Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) Stock Price & Analysis

Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) closed at USD 823.27 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, up 3.53% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.

The prior close was USD 795.21; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 802.96–828.95 on volume of 414,933 shares. Market capitalization is $17.78B, with a 52-week range of USD 586.05–1,858.91 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 09:15 UTC.

Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/FICO.md

Key facts (FICO)

Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (FICO)

USDFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025TTM
Revenue$1.32B$1.38B$1.51B$1.72B$1.99B$2.39B
Gross profit$984M$1.08B$1.20B$1.37B$1.64B—
Operating income$505M$542M$643M$734M$925M$1.24B
Net income$392M$374M$429M$513M$652M$815M
EPS (diluted)$13.40$14.18$16.93$20.45$26.54—
Free cash flow$416M$503M$465M$624M$770M$996M
Gross margin74.7%78.1%79.4%79.7%82.2%—
Operating margin38.4%39.4%42.5%42.7%46.5%51.7%
Net margin29.8%27.1%28.4%29.9%32.7%34.1%
Revenue growth+1.7%+4.6%+9.9%+13.5%+15.9%—
Cash + short-term investments$195M$133M$137M$151M$134M—
Total debt$1.26B$1.85B$1.86B$2.21B$3.06B—

Fiscal years end Sep. EPS is split-adjusted.

Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (FICO)

P/E 21.8x · P/S 7.4x · EV/EBITDA 18.5x · EV/Sales 9.7x · P/FCF 17.9x · FCF yield 5.60% · Earnings yield 4.58% · Buyback yield (TTM) 20.21% · Net debt $5.33B · EV $23.1B

P/E at fiscal year-ends: Sep 2025 56.4x, Sep 2024 95.0x, Sep 2023 51.3x.

Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026) (FICO)

8 of 80 tracked investors hold FICO. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.

InvestorFirm% of portfolioValueChange
Valley Forge CapitalValley Forge Capital Management25.77%$803MReduced -12.6%
Lindsell Train10.28%$270MReduced -9.3%
Chuck AkreAkre Capital Management8.47%$432MReduced -0.5%
AKO Capital2.88%$124MReduced -18.6%
Terry SmithFundsmith0.16%$21.4MNew position
Yacktman Asset Management0.09%$7.4MUnchanged
Jensen Investment Management0.02%$884KReduced -40.8%
John RogersAriel Investments<0.01%$243KReduced -0.5%

Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (FICO)

1 of 1 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.

Trade dateInsiderRoleSharesValue% of holdings sold10b5-1 planInsider type
2026-07-29Manolis EvaDirector967$1.4M66%YesOpportunistic (traded every year 2023–2025, no repeating month)

% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).

Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.

Analysts (FICO)

Consensus Buy (mean 2.38 on a 1–5 scale), 21 analysts; mean target USD 1,007.1 (low 490, high 1,675).

Rating changes, last 120 days:

DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
2026-10-19MizuhoTarget loweredOutperform$1344 → $1063
2026-10-16RBC CapitalTarget loweredOutperform$1525 → $1045
2026-10-13Raymond JamesTarget loweredOutperform$1750 → $1230
2026-10-13NeedhamTarget loweredBuy$1650 → $1100
2026-10-05Wells FargoTarget loweredOverweight$950 → $800
2026-10-02BarclaysTarget loweredOverweight$935 → $875
2026-10-02BairdTarget loweredOutperform$1549 → $1070
2026-09-30B of A SecuritiesDowngradeBuy → Neutral$1400 → $700
2026-09-30BMO CapitalTarget loweredOutperform$1550 → $1150
2026-09-30BarclaysTarget loweredOverweight$1700 → $935
2026-09-30Wells FargoTarget loweredOverweight$1350 → $950
2026-09-22Wells FargoTarget loweredOverweight$1450 → $1350

Total return (dividends reinvested) (FICO)

1Y (from 2025-10-23)5Y (from 2021-10-18)
Total return-49.0%+100.8%
S&P 500 (SPY)+14.9%+80.3%
Per year-49.1%+14.9%
Volatility (annualized)65.6%47.1%
Max drawdown-67.9% (Dec 2025→Sep 2026)-72.2% (Nov 2024→Sep 2026)

FICO revenue by business segment (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)

LineRevenueShare of totalYoY
Scores$458.9M68.1%+41.5%
Software$215.3M31.9%+1.5%
Total revenue$674.2M100%—

FICO revenue by product line (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)

LineRevenueShare of totalYoY
Scores$458.9M68.1%+41.5%
Business To Business Scores$400.0M59.3%+49.0%
On-premises and SaaS software$197.0M29.2%+4.8%
Saa S Products$128.7M19.1%+21.2%
Platform Software$101.8M15.1%+65.7%
Non Platform Software$95.1M14.1%-24.8%
On Premises Products$68.2M10.1%-16.5%
Business To Consumer Scores$58.9M8.7%+5.4%
Professional services$18.3M2.7%-24.3%
Total revenue$674.2M100%—

FICO revenue by region (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)

LineRevenueShare of totalYoY
Americas$611.9M90.8%+30.2%
United States$552.4M81.9%+30.7%
Europe, Middle East and Africa$41.4M6.1%+0.1%
Asia Pacific$20.8M3.1%-16.2%
Total revenue$674.2M100%—

As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).

FICO suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 10-K)

RelationshipCompanySentence in the filing
CompetitorIBM (IBM)“In the fraud solutions market for banking, we compete primarily with Nice Actimize, Experian, Pegasystems, BAE Systems Applied Intelligence, SAS, ACI Worldwide, IBM, Feedzai and Featurespace.”
CompetitorAdobe (ADBE)“In the marketing services market, we compete with Pegasystems, Equifax, Experian, SAS, Adobe and Salesforce, among others.”
CompetitorSalesforce (CRM)“In the marketing services market, we compete with Pegasystems, Equifax, Experian, SAS, Adobe and Salesforce, among others.”

Quoted from the company's 10-K filed Nov 7, 2025.

Companies that name FICO in their SEC reports

Relationship to FICOCompanyFilingSentence
partnerSunrun Inc. (RUN)10-K Feb 26, 2026“As of December 31, 2025, the average FICO score of our customers under a Customer Agreement with a monthly payment schedule remained at or above 740, which is generally categorized as a "Very Good" credit profile by the Fair Isaac Corporation.”
supplierCITIGROUP INC (C)10-K Feb 20, 2026“(1)Excludes immaterial balances for Canada and for customers for which no FICO scores are available.”
supplierEnova International, Inc. (ENVA)10-K Feb 20, 2026“Since we designed our system specifically for our specialized products, we believe our system provides more predictive assessments of future loan behavior than traditional credit assessments, such as the Fair Isaac Corporation score ("FICO score"), and therefore, results in better evaluation of our customer base.”

FICO customer concentration

In the period ended Jun 30, 2026, 3 direct customers each accounted for at least 10% (10%, 10%, 10%) of revenue, per the company's 10-Q filed Jul 29, 2026. The company does not name them.

FICO analyst estimates and revisions

PeriodEPS estimate90 days agoChangeRevenue estimateAnalysts
Current quarter (ends Sep 2026)$10.86$11.48-5.4%$656.9M17
Next quarter (ends Dec 2026)$9.97$10.74-7.2%$618.9M16
Current fiscal year (ends Sep 2026)$42.78$43.21-1.0%$2.53B21
Next fiscal year (ends Sep 2027)$49.14$54.55-9.9%$2.77B21

FICO options: expected move

Options price a move of about ±11.5% (±$94.60) by Nov 6, 2026, which includes earnings on Nov 4, 2026; the earnings reaction alone is priced at about ±6.1%. Over the last 8 reports the stock moved ±5.1% on average.

ExpirationDaysATM implied volatilityExpected move
Oct 30, 2026762.0%±7.3%
Nov 6, 20261470.9%±11.5%
Nov 13, 20262166.4%±13.0%
Nov 20, 20262864.9%±14.6%
Nov 27, 20263562.4%±15.6%
Dec 4, 20264260.9%±16.6%
Dec 18, 20265659.9%±18.8%
Jan 15, 20278457.4%±22.0%

30-day implied volatility 63.5% vs 109.8% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0.54. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.

Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 09:15 UTC)

PriceUSD 823.27
Change▲ 3.53% (up)
Previous CloseUSD 795.21
OpenUSD 811.25
Day RangeUSD 802.96 – 828.95
52-Week RangeUSD 586.05 – 1,858.91
Volume414,933 shares
Market Cap$17.78B
ExchangeNYQ

Technical Analysis (FICO)

Nexqual's technical model rates FICO "SELL" based on 2 bullish and 4 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:15 UTC.

Overall SignalSELL
RSI (14)55.37 (neutral)
vs SMA50Below (USD 918.14)
MACD-30.48 (negative)

Analyst Ratings (FICO)

Wall Street analysts rate FICO "Buy" based on 21 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 1,007.1 (range USD 490–1,675), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:15 UTC.

Consensus RatingBuy
Analyst Count21
Mean TargetUSD 1,007.1
High TargetUSD 1,675
Low TargetUSD 490
Buy / Hold / Sell11 / 8 / 2

Earnings (FICO)

Next Earnings Date2026-11-04
EPS EstimateUSD 10.86
Revenue Estimate$656.91M

Recent Earnings History

QuarterActual vs Estimate
2026-06-30USD 12.18 vs est 11.78 ▲ beat
2026-03-31USD 12.5 vs est 10.97 ▲ beat
2025-12-31USD 7.33 vs est 7.08 ▲ beat
2025-09-30USD 7.74 vs est 7.36 ▲ beat

Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:15 UTC.

Financials & Fundamentals (FICO)

Total Revenue$2.39B
Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY)+25.70%
Gross Margin+85.10%
Operating Margin+53.79%
Profit Margin+34.05%
Current Ratio1.18
Total Cash$248.44M
Total Debt$5.60B
Free Cash Flow (last four quarters to Jun 2026, SEC 10-Q / 10-K)$996.02M (41.6% of revenue)

Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:15 UTC.

Financial Health Score (FICO)

Nexqual rates Fair Isaac Corporation's overall financial health "Solid" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:15 UTC.

GrowthStrong — Revenue +16% YoY (annual)
ProfitabilityStrong — Gross margin 85%, operating 54% (last 12 months)
Balance SheetMixed — $248M cash and investments vs $5.58B debt (Jun 2026, SEC)
Cash FlowStrong — FCF $996M (last 4 quarters to Jun 2026, SEC), 42% margin
EfficiencyMixed — No data

Ownership (FICO)

Insider Ownership+3.02%
Institutional Ownership+101.99%
Shares Outstanding21.60M
Float20.90M
Short % of Float+12.53%

Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:15 UTC.

Leadership (FICO)

Fair Isaac Corporation is led by William J. Lansing, President, CEO & Director, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:15 UTC.

President, CEO & DirectorWilliam J. Lansing
Executive VP & CFOSteven P. Weber
President of SoftwareNikhil Behl
VP & CTOAmir Hermelin
Vice President of Investor RelationsDave Singleton

Major Backers & Investors (FICO)

Notable institutional backers of Fair Isaac Corporation include Capital Group, Capital International Investors, Amcap Fund, according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:15 UTC.

Active Investors

InvestorStake
Capital Group9.32%
Capital International Investors5.78%
Amcap Fund4.24%
Valley Forge Capital Management, LP3.11%
Morgan Stanley2.68%
Growth Fund of America2.35%

Index Funds (Passive)

FundStake
Vanguard Group12.65%
BlackRock9.66%
State Street4.88%
Geode Capital3.39%

Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:15 UTC.

From Fair Isaac Corporation's Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2025-11-07)

Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)

Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)

Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.

Peers & Related Stocks

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DOCUDocuSign, Inc.USD 84.41▲ 3.6%
GWREGuidewire Software, Inc.USD 189.64▲ 4.26%
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Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 09:15 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.

For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt