CAVA Group, Inc. (CAVA) Stock Price & Analysis
CAVA Group, Inc. (CAVA) closed at USD 54.68 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, down 0.58% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 55; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 53.37–55.84 on volume of 2,771,221 shares. Market capitalization is $6.39B, with a 52-week range of USD 43.41–98.79 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/CAVA.md
Key facts (CAVA)
- Last four reported quarters (through Jul 12, 2026): revenue $1.37B, net income $66.3M (4.8% margin), free cash flow $49.0M (SEC filings).
- Valuation: P/E 96.4x (avg 138.9x at the last 3 fiscal year-ends).
- Insider open-market sales, last ~7 months: 11 Form 4 filings, $279M; 11 not under a Rule 10b5-1 plan ($279M); 1 by opportunistic insiders (1 outside 10b5-1 plans), 2 by routine insiders (three-year test, Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski 2012).
- Insider open-market purchases, last ~7 months: 6 Form 4 filings, $1.1M; 0 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders.
- Analysts: Buy (mean 2.25 on a 1–5 scale) (28 analysts), mean target USD 82.63 (range 18–110).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y -14.9% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y +43.3% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-04, EPS estimate USD 0.12, revenue estimate $359M.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (CAVA)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $500M | $564M | $729M | $964M | $1.18B | $1.37B |
| Gross profit | $82.2M | $98.0M | $180M | — | — | — |
| Operating income | -$52.8M | -$59.8M | $4.7M | $43.1M | $55.3M | $72.0M |
| Net income | -$37.4M | -$59.0M | $13.3M | $130M | $63.7M | $66.3M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$51.06 | -$44.41 | $0.21 | $1.10 | $0.54 | — |
| Free cash flow | -$52.9M | -$98.1M | -$41.7M | $52.9M | $26.1M | $49.0M |
| Gross margin | 16.4% | 17.4% | 24.7% | — | — | — |
| Operating margin | -10.5% | -10.6% | 0.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% |
| Net margin | -7.5% | -10.5% | 1.8% | 13.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% |
| Revenue growth | — | +12.8% | +29.2% | +32.3% | +22.4% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $140M | $39.1M | $332M | $366M | $393M | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jul 12, 2026) (CAVA)
P/E 96.4x · P/S 4.7x · P/FCF 130.3x · P/B 7.6x · FCF yield 0.77% · Earnings yield 1.04%
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 108.9x, Dec 2024 102.4x, Dec 2023 205.3x.
Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (CAVA)
0 of 11 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | % of holdings sold | 10b5-1 plan | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | Kochevar Karen | Director | 10,000 | $900K | 76.5% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2025) |
| 2026-06-15…2026-06-17 | Costanza Kelly | Chief People Officer | 15,360 | $1.4M | 13.5% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2024) |
| 2026-06-15 | Schulman Brett | CEO and President | 33,174 | $3.0M | 2.1% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023) |
| 2026-06-15 | Tolivar Tricia K. | Chief Financial Officer | 4,969 | $444K | 2% | No | Opportunistic (traded every year 2023–2025, no repeating month) |
| 2026-06-15 | Phillips Adam David | Chief Accounting Officer | 757 | $68K | 10% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023) |
| 2026-06-15 | Xenohristos Theodoros | Chief Concept Officer | 3,252 | $291K | 0.9% | No | Routine (traded in Jun each year 2023–2025) |
| 2026-06-15 | Artal Participations S.A R.L. | Director | 3,000,000 | $271M | 31.6% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-06-12 | Phillips Adam David | Chief Accounting Officer | 4,664 | $423K | 38% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023) |
| 2026-05-21 | Phillips Adam David | Chief Accounting Officer | 5,181 | $400K | 35.3% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023) |
| 2026-05-21 | Costanza Kelly | Chief People Officer | 10,010 | $799K | 8.1% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2024) |
| 2026-05-11 | Xenohristos Theodoros | Chief Concept Officer | 9,044 | $721K | 2.6% | No | Routine (traded in Jun each year 2023–2025; this trade is outside those months) |
% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).
Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.
Insider purchases (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (CAVA)
6 purchases, $1.1M. Private placements, offerings, dividend reinvestment and employee stock purchase plan buys are excluded.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | Avg price | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Kadow Joseph John | CLO & Secretary | 1,000 | $50K | 49.96 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-08-31 | Thompson Douglas W. | Chief Operations Officer | 6,500 | $432K | 66.52 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-06-03 | Kadow Joseph John | CLO & Secretary | 1,000 | $70K | 70 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-05-29 | Thompson Douglas W. | Chief Operations Officer | 2,500 | $195K | 77.9 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-05-29 | Kadow Joseph John | CLO & Secretary | 1,000 | $79K | 79 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-05-26 | Thompson Douglas W. | Chief Operations Officer | 4,000 | $318K | 79.45 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
Analysts (CAVA)
Consensus Buy (mean 2.25 on a 1–5 scale), 28 analysts; mean target USD 82.63 (low 18, high 110).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | UBS | Target lowered | Buy | $90 → $85 |
| 2026-10-22 | Citigroup | Target lowered | Neutral | $79 → $66 |
| 2026-10-21 | TD Cowen | Target lowered | Buy | $85 → $78 |
| 2026-10-08 | Melius Research | Upgrade | Hold → Buy | $95 |
| 2026-09-18 | JP Morgan | Target lowered | Overweight | $85 → $80 |
| 2026-09-17 | RBC Capital | Target lowered | Outperform | $95 → $85 |
| 2026-09-16 | Seaport Global | Initiated | Buy | $58 |
| 2026-08-13 | DA Davidson | Target lowered | Neutral | $84 → $75 |
| 2026-08-13 | Guggenheim | Target lowered | Buy | $100 → $95 |
| 2026-08-12 | Roth Capital | Target lowered | Buy | $106 → $95 |
| 2026-08-12 | Wolfe Research | Target raised | Outperform | $79 → $82 |
| 2026-08-12 | Mizuho | Target lowered | Neutral | $85 → $70 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (CAVA)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2023-06-12) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | -14.9% | +43.3% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | -14.9% | +11.3% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 59.4% | 58.5% |
| Max drawdown | -48.9% (Apr 2026→Sep 2026) | -68.7% (Dec 2024→Nov 2025) |
CAVA revenue by product line (quarter ended Jul 12, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Restaurant revenue | $365.4M | 99.2% | +31.3% |
| CPG revenue and other | $3.0M | 0.8% | +26.9% |
| Total revenue | $368.4M | 100% | — |
As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).
CAVA suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 10-K)
| Relationship | Company | Sentence in the filing |
|---|---|---|
| Partner | ByteDance | “Paid media includes platforms such as Google, Instagram, TikTok, influencer and creator partnerships, and out-of-home advertising.” |
| Partner | Alphabet (Google) (GOOGL) | “Paid media includes platforms such as Google, Instagram, TikTok, influencer and creator partnerships, and out-of-home advertising.” |
| Partner | Meta Platforms (META) | “For example, we maintain Facebook, Instagram, X, and TikTok accounts, among other accounts, and we have partnered, and expect to continue to partner, with social media influencers who promote our brand and may also produce content for us.” |
Quoted from the company's 10-K filed Feb 25, 2026.
CAVA company outlook (results filed Aug 11, 2026)
- “A reconciliation of the forward-looking fiscal 2026 Adjusted EBITDA to net income cannot be provided without unreasonable effort because of the inherent difficulty of accurately forecasting the occurrence and financial impact of the various adjusting items necessary for such reconciliation that have not yet occurred, are out of our control, or cannot be reasonably predicted.”
Quoted word-for-word from the SEC 8-K results press release.
CAVA analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $0.12 | $0.14 | -11.0% | $359.4M | 25 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $0.03 | $0.03 | -8.4% | $337.2M | 24 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $0.54 | $0.55 | -1.7% | $1.50B | 27 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $0.74 | $0.75 | -1.2% | $1.82B | 27 |
CAVA options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±14.7% (±$8.00) by Nov 6, 2026, which includes earnings on Nov 4, 2026; the earnings reaction alone is priced at about ±11.2%. Over the last 8 reports the stock moved ±8.2% on average.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | 7 | 58.4% | ±7.0% |
| Nov 6, 2026 | 14 | 90.2% | ±14.7% |
| Nov 13, 2026 | 21 | 82.4% | ±16.2% |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 28 | 73.2% | ±16.5% |
| Nov 27, 2026 | 35 | 68.1% | ±17.1% |
| Dec 4, 2026 | 42 | 64.6% | ±17.7% |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 56 | 63.1% | ±19.8% |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 84 | 60.6% | ±23.3% |
30-day implied volatility 70.7% vs 47.9% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0.65. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC)
| Price | USD 54.68 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▼ 0.58% (down) |
| Previous Close | USD 55 |
| Open | USD 53.85 |
| Day Range | USD 53.37 – 55.84 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 43.41 – 98.79 |
| Volume | 2,771,221 shares |
| Market Cap | $6.39B |
| Exchange | NYQ |
Technical Analysis (CAVA)
Nexqual's technical model rates CAVA "SELL" based on 1 bullish and 4 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.
| Overall Signal | SELL |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 46.14 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Below (USD 58.66) |
| MACD | -0.31 (negative) |
Analyst Ratings (CAVA)
Wall Street analysts rate CAVA "Buy" based on 28 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 82.63 (range USD 18–110), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Buy |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 28 |
| Mean Target | USD 82.63 |
| High Target | USD 110 |
| Low Target | USD 18 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 19 / 8 / 1 |
Earnings (CAVA)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-11-04 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 0.12 |
| Revenue Estimate | $359.40M |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 0.19 vs est 0.18 ▲ beat |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 0.2 vs est 0.18 ▲ beat |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 0.04 vs est 0.03 ▲ beat |
| 2025-09-30 | USD 0.12 vs est 0.12 ▼ miss |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (CAVA)
| Total Revenue | $1.37B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +31.30% |
| Gross Margin | +37.73% |
| Operating Margin | +7.62% |
| Profit Margin | +4.82% |
| ROE | +8.32% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.62 |
| Current Ratio | 2.48 |
| Total Cash | $435.60M |
| Total Debt | $520.74M |
| Free Cash Flow (last four quarters to Jul 2026, SEC 10-Q / 10-K) | $49.02M (3.6% of revenue) |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.
Financial Health Score (CAVA)
Nexqual rates CAVA Group, Inc.'s overall financial health "Mixed" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.
| Growth | Strong — Revenue +22% YoY (annual) |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Solid — Gross margin 38%, operating 8% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Strong — $436M cash vs $521M debt |
| Cash Flow | Mixed — FCF $49M (last 4 quarters to Jul 2026, SEC), slim 3.6% margin |
| Efficiency | Mixed — ROE 8%, ROA 3.5% |
Ownership (CAVA)
| Insider Ownership | +5.74% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +90.03% |
| Shares Outstanding | 116.81M |
| Float | 107.91M |
| Short % of Float | +14.40% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.
Leadership (CAVA)
CAVA Group, Inc. is led by Brett Schulman, Co-Founder, CEO, President & Director, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.
| Co-Founder, CEO, President & Director | Brett Schulman |
|---|---|
| Founder, Chief Concept Officer & Director | Theodore Xenohristos |
| Chief Financial Officer | Tricia K. Tolivar |
| Chief Technology Officer | Beth McCormick |
Major Backers & Investors (CAVA)
Notable institutional backers of CAVA Group, Inc. include Alliancebernstein L.P., Artal Group S.A., FMR, LLC, according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| Alliancebernstein L.P. | 5.69% |
| Artal Group S.A. | 5.57% |
| FMR, LLC | 4.73% |
| SmallCap World Fund Inc | 3.21% |
| Price (T.Rowe) Associates Inc | 2.6% |
| 1832 Asset Management L.P. | 2.16% |
| Morgan Stanley | 1.82% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| BlackRock | 8.26% |
| Vanguard Group | 7.45% |
| State Street | 2.65% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.
From CAVA Group, Inc.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-02-25)
Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)
- We believe that our differentiated offerings and broad appeal give us significant opportunity in the Mediterranean and health and wellness food categories.
- Our values build upon our mission and set a clear foundation in establishing our seven core competencies for expected behavior from all Team Members, which we believe allows us to maximize opportunities for growth and development.
- Our restaurant designs are flexible and adaptable to fit any site, which allows us to enhance and tailor our format to our guests' preferences, including their preferred channels.
- Our Community Days allow us to authentically engage with new and existing guests by partnering with local organizations and charities, reinforcing our mission while strengthening community ties.
Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)
- We are subject to extensive laws and regulatory requirements, and failure to comply with, or changes in, these laws or regulations could have an adverse impact on our business.
- We are subject to various claims and legal actions that could distract management, increase our expenses, or subject us to monetary damages or other remedies.
- We have been, and will likely continue to be, subject to various claims and legal actions that may adversely affect our business.
- Our ability to use our net operating loss carryforwards may be limited.
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| JMKE | Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. | USD 17.69 | ▲ 0.17% |
| CAKE | The Cheesecake Factory Incorpor | USD 112.44 | ▼ 1.7% |
| BROS | Dutch Bros Inc. | USD 41.75 | ▼ 1.21% |
| EAT | Brinker International, Inc. | USD 190.11 | ▲ 1.09% |
| DPZ | Domino's Pizza Inc | USD 317.7 | ▲ 2.11% |
| TXRH | Texas Roadhouse, Inc. | USD 172.78 | ▲ 2.96% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt