Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) Stock Price & Analysis

Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) closed at USD 72.4 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, down 1.51% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.

The prior close was USD 73.51; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 71.4–74.71 on volume of 3,769,282 shares. Market capitalization is $24.43B, with a 52-week range of USD 42.1–90.44 (NMS). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 09:55 UTC.

Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/AFRM.md

Key facts (AFRM)

Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (AFRM)

USDFY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY2026TTM
Revenue$1.35B$1.59B$2.32B$3.22B$4.26B$4.26B
Operating income-$866M-$1.20B-$616M-$87.3M$417M$417M
Net income-$707M-$985M-$518M$52.2M$1.93B$1.93B
EPS (diluted)-$2.51-$3.34-$1.67$0.15$5.53—
Free cash flow-$248M-$109M$291M$602M$993M$993M
Operating margin-64.2%-75.6%-26.5%-2.7%9.8%9.8%
Net margin-52.4%-62.1%-22.3%1.6%45.3%45.3%
Revenue growth+55.0%+17.7%+46.3%+38.8%+32.2%—
Cash + short-term investments$1.26B$892M$1.01B$1.35B$1.63B—
Total debt——$1.84B$7.61B$9.79B—

Fiscal years end Jun. EPS is split-adjusted.

Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (AFRM)

P/E 12.7x · P/S 5.7x · P/FCF 24.6x · P/B 4.5x · FCF yield 4.06% · Earnings yield 7.90%

P/E at fiscal year-ends: Jun 2026 14.7x, Jun 2025 451.8x.

Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026) (AFRM)

2 of 80 tracked investors hold AFRM. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.

InvestorFirm% of portfolioValueChange
Henry EllenbogenDurable Capital Partners3.51%$361MReduced -21.7%
Polen CapitalPolen Capital Management0.01%$731KAdded +88.1%

Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (AFRM)

8 of 10 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.

Trade dateInsiderRoleSharesValue% of holdings sold10b5-1 planInsider type
2026-10-09O'Hare RobertChief Financial Officer65,591$5.2M96%Yes (adopted May 21, 2026)Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023)
2026-09-14Jiyane SipheleleChief Accounting Officer26,980$1.9M12.5%NoToo little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2024)
2026-09-04Jiyane SipheleleChief Accounting Officer25,000$1.8M10.4%NoToo little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2024)
2026-09-01…2026-09-03Adkins KatherineChief Legal Officer83,328$6.1M35.3%Yes (adopted June 2, 2026)Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023)
2026-09-01…2026-09-02O'Hare RobertChief Financial Officer21,631$1.6M88.8%Yes (adopted May 21, 2026)Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023)
2026-08-28Linford MichaelChief Operating Officer79,219$7.1M39.6%Yes (adopted December 9, 2025)Opportunistic (traded every year 2023–2025, no repeating month)
2026-08-12Watson Noel BertramDirector2,000$156K5.5%Yes (adopted December 2, 2025)Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023)
2026-06-26Linford MichaelChief Operating Officer100,000$8.0M45.9%Yes (adopted December 9, 2025)Opportunistic (traded every year 2023–2025, no repeating month)
2026-05-13Watson Noel BertramDirector2,000$130K5.3%Yes (adopted December 2, 2025)Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023)
2026-04-14Watson Noel BertramDirector2,000$110K5%Yes (adopted December 2, 2025)Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023)

% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).

Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.

Analysts (AFRM)

Consensus Buy (mean 2.03 on a 1–5 scale), 34 analysts; mean target USD 98.59 (low 66, high 115).

Rating changes, last 120 days:

DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
2026-10-13Goldman SachsTarget loweredBuy$115 → $103
2026-10-06TD CowenTarget loweredBuy$124 → $110
2026-10-01Freedom Capital MarketsMaintainedBuy$105
2026-09-16CitizensReiteratedMarket Outperform$85
2026-09-14Wolfe ResearchUpgradePeer Perform → Outperform$90
2026-09-09Loop CapitalInitiatedBuy$105
2026-09-03Truist SecuritiesTarget raisedBuy$83 → $85
2026-09-02ScotiabankInitiatedSector Outperform$95
2026-08-31Goldman SachsTarget raisedBuy$106 → $115
2026-08-31BernsteinTarget raisedOutperform$100 → $110
2026-08-31Cantor FitzgeraldTarget raisedOverweight$88 → $97
2026-08-28UBSTarget raisedNeutral$82 → $90

Total return (dividends reinvested) (AFRM)

1Y (from 2025-10-23)5Y (from 2021-10-18)
Total return-4.2%-53.4%
S&P 500 (SPY)+14.9%+80.3%
Per year-4.2%-14.1%
Volatility (annualized)59.3%85.9%
Max drawdown-48.8% (Jan 2026→Mar 2026)-94.5% (Nov 2021→Jan 2023)

AFRM revenue by product line (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)

LineRevenueShare of totalYoY
Merchant Network$302.4M25.9%+26.3%
Virtual Card Network$85.2M7.3%+26.9%
Total revenue$1.17B100%—

AFRM revenue by region (fiscal year ended Jun 30, 2026)

LineRevenueShare of totalYoY
United States$4.11B96.5%+32.4%
Canada$142.8M3.4%+20.0%
Other$6.3M0.1%+2135.5%
Total revenue$4.26B100%—

As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).

AFRM suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 10-K)

RelationshipCompanySentence in the filing
PartnerShopify (SHOP)“The loss of, or decrease in business with, any one of our significant commercial partner relationships, such as with Amazon or Shopify, would adversely affect our business.”
PartnerFederal Deposit Insurance“Through the Affirm App and in partnership with Cross River Bank, we offer an FDIC-insured, high-yield savings account, with no minimum deposit requirements or fees.”
PartnerAmazon (AMZN)“The loss of, or decrease in business with, any one of our significant commercial partner relationships, such as with Amazon or Shopify, would adversely affect our business.”
PartnerApple (AAPL)“In addition, as we add new commercial partners, it could take a significant amount of time for these commercial partners, particularly larger platforms such as Apple Pay, to fully integrate our platform and for these commercial partners' consumers to accept our pay-over-time solution.”

Quoted from the company's 10-K filed Aug 27, 2026.

Companies that name AFRM in their SEC reports

Relationship to AFRMCompanyFilingSentence
customerWarby Parker Inc. (WRBY)10-K Feb 26, 2026“We rely on third parties, including Stripe, Inc., Affirm, Inc., and PayPal Holdings, Inc. for elements of our payment processing infrastructure to accept payments from customers and Coupa Software Incorporated, in connection with our banking partners, to remit payments to suppliers.”

AFRM analyst estimates and revisions

PeriodEPS estimate90 days agoChangeRevenue estimateAnalysts
Current quarter (ends Sep 2026)$0.86$0.87-1.4%$1.21B5
Next quarter (ends Dec 2026)$1.10$1.13-2.6%$1.43B5
Current fiscal year (ends Jun 2027)$3.85$3.78+1.8%$5.49B7
Next fiscal year (ends Jun 2028)$5.02$4.76+5.3%$6.84B6

AFRM options: expected move

Options price a move of about ±14.5% (±$10.48) by Nov 6, 2026, which includes earnings on Nov 5, 2026; the earnings reaction alone is priced at about ±10.3%. Over the last 8 reports the stock moved ±8.3% on average.

ExpirationDaysATM implied volatilityExpected move
Oct 30, 2026764.0%±7.5%
Nov 6, 20261489.6%±14.5%
Nov 13, 20262178.9%±15.5%
Nov 20, 20262879.4%±17.9%
Nov 27, 20263570.4%±17.6%
Dec 4, 20264265.6%±17.9%
Dec 18, 20265665.6%±20.7%
Jan 15, 20278462.9%±24.2%

30-day implied volatility 72.7% vs 57.1% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0.81. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.

Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 09:55 UTC)

PriceUSD 72.4
Change▼ 1.51% (down)
Previous CloseUSD 73.51
OpenUSD 72.62
Day RangeUSD 71.4 – 74.71
52-Week RangeUSD 42.1 – 90.44
Volume3,769,282 shares
Market Cap$24.43B
ExchangeNMS

Technical Analysis (AFRM)

Nexqual's technical model rates AFRM "SELL" based on 1 bullish and 4 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:55 UTC.

Overall SignalSELL
RSI (14)47.62 (neutral)
vs SMA50Below (USD 73.55)
MACD0.26 (positive)

Analyst Ratings (AFRM)

Wall Street analysts rate AFRM "Buy" based on 34 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 98.59 (range USD 66–115), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:55 UTC.

Consensus RatingBuy
Analyst Count34
Mean TargetUSD 98.59
High TargetUSD 115
Low TargetUSD 66
Buy / Hold / Sell27 / 7 / 0

Earnings (AFRM)

Next Earnings Date2026-11-05
EPS EstimateUSD 0.86
Revenue Estimate$1.21B

Recent Earnings History

QuarterActual vs Estimate
2026-06-30USD 4.97 vs est 0.85 ▲ beat
2026-03-31USD 0.62 vs est 0.73 ▼ miss
2025-12-31USD 0.72 vs est 0.84 ▼ miss
2025-09-30USD 0.61 vs est 0.62 ▼ miss

Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:55 UTC.

Financials & Fundamentals (AFRM)

Total Revenue$4.26B
Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY)+33.00%
Gross Margin+48.93%
Operating Margin+12.63%
Profit Margin+45.29%
ROE+45.13%
Debt / Equity1.83
Current Ratio11.98
Total Cash$1.70B
Total Debt$10.02B

Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:55 UTC.

Financial Health Score (AFRM)

Nexqual rates Affirm Holdings, Inc.'s overall financial health "Strong" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:55 UTC.

GrowthStrong — Revenue +32% YoY (annual)
ProfitabilityStrong — Net margin 45% (last 12 months); banks have no gross margin
Balance SheetN/A — Not comparable for banks: deposits and customer funds sit on the balance sheet, so cash vs debt does not measure safety (SEC industry: Personal Credit Institutions)
Cash FlowN/A — Not meaningful for banks and lenders: lending and trading move operating cash flow by billions each year (SEC industry: Personal Credit Institutions)
EfficiencyStrong — ROE 45%, ROA 1.9%

Ownership (AFRM)

Insider Ownership+4.32%
Institutional Ownership+88.65%
Shares Outstanding296.88M
Float283.82M
Short % of Float+6.07%

Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:55 UTC.

Leadership (AFRM)

Affirm Holdings, Inc. is led by Max Roth Levchin, Founder, CEO & Chairman, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:55 UTC.

Founder, CEO & ChairmanMax Roth Levchin
PresidentMichael A. Linford
President & DirectorLibor Michalek
Chief Financial OfficerRobert W. O'Hare
Chief Revenue OfficerWayne Pommen

Major Backers & Investors (AFRM)

Notable institutional backers of Affirm Holdings, Inc. include Capital Group, Morgan Stanley, Growth Fund of America, according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:55 UTC.

Active Investors

InvestorStake
Capital Group16.55%
Morgan Stanley7.75%
Growth Fund of America6.23%
FMR, LLC5.92%
JPMorgan5.63%
Amcap Fund3.71%
SmallCap World Fund Inc2.02%

Index Funds (Passive)

FundStake
Vanguard Group8.15%
BlackRock6.61%
State Street2.14%

Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:55 UTC.

From Affirm Holdings, Inc.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-08-27)

Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)

Partnerships

Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)

Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.

Peers & Related Stocks

SymbolNamePriceChange
SYFSynchrony FinancialUSD 75.09▲ 1.32%
SOFISoFi Technologies, Inc.USD 14.77▼ 0.87%
PYPLPayPal Holdings, Inc.USD 57.54▲ 0.59%
ALLYAlly Financial Inc.USD 39.31▲ 1.6%
FCFSFirstCash Holdings, Inc.USD 184.78▼ 14.75%
OMFOneMain Holdings, Inc.USD 57.11▲ 0.49%

Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 09:55 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.

For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt