RXO, Inc. (RXO) Stock Price & Analysis
RXO, Inc. (RXO) closed at USD 28.92 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, up 0.49% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 28.92; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 28.6–29.03 on volume of 2,963,085 shares. Market capitalization is —, with a 52-week range of USD 10.43–29.9 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 09:21 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/RXO.md
Key facts (RXO)
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 30, 2026): revenue $6.09B, net income -$105M (-1.7% margin), free cash flow -$76.0M (SEC filings).
- 2 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold RXO (13F, Q2 2026): 1 new, 0 added, 0 reduced, 1 unchanged.
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +67.8% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y +34.5% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-05, EPS estimate USD 0.08, revenue estimate $1.82B.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (RXO)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $4.69B | $4.80B | $3.93B | $4.55B | $5.74B | $6.09B |
| Operating income | $192M | $123M | $39.0M | -$56.0M | -$79.0M | -$76.0M |
| Net income | $150M | $92.0M | $4.0M | -$290M | -$100M | -$105M |
| EPS (diluted) | $1.30 | $0.79 | $0.03 | -$2.17 | -$0.59 | — |
| Free cash flow | $116M | $253M | $25.0M | -$57.0M | -$8.0M | -$76.0M |
| Operating margin | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | -1.2% | -1.4% | -1.2% |
| Net margin | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.1% | -6.4% | -1.7% | -1.7% |
| Revenue growth | +39.7% | +2.3% | -18.1% | +15.9% | +26.2% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $29.0M | $98.0M | $5.0M | $35.0M | $17.0M | — |
| Total debt | $0K | $455M | $359M | $368M | $404M | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (RXO)
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2023 694.6x.
Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026) (RXO)
2 of 80 tracked investors hold RXO. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Hawkins | Southeastern Asset Management | 0.06% | $1.2M | Unchanged |
| Polen Capital | Polen Capital Management | 0.01% | $1.0M | New position |
Analysts (RXO)
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Truist Securities | Target raised | Buy | $28 → $30 |
| 2026-10-06 | Citigroup | Target raised | Neutral | $23 → $30 |
| 2026-10-06 | TD Cowen | Upgrade | Sell → Hold | $17.5 → $30.25 |
| 2026-10-06 | Wells Fargo | Target raised | Equal-Weight | $23 → $30 |
| 2026-10-06 | JP Morgan | Upgrade | Underweight → Neutral | $22 → $30 |
| 2026-10-06 | Jefferies | Downgrade | Buy → Hold | $30 |
| 2026-09-23 | Susquehanna | Upgrade | Negative → Neutral | $20 → $19 |
| 2026-09-09 | Wells Fargo | Target raised | Equal-Weight | $22 → $23 |
| 2026-08-07 | UBS | Target lowered | Neutral | $26 → $23 |
| 2026-08-07 | TD Cowen | Target lowered | Sell | $19 → $17.5 |
| 2026-08-07 | Citigroup | Target lowered | Neutral | $30 → $23 |
| 2026-08-07 | Citizens | Upgrade | Market Perform → Market Outperform | $30 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (RXO)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2022-10-24) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +67.8% | +34.5% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | +68.2% | +7.7% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 75.6% | 59.4% |
| Max drawdown | -40.9% (Oct 2025→Nov 2025) | -65.2% (Jul 2024→Nov 2025) |
RXO revenue by product line (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Truck brokerage | $1.35B | 76.0% | +31.6% |
| Last mile | $344.0M | 19.4% | +9.2% |
| Managed transportation | $144.0M | 8.1% | +1.4% |
| Total revenue | $1.77B | 100% | — |
As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).
RXO customer concentration
In the period ended Dec 31, 2025, a single direct customer accounted for 11.4% of revenue, per the company's 10-K filed Feb 9, 2026. The company does not name it.
RXO company outlook (results filed Aug 6, 2026)
- “RXO expects third-quarter 2026 adjusted EBITDA to be between $35 million and $45 million.”
Quoted word-for-word from the SEC 8-K results press release.
RXO analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $0.07 | $0.04 | +102.6% | $1.82B | 19 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $0.09 | $0.08 | +14.1% | $1.83B | 18 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $0.15 | $0.07 | +111.1% | $6.85B | 19 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $0.65 | $0.53 | +22.2% | $7.55B | 20 |
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 09:21 UTC)
| Price | USD 28.92 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▲ 0.49% (up) |
| Previous Close | USD 28.92 |
| Open | USD 28.92 |
| Day Range | USD 28.6 – 29.03 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 10.43 – 29.9 |
| Volume | 2,963,085 shares |
| Market Cap | — |
| Exchange | NYQ |
Technical Analysis (RXO)
Nexqual's technical model rates RXO "BUY" based on 5 bullish and 1 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:21 UTC.
| Overall Signal | BUY |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 75.88 (overbought) |
| vs SMA50 | Above (USD 23.1) |
| MACD | 1.95 (positive) |
Earnings (RXO)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-11-05 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 0.08 |
| Revenue Estimate | $1.82B |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 0.06 vs est 0.04 ▲ beat |
| 2026-03-31 | USD -0.09 vs est -0.09 ▲ beat |
| 2025-12-31 | USD -0.07 vs est -0.04 ▼ miss |
| 2025-09-30 | USD 0.01 vs est 0.04 ▼ miss |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:21 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (RXO)
| Total Revenue | $6.09B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +25.00% |
| Gross Margin | +14.91% |
| Operating Margin | +0.68% |
| Profit Margin | -1.72% |
| ROE | -6.79% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.48 |
| Current Ratio | 1.27 |
| Total Cash | $15.00M |
| Total Debt | $728.00M |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:21 UTC.
Ownership (RXO)
| Insider Ownership | +0.76% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +110.85% |
| Shares Outstanding | 164.96M |
| Float | 135.34M |
| Short % of Float | +24.99% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:21 UTC.
From RXO, Inc.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-02-09)
Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)
- Our strategy is designed to deliver value through our extensive carrier relationships, excellent customer service, automated shipper-carrier interactions, end-to-end digital tracking and data analyses generated by our proprietary algorithms.
- We expect to benefit from both overall industry growth in demand for truckload transportation, and a long runway for increased broker penetration of for-hire trucking. •Proprietary Technology: We believe our technology strongly differentiates us as a leading innovator of complex brokerage solutions that enhance visibility, reliability, speed, accuracy and cost effectiveness, and by the fully automated transactional capabilities of our digital platform.
- Because we have invested significantly in our proprietary platform for more than a decade, we believe that we can leverage our historical invested capital to generate strong returns. •Experienced and Cohesive Leadership and Strong Company Values: Our business operations are led by highly experienced executives who are recognized as leading truck brokerage experts and technologists.
- Revenue from our largest customer represented approximately $653 million, or 11.4%, of total revenue.
Partnerships
- We typically sign a non-exclusive, one-year, renewable agreement with carriers; this agreement establishes the carrier's role as an independent contractor and provides that the carrier is solely responsible for aspects of their service.
- In the United States, these laws and regulations deal with the hauling, handling and disposal of hazardous materials, emissions from vehicles, engine-idling, fuel tanks and related fuel spillage and seepage, discharge and retention of storm water, and other environmental matters that involve inherent environmental risks.
Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)
- Our third-party carriers are subject to increasingly stringent laws protecting the environment, including transitional risks relating to climate change, which could directly or indirectly have a material adverse effect on our business.
- We are subject to governmental regulations and political conditions, which could negatively impact our business.
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| SNDR | Schneider National, Inc. | USD 31.12 | ▲ 0.65% |
| ARCB | ArcBest Corporation | USD 130.3 | ▼ 0.39% |
| SAIA | Saia, Inc. | USD 344.5 | ▲ 1.67% |
| TFII | TFI International Inc. | USD 115 | ▲ 2.1% |
| KNX | Knight-Swift Transportation Hol | USD 62.52 | ▼ 1.08% |
| WERN | Werner Enterprises, Inc. | USD 29.18 | ▼ 2.34% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 09:21 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
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