CTO Realty Growth, Inc. (CTO) Stock Price & Analysis
CTO Realty Growth, Inc. (CTO) closed at USD 20.25 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, up 3.42% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 19.58; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 19.69–20.31 on volume of 398,484 shares. Market capitalization is $759.08M, with a 52-week range of USD 16.02–22.71 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 11:22 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/CTO.md
Key facts (CTO)
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 30, 2026): revenue $161M, net income $52.6M (32.6% margin) (SEC filings).
- Valuation: P/E 14.4x (avg 64.8x at the last 2 fiscal year-ends), EV/EBITDA 11.3x, net debt $651M.
- 1 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold CTO (13F, Q2 2026): 0 new, 0 added, 1 reduced, 0 unchanged.
- Analysts: Buy (mean 2.00 on a 1–5 scale) (5 analysts), mean target USD 24.6 (range 24–25).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +34.0% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y +71.2% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-10-27, EPS estimate USD 0.1, revenue estimate $45.2M.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (CTO)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $70.3M | $82.3M | $109M | $125M | $150M | $161M |
| Gross profit | $47.8M | $59.5M | $78.9M | $91.3M | $112M | — |
| Operating income | $23.3M | $10.7M | $26.5M | $17.6M | $34.0M | $62.4M |
| Net income | $29.9M | $3.2M | $5.5M | -$2.0M | $10.1M | $52.6M |
| EPS (diluted) | $1.56 | -$0.09 | $0.03 | -$0.35 | $0.08 | — |
| Free cash flow | -$229M | -$329M | — | — | — | — |
| Gross margin | 68.1% | 72.2% | 72.3% | 73.3% | 74.6% | — |
| Operating margin | 33.2% | 13.0% | 24.3% | 14.1% | 22.7% | 38.7% |
| Net margin | 42.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | -1.6% | 6.7% | 32.6% |
| Revenue growth | +24.6% | +17.1% | +32.6% | +14.1% | +20.1% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $8.6M | $19.3M | $10.2M | $9.0M | $6.5M | — |
| Total debt | $278M | $446M | $495M | $519M | $616M | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (CTO)
P/E 14.4x · P/S 4.7x · EV/EBITDA 11.3x · EV/Sales 8.8x · P/B 1.1x · Earnings yield 6.92% · Dividend yield (paid, TTM) 6.73% · Net debt $651M · EV $1.41B
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 58.9x, Dec 2023 70.6x.
Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026) (CTO)
1 of 80 tracked investors hold CTO. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Miller | Miller Value Partners | 2.74% | $11.6M | Reduced -2.9% |
Analysts (CTO)
Consensus Buy (mean 2.00 on a 1–5 scale), 5 analysts; mean target USD 24.6 (low 24, high 25).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Jones Trading | Maintained | Buy | $24 |
| 2026-08-03 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Target raised | Overweight | $23 → $25 |
| 2026-07-29 | Jones Trading | Target raised | Buy | $23 → $24 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (CTO)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +34.0% | +71.2% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | +34.2% | +11.3% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 18.2% | 20.5% |
| Max drawdown | -11.5% (Jul 2026→Oct 2026) | -25.1% (Aug 2022→May 2023) |
CTO revenue by business segment (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Income Properties | $37.1M | 84.7% | +11.3% |
| Commercial Loans & Investments | $5.2M | 11.9% | +73.4% |
| Management Services | $1.5M | 3.3% | +17.6% |
| Total revenue | $43.8M | 100% | — |
As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).
CTO suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 10-K)
| Relationship | Company | Sentence in the filing |
|---|---|---|
| Partner | Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. (PINE) | “As of December 31, 2025, the fair value of our investment totaled $41.3 million, or 15.4% of PINE's outstanding common equity, including the units of limited partnership interest ("OP Units") we hold in Alpine Income Property OP, LP (the "PINE Operating Partnership"), which are redeemable for cash, based upon the value of an equivalent number of shares of PINE common stock at the time of the redemption, or shares …” |
Quoted from the company's 10-K filed Feb 19, 2026.
CTO company outlook (results filed Jul 28, 2026)
- “Guidance to $300 million to $400 million – – Increases 2026 Core FFO Per Diluted Share Guidance to $2.09 to $2.13 – WINTER PARK, FL – July 28, 2026 – CTO Realty Growth, Inc.”
Quoted word-for-word from the SEC 8-K results press release.
CTO analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $0.10 | $0.00 | — | $45.2M | 1 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $0.12 | $0.00 | — | $46.6M | 1 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $0.70 | $0.45 | +56.7% | $176.8M | 2 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $0.62 | $0.00 | — | $194.1M | 1 |
CTO options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±6.8% (±$1.38) by Nov 20, 2026, which includes earnings on Oct 27, 2026. Over the last 8 reports the stock moved ±3% on average.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2026 | 28 | 28.8% | ±6.8% |
| Feb 19, 2027 | 119 | 32.9% | ±14.9% |
| May 21, 2027 | 210 | 27.1% | ±16.2% |
30-day implied volatility 22.6% vs 21.2% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 11:22 UTC)
| Price | USD 20.25 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▲ 3.42% (up) |
| Previous Close | USD 19.58 |
| Open | USD 19.69 |
| Day Range | USD 19.69 – 20.31 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 16.02 – 22.71 |
| Volume | 398,484 shares |
| Market Cap | $759.08M |
| Exchange | NYQ |
Technical Analysis (CTO)
Nexqual's technical model rates CTO "STRONG SELL" based on 0 bullish and 5 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 11:22 UTC.
| Overall Signal | STRONG SELL |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 44.48 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Below (USD 20.94) |
| MACD | -0.2 (negative) |
Analyst Ratings (CTO)
Wall Street analysts rate CTO "Buy" based on 5 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 24.6 (range USD 24–25), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 11:22 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Buy |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 5 |
| Mean Target | USD 24.6 |
| High Target | USD 25 |
| Low Target | USD 24 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 5 / 0 / 0 |
Earnings (CTO)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-10-27 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 0.1 |
| Revenue Estimate | $45.21M |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 0.38 vs est 0.1 ▲ beat |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 0.13 vs est 0.03 ▲ beat |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 0.82 vs est 0.02 ▲ beat |
| 2025-09-30 | USD 0.03 vs est 0 ▲ beat |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 11:22 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (CTO)
| Total Revenue | $161.10M |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +16.50% |
| Gross Margin | +74.56% |
| Operating Margin | +25.42% |
| Profit Margin | +32.63% |
| ROE | +8.50% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.99 |
| Current Ratio | 2.98 |
| Total Cash | $14.13M |
| Total Debt | $658.88M |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 11:22 UTC.
Financial Health Score (CTO)
Nexqual rates CTO Realty Growth, Inc.'s overall financial health "Solid" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 11:22 UTC.
| Growth | Strong — Revenue +20% YoY (annual) |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Strong — Gross margin 75%, operating 25% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Mixed — $8M cash and investments vs $659M debt (Jun 2026, SEC) |
| Cash Flow | Solid — Operating cash flow $72M (TTM) |
| Efficiency | Mixed — ROE 8%, ROA 1.8% |
Ownership (CTO)
| Insider Ownership | +9.13% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +68.49% |
| Shares Outstanding | 37.49M |
| Float | 34.06M |
| Short % of Float | +5.32% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 11:22 UTC.
Leadership (CTO)
CTO Realty Growth, Inc. is led by John P. Albright, President, CEO & Director, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 11:22 UTC.
| President, CEO & Director | John P. Albright |
|---|---|
| Senior VP, CFO & Treasurer | Philip R. Mays |
Major Backers & Investors (CTO)
Notable institutional backers of CTO Realty Growth, Inc. include Two Sigma Investments, LP, Heitman Real Estate Securities, LLC., Cutler Capital Management, LLC, according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 11:22 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| Two Sigma Investments, LP | 3.62% |
| Heitman Real Estate Securities, LLC. | 1.9% |
| Cutler Capital Management, LLC | 1.74% |
| Invesco | 1.53% |
| Grace & White Inc /ny | 1.49% |
| Advisor Managed Portfolios-Miller Income Fund | 1.16% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| BlackRock | 9.62% |
| Vanguard Group | 8.05% |
| Geode Capital | 2.71% |
| State Street | 1.96% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 11:22 UTC.
From CTO Realty Growth, Inc.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-02-19)
Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)
- As of December 31, 2025, the fair value of our investment totaled $41.3 million, or 15.4% of PINE's outstanding common equity, including the units of limited partnership interest ("OP Units") we hold in Alpine Income Property OP, LP (the "PINE Operating Partnership"), which are redeemable for cash, based upon the value of an equivalent number of shares of PINE common stock at the time of the redemption, or shares of PINE common stock on a one-for-one basis, at PINE's election.
Partnerships
- As part of the Subsurface Interests sale, the Company entered into a management agreement with the buyer to provide ongoing management services (the "Subsurface Management Agreement").
- As a result of entering into the Exclusivity and Right of First Offer Agreement with PINE (the "ROFO Agreement") which generally prevents us from investing in single-tenant net lease income properties, our income property investment strategy will continue to be focused on shopping centers.
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAFE | Safehold Inc. New | USD 11.33 | ▲ 6.29% |
| JBGS | JBG SMITH Properties | USD 11.39 | ▲ 6.35% |
| AHRT | AH Realty Trust, Inc. | USD 6.14 | ▲ 3.54% |
| GOOD | Gladstone Commercial Corporatio | USD 12 | ▲ 3.18% |
| FVR | FrontView REIT, Inc. | USD 17.76 | ▲ 3.14% |
| OLP | One Liberty Properties, Inc. | USD 22.37 | ▲ 3.14% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 11:22 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
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