Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (TXRH) Stock Price & Analysis
Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (TXRH) closed at USD 172.78 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, up 2.96% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 167.82; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 167.02–172.9 on volume of 1,284,473 shares. Market capitalization is $11.34B, with a 52-week range of USD 153.83–216.3 (NMS). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/TXRH.md
Key facts (TXRH)
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 30, 2026): revenue $6.23B, net income $422M (6.8% margin), free cash flow $406M (SEC filings).
- Valuation: P/E 26.9x (avg 26.7x at the last 3 fiscal year-ends), EV/EBITDA 15.9x, net cash $152M.
- 1 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold TXRH (13F, Q2 2026): 0 new, 0 added, 1 reduced, 0 unchanged.
- Insider open-market sales, last ~7 months: 12 Form 4 filings, $5.3M; 10 not under a Rule 10b5-1 plan ($2.2M); 1 by opportunistic insiders (1 outside 10b5-1 plans), 4 by routine insiders (three-year test, Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski 2012).
- Analysts: Buy (mean 2.29 on a 1–5 scale) (28 analysts), mean target USD 207.46 (range 133–251).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y -0.4% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y +110.9% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-05, EPS estimate USD 1.46, revenue estimate $1.58B.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (TXRH)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.46B | $4.01B | $4.63B | $5.37B | $5.88B | $6.23B |
| Operating income | $297M | $320M | $354M | $517M | $475M | $483M |
| Net income | $245M | $270M | $314M | $444M | $414M | $422M |
| EPS (diluted) | $3.50 | $3.97 | $4.54 | $6.47 | $6.10 | — |
| Free cash flow | $268M | $266M | $218M | $399M | $342M | $406M |
| Operating margin | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% |
| Net margin | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% |
| Revenue growth | +44.4% | +15.9% | +15.4% | +16.0% | +9.4% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $336M | $174M | $104M | $245M | $135M | — |
| Total debt | $100M | $50.0M | $0K | — | $0K | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (TXRH)
P/E 26.9x · P/S 1.8x · EV/EBITDA 15.9x · EV/Sales 1.8x · P/FCF 27.9x · P/B 7.3x · FCF yield 3.58% · Earnings yield 3.72% · Dividend yield (paid, TTM) 1.66% · Buyback yield (TTM) 1.43% · Net cash $152M · EV $11.2B
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 26.6x, Dec 2024 27.2x, Dec 2023 26.2x.
Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026) (TXRH)
1 of 80 tracked investors hold TXRH. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| First Eagle Investment | First Eagle Investment Management | <0.01% | $490K | Reduced -20.5% |
Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (TXRH)
2 of 12 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | % of holdings sold | 10b5-1 plan | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Marshall Lloyd Paul | CHIEF GROWTH OFFICER | 500 | $102K | 4.8% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-08-25 | Carroll Hugh J | Director | 650 | $133K | 18.4% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2024) |
| 2026-08-21 | Morgan Gerald L. | CEO, EXECUTIVE VICE CHAIRMAN | 15,000 | $3.0M | 15.6% | Yes | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2025) |
| 2026-08-17 | Humpich Keith | CHIEF ACCT & FIN SVCS OFFCR | 819 | $167K | 3.9% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-08-17 | Epps Donna E | Director | 820 | $169K | 17% | No | Opportunistic (traded every year 2023–2025, no repeating month) |
| 2026-08-11 | Moore Gregory N | Director | 3,000 | $625K | 10% | No | Routine (sold in Feb & May each year 2023–2025; this trade is outside those months) |
| 2026-07-02 | Renfroe Sean G | GENERAL COUNSEL | 426 | $82K | 33.1% | Yes | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-05-26 | Colson Christopher C. | CHIEF BUSINESS & ADMIN OFFICER | 499 | $89K | 3.3% | No | Routine (sold in Jan each year 2023–2025; this trade is outside those months) |
| 2026-05-18 | Abell Jane Grote | Director | 339 | $60K | 13.6% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-05-14 | Marshall Lloyd Paul | CHIEF GROWTH OFFICER | 1,000 | $178K | 8.8% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-05-11 | Warfield Curtis | Director | 2,640 | $483K | 33% | No | Routine (sold in Feb each year 2023–2025; this trade is outside those months) |
| 2026-05-11 | Moore Gregory N | Director | 1,250 | $223K | 4% | No | Routine (sold in Feb & May each year 2023–2025) |
% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).
Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.
Analysts (TXRH)
Consensus Buy (mean 2.29 on a 1–5 scale), 28 analysts; mean target USD 207.46 (low 133, high 251).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | TD Cowen | Target lowered | Buy | $230 → $195 |
| 2026-10-15 | Morgan Stanley | Target raised | Overweight | $212 → $221 |
| 2026-10-15 | Stephens & Co. | Upgrade | Equal-Weight → Overweight | $205 |
| 2026-10-14 | Jefferies | Upgrade | Hold → Buy | $186 → $190 |
| 2026-10-06 | StoneX | Upgrade | Hold → Buy | $200 |
| 2026-10-05 | RBC Capital | Target lowered | Outperform | $235 → $220 |
| 2026-10-05 | Evercore ISI Group | Upgrade | In-Line → Outperform | $220 → $200 |
| 2026-09-29 | JP Morgan | Target lowered | Neutral | $202 → $200 |
| 2026-09-25 | Evercore ISI Group | Target raised | In-Line | $200 → $220 |
| 2026-09-16 | Seaport Global | Initiated | Buy | $195 |
| 2026-08-10 | Piper Sandler | Target raised | Neutral | $192 → $208 |
| 2026-08-07 | Citigroup | Target raised | Neutral | $193 → $209 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (TXRH)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | -0.4% | +110.9% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | -0.4% | +16.1% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 30.2% | 27.0% |
| Max drawdown | -26.9% (Aug 2026→Oct 2026) | -24.6% (Aug 2026→Sep 2026) |
TXRH revenue by product line (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Food & Beverage | $1.67B | 99.6% | +11.2% |
| Franchise | $7.1M | 0.4% | -12.6% |
| Franchise Royalty | $6.6M | 0.4% | -12.2% |
| Franchise Fees | $508,000 | 0.0% | -17.0% |
| Total revenue | $1.68B | 100% | — |
As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).
TXRH company outlook (results filed Aug 6, 2026)
- “Outlook Comparable restaurant sales at company restaurants for the first five weeks of the third quarter of our 2026 fiscal year increased 6.2% compared to 2025.”
Quoted word-for-word from the SEC 8-K results press release.
TXRH analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $1.46 | $1.32 | +10.6% | $1.58B | 27 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $1.34 | $1.41 | -5.1% | $1.63B | 27 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $6.52 | $6.43 | +1.4% | $6.52B | 27 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $7.71 | $7.64 | +0.9% | $7.14B | 27 |
TXRH options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±7.0% (±$12.05) by Nov 6, 2026, which includes earnings on Nov 5, 2026; the earnings reaction alone is priced at about ±4.7%. Over the last 8 reports the stock moved ±4.4% on average.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | 7 | 32.3% | ±3.8% |
| Nov 6, 2026 | 14 | 43.1% | ±7.0% |
| Nov 13, 2026 | 21 | 38.3% | ±7.6% |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 28 | 37.8% | ±8.5% |
| Nov 27, 2026 | 35 | 35.4% | ±8.9% |
| Dec 4, 2026 | 42 | 34.8% | ±9.7% |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 56 | 34.4% | ±10.8% |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 84 | 31.8% | ±12.2% |
30-day implied volatility 35.7% vs 29.8% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0.46. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC)
| Price | USD 172.78 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▲ 2.96% (up) |
| Previous Close | USD 167.82 |
| Open | USD 168.3 |
| Day Range | USD 167.02 – 172.9 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 153.83 – 216.3 |
| Volume | 1,284,473 shares |
| Market Cap | $11.34B |
| Exchange | NMS |
Technical Analysis (TXRH)
Nexqual's technical model rates TXRH "SELL" based on 2 bullish and 4 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.
| Overall Signal | SELL |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 53.41 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Below (USD 177.95) |
| MACD | -1.18 (negative) |
Analyst Ratings (TXRH)
Wall Street analysts rate TXRH "Buy" based on 28 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 207.46 (range USD 133–251), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Buy |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 28 |
| Mean Target | USD 207.46 |
| High Target | USD 251 |
| Low Target | USD 133 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 19 / 8 / 1 |
Earnings (TXRH)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-11-05 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 1.46 |
| Revenue Estimate | $1.58B |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 1.85 vs est 1.83 ▲ beat |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 1.87 vs est 1.8 ▲ beat |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 1.28 vs est 1.5 ▼ miss |
| 2025-09-30 | USD 1.25 vs est 1.28 ▼ miss |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (TXRH)
| Total Revenue | $6.23B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +11.10% |
| Gross Margin | +16.25% |
| Operating Margin | +8.51% |
| Profit Margin | +6.63% |
| ROE | +27.71% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.69 |
| Current Ratio | 0.46 |
| Total Cash | $202.43M |
| Total Debt | $1.09B |
| Free Cash Flow (last four quarters to Jun 2026, SEC 10-Q / 10-K) | $406.38M (6.5% of revenue) |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.
Financial Health Score (TXRH)
Nexqual rates Texas Roadhouse, Inc.'s overall financial health "Solid" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.
| Growth | Solid — Revenue +9% YoY (annual) |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Mixed — Gross margin 16%, operating 9% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Mixed — $202M cash and investments vs $50M debt (Jun 2026, SEC), net cash |
| Cash Flow | Solid — FCF $406M (last 4 quarters to Jun 2026, SEC), 7% margin |
| Efficiency | Strong — ROE 28%, ROA 8.7% |
Ownership (TXRH)
| Insider Ownership | +0.42% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +103.38% |
| Shares Outstanding | 65.64M |
| Float | 61.19M |
| Short % of Float | +3.54% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.
Leadership (TXRH)
Texas Roadhouse, Inc. is led by Gerald L. Morgan, CEO & Executive Vice Chairman, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.
| CEO & Executive Vice Chairman | Gerald L. Morgan |
|---|---|
| President | Regina A. Tobin |
| Chief Financial Officer | Michael S. Lenihan |
| Chief Technology Officer | Hernan E. Mujica |
Major Backers & Investors (TXRH)
Notable institutional backers of Texas Roadhouse, Inc. include Capital Group, AQR Capital Management, LLC, Alliancebernstein L.P., according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| Capital Group | 6.61% |
| AQR Capital Management, LLC | 6.22% |
| Alliancebernstein L.P. | 4.92% |
| WASHINGTON MUTUAL INVESTORS FUND | 3.59% |
| Victory Capital Management Inc. | 2.78% |
| FMR, LLC | 2.51% |
| Wellington Management | 2.35% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| BlackRock | 10.04% |
| Vanguard Group | 9.19% |
| State Street | 3.17% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC.
From Texas Roadhouse, Inc.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-02-27)
Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)
- We have developed proprietary recipes to promote consistency in quality and taste throughout all restaurants and provide a unique flavor experience to our guests.
- Our approach to media aligns with our focus on local store marketing and community involvement.
- Together, this enables us to closely monitor sales and operating expenses at each of our restaurants throughout all concepts.
- We rely on these to market our concepts to consumers, distinguish our brands from other restaurant concepts, establish our unique brands, and prevent consumer confusion with other restaurant concepts, as well as in connection with our retail initiatives.
Partnerships
- We maintain a Tip Rate Alternative Commitment agreement with the Internal Revenue Service.
- By complying with educational and other requirements of the agreement, we reduce the likelihood of potential employer-only FICA assessments for unreported or underreported tips.
Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)
- We may not be able to obtain and maintain licenses and permits necessary to operate our restaurants and compliance with governmental laws and regulations could adversely affect our operating results.
- We are subject to increasing legal complexity and could be party to litigation that could adversely affect us.
- Our current insurance may not provide adequate levels of coverage against claims.
- Changes in tax laws and unanticipated tax liabilities could adversely affect our financial results.
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.
Peers & Related Stocks
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|---|---|---|---|
| DPZ | Domino's Pizza Inc | USD 317.7 | ▲ 2.11% |
| YUMC | Yum China Holdings, Inc. | USD 44.76 | ▲ 0.67% |
| EAT | Brinker International, Inc. | USD 190.11 | ▲ 1.09% |
| BROS | Dutch Bros Inc. | USD 41.75 | ▼ 1.21% |
| CAVA | CAVA Group, Inc. | USD 54.68 | ▼ 0.58% |
| JMKE | Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. | USD 17.69 | ▲ 0.17% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 09:16 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt