Portillo's Inc. (PTLO) Stock Price & Analysis
Portillo's Inc. (PTLO) is trading at USD 4.39, down 2.77% today, as of October 23, 2026 at 14:14 UTC (US market open; quotes may be delayed), according to Nexqual market data.
PTLO last closed at USD 4.51; today's session has ranged USD 4.32–4.46 on volume of 173,666 shares. Market capitalization is $317.99M, with a 52-week range of USD 3.29–6.69 (NMS). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 14:15 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/PTLO.md
Key facts (PTLO)
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 28, 2026): revenue $749M, net income $13.9M (1.9% margin), free cash flow -$9.2M (SEC filings).
- Valuation: P/E 22.9x (avg 28.9x at the last 3 fiscal year-ends), EV/EBITDA 9.7x, net debt $317M.
- 1 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold PTLO (13F, Q2 2026): 0 new, 0 added, 0 reduced, 1 unchanged.
- Insider open-market purchases, last ~7 months: 2 Form 4 filings, $600K; 0 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders.
- Analysts: Hold (mean 2.75 on a 1–5 scale) (12 analysts), mean target USD 6 (range 4–11).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y -23.9% vs S&P 500 +14.4%; 5Y -88.5% vs S&P 500 +77.0%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-05, EPS estimate USD 0.03, revenue estimate $193M.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (PTLO)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $535M | $587M | $680M | $711M | $732M | $749M |
| Operating income | $30.0M | $41.3M | $55.4M | $58.0M | $43.7M | $34.0M |
| Net income | -$15.2M | $10.9M | $18.4M | $29.5M | $19.3M | $13.9M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$0.42 | $0.25 | $0.32 | $0.46 | $0.27 | — |
| Free cash flow | $6.7M | $9.8M | -$17.1M | $9.8M | -$18.5M | -$9.2M |
| Operating margin | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% |
| Net margin | -2.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Revenue growth | +17.5% | +9.7% | +15.8% | +4.5% | +3.0% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $39.3M | $44.4M | $10.4M | $22.9M | $20.0M | — |
| Total debt | $319M | $319M | $306M | $312M | $334M | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 28, 2026) (PTLO)
P/E 22.9x · P/S 0.4x · EV/EBITDA 9.7x · EV/Sales 0.8x · P/B 0.7x · FCF yield -2.88% · Earnings yield 4.36% · Net debt $317M · EV $635M
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 16.7x, Dec 2024 20.4x, Dec 2023 49.6x.
Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026) (PTLO)
1 of 80 tracked investors hold PTLO. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glenn Welling | Engaged Capital | 5.05% | $16.3M | Unchanged |
Insider purchases (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (PTLO)
2 purchases, $600K. Private placements, offerings, dividend reinvestment and employee stock purchase plan buys are excluded.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | Avg price | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Lee Eugene I Jr | Director | 65,355 | $300K | 4.59 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2024) |
| 2026-05-11 | Lee Eugene I Jr | Director | 70,165 | $300K | 4.28 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2024) |
Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.
Analysts (PTLO)
Consensus Hold (mean 2.75 on a 1–5 scale), 12 analysts; mean target USD 6 (low 4, high 11).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Stephens & Co. | Reiterated | Equal-Weight | $5 |
| 2026-10-09 | UBS | Target lowered | Neutral | $5.5 → $4.5 |
| 2026-08-06 | Stephens & Co. | Reiterated | Equal-Weight | $5 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (PTLO)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-25) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | -23.9% | -88.5% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.4% | +77.0% |
| Per year | -23.9% | -35.1% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 54.6% | 55.8% |
| Max drawdown | -46.2% (Apr 2026→Sep 2026) | -92.7% (Nov 2021→Sep 2026) |
PTLO company outlook (results filed Aug 5, 2026)
- “Revisions to the Company's Fiscal 2026 Financial Targets reflecting these actions appear in the guidance section.”
- “(8) Represents fees incurred for discrete, project-based strategic initiatives that are not part of the Company's ongoing operations and are included within general and administrative expense.”
Quoted word-for-word from the SEC 8-K results press release.
PTLO analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $0.03 | $0.04 | -32.4% | $192.6M | 7 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $0.07 | $0.08 | -22.1% | $195.4M | 7 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $0.20 | $0.22 | -9.6% | $770.1M | 7 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $0.24 | $0.26 | -10.5% | $800.2M | 7 |
PTLO options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±16.7% (±$0.75) by Nov 20, 2026, which includes earnings on Nov 5, 2026. Over the last 8 reports the stock moved ±9.1% on average.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2026 | 28 | 62.6% | ±16.7% |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 56 | 63.7% | ±21.2% |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 84 | 68.1% | ±26.2% |
| Feb 19, 2027 | 119 | 62.5% | ±28.4% |
| May 21, 2027 | 210 | 67.9% | ±37.3% |
30-day implied volatility 66.1% vs 49.2% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0.29. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 14:15 UTC)
| Price | USD 4.39 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▼ 2.77% (down) |
| Previous Close | USD 4.51 |
| Open | USD 4.45 |
| Day Range | USD 4.32 – 4.46 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 3.29 – 6.69 |
| Volume | 173,666 shares |
| Market Cap | $317.99M |
| Exchange | NMS |
Technical Analysis (PTLO)
Nexqual's technical model rates PTLO "STRONG BUY" based on 5 bullish and 0 bearish signals across 128 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 14:15 UTC.
| Overall Signal | STRONG BUY |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 52.93 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Above (USD 4.23) |
| MACD | 0.14 (positive) |
Analyst Ratings (PTLO)
Wall Street analysts rate PTLO "Hold" based on 12 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 6 (range USD 4–11), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 14:15 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Hold |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 12 |
| Mean Target | USD 6 |
| High Target | USD 11 |
| Low Target | USD 4 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 3 / 9 / 0 |
Earnings (PTLO)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-11-05 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 0.03 |
| Revenue Estimate | $192.61M |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 0.14 vs est 0.09 ▲ beat |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 0.02 vs est 0 ▲ beat |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 0.17 vs est 0.06 ▲ beat |
| 2025-09-30 | USD 0.14 vs est 0.04 ▲ beat |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 14:15 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (PTLO)
| Total Revenue | $748.75M |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +5.60% |
| Gross Margin | +20.75% |
| Operating Margin | +8.44% |
| Profit Margin | +1.85% |
| ROE | +2.75% |
| Debt / Equity | 1.36 |
| Current Ratio | 0.26 |
| Total Cash | $21.25M |
| Total Debt | $691.39M |
| Free Cash Flow (last four quarters to Jun 2026, SEC 10-Q / 10-K) | -$9.16M (-1.2% of revenue) |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 14:15 UTC.
Financial Health Score (PTLO)
Nexqual rates Portillo's Inc.'s overall financial health "Weak" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 14:15 UTC.
| Growth | Mixed — Revenue +3.0% YoY (annual), slow |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Mixed — Gross margin 21%, operating 8% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Weak — $21M cash and investments vs $338M debt (Jun 2026, SEC) |
| Cash Flow | Weak — FCF negative: -$9M (last 4 quarters to Jun 2026, SEC), burning cash |
| Efficiency | Weak — ROE 3%, ROA 1.8% |
Ownership (PTLO)
| Insider Ownership | +8.02% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +67.31% |
| Shares Outstanding | 72.52M |
| Float | 67.48M |
| Short % of Float | +15.52% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 14:15 UTC.
Leadership (PTLO)
Portillo's Inc. is led by Brett A. Patterson, CEO, President & Director, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 14:15 UTC.
| CEO, President & Director | Brett A. Patterson |
|---|---|
| Chief Operating Officer | Tony Darden |
| CFO, Principal Financial Officer, Principal Accounting Officer & Treasurer | Kevin Kalicak |
| Vice President of Investor Relations | Chris Brandon |
| Director of PR & Communications | Sara Wirth |
Major Backers & Investors (PTLO)
Notable institutional backers of Portillo's Inc. include Orbis Allan Gray Ltd, Engaged Capital, LLC, Citadel, according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 14:15 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| Orbis Allan Gray Ltd | 5.75% |
| Engaged Capital, LLC | 4.75% |
| Citadel | 4.34% |
| Marshall Wace LLP | 3.23% |
| Zuckerman Investment Group, LLC | 2.83% |
| Goldman Sachs | 1.96% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| BlackRock | 6.77% |
| Vanguard Group | 4.23% |
| Geode Capital | 2.5% |
| State Street | 2.01% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 14:15 UTC.
From Portillo's Inc.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-02-24)
Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)
- In our sales channels of digital pickup, delivery, and catering we have made great strides operationally that will allow us to win additional market share.
Partnerships
- We measure engagement through our partnership with Gallup and our annual EverEngaged survey, where we achieved a record 91% participation rate this year.
Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)
- Compliance with current and future laws and regulations including those regarding permitted ingredients and disclosure of nutritional and allergen content may be costly and time-consuming.
- We can incur liabilities arising from environmental laws and compliance with environmental laws could increase our operating expenses.
- We are subject to federal, state and local laws, regulations and ordinances that govern activities or operations that may have adverse environmental effects, such as waste handling and disposal practices for solid and hazardous wastes, water discharge and air and odor control.
- We could be party to litigation that could distract management, increase our expenses or subject us to material monetary damages or other remedies.
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.
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Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 14:15 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
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