TWFG, Inc. (TWFG) Stock Price & Analysis

TWFG, Inc. (TWFG) closed at USD 27.28 on Wednesday, October 28, 2026, up 0.11% on the day. The US market is currently closed; this is not a live price.

The prior close was USD 27.25; the Oct 28, 2026 session ranged USD 26.02–27.69 on volume of 156,962 shares. Market capitalization is $351.38M, with a 52-week range of USD 16.56–31.3 (NMS). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 29, 2026 at 06:13 UTC.

Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/TWFG.md

Key facts (TWFG)

Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (TWFG)

USDFY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025TTM
Revenue$154M$172M$204M$249M$295M
Operating income$23.7M$25.4M$27.9M$37.0M$53.8M
Net income$0K$0K$2.7M$41.2M$42.0M
EPS (diluted)——$0.19$0.53—
Free cash flow$25.6M$29.9M$37.3M$53.1M$59.7M
Operating margin15.4%14.8%13.7%14.9%18.3%
Net margin0.0%0.0%1.3%16.6%14.2%
Revenue growth—+11.8%+18.4%+22.0%—
Cash + short-term investments$22.3M$39.3M$196M$156M—
Total debt—$50.7M$7.6M$4.0M—

Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.

Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (TWFG)

P/E 8.4x · P/S 1.2x · EV/EBITDA 3.6x · EV/Sales 0.9x · P/FCF 5.9x · P/B 7.6x · FCF yield 16.99% · Earnings yield 11.95% · Net cash $70.7M · EV $281M

P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 10.6x, Dec 2024 168.1x.

Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026) (TWFG)

1 of 80 tracked investors hold TWFG. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.

InvestorFirm% of portfolioValueChange
Francois RochonGiverny Capital0.53%$15.7MAdded +18.2%

Insider purchases (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (TWFG)

6 purchases, $3.4M. Private placements, offerings, dividend reinvestment and employee stock purchase plan buys are excluded.

Trade dateInsiderRoleSharesValueAvg priceInsider type
2026-06-05Doak MichaelDirector7,865$153K19.45Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2025)
2026-06-03…2026-06-04Doak MichaelDirector33,994$638K18.77Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2025)
2026-06-01…2026-06-02Doak MichaelDirector33,000$637K19.29Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2025)
2026-05-28…2026-05-29Doak MichaelDirector22,330$421K18.87Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2025)
2026-05-22…2026-05-27Doak MichaelDirector46,880$883K18.83Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2025)
2026-05-20…2026-05-21Doak MichaelDirector33,283$621K18.65Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2025)

Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.

Analysts (TWFG)

Consensus Buy (mean 1.88 on a 1–5 scale), 8 analysts; mean target USD 30.57 (low 26, high 34).

Rating changes, last 120 days:

DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
2026-10-01JP MorganTarget loweredNeutral$28 → $26
2026-08-19JP MorganTarget raisedNeutral$27 → $28
2026-08-19Morgan StanleyUpgradeEqual-Weight → Overweight$26 → $30
2026-08-12Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsTarget raisedMarket Perform$26 → $29
2026-08-10UBSTarget raisedBuy$30 → $34
2026-08-07RBC CapitalTarget raisedOutperform$30 → $34
2026-07-15Piper SandlerTarget raisedOverweight$22 → $29
2026-07-13JP MorganTarget raisedNeutral$24 → $27
2026-07-13RBC CapitalTarget raisedOutperform$27 → $30
2026-07-08UBSTarget raisedBuy$26 → $30
2026-07-08Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsTarget raisedMarket Perform$23 → $26
2026-07-06Morgan StanleyTarget raisedEqual-Weight$21 → $23

Total return (dividends reinvested) (TWFG)

1Y (from 2025-10-29)5Y (from 2024-07-15)
Total return+12.2%+20.6%
S&P 500 (SPY)+13.6%+79.8%
Per year+12.2%+8.6%
Volatility (annualized)46.1%44.4%
Max drawdown-41.7% (Dec 2025→Feb 2026)-50.8% (Nov 2024→Feb 2026)

TWFG earnings history and stock reaction

Results filedQuarterEPSConsensusSurpriseStock reaction
—Quarter ended Jun 30, 2026$0.38$0.25Beat +52.0%—
—Quarter ended Mar 31, 2026$0.29$0.20Beat +45.0%—
—Quarter ended Dec 31, 2025$0.30$0.19Beat +57.9%—
—Quarter ended Sep 30, 2025$0.23$0.19Beat +21.1%—

EPS as reported against the analyst consensus before the release; surprise uses the cent-rounded figures shown (in dollars when EPS and consensus have opposite signs). Stock reaction = close before the results to close after (the first close following a release after the bell or before the open).

TWFG recent SEC filings (last 120 days)

FiledFormWhat it says
Aug 14, 2026Schedule 13G/ARichard F. Bunch III, Michelle Caroline Bunch: 0.7% of shares, passive 5%+ holder (amended)
Aug 14, 2026Schedule 13G/ABAMCO INC /NY/, Baron Capital Group, Inc.: 8.7% of shares, passive 5%+ holder (amended)
Aug 13, 20268-KEntered a material agreement; New debt or off-balance-sheet obligation; Regulation FD disclosure
“On August 12, 2026, TWFG, Inc. (the "Company") entered into the Amended and Restated Credit Agreement (the "Credit Agreement"), with TWFG Holding Company, LLC, as borrower (the "Borrower"), PNC Bank, National Association, as administrative agent, swingline loan lender and issuing lender, the other guarantors party thereto, and the lenders party thereto, which amended and restated the Company's existing credit agreement dated as of May 23, 2023, as amended on June 20, 2024. The Credit Agreement provides for a…”
Aug 12, 2026Schedule 13G/ACapital International Investors: 0.0% of shares, passive 5%+ holder (amended)
Aug 6, 202610-QQuarterly report · period ended Jun 30, 2026
Aug 5, 20268-KQuarterly results
Jul 28, 2026Schedule 13GFranklin Resources, Inc., Charles B. Johnson: 6.0% of shares, passive 5%+ holder
Jul 24, 20268-KDirector or executive officer change, or pay arrangement
“On July 21, 2026, Eugene N. Padgett, Chief Accounting Officer of TWFG, Inc. (the "Company"), informed the Company of his resignation from the Company, effective July 21, 2026. Mr. Padgett's resignation was not the result of any disagreement with the Company on any matter relating to the Company's accounting practices, financial reporting, or operations. Upon the effectiveness of Mr. Padgett's resignation, the Company appointed Janice Zwinggi, the Company's Chief Financial Officer, to serve as the Company's Chief…”
Jul 8, 2026Schedule 13G/AT. Rowe Price Investment Management, Inc.: 5.8% of shares, passive 5%+ holder (amended)

Source: SEC EDGAR. Quotes are the opening words of each item as filed; each form links to the filing. Insider Form 4 filings are listed in the insider sections.

TWFG revenue by product line (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)

LineRevenueShare of totalYoY
Commission income$80.6M92.2%+47.8%
— Agency-in-a-Box (part of Commission income)$42.3M48.4%+7.6%
— TWFG MGA (part of Commission income)$30.5M34.8%+230.2%
— Fee income (part of Commission income)$4.2M4.8%+25.1%
— Contingent income (part of Commission income)$2.2M2.5%+6.6%
— Branch fees (part of Commission income)$1.5M1.7%+4.8%
Corporate Branches$14.2M16.2%+24.6%
Policy fees$1.7M1.9%+56.9%
License fees$822,0000.9%+47.0%
Other income$536,0000.6%+39.6%
Other$511,0000.6%+39.6%
TPA fees$161,0000.2%-40.8%
Total revenue$87.5M100%—

As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).

TWFG suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 10-K)

RelationshipCompanySentence in the filing
PartnerContinuing Pre-IPO“TWFG Holding makes pro rata distributions to the other holders of LLC Units and us in an amount at least sufficient to allow us and the other holders of LLC Units to pay taxes allocable to our respective share of TWFG Holding's taxable income and partner items, to make payments under the Tax Receivable Agreement we entered into with the Continuing Pre-IPO LLC Members and to pay our unreimbursed corporate and other…”
PartnerGriffin Highline Capital“Michael Doak is one of our directors and is the Chief Executive Officer and Managing Partner of Griffin Highline Capital.”

Quoted from the company's 10-K filed Mar 10, 2026.

Companies that name TWFG in their SEC reports

Relationship to TWFGCompanyFilingSentence
partnerRENAISSANCERE HOLDINGS LTD (RNR-PG)10-K Feb 11, 2026“Additionally, we have a strategic investment in TWFG, which distributes personal and commercial insurance across the United States.”

TWFG customer concentration

In the period ended Jun 30, 2026, a single direct customer accounted for 19% of revenue, per the company's 10-Q filed Aug 6, 2026. The company does not name it.

TWFG analyst estimates and revisions

PeriodEPS estimate90 days agoChangeRevenue estimateAnalysts
Current quarter (ends Sep 2026)$0.26$0.24+6.2%$78.7M8
Next quarter (ends Dec 2026)$0.24$0.24-0.9%$74.5M7
Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026)$1.17$1.02+14.5%$315.5M8
Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027)$1.18$1.12+5.7%$365.8M8

Key Statistics (as of October 29, 2026 at 06:13 UTC)

PriceUSD 27.28
Change▲ 0.11% (up)
Previous CloseUSD 27.25
OpenUSD 27
Day RangeUSD 26.02 – 27.69
52-Week RangeUSD 16.56 – 31.3
Volume156,962 shares
Market Cap$351.38M
ExchangeNMS

Technical Analysis (TWFG)

Nexqual's technical model rates TWFG "STRONG BUY" based on 5 bullish and 0 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 29, 2026 at 06:13 UTC.

Overall SignalSTRONG BUY
RSI (14)55.65 (neutral)
vs SMA50Above (USD 26.78)
MACD0.51 (positive)

Analyst Ratings (TWFG)

Wall Street analysts rate TWFG "Buy" based on 8 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 30.57 (range USD 26–34), per Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 06:13 UTC.

Consensus RatingBuy
Analyst Count8
Mean TargetUSD 30.57
High TargetUSD 34
Low TargetUSD 26
Buy / Hold / Sell6 / 2 / 0

Earnings (TWFG)

Next Earnings Date2026-11-04
EPS EstimateUSD 0.26
Revenue Estimate$78.65M

Recent Earnings History

QuarterActual vs Estimate
2026-06-30USD 0.38 vs est 0.25 ▲ beat
2026-03-31USD 0.29 vs est 0.2 ▲ beat
2025-12-31USD 0.3 vs est 0.19 ▲ beat
2025-09-30USD 0.23 vs est 0.19 ▲ beat

Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 06:13 UTC.

Financials & Fundamentals (TWFG)

Total Revenue$294.73M
Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY)+45.10%
Gross Margin+85.88%
Operating Margin+20.10%
Profit Margin+2.98%
ROE+19.32%
Debt / Equity0.03
Current Ratio2.56
Total Cash$73.75M
Total Debt$8.46M
Free Cash Flow (last four quarters to Jun 2026, SEC 10-Q / 10-K)$59.68M (20.3% of revenue)

Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 06:13 UTC.

Financial Health Score (TWFG)

Nexqual rates TWFG, Inc.'s overall financial health "Strong" across five dimensions, as of October 29, 2026 at 06:13 UTC.

GrowthStrong — Revenue +21% YoY (annual)
ProfitabilityStrong — Gross margin 86%, operating 18% (last 12 months)
Balance SheetStrong — $74M cash and investments vs $3M debt (Jun 2026, SEC), net cash
Cash FlowStrong — FCF $60M (last 4 quarters to Jun 2026, SEC), 20% margin
EfficiencyStrong — ROE 91%, ROA 11.7% (last 4 quarters, SEC)

Ownership (TWFG)

Insider Ownership+15.90%
Institutional Ownership+71.50%
Shares Outstanding12.88M
Float11.20M
Short % of Float+11.52%

Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 06:13 UTC.

Leadership (TWFG)

TWFG, Inc. is led by Richard Finley Bunch, Chairman & CEO, per Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 06:13 UTC.

Chairman & CEORichard Finley Bunch
PresidentKatherine C. Nolan
CFO, Principal Financial Officer, Principal Accounting Officer & Chief Accounting OfficerJanice Elaine Zwinggi
Chief Technology OfficerMohan Vijayagopal

Major Backers & Investors (TWFG)

Notable institutional backers of TWFG, Inc. include BAMCO Inc., BARON INVESTMENT Fd.S TRT -BARON DISCOVERY Fd., Franklin Resources, Inc., according to Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 06:13 UTC.

Active Investors

InvestorStake
BAMCO Inc.8.81%
BARON INVESTMENT Fd.S TRT -BARON DISCOVERY Fd.7.26%
Franklin Resources, Inc.6.07%
T. Rowe Price5.85%
Giverny Capital Inc.5.07%
CENTRAL SECURITIES CORP3.88%
Marshall Wace LLP3.17%
Two Sigma Investments, LP2.89%

Index Funds (Passive)

FundStake
Vanguard Group3.8%

Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 06:13 UTC.

From TWFG, Inc.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-03-10)

Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)

Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)

Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.

Peers & Related Stocks

SymbolNamePriceChange
TREELendingTree, Inc.USD 26.52▲ 1.18%
AIFUAIFU Inc.USD 10.41▲ 2.66%
CRD-ACrawford & CompanyUSD 12.34▼ 2.68%
GSHDGoosehead Insurance, Inc.USD 46.3▲ 0.33%
LIFEEthos Technologies Inc.USD 42.83▲ 0.71%
NPNeptune Insurance Holdings Inc.USD 29.48▲ 0.03%

Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 29, 2026 at 06:13 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.

For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt