Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) Stock Price & Analysis

Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) closed at USD 459.28 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, down 1.86% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.

The prior close was USD 467.98; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 448.38–473.06 on volume of 2,596,212 shares. Market capitalization is $128.98B, with a 52-week range of USD 161.93–493.98 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC.

Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/MPC.md

Key facts (MPC)

• Last four reported quarters (through Jun 30, 2026): revenue $154B, net income $8.55B (5.6% margin), free cash flow $12.9B (SEC filings).
• Valuation: P/E 15.1x (avg 10.8x at the last 3 fiscal year-ends).
• 3 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold MPC (13F, Q2 2026 (1 investor on Q3 2026, filed early)): 0 new, 0 added, 1 reduced, 2 unchanged.
• Insider open-market sales, last ~7 months: 7 Form 4 filings, $11.8M; 6 not under a Rule 10b5-1 plan ($5.6M); 0 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders (three-year test, Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski 2012).
• Analysts: Buy (mean 2.37 on a 1–5 scale) (19 analysts), mean target USD 458.72 (range 236–560).
• Total return with dividends: 1Y +138.3% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y +660.4% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
• Next earnings: 2026-11-03, EPS estimate USD 25.37, revenue estimate $43.8B.

Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (MPC)

Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.

Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (MPC)

P/E 15.1x · P/S 0.8x · P/FCF 10.0x · P/B 6.8x · FCF yield 10.00% · Earnings yield 6.63% · Dividend yield (paid, TTM) 0.90% · Buyback yield (TTM) 3.83%

P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 12.3x, Dec 2024 13.8x, Dec 2023 6.3x.

Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026) (MPC)

3 of 80 tracked investors hold MPC (1 investor on Q3 2026, filed early). Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.

Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (MPC)

1 of 7 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.

% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).

Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.

Analysts (MPC)

Consensus Buy (mean 2.37 on a 1–5 scale), 19 analysts; mean target USD 458.72 (low 236, high 560).

Rating changes, last 120 days:

Total return (dividends reinvested) (MPC)

MPC revenue by business segment (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)

MPC revenue by product line (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)

As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).

MPC suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 10-K)

Quoted from the company's 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026.

Companies that name MPC in their SEC reports

MPC analyst estimates and revisions

MPC options: expected move

Options price a move of about ±12.3% (±$56.65) by Nov 20, 2026, which includes earnings on Nov 3, 2026. Over the last 8 reports the stock moved ±4.1% on average.

30-day implied volatility 54.8% vs 36.7% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 1.53. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.

Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC)

Technical Analysis (MPC)

Nexqual's technical model rates MPC "STRONG BUY" based on 5 bullish and 0 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC.

Analyst Ratings (MPC)

Wall Street analysts rate MPC "Buy" based on 19 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 458.72 (range USD 236–560), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC.

Earnings (MPC)

Recent Earnings History

Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC.

Financials & Fundamentals (MPC)

Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC.

Financial Health Score (MPC)

Nexqual rates Marathon Petroleum Corporation's overall financial health "Mixed" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC.

Ownership (MPC)

Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC.

Leadership (MPC)

Marathon Petroleum Corporation is led by Maryann T. Mannen, President, CEO & Chairman of the Board, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC.

Major Backers & Investors (MPC)

Notable institutional backers of Marathon Petroleum Corporation include Morgan Stanley, Raymond James Financial, Inc., FMR, LLC, according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC.

Active Investors

Index Funds (Passive)

Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC.

From Marathon Petroleum Corporation's Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-02-26)

Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)

• We operate one of the nation's largest refining systems with approximately 3.0 million barrels per day of crude oil refining capacity and believe we are one of the largest wholesale suppliers of gasoline and distillates to resellers in the United States.
• Our integrated midstream energy asset network links producers of natural gas and NGLs from some of the largest supply basins in the United States to domestic and international markets.
• Our acquisition of Andeavor in 2018 substantially increased our geographic diversification and the scale of our assets, which provides increased opportunities to optimize our system.
• We believe we are one of the largest wholesale suppliers of gasoline and distillates to resellers and consumers within our market area.

Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)

• The tax treatment of publicly traded partnerships or an investment in MPLX units could be subject to potential legislative, judicial or administrative changes and differing interpretations, possibly on a retroactive basis.
• The present U.S. federal income tax treatment of publicly traded partnerships, including MPLX, or an investment in MPLX common units may be modified by administrative, legislative or judicial interpretation at any time.
• Climate change and GHG emission regulation could affect our operations, energy consumption patterns and regulatory obligations, any of which could adversely impact our business, results of operations and financial condition.
• We are subject to risks associated with societal and political pressures and other forms of opposition to the development, transportation and use of carbon-based fuels. Such risks could adversely impact our business and our ability to continue to operate or realize certain growth strategies.

Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.

Peers & Related Stocks

Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.

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