XPO, Inc. (XPO) Stock Price & Analysis
XPO, Inc. (XPO) closed at USD 188.75 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, up 0.15% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 188.46; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 186.95–191.63 on volume of 961,866 shares. Market capitalization is $22.10B, with a 52-week range of USD 121.48–232.05 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 09:21 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/XPO.md
Key facts (XPO)
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 30, 2026): revenue $8.57B, net income $404M (4.7% margin), free cash flow $588M (SEC filings).
- Valuation: P/E 54.7x (avg 48.9x at the last 3 fiscal year-ends), EV/EBITDA 20.2x, net debt $2.75B.
- 4 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold XPO (13F, Q2 2026): 1 new, 0 added, 2 reduced, 1 unchanged.
- Insider open-market sales, last ~7 months: 6 Form 4 filings, $2.7M; 2 not under a Rule 10b5-1 plan ($1.5M); 1 by opportunistic insiders (1 outside 10b5-1 plans), 0 by routine insiders (three-year test, Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski 2012).
- Analysts: Buy (mean 2.20 on a 1–5 scale) (25 analysts), mean target USD 225.04 (range 115–275).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +50.5% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y +271.3% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-10-29, EPS estimate USD 1.57, revenue estimate $2.38B.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (XPO)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $7.20B | $7.72B | $7.74B | $8.07B | $8.16B | $8.57B |
| Operating income | $312M | $377M | $438M | $660M | $656M | $752M |
| Net income | $336M | $666M | $189M | $387M | $316M | $404M |
| EPS (diluted) | $2.93 | $5.76 | $1.60 | $3.23 | $2.64 | — |
| Free cash flow | $387M | $303M | -$839M | $19.0M | $329M | $588M |
| Operating margin | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% |
| Net margin | 4.7% | 8.6% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% |
| Revenue growth | +16.8% | +7.2% | +0.3% | +4.2% | +1.1% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $228M | $460M | $412M | $246M | $310M | — |
| Total debt | $3.51B | $2.47B | $3.33B | $3.33B | $3.25B | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (XPO)
P/E 54.7x · P/S 2.6x · EV/EBITDA 20.2x · EV/Sales 2.9x · P/FCF 37.6x · P/B 11.3x · FCF yield 2.66% · Earnings yield 1.83% · Buyback yield (TTM) 0.97% · Net debt $2.75B · EV $24.8B
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 51.2x, Dec 2024 40.7x, Dec 2023 54.7x.
Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026) (XPO)
4 of 80 tracked investors hold XPO. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Ellenbogen | Durable Capital Partners | 4.84% | $498M | Reduced -17.4% |
| Mason Hawkins | Southeastern Asset Management | 0.07% | $1.3M | Unchanged |
| Polen Capital | Polen Capital Management | 0.01% | $697K | New position |
| First Eagle Investment | First Eagle Investment Management | <0.01% | $674K | Reduced -11.4% |
Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (XPO)
4 of 6 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | % of holdings sold | 10b5-1 plan | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Bates David J. | Chief Operating Officer | 2,615 | $465K | 4% | Yes (adopted June 15, 2026) | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2024) |
| 2026-10-01 | Wismans Kyle | Chief Financial Officer | 750 | $132K | 1.5% | Yes (adopted June 15, 2026) | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-09-14 | Bates David J. | Chief Operating Officer | 2,615 | $469K | 3.9% | Yes (adopted June 15, 2026) | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2024) |
| 2026-09-14 | Wismans Kyle | Chief Financial Officer | 750 | $134K | 1.5% | Yes (adopted June 15, 2026) | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-08-10…2026-08-11 | Brown Christopher Michael | Chief Accounting Officer | 5,000 | $1.0M | 13.9% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-05-28 | Landry Allison | Director | 2,400 | $517K | 33.1% | No | Opportunistic (traded every year 2023–2025, no repeating month) |
% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).
Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.
Analysts (XPO)
Consensus Buy (mean 2.20 on a 1–5 scale), 25 analysts; mean target USD 225.04 (low 115, high 275).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | Stifel | Target lowered | Buy | $257 → $230 |
| 2026-10-07 | Truist Securities | Target lowered | Buy | $240 → $220 |
| 2026-10-07 | Citigroup | Upgrade | Neutral → Buy | $220 → $224 |
| 2026-10-05 | JP Morgan | Target lowered | Overweight | $214 → $205 |
| 2026-10-02 | Susquehanna | Target lowered | Neutral | $225 → $194 |
| 2026-10-02 | B of A Securities | Target raised | Buy | $228 → $230 |
| 2026-09-10 | Bernstein | Initiated | Outperform | $244 |
| 2026-09-08 | Citigroup | Target lowered | Neutral | $221 → $220 |
| 2026-09-04 | B of A Securities | Target lowered | Buy | $248 → $228 |
| 2026-07-31 | Citigroup | Target lowered | Neutral | $226 → $221 |
| 2026-07-31 | TD Cowen | Target raised | Buy | $224 → $228 |
| 2026-07-31 | Oppenheimer | Target raised | Outperform | $236 → $238 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (XPO)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +50.5% | +271.3% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | +50.7% | +29.9% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 41.7% | 48.2% |
| Max drawdown | -24.2% (Apr 2026→Sep 2026) | -49.9% (Oct 2021→Sep 2022) |
XPO revenue by business segment (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| North American LTL | $1.43B | 60.6% | +15.2% |
| European Transportation | $927.0M | 39.4% | +10.2% |
| Total revenue | $2.35B | 100% | — |
XPO revenue by region (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| United States | $1.40B | 59.4% | +15.3% |
| France | $364.0M | 15.5% | +8.3% |
| United Kingdom | $327.0M | 13.9% | +16.4% |
| Europe (excluding France and United Kingdom) | $235.0M | 10.0% | +4.9% |
| North America (excluding United States) | $30.0M | 1.3% | +11.1% |
| Total revenue | $2.35B | 100% | — |
As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).
XPO analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $1.57 | $1.34 | +17.6% | $2.38B | 24 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $1.24 | $1.09 | +13.6% | $2.25B | 23 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $5.50 | $4.91 | +12.0% | $9.08B | 25 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $6.57 | $6.03 | +8.8% | $9.58B | 25 |
XPO options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±10.2% (±$19.25) by Nov 20, 2026, which includes earnings on Oct 29, 2026. Over the last 8 reports the stock moved ±8% on average.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2026 | 28 | 45.1% | ±10.2% |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 56 | 41.4% | ±13.1% |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 84 | 39.7% | ±15.3% |
| Feb 19, 2027 | 119 | 42.2% | ±19.4% |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 147 | 41.3% | ±21.0% |
| May 21, 2027 | 210 | 41.6% | ±25.2% |
| Jun 17, 2027 | 237 | 41.5% | ±26.7% |
| Sep 17, 2027 | 329 | 41.9% | ±31.7% |
30-day implied volatility 43.8% vs 23.5% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 1.61. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 09:21 UTC)
| Price | USD 188.75 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▲ 0.15% (up) |
| Previous Close | USD 188.46 |
| Open | USD 187.74 |
| Day Range | USD 186.95 – 191.63 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 121.48 – 232.05 |
| Volume | 961,866 shares |
| Market Cap | $22.10B |
| Exchange | NYQ |
Technical Analysis (XPO)
Nexqual's technical model rates XPO "BUY" based on 5 bullish and 1 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:21 UTC.
| Overall Signal | BUY |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 54.54 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Above (USD 186.19) |
| MACD | 1.02 (positive) |
Analyst Ratings (XPO)
Wall Street analysts rate XPO "Buy" based on 25 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 225.04 (range USD 115–275), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:21 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Buy |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 25 |
| Mean Target | USD 225.04 |
| High Target | USD 275 |
| Low Target | USD 115 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 20 / 3 / 2 |
Earnings (XPO)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-10-29 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 1.57 |
| Revenue Estimate | $2.38B |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 1.7 vs est 1.47 ▲ beat |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 1.01 vs est 0.88 ▲ beat |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 0.88 vs est 0.76 ▲ beat |
| 2025-09-30 | USD 1.07 vs est 1.01 ▲ beat |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:21 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (XPO)
| Total Revenue | $8.57B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +13.20% |
| Gross Margin | +18.99% |
| Operating Margin | +12.31% |
| Profit Margin | +4.71% |
| ROE | +21.59% |
| Debt / Equity | 2.06 |
| Current Ratio | 1.01 |
| Total Cash | $298.00M |
| Total Debt | $4.04B |
| Free Cash Flow (last four quarters to Jun 2026, SEC 10-Q / 10-K) | $588.00M (6.9% of revenue) |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:21 UTC.
Financial Health Score (XPO)
Nexqual rates XPO, Inc.'s overall financial health "Mixed" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:21 UTC.
| Growth | Mixed — Revenue +1.1% YoY (annual), slow |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Mixed — Gross margin 19%, operating 12% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Weak — $298M cash and investments vs $3.05B debt (Jun 2026, SEC) |
| Cash Flow | Solid — FCF $588M (last 4 quarters to Jun 2026, SEC), 7% margin |
| Efficiency | Strong — ROE 22%, ROA 6.4% |
Ownership (XPO)
| Insider Ownership | +2.15% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +103.78% |
| Shares Outstanding | 117.09M |
| Float | 104.57M |
| Short % of Float | +6.08% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:21 UTC.
Leadership (XPO)
XPO, Inc. is led by Mario A. Harik, CEO & Chairman of the Board, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:21 UTC.
| CEO & Chairman of the Board | Mario A. Harik |
|---|---|
| Chief Financial Officer | Kyle Wismans |
| Chief Operating Officer | David J. Bates |
| Senior Vice President of Sales | Anthony Hoereth |
| Managing Director | Dan Myers |
Major Backers & Investors (XPO)
Notable institutional backers of XPO, Inc. include Capital Group, MFN Partners Management, LP, FMR, LLC, according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:21 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| Capital Group | 12.04% |
| MFN Partners Management, LP | 8.43% |
| FMR, LLC | 3.7% |
| Amcap Fund | 3.7% |
| Orbis Allan Gray Ltd | 2.91% |
| AMERICAN FUNDS INSURANCE SERIES-Growth-Income Fund | 2.67% |
| Invesco | 2.59% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| BlackRock | 12.42% |
| Vanguard Group | 8.48% |
| State Street | 3.63% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:21 UTC.
From XPO, Inc.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-02-05)
Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)
- We use our proprietary technology to move goods efficiently through supply chains for approximately 55,000 customers in North America and Europe.
- For the full year 2025, we moved approximately 16 billion pounds of freight through our network with a customer-focused organization of truck drivers, service center teams and sales professionals, facilitated by our proprietary technology.
- We use our proprietary technology to manage these services efficiently within our digital ecosystem in Europe.
- We use our proprietary technology to provide reliable freight transportation services and make the most of the resources within our company.
Partnerships
- In the U.S., these laws and regulations deal with the hauling, handling and disposal of hazardous materials, emissions from vehicles, engine-idling, storage tanks (fuel, oil, antifreeze and other products) and related fuel spillage and seepage, discharge and retention of storm water, and other environmental matters.
- Our industry is evolving, and customers want to de-risk their supply chains by forming relationships with reliable service providers that have invested in innovation.
Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)
- We are involved in multiple lawsuits and are subject to various claims that could result in significant expenditures and impact our operations.
- We are subject to risks associated with defined benefit plans for our current and former employees, which could have a material adverse effect on our earnings and financial position.
- Changes in income tax regulations for U.S. and multinational companies may increase our tax liability.
- We are subject to governmental regulations, political conditions, and emissions-control regulations which could substantially increase operating expenses or negatively impact our business.
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| ODFL | Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. | USD 189.89 | ▲ 0.52% |
| KNX | Knight-Swift Transportation Hol | USD 62.52 | ▼ 1.08% |
| TFII | TFI International Inc. | USD 115 | ▲ 2.1% |
| SAIA | Saia, Inc. | USD 344.5 | ▲ 1.67% |
| SNDR | Schneider National, Inc. | USD 31.12 | ▲ 0.65% |
| RXO | RXO, Inc. | USD 28.92 | ▲ 0.49% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 09:21 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
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