Valvoline Inc. (VVV) Stock Price & Analysis
Valvoline Inc. (VVV) closed at USD 32.44 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, up 4.24% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 31.12; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 30.89–32.47 on volume of 2,839,724 shares. Market capitalization is $4.14B, with a 52-week range of USD 26.21–41.08 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 09:58 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/VVV.md
Key facts (VVV)
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 30, 2026): revenue $1.96B, net income $102M (5.2% margin), free cash flow $135M (SEC filings).
- Valuation: P/E 40.8x (avg 17.2x at the last 3 fiscal year-ends).
- Insider open-market sales, last ~7 months: 2 Form 4 filings, $239K; 1 not under a Rule 10b5-1 plan ($125K); 1 by opportunistic insiders (1 outside 10b5-1 plans), 0 by routine insiders (three-year test, Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski 2012).
- Insider open-market purchases, last ~7 months: 4 Form 4 filings, $501K; 0 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders.
- Analysts: Buy (mean 2.13 on a 1–5 scale) (16 analysts), mean target USD 42.63 (range 34–48).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y -4.1% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y -6.3% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-18, EPS estimate USD 0.42, revenue estimate $568M.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (VVV)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.04B | $1.24B | $1.44B | $1.62B | $1.71B | $1.96B |
| Gross profit | $432M | $476M | $545M | $619M | $659M | — |
| Operating income | $240M | $220M | $247M | $367M | $390M | $301M |
| Net income | $420M | $424M | $1.42B | $212M | $211M | $102M |
| EPS (diluted) | $2.29 | $2.35 | $8.73 | $1.61 | $1.64 | — |
| Free cash flow | $301M | $152M | -$221M | $40.7M | $38.0M | $135M |
| Gross margin | 41.7% | 38.5% | 37.7% | 38.2% | 38.5% | — |
| Operating margin | 23.1% | 17.8% | 17.1% | 22.7% | 22.8% | 15.3% |
| Net margin | 40.5% | 34.3% | 98.4% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 5.2% |
| Revenue growth | +42.7% | +19.2% | +16.8% | +12.2% | +5.6% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $123M | $23.4M | $757M | $68.3M | — | — |
| Total debt | $1.65B | $1.69B | $1.59B | $1.09B | $1.07B | — |
Fiscal years end Sep. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (VVV)
P/E 40.8x · P/S 2.1x · P/FCF 30.6x · P/B 9.9x · FCF yield 3.27% · Earnings yield 2.45% · Buyback yield (TTM) 0.00%
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Sep 2025 21.9x, Sep 2024 25.9x, Sep 2023 3.7x.
Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (VVV)
1 of 2 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | % of holdings sold | 10b5-1 plan | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | O'Daniel Julie Marie | Chief Legal Officer | 3,700 | $125K | 17.6% | No | Opportunistic (traded every year 2023–2025, no repeating month) |
| 2026-06-25 | Caldwell Jonathan L. | Chief People Officer | 2,851 | $114K | 12% | Yes | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).
Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.
Insider purchases (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (VVV)
4 purchases, $501K. Private placements, offerings, dividend reinvestment and employee stock purchase plan buys are excluded.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | Avg price | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Denny Jordan M. | Chief Accounting Officer | 1,506 | $50K | 33.2 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-05-15 | Slater Jennifer Lynn | Director | 1,000 | $33K | 32.53 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-05-14 | Willis J Kevin | Chief Financial Officer | 10,000 | $318K | 31.8 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2024) |
| 2026-05-14 | Freeland Richard Joseph | Director | 3,100 | $100K | 32.37 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2024 or 2025) |
Analysts (VVV)
Consensus Buy (mean 2.13 on a 1–5 scale), 16 analysts; mean target USD 42.63 (low 34, high 48).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | RBC Capital | Target lowered | Outperform | $49 → $46 |
| 2026-10-14 | TD Cowen | Target lowered | Buy | $45 → $40 |
| 2026-10-06 | Barclays | Target lowered | Equal-Weight | $41 → $39 |
| 2026-10-01 | Citigroup | Target lowered | Neutral | $41 → $34 |
| 2026-09-11 | RBC Capital | Target raised | Outperform | $46 → $49 |
| 2026-08-20 | Benchmark | Initiated | Buy | $48 |
| 2026-08-06 | TD Cowen | Target lowered | Buy | $47 → $45 |
| 2026-08-06 | RBC Capital | Target lowered | Outperform | $47 → $46 |
| 2026-07-28 | Stephens & Co. | Target raised | Overweight | $44 → $48 |
| 2026-07-22 | Barclays | Target raised | Equal-Weight | $35 → $41 |
| 2026-07-21 | Wells Fargo | Target raised | Overweight | $42 → $45 |
| 2026-07-20 | TD Cowen | Target raised | Buy | $42 → $47 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (VVV)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | -4.1% | -6.3% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | -4.1% | -1.3% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 33.5% | 29.4% |
| Max drawdown | -33.9% (Jul 2026→Sep 2026) | -41.9% (Jul 2024→Sep 2026) |
VVV revenue by product line (fiscal year ended Sep 30, 2025)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil Changes | $1.25B | 72.9% | +4.9% |
| Non Oil Changes | $368.4M | 21.5% | +5.2% |
| Franchise | $94.6M | 5.5% | +18.0% |
| Total revenue | $1.71B | 100% | — |
VVV revenue by region (fiscal year ended Sep 30, 2025)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| United States | $1.66B | 96.9% | +5.4% |
| International | $53.2M | 3.1% | +12.7% |
| Total revenue | $1.71B | 100% | — |
As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).
Companies that name VVV in their SEC reports
| Relationship to VVV | Company | Filing | Sentence |
|---|---|---|---|
| partner | ASHLAND INC. (ASH) | 10-K Nov 20, 2025 | “The Valvoline activity within 2025, 2024 and 2023 primarily represents subsequent adjustments that were made in conjunction with post-closing disputes and the Tax Matters Agreement with Valvoline.” |
VVV analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $0.42 | $0.48 | -12.1% | $568.0M | 15 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $0.35 | $0.40 | -12.4% | $539.7M | 12 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Sep 2026) | $1.76 | $1.75 | +0.6% | $2.08B | 16 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Sep 2027) | $1.97 | $2.06 | -4.4% | $2.32B | 16 |
VVV options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±12.2% (±$3.97) by Nov 20, 2026, which includes earnings on Nov 18, 2026. Over the last 8 reports the stock moved ±6.7% on average.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2026 | 28 | 52.3% | ±12.2% |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 84 | 41.0% | ±16.4% |
| Apr 16, 2027 | 175 | 45.6% | ±24.5% |
30-day implied volatility 41.7% vs 42.8% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 09:58 UTC)
| Price | USD 32.44 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▲ 4.24% (up) |
| Previous Close | USD 31.12 |
| Open | USD 31.04 |
| Day Range | USD 30.89 – 32.47 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 26.21 – 41.08 |
| Volume | 2,839,724 shares |
| Market Cap | $4.14B |
| Exchange | NYQ |
Technical Analysis (VVV)
Nexqual's technical model rates VVV "BUY" based on 5 bullish and 2 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:58 UTC.
| Overall Signal | BUY |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 59.09 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Above (USD 30.89) |
| MACD | 0.28 (positive) |
Analyst Ratings (VVV)
Wall Street analysts rate VVV "Buy" based on 16 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 42.63 (range USD 34–48), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:58 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Buy |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 16 |
| Mean Target | USD 42.63 |
| High Target | USD 48 |
| Low Target | USD 34 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 12 / 4 / 0 |
Earnings (VVV)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-11-18 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 0.42 |
| Revenue Estimate | $567.96M |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 0.57 vs est 0.5 ▲ beat |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 0.41 vs est 0.34 ▲ beat |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 0.37 vs est 0.33 ▲ beat |
| 2025-09-30 | USD 0.45 vs est 0.47 ▼ miss |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:58 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (VVV)
| Total Revenue | $1.96B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +24.10% |
| Gross Margin | +38.28% |
| Operating Margin | +21.04% |
| Profit Margin | +5.17% |
| ROE | +28.40% |
| Debt / Equity | 4.75 |
| Current Ratio | 0.7 |
| Total Cash | $84.20M |
| Total Debt | $1.98B |
| Free Cash Flow (last four quarters to Jun 2026, SEC 10-Q / 10-K) | $135.30M (6.9% of revenue) |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:58 UTC.
Financial Health Score (VVV)
Nexqual rates Valvoline Inc.'s overall financial health "Mixed" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:58 UTC.
| Growth | Solid — Revenue +6% YoY (annual) |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Solid — Gross margin 38%, operating 21% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Critical — $84M cash vs $1.98B debt |
| Cash Flow | Solid — FCF $135M (last 4 quarters to Jun 2026, SEC), 7% margin |
| Efficiency | Strong — ROE 28%, ROA 7.0% |
Ownership (VVV)
| Insider Ownership | +0.31% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +117.98% |
| Shares Outstanding | 127.54M |
| Float | 127.07M |
| Short % of Float | +13.54% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:58 UTC.
Leadership (VVV)
Valvoline Inc. is led by Lori A. Flees, CEO, President & Director, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:58 UTC.
| CEO, President & Director | Lori A. Flees |
|---|---|
| Senior VP & CFO | John Kevin Willis |
| Senior VP & COO | Linne R. Fulcher |
| Chief Technology & Cybersecurity Officer | Hitesh Patel |
| Vice President of Marketing | Jake Lestan |
Major Backers & Investors (VVV)
Notable institutional backers of Valvoline Inc. include Boston Partners, Fiduciary Management, Inc., Wasatch Advisors LP, according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:58 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| Boston Partners | 5.34% |
| Fiduciary Management, Inc. | 4.01% |
| Wasatch Advisors LP | 3.96% |
| Wellington Management | 3.65% |
| Morgan Stanley | 3% |
| John Hancock Funds III-Disciplined Value Mid Cap Fund | 2.96% |
| Neuberger Berman Group, LLC | 2.57% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| BlackRock | 9.95% |
| Vanguard Group | 9.08% |
| State Street | 3.4% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:58 UTC.
From Valvoline Inc.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2025-11-21)
Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)
- Valvoline holds approximately 390 trademarks in more than 70 countries across the world, including the Valvoline and "V" brand logo trademarks.
Partnerships
- In connection with the sale of Global Products, Valvoline entered into a long-term supply agreement for the purchase of substantially all lubricant and certain ancillary products for its stores from VGO (the "Supply Agreement").
Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)
- Data protection requirements could increase operating costs and requirements and a breach in information privacy or other related risks could negatively impact operations.
- The impact of changing laws or regulations or the manner of interpretation or enforcement of existing laws or regulations could adversely impact Valvoline's financial performance and restrict its ability to operate its business or execute its strategies.
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| OPLN | OPENLANE, Inc. | USD 38.05 | ▲ 1.63% |
| AN | AutoNation, Inc. | USD 161.84 | ▲ 5.77% |
| ABG | Asbury Automotive Group Inc | USD 173.43 | ▲ 5.72% |
| GPI | Group 1 Automotive, Inc. | USD 242.79 | ▲ 7.98% |
| LAD | Lithia Motors, Inc. | USD 291.07 | ▲ 8.15% |
| RUSHB | Rush Enterprises, Inc. | USD 57.89 | ▼ 1.14% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 09:58 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt