Serve Robotics Inc. (SERV) Stock Price & Analysis

Serve Robotics Inc. (SERV) closed at USD 2.88 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, down 5.88% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.

The prior close was USD 2.88; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 2.8–3.02 on volume of 3,319,166 shares. Market capitalization is —, with a 52-week range of USD 2.8–16.08 (NCM). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 12:51 UTC.

Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/SERV.md

Key facts (SERV)

• Last four reported quarters (through Jun 30, 2026): revenue $7.8M, net income -$180M (-2315.8% margin), free cash flow -$170M (SEC filings).
• Insider open-market sales, last ~7 months: 14 Form 4 filings, $1.4M; 13 not under a Rule 10b5-1 plan ($1.3M); 0 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders (three-year test, Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski 2012).
• Total return with dividends: 1Y -79.0% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y -87.9% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
• Next earnings: 2026-11-05, EPS estimate USD -0.54, revenue estimate $1.7M.

Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (SERV)

Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.

Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (SERV)

Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (SERV)

1 of 14 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.

% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).

Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.

Analysts (SERV)

Rating changes, last 120 days:

Total return (dividends reinvested) (SERV)

SERV revenue by product line (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)

As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).

SERV suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 10-K)

Quoted from the company's 10-K filed Mar 12, 2026.

SERV customer concentration

In the period ended Jun 30, 2026, 2 direct customers each accounted for at least 10% (22%, 11%) of revenue, per the company's 10-Q filed Aug 6, 2026. The company does not name them.

SERV company outlook (results filed Oct 5, 2026)

• “Guidance $910M 3.5x growth YoY.”

Quoted word-for-word from the SEC 8-K results press release.

SERV analyst estimates and revisions

SERV options: expected move

Options price a move of about ±15.8% (±$0.46) by Nov 6, 2026, which includes earnings on Nov 5, 2026; the earnings reaction alone is priced at about ±9.5%. Over the last 8 reports the stock moved ±8.3% on average.

30-day implied volatility 85.3% vs 62.5% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0.73. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.

Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 12:51 UTC)

Technical Analysis (SERV)

Nexqual's technical model rates SERV "SELL" based on 2 bullish and 5 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 12:51 UTC.

Earnings (SERV)

Recent Earnings History

Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 12:51 UTC.

Financials & Fundamentals (SERV)

Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 12:51 UTC.

Ownership (SERV)

Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 12:51 UTC.

From Serve Robotics Inc.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-03-12)

Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)

• We seek to protect our intellectual property and proprietary rights, including our proprietary technology and software, by relying on a combination of federal, state, and common law rights in the United States and other countries, as well as on contractual measures.
• Our activities include the design, engineering, deployment, and operation of low-emission robotic systems built on our proprietary AI-enabled mobility platform.
• Although we currently primarily operate within the United States, the laws of some foreign countries do not protect our proprietary rights to as great an extent as domestic laws, and many foreign countries do not enforce these laws as diligently as government agencies and private parties in the United States.
• We generally enter into confidentiality and non-disclosure agreements with our employees, consultants, vendors and customers, and generally limit access to and distribution of our proprietary information.

Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)

• Changes in United States and foreign governments' trade policies, as well as volatility caused by regional and international conflicts, and the political climate in the United States, have resulted in, and may continue to result in, tariffs on imports into and exports from the United States.
• Evolving privacy, data protection, and AI regulation may restrict our ability to collect, process, and license video and LiDAR datasets, increase our compliance costs or expose us to investigations, fines or litigation.
• We may become subject to new or changing governmental regulations relating to the design, manufacturing, marketing, distribution, servicing or use of our products, including as a result of climate change, and a failure to comply with such regulations could have an adverse effect on our business operations.
• Climate change laws, environmental regulations, and other similar measures may also have an effect on the operating activities of our customers, which may, in turn, reduce the demand for our products and services.

Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.

Peers & Related Stocks

Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 12:51 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.

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