Brinker International, Inc. (EAT) Stock Price & Analysis
Brinker International, Inc. (EAT) closed at USD 190.11 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, up 1.09% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 188.06; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 183.77–190.17 on volume of 989,695 shares. Market capitalization is $7.96B, with a 52-week range of USD 100.3–254.99 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/EAT.md
Key facts (EAT)
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 24, 2026): revenue $5.81B, net income $487M (8.4% margin), free cash flow $558M (SEC filings).
- Valuation: P/E 16.3x (avg 19.5x at the last 3 fiscal year-ends), net debt $310M.
- Analysts: Buy (mean 2.09 on a 1–5 scale) (23 analysts), mean target USD 257.95 (range 151–310).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +50.4% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y +326.1% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-10-28, EPS estimate USD 2.43, revenue estimate $1.45B.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (EAT)
| USD | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.80B | $4.13B | $4.42B | $5.38B | $5.81B | $5.81B |
| Operating income | $160M | $144M | $230M | $512M | $620M | $620M |
| Net income | $118M | $103M | $155M | $383M | $487M | $487M |
| EPS (diluted) | $2.58 | $2.28 | $3.40 | $8.32 | $10.87 | — |
| Free cash flow | $102M | $71.4M | $223M | $414M | $558M | $558M |
| Operating margin | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.7% |
| Net margin | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% |
| Revenue growth | +14.0% | +8.7% | +6.8% | +21.9% | +7.9% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $13.5M | $15.1M | $64.6M | $18.9M | $110M | — |
| Total debt | $989M | $912M | $786M | $426M | $420M | — |
Fiscal years end Jun. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 24, 2026) (EAT)
P/E 16.3x · P/S 1.4x · EV/Sales 1.4x · P/FCF 14.3x · P/B 17.9x · FCF yield 7.00% · Earnings yield 6.12% · Buyback yield (TTM) 5.58% · Net debt $310M · EV $8.27B
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Jun 2026 15.5x, Jun 2025 21.7x, Jun 2024 21.3x.
Analysts (EAT)
Consensus Buy (mean 2.09 on a 1–5 scale), 23 analysts; mean target USD 257.95 (low 151, high 310).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | Wells Fargo | Target lowered | Overweight | $280 → $270 |
| 2026-10-19 | Citigroup | Target lowered | Buy | $282 → $270 |
| 2026-10-16 | Raymond James | Upgrade | Outperform → Strong Buy | $270 → $260 |
| 2026-10-16 | TD Cowen | Target lowered | Buy | $270 → $250 |
| 2026-10-14 | Jefferies | Upgrade | Hold → Buy | $230 → $255 |
| 2026-09-22 | Northcoast Research | Upgrade | Neutral → Buy | $275 |
| 2026-09-21 | DA Davidson | Target lowered | Neutral | $240 → $210 |
| 2026-09-18 | Freedom Capital Markets | Maintained | Buy | $285 |
| 2026-09-18 | TD Cowen | Reiterated | Buy | $270 |
| 2026-09-18 | Stephens & Co. | Reiterated | Overweight | $300 |
| 2026-09-16 | Seaport Global | Initiated | Buy | $230 |
| 2026-09-11 | DA Davidson | Target lowered | Neutral | $260 → $240 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (EAT)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +50.4% | +326.1% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | +50.6% | +33.5% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 49.3% | 48.5% |
| Max drawdown | -27.0% (Aug 2026→Oct 2026) | -49.4% (Nov 2021→Jun 2022) |
EAT revenue by business segment (quarter ended Jun 24, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chili's Restaurants | $1.42B | 92.7% | +6.2% |
| Maggiano's Restaurants | $112.8M | 7.3% | -7.8% |
| Total revenue | $1.54B | 100% | — |
EAT revenue by product line (quarter ended Jun 24, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Companysales | $1.52B | 99.0% | +5.0% |
| Franchise Revenues | $14.6M | 1.0% | +12.3% |
| Total revenue | $1.54B | 100% | — |
As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).
EAT suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 10-K)
| Relationship | Company | Sentence in the filing |
|---|---|---|
| Partner | DoorDash, Inc. (DASH) | “Our To-Go menu is available through the Chili's mobile app, chilis.com, our delivery partners DoorDash, Uber Eats, and Grubhub, Google Food Ordering or by calling the restaurant directly.” |
| Partner | Uber (UBER) | “Our To-Go menu is available through the Chili's mobile app, chilis.com, our delivery partners DoorDash, Uber Eats, and Grubhub, Google Food Ordering or by calling the restaurant directly.” |
| Partner | Alphabet (Google) (GOOGL) | “Our To-Go menu is available through the Chili's mobile app, chilis.com, our delivery partners DoorDash, Uber Eats, and Grubhub, Google Food Ordering or by calling the restaurant directly.” |
Quoted from the company's 10-K filed Aug 19, 2026.
EAT company outlook (results filed Aug 12, 2026)
- “We are providing the following select financial guidance for fiscal 2027 which includes a 53 rd operating week in the fourth quarter.”
Quoted word-for-word from the SEC 8-K results press release.
EAT analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $2.43 | $2.27 | +7.3% | $1.45B | 20 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $3.37 | $3.27 | +3.1% | $1.54B | 20 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Jun 2027) | $13.27 | $12.48 | +6.4% | $6.29B | 22 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Jun 2028) | $14.55 | $13.57 | +7.2% | $6.47B | 21 |
EAT options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±13.3% (±$25.35) by Nov 20, 2026, which includes earnings on Oct 28, 2026. Over the last 8 reports the stock moved ±10.4% on average.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2026 | 28 | 59.5% | ±13.3% |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 56 | 53.5% | ±16.8% |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 84 | 49.8% | ±19.1% |
| Apr 16, 2027 | 175 | 49.0% | ±26.9% |
| May 21, 2027 | 210 | 49.8% | ±29.9% |
| Aug 20, 2027 | 301 | 49.5% | ±35.4% |
30-day implied volatility 58.3% vs 41.8% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 1.66. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC)
| Price | USD 190.11 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▲ 1.09% (up) |
| Previous Close | USD 188.06 |
| Open | USD 186.88 |
| Day Range | USD 183.77 – 190.17 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 100.3 – 254.99 |
| Volume | 989,695 shares |
| Market Cap | $7.96B |
| Exchange | NYQ |
Technical Analysis (EAT)
Nexqual's technical model rates EAT "STRONG SELL" based on 0 bullish and 5 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.
| Overall Signal | STRONG SELL |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 37.21 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Below (USD 213.46) |
| MACD | -4.09 (negative) |
Analyst Ratings (EAT)
Wall Street analysts rate EAT "Buy" based on 23 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 257.95 (range USD 151–310), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Buy |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 23 |
| Mean Target | USD 257.95 |
| High Target | USD 310 |
| Low Target | USD 151 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 20 / 2 / 1 |
Earnings (EAT)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-10-28 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 2.43 |
| Revenue Estimate | $1.45B |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 3.07 vs est 3.09 ▼ miss |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 2.9 vs est 2.86 ▲ beat |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 2.87 vs est 2.63 ▲ beat |
| 2025-09-30 | USD 1.93 vs est 1.77 ▲ beat |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (EAT)
| Total Revenue | $5.81B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +5.10% |
| Gross Margin | +18.65% |
| Operating Margin | +11.26% |
| Profit Margin | +8.39% |
| ROE | +119.57% |
| Debt / Equity | 3.96 |
| Current Ratio | 0.46 |
| Total Cash | $110.00M |
| Total Debt | $1.76B |
| Free Cash Flow (last four quarters to Jun 2026, SEC 10-Q / 10-K) | $557.50M (9.6% of revenue) |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.
Financial Health Score (EAT)
Nexqual rates Brinker International, Inc.'s overall financial health "Mixed" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.
| Growth | Solid — Revenue +8% YoY (annual) |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Mixed — Gross margin 19%, operating 11% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Critical — $110M cash and investments vs $420M debt (Jun 2026, SEC) |
| Cash Flow | Solid — FCF $558M (last 4 quarters to Jun 2026, SEC), 10% margin |
| Efficiency | Strong — ROE 120%, ROA 14.3% |
Ownership (EAT)
| Insider Ownership | +1.13% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +114.31% |
| Shares Outstanding | 41.88M |
| Float | 41.23M |
| Short % of Float | +18.36% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.
Leadership (EAT)
Brinker International, Inc. is led by Kevin D. Hochman, President, CEO & Director, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.
| President, CEO & Director | Kevin D. Hochman |
|---|---|
| Executive VP & CFO | Michaela M. Ware |
| Executive VP, COO & Chief People Officer | Aaron M. White |
| Executive VP & Chief Marketing Officer | George S. Felix |
| Senior VP and COO for Chili's Grill & Bar | Douglas N. Comings |
Major Backers & Investors (EAT)
Notable institutional backers of Brinker International, Inc. include FMR, LLC, Fidelity, Capital Group, according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| FMR, LLC | 15.39% |
| Fidelity | 5.94% |
| Capital Group | 2.82% |
| SmallCap World Fund Inc | 2.71% |
| Holocene Advisors, LP | 2.65% |
| Arrowstreet Capital, Limited Partnership | 2.55% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| BlackRock | 16.11% |
| Vanguard Group | 10.65% |
| State Street | 4.19% |
| Geode Capital | 2.67% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.
From Brinker International, Inc.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-08-19)
Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)
- Investments in our technology and off-premise options have enabled us to provide a faster, more convenient dine-in experience and to offer more To-Go and delivery options for our guests.
- Our My Chili's program offers free chips and salsa or a non-alcoholic beverage to members any time they visit our restaurants and allows us to communicate and advertise to our guests through email and text.
- Our technology platforms enable digital and contactless guest experiences through mobile applications, tabletop and handheld devices, and integrated restaurant systems.
- Our technology infrastructure is designed to support business continuity and scalability.
Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)
- Litigation could have a material adverse impact on our business and our financial performance.
- Our business and operations could be negatively affected if we become subject to any securities litigation or shareholder activism, which could cause us to incur significant expenses, hinder execution of investment strategy and impact our stock price.
- Governmental regulation may adversely affect our ability to maintain our existing and future operations and to open new restaurants.
- We are subject to federal and state laws and regulations which govern the offer and sale of franchises and which may supersede the terms of franchise agreements between us and our franchisees.
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| BROS | Dutch Bros Inc. | USD 41.75 | ▼ 1.21% |
| CAVA | CAVA Group, Inc. | USD 54.68 | ▼ 0.58% |
| DPZ | Domino's Pizza Inc | USD 317.7 | ▲ 2.11% |
| CAKE | The Cheesecake Factory Incorpor | USD 112.44 | ▼ 1.7% |
| TXRH | Texas Roadhouse, Inc. | USD 172.78 | ▲ 2.96% |
| JMKE | Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. | USD 17.69 | ▲ 0.17% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
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