Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (IVR) Stock Price & Analysis

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (IVR) closed at USD 5.52 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, up 1.85% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.

The prior close was USD 5.42; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 5.41–5.59 on volume of 3,645,270 shares. Market capitalization is $601.68M, with a 52-week range of USD 5.22–9.5 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 11:03 UTC.

Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/IVR.md

Key facts (IVR)

Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (IVR)

USDFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025TTM
Net income-$90.0M-$403M-$15.9M$59.9M$101M$120M
EPS (diluted)-$4.82-$12.21-$0.85$0.65$1.32—
Cash + short-term investments$357M$176M$77.0M$73.4M$56.0M—

Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.

Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (IVR)

P/E 5.0x · P/B 0.6x · Earnings yield 19.95%

P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 5.6x, Dec 2024 7.2x.

Insider purchases (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (IVR)

1 purchase, $14K. Private placements, offerings, dividend reinvestment and employee stock purchase plan buys are excluded.

Trade dateInsiderRoleSharesValueAvg priceInsider type
2026-05-05Gregson Mark WilliamChief Financial Officer1,750$14K8.03Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025)

Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.

Analysts (IVR)

Consensus Hold (mean 3.17 on a 1–5 scale), 6 analysts; mean target USD 8.17 (low 7.25, high 9.5).

Rating changes, last 120 days:

DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
2026-08-19UBSTarget loweredNeutral$8.25 → $7.75

Total return (dividends reinvested) (IVR)

1Y (from 2025-10-23)5Y (from 2021-10-18)
Total return-10.2%-57.1%
S&P 500 (SPY)+14.9%+80.3%
Per year-10.2%-15.5%
Volatility (annualized)23.6%37.6%
Max drawdown-36.0% (Jan 2026→Oct 2026)-72.4% (Nov 2021→Oct 2023)

IVR suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 10-K)

RelationshipCompanySentence in the filing
PartnerIAS Operating Partnership“We conduct our business through IAS Operating Partnership L.P. (the "Operating Partnership") and have one operating segment.”

Quoted from the company's 10-K filed Feb 23, 2026.

IVR analyst estimates and revisions

PeriodEPS estimate90 days agoChangeRevenue estimateAnalysts
Current quarter (ends Sep 2026)$0.46$0.52-11.9%$59.2M6
Next quarter (ends Dec 2026)$0.44$0.51-13.0%$58.0M6
Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026)$1.93$2.06-6.2%$225.7M6
Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027)$1.66$2.02-17.6%$243.9M6

IVR options: expected move

Options price a move of about ±11.8% (±$0.65) by Nov 20, 2026, which includes earnings on Oct 29, 2026. Over the last 8 reports the stock moved ±2.1% on average.

ExpirationDaysATM implied volatilityExpected move
Nov 20, 20262828.7%±11.8%
Dec 18, 20265634.8%±15.3%
Jan 15, 20278455.4%±24.9%
Apr 16, 202717558.4%±35.8%

30-day implied volatility 37.1% vs 29.5% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0.17. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.

Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 11:03 UTC)

PriceUSD 5.52
Change▲ 1.85% (up)
Previous CloseUSD 5.42
OpenUSD 5.42
Day RangeUSD 5.41 – 5.59
52-Week RangeUSD 5.22 – 9.5
Volume3,645,270 shares
Market Cap$601.68M
ExchangeNYQ

Technical Analysis (IVR)

Nexqual's technical model rates IVR "STRONG SELL" based on 0 bullish and 5 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 11:03 UTC.

Overall SignalSTRONG SELL
RSI (14)31.71 (neutral)
vs SMA50Below (USD 6.53)
MACD-0.32 (negative)

Analyst Ratings (IVR)

Wall Street analysts rate IVR "Hold" based on 6 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 8.17 (range USD 7.25–9.5), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 11:03 UTC.

Consensus RatingHold
Analyst Count6
Mean TargetUSD 8.17
High TargetUSD 9.5
Low TargetUSD 7.25
Buy / Hold / Sell1 / 4 / 1

Earnings (IVR)

Next Earnings Date2026-10-29
EPS EstimateUSD 0.46
Revenue Estimate$59.24M

Recent Earnings History

QuarterActual vs Estimate
2026-06-30USD 0.5 vs est 0.52 ▼ miss
2026-03-31USD 0.55 vs est 0.55 ▼ miss
2025-12-31USD 0.56 vs est 0.56 ▲ beat
2025-09-30USD 0.58 vs est 0.58 ▲ beat

Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 11:03 UTC.

Financials & Fundamentals (IVR)

Total Revenue$139.44M
Gross Margin+100.00%
Operating Margin+86.52%
Profit Margin+86.11%
ROE+14.13%
Debt / Equity6.27
Current Ratio0.05
Total Cash$89.89M
Total Debt$6.21B

Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 11:03 UTC.

Financial Health Score (IVR)

Nexqual rates Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc.'s overall financial health "Mixed" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 11:03 UTC.

GrowthWeak — Revenue -5% YoY (annual), declining
ProfitabilityStrong — Operating margin 87%
Balance SheetCritical — $90M cash vs $6.21B debt
Cash FlowSolid — Operating cash flow $157M (FY ended Dec 2025, 10-K)
EfficiencyMixed — ROE 14%, ROA 1.9%

Ownership (IVR)

Insider Ownership+0.26%
Institutional Ownership+44.62%
Shares Outstanding109.00M
Float107.36M
Short % of Float+10.61%

Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 11:03 UTC.

Leadership (IVR)

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. is led by Kevin M. Collins, Chief Executive Officer, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 11:03 UTC.

Chief Executive OfficerKevin M. Collins
PresidentDavid B. Lyle
Chief Financial OfficerMark William Gregson
Executive DirectorStephanie J. Larosiliere

Major Backers & Investors (IVR)

Notable institutional backers of Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. include Mirae Asset Global ETFs Holdings Ltd., Invesco, GLOBAL X FUNDS-Global X SuperDividend ETF, according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 11:03 UTC.

Active Investors

InvestorStake
Mirae Asset Global ETFs Holdings Ltd.3.07%
Invesco2.25%
GLOBAL X FUNDS-Global X SuperDividend ETF2.19%
VanEck ETF Trust-VanEck Mortgage REIT Income ETF1.32%
Ascentis Wealth Management, LLC1.2%
Two Sigma Investments, LP1.2%

Index Funds (Passive)

FundStake
BlackRock8.18%
Vanguard Group3.71%
Geode Capital2.21%
State Street1.72%

Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 11:03 UTC.

From Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-02-23)

Partnerships

Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)

Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.

Peers & Related Stocks

SymbolNamePriceChange
ABRArbor Realty TrustUSD 2.96▲ 2.07%
MFAMFA Financial, Inc.USD 6.62▲ 2.32%
ADAMAdamas Trust, Inc.USD 7.73▲ 3.9%
FBRTFranklin BSP Realty Trust, Inc.USD 6.25▲ 3.82%
CIMChimera Investment CorporationUSD 8.45▲ 2.55%
TRTXTPG RE Finance Trust, Inc.USD 6.22▲ 6.32%

Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 11:03 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.

For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt