CAVA Group, Inc. (CAVA) Stock Price & Analysis

CAVA Group, Inc. (CAVA) closed at USD 54.68 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, down 0.58% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.

The prior close was USD 55; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 53.37–55.84 on volume of 2,771,221 shares. Market capitalization is $6.39B, with a 52-week range of USD 43.41–98.79 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.

Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/CAVA.md

Key facts (CAVA)

Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (CAVA)

USDFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025TTM
Revenue$500M$564M$729M$964M$1.18B$1.37B
Gross profit$82.2M$98.0M$180M———
Operating income-$52.8M-$59.8M$4.7M$43.1M$55.3M$72.0M
Net income-$37.4M-$59.0M$13.3M$130M$63.7M$66.3M
EPS (diluted)-$51.06-$44.41$0.21$1.10$0.54—
Free cash flow-$52.9M-$98.1M-$41.7M$52.9M$26.1M$49.0M
Gross margin16.4%17.4%24.7%———
Operating margin-10.5%-10.6%0.6%4.5%4.7%5.2%
Net margin-7.5%-10.5%1.8%13.5%5.4%4.8%
Revenue growth—+12.8%+29.2%+32.3%+22.4%—
Cash + short-term investments$140M$39.1M$332M$366M$393M—

Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.

Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jul 12, 2026) (CAVA)

P/E 96.4x · P/S 4.7x · P/FCF 130.3x · P/B 7.6x · FCF yield 0.77% · Earnings yield 1.04%

P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 108.9x, Dec 2024 102.4x, Dec 2023 205.3x.

Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (CAVA)

0 of 11 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.

Trade dateInsiderRoleSharesValue% of holdings sold10b5-1 planInsider type
2026-06-18Kochevar KarenDirector10,000$900K76.5%NoToo little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2025)
2026-06-15…2026-06-17Costanza KellyChief People Officer15,360$1.4M13.5%NoToo little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2024)
2026-06-15Schulman BrettCEO and President33,174$3.0M2.1%NoToo little history (no open-market trades in 2023)
2026-06-15Tolivar Tricia K.Chief Financial Officer4,969$444K2%NoOpportunistic (traded every year 2023–2025, no repeating month)
2026-06-15Phillips Adam DavidChief Accounting Officer757$68K10%NoToo little history (no open-market trades in 2023)
2026-06-15Xenohristos TheodorosChief Concept Officer3,252$291K0.9%NoRoutine (traded in Jun each year 2023–2025)
2026-06-15Artal Participations S.A R.L.Director3,000,000$271M31.6%NoToo little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025)
2026-06-12Phillips Adam DavidChief Accounting Officer4,664$423K38%NoToo little history (no open-market trades in 2023)
2026-05-21Phillips Adam DavidChief Accounting Officer5,181$400K35.3%NoToo little history (no open-market trades in 2023)
2026-05-21Costanza KellyChief People Officer10,010$799K8.1%NoToo little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2024)
2026-05-11Xenohristos TheodorosChief Concept Officer9,044$721K2.6%NoRoutine (traded in Jun each year 2023–2025; this trade is outside those months)

% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).

Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.

Insider purchases (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (CAVA)

6 purchases, $1.1M. Private placements, offerings, dividend reinvestment and employee stock purchase plan buys are excluded.

Trade dateInsiderRoleSharesValueAvg priceInsider type
2026-09-15Kadow Joseph JohnCLO & Secretary1,000$50K49.96Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025)
2026-08-31Thompson Douglas W.Chief Operations Officer6,500$432K66.52Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025)
2026-06-03Kadow Joseph JohnCLO & Secretary1,000$70K70Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025)
2026-05-29Thompson Douglas W.Chief Operations Officer2,500$195K77.9Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025)
2026-05-29Kadow Joseph JohnCLO & Secretary1,000$79K79Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025)
2026-05-26Thompson Douglas W.Chief Operations Officer4,000$318K79.45Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025)

Analysts (CAVA)

Consensus Buy (mean 2.25 on a 1–5 scale), 28 analysts; mean target USD 82.63 (low 18, high 110).

Rating changes, last 120 days:

DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
2026-10-22UBSTarget loweredBuy$90 → $85
2026-10-22CitigroupTarget loweredNeutral$79 → $66
2026-10-21TD CowenTarget loweredBuy$85 → $78
2026-10-08Melius ResearchUpgradeHold → Buy$95
2026-09-18JP MorganTarget loweredOverweight$85 → $80
2026-09-17RBC CapitalTarget loweredOutperform$95 → $85
2026-09-16Seaport GlobalInitiatedBuy$58
2026-08-13DA DavidsonTarget loweredNeutral$84 → $75
2026-08-13GuggenheimTarget loweredBuy$100 → $95
2026-08-12Roth CapitalTarget loweredBuy$106 → $95
2026-08-12Wolfe ResearchTarget raisedOutperform$79 → $82
2026-08-12MizuhoTarget loweredNeutral$85 → $70

Total return (dividends reinvested) (CAVA)

1Y (from 2025-10-23)5Y (from 2023-06-12)
Total return-14.9%+43.3%
S&P 500 (SPY)+14.9%+80.3%
Per year-14.9%+11.3%
Volatility (annualized)59.4%58.5%
Max drawdown-48.9% (Apr 2026→Sep 2026)-68.7% (Dec 2024→Nov 2025)

CAVA revenue by product line (quarter ended Jul 12, 2026)

LineRevenueShare of totalYoY
Restaurant revenue$365.4M99.2%+31.3%
CPG revenue and other$3.0M0.8%+26.9%
Total revenue$368.4M100%—

As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).

CAVA suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 10-K)

RelationshipCompanySentence in the filing
PartnerByteDance“Paid media includes platforms such as Google, Instagram, TikTok, influencer and creator partnerships, and out-of-home advertising.”
PartnerAlphabet (Google) (GOOGL)“Paid media includes platforms such as Google, Instagram, TikTok, influencer and creator partnerships, and out-of-home advertising.”
PartnerMeta Platforms (META)“For example, we maintain Facebook, Instagram, X, and TikTok accounts, among other accounts, and we have partnered, and expect to continue to partner, with social media influencers who promote our brand and may also produce content for us.”

Quoted from the company's 10-K filed Feb 25, 2026.

CAVA company outlook (results filed Aug 11, 2026)

Quoted word-for-word from the SEC 8-K results press release.

CAVA analyst estimates and revisions

PeriodEPS estimate90 days agoChangeRevenue estimateAnalysts
Current quarter (ends Sep 2026)$0.12$0.14-11.0%$359.4M25
Next quarter (ends Dec 2026)$0.03$0.03-8.4%$337.2M24
Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026)$0.54$0.55-1.7%$1.50B27
Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027)$0.74$0.75-1.2%$1.82B27

CAVA options: expected move

Options price a move of about ±14.7% (±$8.00) by Nov 6, 2026, which includes earnings on Nov 4, 2026; the earnings reaction alone is priced at about ±11.2%. Over the last 8 reports the stock moved ±8.2% on average.

ExpirationDaysATM implied volatilityExpected move
Oct 30, 2026758.4%±7.0%
Nov 6, 20261490.2%±14.7%
Nov 13, 20262182.4%±16.2%
Nov 20, 20262873.2%±16.5%
Nov 27, 20263568.1%±17.1%
Dec 4, 20264264.6%±17.7%
Dec 18, 20265663.1%±19.8%
Jan 15, 20278460.6%±23.3%

30-day implied volatility 70.7% vs 47.9% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0.65. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.

Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC)

PriceUSD 54.68
Change▼ 0.58% (down)
Previous CloseUSD 55
OpenUSD 53.85
Day RangeUSD 53.37 – 55.84
52-Week RangeUSD 43.41 – 98.79
Volume2,771,221 shares
Market Cap$6.39B
ExchangeNYQ

Technical Analysis (CAVA)

Nexqual's technical model rates CAVA "SELL" based on 1 bullish and 4 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.

Overall SignalSELL
RSI (14)46.14 (neutral)
vs SMA50Below (USD 58.66)
MACD-0.31 (negative)

Analyst Ratings (CAVA)

Wall Street analysts rate CAVA "Buy" based on 28 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 82.63 (range USD 18–110), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.

Consensus RatingBuy
Analyst Count28
Mean TargetUSD 82.63
High TargetUSD 110
Low TargetUSD 18
Buy / Hold / Sell19 / 8 / 1

Earnings (CAVA)

Next Earnings Date2026-11-04
EPS EstimateUSD 0.12
Revenue Estimate$359.40M

Recent Earnings History

QuarterActual vs Estimate
2026-06-30USD 0.19 vs est 0.18 ▲ beat
2026-03-31USD 0.2 vs est 0.18 ▲ beat
2025-12-31USD 0.04 vs est 0.03 ▲ beat
2025-09-30USD 0.12 vs est 0.12 ▼ miss

Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.

Financials & Fundamentals (CAVA)

Total Revenue$1.37B
Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY)+31.30%
Gross Margin+37.73%
Operating Margin+7.62%
Profit Margin+4.82%
ROE+8.32%
Debt / Equity0.62
Current Ratio2.48
Total Cash$435.60M
Total Debt$520.74M
Free Cash Flow (last four quarters to Jul 2026, SEC 10-Q / 10-K)$49.02M (3.6% of revenue)

Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.

Financial Health Score (CAVA)

Nexqual rates CAVA Group, Inc.'s overall financial health "Mixed" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.

GrowthStrong — Revenue +22% YoY (annual)
ProfitabilitySolid — Gross margin 38%, operating 8% (last 12 months)
Balance SheetStrong — $436M cash vs $521M debt
Cash FlowMixed — FCF $49M (last 4 quarters to Jul 2026, SEC), slim 3.6% margin
EfficiencyMixed — ROE 8%, ROA 3.5%

Ownership (CAVA)

Insider Ownership+5.74%
Institutional Ownership+90.03%
Shares Outstanding116.81M
Float107.91M
Short % of Float+14.40%

Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.

Leadership (CAVA)

CAVA Group, Inc. is led by Brett Schulman, Co-Founder, CEO, President & Director, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.

Co-Founder, CEO, President & DirectorBrett Schulman
Founder, Chief Concept Officer & DirectorTheodore Xenohristos
Chief Financial OfficerTricia K. Tolivar
Chief Technology OfficerBeth McCormick

Major Backers & Investors (CAVA)

Notable institutional backers of CAVA Group, Inc. include Alliancebernstein L.P., Artal Group S.A., FMR, LLC, according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.

Active Investors

InvestorStake
Alliancebernstein L.P.5.69%
Artal Group S.A.5.57%
FMR, LLC4.73%
SmallCap World Fund Inc3.21%
Price (T.Rowe) Associates Inc2.6%
1832 Asset Management L.P.2.16%
Morgan Stanley1.82%

Index Funds (Passive)

FundStake
BlackRock8.26%
Vanguard Group7.45%
State Street2.65%

Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.

From CAVA Group, Inc.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-02-25)

Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)

Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)

Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.

Peers & Related Stocks

SymbolNamePriceChange
JMKEJersey Mike's Subs Inc.USD 17.69▲ 0.17%
CAKEThe Cheesecake Factory IncorporUSD 112.44▼ 1.7%
BROSDutch Bros Inc.USD 41.75▼ 1.21%
EATBrinker International, Inc.USD 190.11▲ 1.09%
DPZDomino's Pizza IncUSD 317.7▲ 2.11%
TXRHTexas Roadhouse, Inc.USD 172.78▲ 2.96%

Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.

For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt