the suppliers, DHL, FedEx, UPS, or SF” |
| customer | SciSparc Ltd. (SPRC) | 20-F Apr 29, 2026 | “the customer depends on third parties outside of our control, including suppliers and logistics providers such as FedEx, UPS, postal services” |
| customer | Digital Brands Group, Inc. (DBGI) | 10-K Apr 15, 2026 | “suppliers and logistics providers such as FedEx, UPS and the U.S. Postal Service.” |
| supplier | Arrive AI Inc. (ARAI) | 10-K Apr 15, 2026 | “like FedEx and UPS and retailers like Walmart and CVS have automation efforts underway as well but they are prospective customers for” |
| customer | Lovesac Co (LOVE) | 10-K Apr 2, 2026 | “A significant portion of our customers' brand experience also depends on third parties outside our control, including manufacturers, suppliers, assembly and installation service providers and logistics providers such as FedEx, UPS and other third-party delivery agents.” |
| supplier | LightInTheBox Holding Co., Ltd. (LITB) | 20-F Apr 2, 2026 | “We use global online marketing platforms such as Google and Facebook to reach our customers, we accept payments through all major credit cards and electronic payment platforms such as Visa, MasterCard, American Express, PayPal, Klarna, Apple Pay and Shop Pay and we deliver our goods through major international couriers, including DHL, UPS, FEDEX, EMS and other international couriers.” |
| customer | Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings, Inc. (LVLU) | 10-K Mar 30, 2026 | “A significant portion of our customers' experience depends on third parties outside of our control, including suppliers and logistics providers such as UPS and the U.S. Postal Service.” |
| supplier | ENERGY FOCUS, INC/DE (EFOI) | 10-K Mar 24, 2026 | “The increase in commercial sales was primarily driven by a $0.5 million UPS project delivered to a new customer in Taiwan, representing approximately 36% of commercial sales in 2025.” |
UPS customer concentration
In the period ended Dec 31, 2025, a single direct customer accounted for 10.6% of revenue, per the company's 10-K filed Feb 17, 2026. The company does not name it.
UPS company outlook (results filed Jul 28, 2026)
- “Outlook to Approximately $91.2B and Non-GAAP Adj.”
- “Diluted EPS Guidance to Approximately $7.22 ATLANTA – July 28, 2026 – UPS (NYSE:UPS) today announced second-quarter 2026 consolidated revenues of $22.8 billion.”
Quoted word-for-word from the SEC 8-K results press release.
UPS analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $1.62 | $1.73 | -6.2% | $22.28B | 24 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $2.75 | $2.67 | +3.0% | $25.53B | 23 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $7.20 | $7.13 | +1.0% | $91.74B | 28 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $8.06 | $8.02 | +0.4% | $95.17B | 28 |
UPS options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±6.7% (±$6.78) by Oct 30, 2026, which includes earnings on Oct 27, 2026. Over the last 8 reports the stock moved ±7.1% on average.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | 7 | 56.2% | ±6.7% |
| Nov 6, 2026 | 14 | 44.2% | ±7.2% |
| Nov 13, 2026 | 21 | 38.2% | ±7.5% |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 28 | 36.5% | ±8.8% |
| Nov 27, 2026 | 35 | 34.4% | ±9.0% |
| Dec 4, 2026 | 42 | 32.7% | ±9.2% |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 56 | 30.7% | ±9.7% |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 84 | 28.4% | ±10.9% |
30-day implied volatility 36% vs 26.6% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0.32. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 09:54 UTC)
| Price | USD 101.52 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▲ 1.96% (up) |
| Previous Close | USD 99.57 |
| Open | USD 99.26 |
| Day Range | USD 99.01 – 101.97 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 86.3 – 122.41 |
| Volume | 4,703,160 shares |
| Market Cap | $86.37B |
| Exchange | NYQ |
Technical Analysis (UPS)
Nexqual's technical model rates UPS "BUY" based on 5 bullish and 2 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:54 UTC.
| Overall Signal | BUY |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 63.74 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Above (USD 99.02) |
| MACD | 0.24 (positive) |
Analyst Ratings (UPS)
Wall Street analysts rate UPS "Hold" based on 29 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 113.69 (range USD 76–135), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:54 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Hold |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 29 |
| Mean Target | USD 113.69 |
| High Target | USD 135 |
| Low Target | USD 76 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 14 / 12 / 3 |
Earnings (UPS)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-10-27 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 1.62 |
| Revenue Estimate | $22.28B |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 1.76 vs est 1.66 ▲ beat |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 1.07 vs est 1.02 ▲ beat |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 2.38 vs est 2.2 ▲ beat |
| 2025-09-30 | USD 1.74 vs est 1.3 ▲ beat |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:54 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (UPS)
| Total Revenue | $89.93B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +7.60% |
| Gross Margin | +22.41% |
| Operating Margin | +9.05% |
| Profit Margin | +5.08% |
| ROE | +29.60% |
| Debt / Equity | 1.9 |
| Current Ratio | 1.18 |
| Total Cash | $4.65B |
| Total Debt | $28.67B |
| Free Cash Flow (last four quarters to Jun 2026, SEC 10-Q / 10-K) | $5.46B (6.1% of revenue) |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:54 UTC.
Financial Health Score (UPS)
Nexqual rates United Parcel Service, Inc.'s overall financial health "Mixed" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:54 UTC.
| Growth | Weak — Revenue -3% YoY (annual), declining |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Mixed — Gross margin 22%, operating 9% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Weak — $5.89B cash and investments vs $24.2B debt (Dec 2025, SEC) |
| Cash Flow | Solid — FCF $5.46B (last 4 quarters to Jun 2026, SEC), 6% margin |
| Efficiency | Strong — ROE 30%, ROA 7.3% |
Ownership (UPS)
| Insider Ownership | +0.02% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +73.49% |
| Shares Outstanding | 749.35M |
| Float | 748.47M |
| Short % of Float | +3.78% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:54 UTC.
Leadership (UPS)
United Parcel Service, Inc. is led by Carol B. Tome, CEO & Director, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:54 UTC.
| CEO & Director | Carol B. Tome |
|---|---|
| Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President | Brian Dykes |
| Managing Director of Nigerian Operations & Special Projects Manager for West Africa | Ralph Ozoude |
| Managing Director of UPS Korea | Harrison Park |
Major Backers & Investors (UPS)
Notable institutional backers of United Parcel Service, Inc. include FMR, LLC, Charles Schwab Investment Management, Inc., Charles Schwab, according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:54 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| FMR, LLC | 4.38% |
| Charles Schwab Investment Management, Inc. | 3.3% |
| Charles Schwab | 2.36% |
| Fidelity | 1.91% |
| Victory Capital Management Inc. | 1.9% |
| Bank of America Corporation | 1.44% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| Vanguard Group | 8.35% |
| BlackRock | 7.33% |
| State Street | 4.52% |
| Geode Capital | 2.38% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:54 UTC.
From United Parcel Service, Inc.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-02-17)
Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)
- In 2025, our global healthcare portfolio generated more than $11 billion in revenue, furthering our progress towards our goal to become the number one complex healthcare logistics provider in the world.
- Our sophisticated systems, including our RFID-enabled Smart Package Smart Facility technology, enable us to optimize network efficiency asset utilization, and to enhance end-to-end visibility.
- We offer a broad range of industry-leading products and services through our extensive global presence, serving over 200 countries and territories.
- We are continuing to execute our Customer First, People Led, Innovation Driven strategy, which focuses on growing in the parts of our market that value our end-to-end solutions, including healthcare, business-to-business ("B2B"), small- and medium-sized businesses ("SMBs"), and international.
Partnerships
- In December 2025, we entered into an agreement with the USPS to support final-mile delivery for a portion of Ground Saver volume beginning in 2026.
Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)
- Regulations related to climate change, including reporting obligations, could materially increase our operating costs.
- Increased regulation relating to GHG emissions in the U.S. or abroad, especially aircraft, gasoline or diesel engine emissions, could, among other things, increase the cost of fuel and other energy we purchase and the costs associated with updating or replacing our aircraft or vehicles prematurely.
- We may be subject to various other claims and lawsuits that could result in significant expenditures which may materially adversely affect us.
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| FDX | FedEx Corporation | USD 303.92 | ▲ 1.91% |
| EXPD | Expeditors International of Was | USD 196.19 | ▼ 0.42% |
| JBHT | J.B. Hunt Transport Services, I | USD 230.59 | ▲ 0.87% |
| CHRW | C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. | USD 142.31 | ▲ 0.96% |
| FDXF | FedEx Freight Holding Company, | USD 111.02 | ▲ 2.84% |
| ZTO | ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. | USD 20.06 | ▲ 0.96% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 09:54 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt