TWFG, Inc. (TWFG) Stock Price & Analysis
TWFG, Inc. (TWFG) closed at USD 27.28 on Wednesday, October 28, 2026, up 0.11% on the day. The US market is currently closed; this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 27.25; the Oct 28, 2026 session ranged USD 26.02–27.69 on volume of 156,962 shares. Market capitalization is $351.38M, with a 52-week range of USD 16.56–31.3 (NMS). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 29, 2026 at 06:13 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/TWFG.md
Key facts (TWFG)
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 30, 2026): revenue $295M, net income $42.0M (14.2% margin), free cash flow $59.7M (SEC filings).
- Valuation: P/E 8.4x (avg 89.3x at the last 2 fiscal year-ends), EV/EBITDA 3.6x, net cash $70.7M.
- 1 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold TWFG (13F, Q2 2026): 0 new, 1 added, 0 reduced, 0 unchanged.
- Insider open-market purchases, last ~7 months: 6 Form 4 filings, $3.4M; 0 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders.
- Analysts: Buy (mean 1.88 on a 1–5 scale) (8 analysts), mean target USD 30.57 (range 26–34).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +12.2% vs S&P 500 +13.6%; 5Y +20.6% vs S&P 500 +79.8%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-04, EPS estimate USD 0.26, revenue estimate $78.7M.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (TWFG)
| USD | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $154M | $172M | $204M | $249M | $295M |
| Operating income | $23.7M | $25.4M | $27.9M | $37.0M | $53.8M |
| Net income | $0K | $0K | $2.7M | $41.2M | $42.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | — | — | $0.19 | $0.53 | — |
| Free cash flow | $25.6M | $29.9M | $37.3M | $53.1M | $59.7M |
| Operating margin | 15.4% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 18.3% |
| Net margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.3% | 16.6% | 14.2% |
| Revenue growth | — | +11.8% | +18.4% | +22.0% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $22.3M | $39.3M | $196M | $156M | — |
| Total debt | — | $50.7M | $7.6M | $4.0M | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (TWFG)
P/E 8.4x · P/S 1.2x · EV/EBITDA 3.6x · EV/Sales 0.9x · P/FCF 5.9x · P/B 7.6x · FCF yield 16.99% · Earnings yield 11.95% · Net cash $70.7M · EV $281M
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 10.6x, Dec 2024 168.1x.
Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026) (TWFG)
1 of 80 tracked investors hold TWFG. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francois Rochon | Giverny Capital | 0.53% | $15.7M | Added +18.2% |
Insider purchases (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (TWFG)
6 purchases, $3.4M. Private placements, offerings, dividend reinvestment and employee stock purchase plan buys are excluded.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | Avg price | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-05 | Doak Michael | Director | 7,865 | $153K | 19.45 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2025) |
| 2026-06-03…2026-06-04 | Doak Michael | Director | 33,994 | $638K | 18.77 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2025) |
| 2026-06-01…2026-06-02 | Doak Michael | Director | 33,000 | $637K | 19.29 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2025) |
| 2026-05-28…2026-05-29 | Doak Michael | Director | 22,330 | $421K | 18.87 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2025) |
| 2026-05-22…2026-05-27 | Doak Michael | Director | 46,880 | $883K | 18.83 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2025) |
| 2026-05-20…2026-05-21 | Doak Michael | Director | 33,283 | $621K | 18.65 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2025) |
Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.
Analysts (TWFG)
Consensus Buy (mean 1.88 on a 1–5 scale), 8 analysts; mean target USD 30.57 (low 26, high 34).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | JP Morgan | Target lowered | Neutral | $28 → $26 |
| 2026-08-19 | JP Morgan | Target raised | Neutral | $27 → $28 |
| 2026-08-19 | Morgan Stanley | Upgrade | Equal-Weight → Overweight | $26 → $30 |
| 2026-08-12 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Target raised | Market Perform | $26 → $29 |
| 2026-08-10 | UBS | Target raised | Buy | $30 → $34 |
| 2026-08-07 | RBC Capital | Target raised | Outperform | $30 → $34 |
| 2026-07-15 | Piper Sandler | Target raised | Overweight | $22 → $29 |
| 2026-07-13 | JP Morgan | Target raised | Neutral | $24 → $27 |
| 2026-07-13 | RBC Capital | Target raised | Outperform | $27 → $30 |
| 2026-07-08 | UBS | Target raised | Buy | $26 → $30 |
| 2026-07-08 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Target raised | Market Perform | $23 → $26 |
| 2026-07-06 | Morgan Stanley | Target raised | Equal-Weight | $21 → $23 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (TWFG)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-29) | 5Y (from 2024-07-15) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +12.2% | +20.6% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +13.6% | +79.8% |
| Per year | +12.2% | +8.6% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 46.1% | 44.4% |
| Max drawdown | -41.7% (Dec 2025→Feb 2026) | -50.8% (Nov 2024→Feb 2026) |
TWFG earnings history and stock reaction
| Results filed | Quarter | EPS | Consensus | Surprise | Stock reaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | Quarter ended Jun 30, 2026 | $0.38 | $0.25 | Beat +52.0% | — |
| — | Quarter ended Mar 31, 2026 | $0.29 | $0.20 | Beat +45.0% | — |
| — | Quarter ended Dec 31, 2025 | $0.30 | $0.19 | Beat +57.9% | — |
| — | Quarter ended Sep 30, 2025 | $0.23 | $0.19 | Beat +21.1% | — |
EPS as reported against the analyst consensus before the release; surprise uses the cent-rounded figures shown (in dollars when EPS and consensus have opposite signs). Stock reaction = close before the results to close after (the first close following a release after the bell or before the open).
TWFG recent SEC filings (last 120 days)
| Filed | Form | What it says |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Schedule 13G/A | Richard F. Bunch III, Michelle Caroline Bunch: 0.7% of shares, passive 5%+ holder (amended) |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Schedule 13G/A | BAMCO INC /NY/, Baron Capital Group, Inc.: 8.7% of shares, passive 5%+ holder (amended) |
| Aug 13, 2026 | 8-K | Entered a material agreement; New debt or off-balance-sheet obligation; Regulation FD disclosure “On August 12, 2026, TWFG, Inc. (the "Company") entered into the Amended and Restated Credit Agreement (the "Credit Agreement"), with TWFG Holding Company, LLC, as borrower (the "Borrower"), PNC Bank, National Association, as administrative agent, swingline loan lender and issuing lender, the other guarantors party thereto, and the lenders party thereto, which amended and restated the Company's existing credit agreement dated as of May 23, 2023, as amended on June 20, 2024. The Credit Agreement provides for a…” |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Schedule 13G/A | Capital International Investors: 0.0% of shares, passive 5%+ holder (amended) |
| Aug 6, 2026 | 10-Q | Quarterly report · period ended Jun 30, 2026 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | 8-K | Quarterly results |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Schedule 13G | Franklin Resources, Inc., Charles B. Johnson: 6.0% of shares, passive 5%+ holder |
| Jul 24, 2026 | 8-K | Director or executive officer change, or pay arrangement “On July 21, 2026, Eugene N. Padgett, Chief Accounting Officer of TWFG, Inc. (the "Company"), informed the Company of his resignation from the Company, effective July 21, 2026. Mr. Padgett's resignation was not the result of any disagreement with the Company on any matter relating to the Company's accounting practices, financial reporting, or operations. Upon the effectiveness of Mr. Padgett's resignation, the Company appointed Janice Zwinggi, the Company's Chief Financial Officer, to serve as the Company's Chief…” |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Schedule 13G/A | T. Rowe Price Investment Management, Inc.: 5.8% of shares, passive 5%+ holder (amended) |
Source: SEC EDGAR. Quotes are the opening words of each item as filed; each form links to the filing. Insider Form 4 filings are listed in the insider sections.
TWFG revenue by product line (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Commission income | $80.6M | 92.2% | +47.8% |
| — Agency-in-a-Box (part of Commission income) | $42.3M | 48.4% | +7.6% |
| — TWFG MGA (part of Commission income) | $30.5M | 34.8% | +230.2% |
| — Fee income (part of Commission income) | $4.2M | 4.8% | +25.1% |
| — Contingent income (part of Commission income) | $2.2M | 2.5% | +6.6% |
| — Branch fees (part of Commission income) | $1.5M | 1.7% | +4.8% |
| Corporate Branches | $14.2M | 16.2% | +24.6% |
| Policy fees | $1.7M | 1.9% | +56.9% |
| License fees | $822,000 | 0.9% | +47.0% |
| Other income | $536,000 | 0.6% | +39.6% |
| Other | $511,000 | 0.6% | +39.6% |
| TPA fees | $161,000 | 0.2% | -40.8% |
| Total revenue | $87.5M | 100% | — |
As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).
TWFG suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 10-K)
| Relationship | Company | Sentence in the filing |
|---|---|---|
| Partner | Continuing Pre-IPO | “TWFG Holding makes pro rata distributions to the other holders of LLC Units and us in an amount at least sufficient to allow us and the other holders of LLC Units to pay taxes allocable to our respective share of TWFG Holding's taxable income and partner items, to make payments under the Tax Receivable Agreement we entered into with the Continuing Pre-IPO LLC Members and to pay our unreimbursed corporate and other…” |
| Partner | Griffin Highline Capital | “Michael Doak is one of our directors and is the Chief Executive Officer and Managing Partner of Griffin Highline Capital.” |
Quoted from the company's 10-K filed Mar 10, 2026.
Companies that name TWFG in their SEC reports
| Relationship to TWFG | Company | Filing | Sentence |
|---|---|---|---|
| partner | RENAISSANCERE HOLDINGS LTD (RNR-PG) | 10-K Feb 11, 2026 | “Additionally, we have a strategic investment in TWFG, which distributes personal and commercial insurance across the United States.” |
TWFG customer concentration
In the period ended Jun 30, 2026, a single direct customer accounted for 19% of revenue, per the company's 10-Q filed Aug 6, 2026. The company does not name it.
TWFG analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $0.26 | $0.24 | +6.2% | $78.7M | 8 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $0.24 | $0.24 | -0.9% | $74.5M | 7 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $1.17 | $1.02 | +14.5% | $315.5M | 8 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $1.18 | $1.12 | +5.7% | $365.8M | 8 |
Key Statistics (as of October 29, 2026 at 06:13 UTC)
| Price | USD 27.28 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▲ 0.11% (up) |
| Previous Close | USD 27.25 |
| Open | USD 27 |
| Day Range | USD 26.02 – 27.69 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 16.56 – 31.3 |
| Volume | 156,962 shares |
| Market Cap | $351.38M |
| Exchange | NMS |
Technical Analysis (TWFG)
Nexqual's technical model rates TWFG "STRONG BUY" based on 5 bullish and 0 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 29, 2026 at 06:13 UTC.
| Overall Signal | STRONG BUY |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 55.65 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Above (USD 26.78) |
| MACD | 0.51 (positive) |
Analyst Ratings (TWFG)
Wall Street analysts rate TWFG "Buy" based on 8 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 30.57 (range USD 26–34), per Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 06:13 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Buy |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 8 |
| Mean Target | USD 30.57 |
| High Target | USD 34 |
| Low Target | USD 26 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 6 / 2 / 0 |
Earnings (TWFG)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-11-04 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 0.26 |
| Revenue Estimate | $78.65M |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 0.38 vs est 0.25 ▲ beat |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 0.29 vs est 0.2 ▲ beat |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 0.3 vs est 0.19 ▲ beat |
| 2025-09-30 | USD 0.23 vs est 0.19 ▲ beat |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 06:13 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (TWFG)
| Total Revenue | $294.73M |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +45.10% |
| Gross Margin | +85.88% |
| Operating Margin | +20.10% |
| Profit Margin | +2.98% |
| ROE | +19.32% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.03 |
| Current Ratio | 2.56 |
| Total Cash | $73.75M |
| Total Debt | $8.46M |
| Free Cash Flow (last four quarters to Jun 2026, SEC 10-Q / 10-K) | $59.68M (20.3% of revenue) |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 06:13 UTC.
Financial Health Score (TWFG)
Nexqual rates TWFG, Inc.'s overall financial health "Strong" across five dimensions, as of October 29, 2026 at 06:13 UTC.
| Growth | Strong — Revenue +21% YoY (annual) |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Strong — Gross margin 86%, operating 18% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Strong — $74M cash and investments vs $3M debt (Jun 2026, SEC), net cash |
| Cash Flow | Strong — FCF $60M (last 4 quarters to Jun 2026, SEC), 20% margin |
| Efficiency | Strong — ROE 91%, ROA 11.7% (last 4 quarters, SEC) |
Ownership (TWFG)
| Insider Ownership | +15.90% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +71.50% |
| Shares Outstanding | 12.88M |
| Float | 11.20M |
| Short % of Float | +11.52% |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 06:13 UTC.
Leadership (TWFG)
TWFG, Inc. is led by Richard Finley Bunch, Chairman & CEO, per Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 06:13 UTC.
| Chairman & CEO | Richard Finley Bunch |
|---|---|
| President | Katherine C. Nolan |
| CFO, Principal Financial Officer, Principal Accounting Officer & Chief Accounting Officer | Janice Elaine Zwinggi |
| Chief Technology Officer | Mohan Vijayagopal |
Major Backers & Investors (TWFG)
Notable institutional backers of TWFG, Inc. include BAMCO Inc., BARON INVESTMENT Fd.S TRT -BARON DISCOVERY Fd., Franklin Resources, Inc., according to Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 06:13 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| BAMCO Inc. | 8.81% |
| BARON INVESTMENT Fd.S TRT -BARON DISCOVERY Fd. | 7.26% |
| Franklin Resources, Inc. | 6.07% |
| T. Rowe Price | 5.85% |
| Giverny Capital Inc. | 5.07% |
| CENTRAL SECURITIES CORP | 3.88% |
| Marshall Wace LLP | 3.17% |
| Two Sigma Investments, LP | 2.89% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| Vanguard Group | 3.8% |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 06:13 UTC.
From TWFG, Inc.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-03-10)
Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)
- For the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024, we generated revenue of $248.5 million and $203.8 million, respectively, representing year-over-year growth of 22.0%, including Organic Revenue Growth of 11.6% year-over-year.
- Our independent distribution platform offers our Branches and MGA Agencies a choice of contracts to execute with us, including Branch contracts, MGA contracts and producer contracts, and our programs include Admitted and non-admitted insurance products, personal, commercial, life, and health lines of business, as well as proprietary programs only available through TWFG.
- We rely on a combination of copyright, trademark, trade dress and trade secret laws in the U.S. and other jurisdictions, as well as confidentiality procedures and contractual restrictions, to establish and protect our intellectual property and proprietary rights, including our Books of Business.
- Our offerings are fulsome and flexible in that we offer all lines of insurance, multiple distribution contract options, M&A services, proprietary virtual assistants, proprietary technology, proprietary premium financing, unlimited continuing education, recognition programs, co-op funding, marketing support and overall lower costs to operate.
Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)
- The occurrence of natural or man-made disasters could result in declines in business and increases in claims that could adversely affect our financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
- Our inability to successfully recover should we experience a disaster or other business continuity problem could cause material financial loss, loss of human capital, regulatory actions, reputational harm or legal liability.
- Our business, financial condition and results of operations may be negatively affected by E&O claims.
- Regulations affecting insurance carriers with which we place business may adversely affect how we conduct our operations.
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| TREE | LendingTree, Inc. | USD 26.52 | ▲ 1.18% |
| AIFU | AIFU Inc. | USD 10.41 | ▲ 2.66% |
| CRD-A | Crawford & Company | USD 12.34 | ▼ 2.68% |
| GSHD | Goosehead Insurance, Inc. | USD 46.3 | ▲ 0.33% |
| LIFE | Ethos Technologies Inc. | USD 42.83 | ▲ 0.71% |
| NP | Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. | USD 29.48 | ▲ 0.03% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 29, 2026 at 06:13 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt