Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) Stock Price & Analysis
Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) closed at USD 184.88 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, up 9.87% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 184.88; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 170.99–186.93 on volume of 5,315,843 shares. Market capitalization is —, with a 52-week range of USD 146.89–186.93 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 10:01 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/WCN.md
Key facts (WCN)
- Last four reported quarters (through Sep 30, 2026): revenue $9.94B, net income $1.13B (11.4% margin), free cash flow $1.25B (SEC filings).
- 1 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold WCN (13F, Q2 2026): 0 new, 0 added, 0 reduced, 1 unchanged.
- Insider open-market sales, last ~7 months: 11 Form 4 filings, $4.4M; 11 not under a Rule 10b5-1 plan ($4.4M); 7 by opportunistic insiders (7 outside 10b5-1 plans), 1 by routine insiders (three-year test, Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski 2012).
- Insider open-market purchases, last ~7 months: 1 Form 4 filing, $7.6M; 0 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders.
- Analysts: Buy (mean 1.93 on a 1–5 scale) (27 analysts), mean target USD 202.48 (range 170–225).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +5.2% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y +42.6% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-10-21, EPS estimate USD 1.39, revenue estimate $2.53B.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (WCN)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $6.15B | $7.21B | $8.02B | $8.92B | $9.47B | $9.94B |
| Gross profit | $2.50B | $2.88B | $3.28B | $3.73B | $4.01B | — |
| Operating income | $1.04B | $1.24B | $1.24B | $1.07B | $1.71B | $1.76B |
| Net income | $618M | $836M | $763M | $618M | $1.08B | $1.13B |
| EPS (diluted) | $2.36 | $3.24 | $2.95 | $2.39 | $4.17 | — |
| Free cash flow | $954M | $1.11B | $1.19B | $1.17B | $1.23B | $1.25B |
| Gross margin | 40.6% | 39.9% | 40.9% | 41.8% | 42.4% | — |
| Operating margin | 16.9% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 12.0% | 18.1% | 17.7% |
| Net margin | 10.0% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 11.4% |
| Revenue growth | +13.0% | +17.2% | +11.2% | +11.2% | +6.1% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $147M | $78.6M | $78.4M | $62.4M | $46.0M | — |
| Total debt | $5.05B | $6.90B | $6.72B | $8.07B | $8.81B | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Sep 30, 2026) (WCN)
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 42.0x, Dec 2024 71.9x, Dec 2023 50.5x.
Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026) (WCN)
1 of 80 tracked investors hold WCN. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Gates | Gates Foundation Trust | 0.99% | $340M | Unchanged |
Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (WCN)
0 of 11 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | % of holdings sold | 10b5-1 plan | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Nielsen Iii Robert | SR VP Operations | 700 | $119K | 17.7% | No | Opportunistic (traded every year 2023–2025, no repeating month) |
| 2026-08-18 | Rivard Philip | SR VP Business Development | 2,500 | $416K | 77.3% | No | Opportunistic (traded every year 2023–2025, no repeating month) |
| 2026-08-13 | Netherton Susan | SR VP People, Training & Dev | 1,750 | $291K | 11.9% | No | Opportunistic (traded every year 2023–2025, no repeating month) |
| 2026-07-29 | Nielsen Iii Robert | SR VP Operations | 300 | $52K | 7.1% | No | Opportunistic (traded every year 2023–2025, no repeating month) |
| 2026-07-28 | Cloninger Robert Michael | SR VP, Deputy General Counsel | 2,811 | $481K | 19.4% | No | Opportunistic (traded every year 2023–2025, no repeating month) |
| 2026-06-05 | Shea Patrick James | Exec VP, General Counsel & Sec | 7,500 | $1.2M | 27.3% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023) |
| 2026-06-05 | Craft Jason | Executive Vice President & COO | 1,500 | $235K | 4.4% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-05-14 | Nielsen Iii Robert | SR VP Operations | 500 | $78K | 10.5% | No | Opportunistic (traded every year 2023–2025, no repeating month) |
| 2026-05-12…2026-05-13 | Nielsen Iii Robert | SR VP Operations | 627 | $95K | 11.7% | No | Opportunistic (traded every year 2023–2025, no repeating month) |
| 2026-04-30 | Hansen Eric | Senior Vice President and CIO | 6,000 | $989K | 31% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2025) |
| 2026-04-27 | Little James | Executive VP Engineering | 2,605 | $427K | 5.1% | No | Routine (sold in Mar each year 2023–2025; this trade is outside those months) |
% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).
Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.
Insider purchases (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (WCN)
1 purchase, $7.6M. Private placements, offerings, dividend reinvestment and employee stock purchase plan buys are excluded.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | Avg price | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | Mittelstaedt Ronald J | President & CEO | 50,000 | $7.6M | 152.24 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
Analysts (WCN)
Consensus Buy (mean 1.93 on a 1–5 scale), 27 analysts; mean target USD 202.48 (low 170, high 225).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Citigroup | Target lowered | Neutral | $182 → $175 |
| 2026-10-13 | Morgan Stanley | Target lowered | Overweight | $205 → $195 |
| 2026-10-08 | JP Morgan | Target lowered | Overweight | $195 → $180 |
| 2026-10-08 | CIBC | Target lowered | Outperformer | $199 → $184 |
| 2026-09-18 | UBS | Upgrade | Neutral → Buy | $176 → $200 |
| 2026-08-04 | UBS | Target raised | Neutral | $170 → $176 |
| 2026-07-28 | Barclays | Target raised | Equal-Weight | $180 → $187 |
| 2026-07-24 | TD Cowen | Target raised | Buy | $200 → $210 |
| 2026-07-13 | JP Morgan | Target lowered | Overweight | $210 → $195 |
| 2026-07-10 | Citigroup | Target raised | Neutral | $180 → $182 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (WCN)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +5.2% | +42.6% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | +5.3% | +7.3% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 25.4% | 19.8% |
| Max drawdown | -16.2% (Dec 2025→May 2026) | -24.1% (Apr 2025→May 2026) |
WCN revenue by business segment (quarter ended Sep 30, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Solid Waste Collection | $1.83B | 69.2% | +5.5% |
| Southern | $612.7M | 23.2% | +12.0% |
| Western | $595.0M | 22.6% | +7.5% |
| Eastern | $554.2M | 21.0% | +4.1% |
| Central | $490.6M | 18.6% | +5.4% |
| Canada | $419.6M | 15.9% | +8.6% |
| Mid South | $371.0M | 14.1% | +9.2% |
| Total revenue | $2.64B | 100% | — |
WCN revenue by product line (quarter ended Sep 30, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Commercial | $799.6M | 30.3% | +6.6% |
| Residential | $632.2M | 24.0% | +5.2% |
| Landfill | $443.9M | 16.8% | +7.1% |
| Transfer | $422.7M | 16.0% | +8.4% |
| Industrial & Construction Roll Off | $393.9M | 14.9% | +3.9% |
| Exploration & Production Waste Treatment Recovery & Disposal | $222.6M | 8.4% | +18.0% |
| Solid Waste Recycling | $67.7M | 2.6% | +16.0% |
| Other | $60.3M | 2.3% | +41.4% |
| Total revenue | $2.64B | 100% | — |
As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).
WCN suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 10-K)
| Relationship | Company | Sentence in the filing |
|---|---|---|
| Customer | Chiquita Canyon | “During and prior to the year ended December 31, 2024, we worked to address regulatory constraints related to the active waste disposal operations that were preventing our Chiquita Canyon Landfill ("Chiquita") from continuing to receive and manage waste from its customers.” |
Quoted from the company's 10-K filed Feb 12, 2026.
WCN company outlook (results filed Oct 21, 2026)
- “Outlook Waste Connections also updated its outlook for 2026, which assumes no change in the current economic environment or underlying economic trends.”
- “The Company's outlook excludes any impact from additional acquisitions that may close during the year, and expensing of transaction-related items.”
- “Certain components of the outlook for 2026 are subject to quarterly fluctuations.”
Quoted word-for-word from the SEC 8-K results press release.
WCN analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $1.39 | $1.39 | -0.0% | $2.53B | 22 |
| Next quarter (ends Mar 2027) | $1.37 | $1.36 | +0.1% | $2.53B | 14 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $5.69 | $5.63 | +1.0% | $10.10B | 24 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $6.18 | $6.20 | -0.4% | $10.68B | 27 |
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 10:01 UTC)
| Price | USD 184.88 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▲ 9.87% (up) |
| Previous Close | USD 184.88 |
| Open | USD 184.88 |
| Day Range | USD 170.99 – 186.93 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 146.89 – 186.93 |
| Volume | 5,315,843 shares |
| Market Cap | — |
| Exchange | NYQ |
Technical Analysis (WCN)
Nexqual's technical model rates WCN "BUY" based on 5 bullish and 3 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 10:01 UTC.
| Overall Signal | BUY |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 78.92 (overbought) |
| vs SMA50 | Above (USD 161.29) |
| MACD | 3.69 (positive) |
Analyst Ratings (WCN)
Wall Street analysts rate WCN "Buy" based on 27 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 202.48 (range USD 170–225), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 10:01 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Buy |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 27 |
| Mean Target | USD 202.48 |
| High Target | USD 225 |
| Low Target | USD 170 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 24 / 3 / 0 |
Earnings (WCN)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-10-21 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 1.39 |
| Revenue Estimate | $2.53B |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | USD 1.58 vs est 1.52 ▲ beat |
| 2026-06-30 | USD 1.5 vs est 1.35 ▲ beat |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 1.23 vs est 1.18 ▲ beat |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 1.29 vs est 1.27 ▲ beat |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:01 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (WCN)
| Total Revenue | $9.76B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +6.40% |
| Gross Margin | +42.53% |
| Operating Margin | +19.70% |
| Profit Margin | +10.86% |
| ROE | +13.03% |
| Debt / Equity | 1.22 |
| Current Ratio | 0.66 |
| Total Cash | $100.52M |
| Total Debt | $9.64B |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:01 UTC.
Ownership (WCN)
| Insider Ownership | +0.26% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +91.29% |
| Shares Outstanding | 251.57M |
| Float | 251.19M |
| Short % of Float | +1.79% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:01 UTC.
Leadership (WCN)
Waste Connections, Inc. is led by Ronald J. Mittelstaedt, Founder, CEO, President & Director, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 10:01 UTC.
| Founder, CEO, President & Director | Ronald J. Mittelstaedt |
|---|---|
| Executive VP & CFO | Mary Anne Whitney |
| Executive Vice President of Engineering & Disposal | James M. Little |
| Senior Vice President of Operations | Domenico D. Pio |
| Executive VP & COO | Jason Jon Craft |
Major Backers & Investors (WCN)
Notable institutional backers of Waste Connections, Inc. include Royal Bank of Canada, Bank of Montreal /CAN/, 1832 Asset Management L.P., according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 10:01 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| Royal Bank of Canada | 5.26% |
| Bank of Montreal /CAN/ | 3.46% |
| 1832 Asset Management L.P. | 2.98% |
| FMR, LLC | 2.13% |
| Mackenzie Financial Corporation | 1.88% |
| Capital International Investors | 1.83% |
| AQR Capital Management, LLC | 1.64% |
| WASHINGTON MUTUAL INVESTORS FUND | 0.9% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| Vanguard Group | 10.79% |
| BlackRock | 2.54% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:01 UTC.
From Waste Connections, Inc.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-02-12)
Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)
- We have developed an acquisition discipline based on a set of financial, market and management criteria to evaluate opportunities.
Partnerships
- Between graduates of our scholarship program and our targeted recruiting efforts for other WyoTech graduates not affiliated with our program, this partnership has produced approximately 70 technicians now employed at various Waste Connections locations.
Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)
- Increased regulation of GHG emissions from oil and natural gas E&P operations may also increase the costs to our customers of developing and producing hydrocarbons, and as a result, may have an indirect and adverse effect on the amount of oilfield waste delivered to our facilities by our customers.
- We may be subject in the normal course of business to judicial, administrative or other third-party proceedings that could interrupt or limit our operations, require expensive remediation, result in adverse judgments, settlements or fines and create negative publicity, which could damage our reputation.
- We may be liable for any environmental damage that our current or former operations cause, including damage to neighboring landowners or residents, particularly as a result of the contamination of soil, groundwater or surface water, and especially drinking water, or to natural resources.
- We may also be liable for any on-site environmental contamination caused by pollutants or hazardous substances the transportation, treatment or disposal of which we or our predecessors arranged or conducted.
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSG | Republic Services, Inc. | USD 241.9 | ▲ 5.03% |
| WM | Waste Management, Inc. | USD 239.1 | ▲ 4.15% |
| CLH | Clean Harbors, Inc. | USD 320.96 | ▲ 0.53% |
| GFL | GFL Environmental Inc. Subordin | USD 44.14 | ▲ 1.52% |
| CWST | Casella Waste Systems, Inc. | USD 96.89 | ▲ 7.39% |
| OIO | OIO Group | USD 1.87 | ▲ 1.08% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 10:01 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt